Noto's NFL DFS Key Personnel: Wild Card Weekend - Sunday Slate

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2025-01-11 00:53:53 Premium Content Part of the product NFL DFS

A daily fantasy sports OG, Notorious has been roaming the DFS streets ever since they were invented. So, who better to walk you through all of the key NFL DFS positions each week? Noto has racked up multiple live final seats and several six-figure tournament wins in his DFS career, and he will mix it up in all different types of contests. In his Key Personnel article, he will walk you through his favorite NFL DFS picks, ways to pivot away from the chalk, and overall strategy for the upcoming slate.

Whether you read this before or after the Saturday games have kicked off, I wish you the best of luck on that 2-game slate. As you may already know, I am stacking the PIT-BAL game (especially on the Ravens’ side), so we’ll see how that strategy pans out. I’m at the point in my life where guys’ nights are few and far between. I’m lucky enough to still have a big friend group that hangs out once or twice a month. It’s typically with significant others and all of the kids, which is great. But we are having a rare guy’s night on Saturday to watch the final 2 games and grill some steaks. An alcoholic beverage or two might be consumed. I’m pumped. It’s all about the little things in life, you know?

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NFL DFS Top Picks & Plays: Noto’s Key Personnel for Wild Card Weekend – Sunday Slate

For a 3-game slate, there are a lot of interesting ways to attack this in tournaments. We are seeing ownership congregate around a handful of players, which always makes for a good tournament slate. I’ll be eating some of the chalk and have my eye on a few contrarian plays in particular. One thing that I want to stress is the importance of using late swap on this slate. Whether you are heavy or light on the first game, you should analyze where you sit compared to the field after it’s over. If you are behind the 8-ball, it makes sense to use more contrarian plays in the later games. If you get off to a hot start (this is my goal), you have the luxury of playing the chalk in the later games if you so choose.

To stay up to date with my thoughts on the slate and the weather, make sure to check out our NFL DFS Optimizer and the NFL Weather page.

Quarterback

EXPERT PLAY TAGS

Josh Allen: $8,200 DK / $8,900 FD

It’s the playoffs. It’s Josh Allen time. The Bills have had some bad luck in the postseason over the last few years, but I think this is the year they finally break through and make it to the Super Bowl. We have some great quarterback options on this slate, but I have a hard time not locking in Allen. He’s going to be scrambling a lot in this game, and the Bills have started using the tush push when they get down to the goal line. The best part is that you can play him solo or pair him up with one of his wideouts. His rushing upside makes it so you don’t feel obligated to stack him. The Bills have one of the highest team totals on the board.

EVERYONE ELSE

Jayden Daniels doesn’t have the same floor as Josh Allen, but I would argue that the two have comparable ceilings. On top of that, he has a significantly better matchup. On the season, the Buccaneers are below average in all passing metrics and have allowed the 4th-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. Daniels has averaged 22 fantasy points per game this season and has topped 30 fantasy points in 3 of his last 6 games. There’s certainly a path for him to be the highest-scoring quarterback on the weekend.

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