Noto's Key Personnel: Week 11
A daily fantasy sports OG, Notorious has been roaming the DFS streets ever since they were invented. So, who better to walk you through all of the key NFL DFS positions each week? Noto has racked up multiple live final seats and several six-figure tournament wins in his DFS career, and he will mix it up in all different types of contests. In his Key Personnel article, he will walk you through his favorite NFL DFS picks, ways to pivot away from the chalk, and overall strategy for the upcoming slate.
Happy Week 11 everyone!
This has been a season marred by injuries, the latest being Joe Burrow. He has to have surgery and is set to miss the rest of the season. It’s a big blow for the Bengals and for the league in general. Let’s hope to make it through a main slate without any major injuries.
The NBA/NFL overlap is an amazing time of year, but it also breaks the creative part of my brain. Apparently, that comes from the right hemisphere of the brain. Without a clever introduction, we might as well jump into the slate. As always, I’ll be around all weekend to answer any questions that you might have (hit me up on Twitter or in RG’s Discord.
NFL DFS Top Picks & Plays: Noto’s Key Personnel for Week 11
Quarterback
EXPERT PLAY TAGS
Kyler Murray: $6,100 DK / $7,600 FD
Brock Purdy: $5,800 DK / $7,500 FD
Heading into Week 10, I was hesitant to click on Kyler Murray. I wasn’t sure how mobile he would be after missing so much time with a torn ACL. He quickly squashed those doubts, as he was extremely mobile in the pocket and ran the ball 6 times for 33 yards. He ran a touchdown in and had a couple of great plays where he evaded pass rushers in order to get first downs. If we assume he’s back to his usual self, he’s clearly too cheap on both FanDuel and DraftKings. A matchup against the Texans is enticing, as Houston is 20th in DVOA against the pass and 25th in dropback EPA this season. Additionally, we don’t have to worry about the weather with this being played in a dome.
After a shaky three-week stretch for the Niners, they looked dominant in a win over the Jaguars last week. The bye week clearly treated them well. Their next victim is the Buccaneers, who have really fallen off after a good start to the season. The Buccaneers don’t get a lot of pressure on the quarterback and have been somewhat of a pass-funnel this season (at least when Vita Vea is healthy). Purdy has been one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL when he’s not under pressure and all of his weapons are finally healthy again. He has thrown for at least 2 touchdowns in 10 of his last 15 regular season starts.