NFL First Look: Conference Championships
The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, DVOA rankings and each team’s projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming week.
Color Coding
1) Numbers in BLUE represent the “elite” category, in approximately the top 25th percentile.
2) Numbers in GREEN represent the “above-average” category, in approximately the top 50th percentile.
3) Numbers in YELLOW represent the “below-average” category, in approximately the bottom 50th percentile.
4) Numbers in RED represent the “poor” category, in approximately the bottom 25th percentile.
NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines
| Road Team | Home Team | Vegas Line | Over/Under | Date | Time | Stadium | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | at | Atlanta Falcons | ATL-4.0 | 60.0 | Sun, Jan 22 | 1:05 PM | Georgia Dome |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | at | New England Patriots | NE -6.0 | 51.0 | Sun, Jan 22 | 4:40 PM | Gillette Stadium |
Implied Team Totals & DVOA Matchups
Note: The DVOA rankings in this chart are for the opponent of the offense listed in the first column.
| Offense | Spread | Implied Total | Matchup | Total DVOA | vs. PASS | vs. RUSH | vs. RB (Pass) | vs. WR1 | vs. WR2 | vs. TE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | -4.0 | 32.0 | Green Bay | 20 | 22 | 14 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 7 |
| New England Patriots | -6.0 | 28.5 | Pittsburgh | 11 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 32 | 3 | 13 |
| Green Bay Packers | + 4.0 | 28.0 | at Atlanta | 27 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | + 6.0 | 22.5 | at New England | 16 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 14 |
Implied Team Totals & DvP Matchups
Note: The DvP rankings in this chart are for the opponent of the offense listed in the first column. They are also adjusted for strength of schedule.
| Offense | Spread | Implied Total | Matchup | QB | RB | WR | TE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | -4.0 | 32.0 | Green Bay | 29 | 11 | 30 | 19 |
| New England Patriots | -6.0 | 28.5 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 25 | 9 | 12 |
| Green Bay Packers | + 4.0 | 28.0 | at Atlanta | 27 | 31 | 19 | 26 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | + 6.0 | 22.5 | at New England | 17 | 4 | 12 | 22 |
First Look Legend
| Term | Description |
|---|---|
| DVOA | Football Outsiders’ total defense ranking |
| vs. PASS | DVOA pass defense ranking |
| vs. RB (Run) | DVOA ranking against the run |
| vs. RB (Pass) | DVOA ranking against RBs catching the ball out of the backfield |
| vs. WR1 | DVOA ranking vs. WR1s |
| vs. WR2 | DVOA ranking vs. WR2s |
| vs. TE | DVOA ranking vs. TEs |