NFL Player Props for Commanders vs. Giants TNF (11/12)

Likely of the Giants

What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday Night Football from Cam Skattebo, Isaiah Likely, and Van Jefferson? Follow along as our NFL betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for Commanders vs. Giants on November 12, 2026. Get all of Nick’s props, including picks from other experts as well as access to PickLabs, by subscribing to the RG Props package.


Playbook

Week 10 of Thursday Night Football will feature Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders against J.J. McCarthy and the surging New York Giants.

The Commanders enter play 2-5-1, needing a win to keep their slim playoff hopes alive in the NFC East division race.

Kickoff from MetLife Stadium is set for 8:15 pm ET on Prime Video.

The NFL odds for this matchup have the Giants favored by 1.5 points, with the total at 40.5 points.

Below, you can find three of my favorite player props for Commanders vs. Giants!

Best NFL Player Props for Commanders vs. Giants

Here are my top player prop bets, with kickoff scheduled for 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, November 12th:

Cam Skattebo UNDER 16.5 Rushing Attempts (-114, FanDuel)

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The line for Skattebo’s carries inflated in the betting market after it was reported earlier today that he would receive a “heavy lift” in Week 10.

However, it remains to be seen exactly how “heavy” of a workload he receives following a hamstring injury that kept him out of the team’s Week 9 tilt against the Eagles. The Giants probably don’t love the idea of giving Devin Singletary many touches tonight, but this is simply a big number for a player coming back from a lower-half injury.

Isaiah Likely UNDER 4.5 Receptions (-110, BetMGM)

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The forecast for tonight’s game in New York doesn’t look great for passing. It also doesn’t look great for New York, considering that J.J. McCarthy is their quarterback.

McCarthy has good end-of-game numbers against the Texans, but his 31.3% success rate in Week 7 was the worst among starting quarterbacks. In Week 9, he followed that up with a 31.0% success rate against the injury-plagued Eagles.

Likely hasn’t demonstrated great rapport with McCarthy under center, ranking 3rd on the team in targets per route run since the team made the quarterback change. This is a tall number for a pass catcher who will be playing in adverse weather conditions with an underwhelming quarterback.

Van Jefferson UNDER 1.5 Receptions (-217, Novig)

Jefferson played 36 snaps in Week 9 against the Rams, finishing with 5 receptions on 7 targets. That said, he hadn’t played more than 7 snaps in any prior game this season and had only 1 target through 8 weeks.

Tonight, Treylon Burks is expected to be back on the field after not playing in Week 9. The team’s running backs and tight ends still figure to be heavily involved in the passing attack too. Antonio Williams has seen his role steadily increase throughout the season as well.

Factor in some ugly weather conditions and it’s possible we see Jefferson return to a role farther down the depth chart.

Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

nickgalaida
Nick Galaida (nickgalaida)

A failed high school pitcher, Nick Galaida discovered that he has a higher aptitude for analyzing and writing about sports than he does playing them. To his friends, he is better known as “The Commish.” When he’s not organizing a fantasy league, placing a bet, or writing an article, he’s probably nose-deep in a book—further illustrating the point that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete. Follow Nick on Twitter – @CommishFilmRoom