NFL Player Props for Bills vs. Vikings MNF (11/9)
What kind of performances can we expect on Monday Night Football from Josh Allen, Jordan Addison, and Aaron Jones? Follow along as our NFL betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for Bills vs. Vikings on November 9, 2026. Get all of Nick’s props, including picks from other experts as well as access to PickLabs, by subscribing to the RG Props package.
Week 9 of the NFL regular season will wrap up with a Monday Night Football showdown between the Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings.
Kickoff from U.S. Bank Stadium is set for 8:15 pm ET on ESPN and ABC.
The NFL odds for this matchup have the Bills favored by 3 points, with the total at 43.5 points.
Below, you can find three of my favorite player props for Bills vs. Vikings!
Best NFL Player Props for Bills vs. Vikings
Here are my top player prop bets, with kickoff scheduled for 8:15 PM ET on Monday, November 9th:
- Josh Allen Over/Under 20.5 Completions
- Jordan Addison Over/Under 49.5 Receiving Yards
- Aaron Jones Over/Under 30.5 Rushing Yards
Josh Allen UNDER 20.5 Completions (-125, bet365)
BET365The Vikings are the only defense in the NFL to hold every quarterback they have faced under the season average for EPA/play. Only Caleb Williams has managed a positive EPA/play against Minnesota, and he only barely accomplished that feat.
Buffalo leads the league in explosive play rate (21.5%), but they rank only 13th in success rate, which is more closely related to completions on a week-to-week basis. Allen has been superhuman during the early portion of the schedule, but this is the toughest matchup in football for a quarterback – and he’s on the road.
Jordan Addison OVER 49.5 Receiving Yards (+146, FanDuel)
FANDUELAddison has underwhelming season-long receiving numbers, but much of that is likely tied to the struggles of Kyler Murray. In the one game that Addison got to play with Carson Wentz earlier this year, the weather was terrible in Chicago, but he still had 5 targets, the 2nd most on the team.
Addison has big-play potential every time he steps on the field, and Buffalo’s pass defense is among the worst in the NFL. His alternative lines could be worth a sprinkle this evening.
Aaron Jones OVER 30.5 Rushing Yards (-104, Novig)
Jones has seen his role reduced since the return of Jordan Mason, but this is still a pretty low number for a player who should see around 8 carries (at least).
Jones has been effective as a runner in 2026, averaging 4.2 yards per carry. He’s had at least 1 rush for 14+ yards in 5 of his 7 games. By most metrics, he’s been a league-average option out of the backfield.
Tonight, he will get to face a Buffalo run defense that ranks 20th in EPA/play and 24th in success rate. There is value on the over.
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