NFL First Look: Conference Championships

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The NFL First Look is complete with sortable odds, implied team totals, pace of play, DVOA rankings and each team’s projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming week.

Color Coding

1) Numbers in BLUE represent the “elite” category, in approximately the top 25th percentile.
2) Numbers in GREEN represent the “above-average” category, in approximately the top 50th percentile.
3) Numbers in YELLOW represent the “below-average” category, in approximately the bottom 50th percentile.
4) Numbers in RED represent the “poor” category, in approximately the bottom 25th percentile.

NFL Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team Home Team Vegas Line Over/Under Date Time Stadium
Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons ATL -4.0 60.0 Sun, Jan 22 1:05 PM Georgia Dome
Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots NE -6.0 51.0 Sun, Jan 22 4:40 PM Gillette Stadium

Implied Team Totals & DVOA Matchups

Note: The DVOA rankings in this chart are for the opponent of the offense listed in the first column.

Offense Spread Implied Total Matchup Total DVOA vs. PASS vs. RUSH vs. RB (Pass) vs. WR1 vs. WR2 vs. TE
Atlanta Falcons -4.0 32.0 Green Bay 20 22 14 15 28 29 7
New England Patriots -6.0 28.5 Pittsburgh 11 12 11 19 32 3 13
Green Bay Packers + 4.0 28.0 at Atlanta 27 19 29 26 9 10 11
Pittsburgh Steelers + 6.0 22.5 at New England 16 23 4 20 20 8 14

Implied Team Totals & DvP Matchups

Note: The DvP rankings in this chart are for the opponent of the offense listed in the first column. They are also adjusted for strength of schedule.

Offense Spread Implied Total Matchup QB RB WR TE
Atlanta Falcons -4.0 32.0 Green Bay 29 11 30 19
New England Patriots -6.0 28.5 Pittsburgh 6 25 9 12
Green Bay Packers + 4.0 28.0 at Atlanta 27 31 19 26
Pittsburgh Steelers + 6.0 22.5 at New England 17 4 12 22

First Look Legend

Term Description
DVOA Football Outsiders’ total defense ranking
vs. PASS DVOA pass defense ranking
vs. RB (Run) DVOA ranking against the run
vs. RB (Pass) DVOA ranking against RBs catching the ball out of the backfield
vs. WR1 DVOA ranking vs. WR1s
vs. WR2 DVOA ranking vs. WR2s
vs. TE DVOA ranking vs. TEs

About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Top-Ranked Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious graduated with a Masters degree from the University of Utah, but has since joined Team RotoGrinders. He is currently spotted in the Top 50 Overall rankings on RotoGrinders, and has been ranked as high as 5th. The talented Mr. Noto was a 2012 DSBC Finalist, 2013 DSBBC Finalist, 2013 DSBC Finalist (x2), 2013 DD BLB Finalist, 2013 DFBBC Finalist, and 2015 DK King of Boston Finalist. He also won the 2015-16 FCK NBA Players Championship. Notorious has been nominated for five Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards, including basketball, baseball, and golf.

    Notorious

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