NFL Player Props for Patriots vs. Bears TNF (10/22)
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday Night Football from AJ Brown, Kyle Williams, and Kalif Raymond? Follow along as our NFL betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for Patriots vs. Bears on October 22, 2026. Get all of Nick’s props, including picks from other experts as well as access to PickLabs, by subscribing to the RG Props package.
Week 7 of the NFL regular season will begin with a Thursday Night Football matchup between the New England Patriots and Chicago Bears.
Kickoff from Soldier Field is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
The NFL odds for this matchup have the Bears favored by 3 points ahead of kickoff. The total is set at over/under 50.5 points. NFL prime-time totals of 50+ are 3-2 to the over this season.
Below, you can find three of my favorite player props for Patriots vs. Bears!
Best NFL Player Props for Patriots vs. Bears
Here are my top player prop bets, with kickoff scheduled for 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, October 22nd:
- A.J. Brown Over/Under 70.5 Receiving Yards
- Kyle Williams Over/Under 1.5 Receptions
- Kalif Raymond Over/Under 2.5 Receptions
A.J. Brown UNDER 70.5 Receiving Yards (-105, BetMGM)
Brown played 31 snaps in Week 1 before suffering an ankle injury that landed him on injured reserve. He played 52 snaps in his return to the field in Week 6 but didn’t appear to be in great football shape. Brown finished the game against the Jets with only 3 receptions for 27 receiving yards.
Notably, Brown’s aDOT against the Jets was 9.9. He had an 11.8 aDOT with the Eagles in 2025, 12.0 aDOT in 2024, and 11.7 aDOT in 2023. If he’s not seeing downfield targets, this is a tall number for him to clear.
It’s also worth noting that Mike Vrabel teams have never overused their receivers. Last year, Mack Hollins led the Patriots with a 60% snap share. In 2026, Doubs leads the team with a 57.8% snap share.
There is value on the under.
Kyle Williams OVER 1.5 Receptions (+134, FanDuel)
New England’s available wideouts on Thursday are A.J. Brown, DeMario Douglas, Kyle Williams, and Efton Chism III.
Williams has seen his role steadily grow this season, playing a season-high 27 snaps in Week 5, then another 25 snaps in Week 6. The absence of Romeo Doubs, who landed on injured reserve earlier this week, is only likely to increase Williams’ opportunities.
Chicago has been playing without starting safety Coby Bryant. On Thursday, they could be without Tyrique Stevenson, who played 32+ snaps in four of Chicago’s six games this fall.
Williams is certainly not at the top of the pecking order in this wideout room, but he is a 3rd-round pick who can stretch the field. He isn’t an afterthought either.
Kalif Raymond OVER 2.5 Receptions (+100, BetMGM)
Raymond has played 36+ snaps in every game this season for Chicago. He’s had 4+ targets 4 of 6 games, and had 40+ receiving yards in each of the team’s first two games this season with Caleb Williams healthy.
Raymond had only 2 targets in Week 6, creating a buy-low opportunity for bettors on a player who has been a sizable part of Chicago’s passing attack all season.
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