NHL Daily Plays: Monday, March 16th

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As we start another week of Daily Fantasy Hockey, the NHL presents us with a solid four games on this Monday evening. We have three of the worst teams in hockey (Buffalo Sabres, Edmonton Oilers and the Arizona Coyotes) playing tonight and also a great matchup between two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference (Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens) going toe to toe at the Bell Center.

As the two biggest favorites on the board, the Los Angeles Kings and Washington Capitals are going to be very popular in all game formats tonight and for good reason. The key to winning will be finding another team or players that can have a big night, to go with the Kings and Capitals.

GOALTENDERS

Make sure to check the RotoGrinders Starting Goalies Page to confirm that the goalies listed below are starting prior to game time.

Jonathan Quick, Los Angeles Kings – Quick is 13-6-1 since the All-Star break and he has posted terrific numbers (2.03 GAA, .920 SV%) along the way. The Los Angeles Kings are a force to be reckoned with on home ice (21-8-7) and Quick has been great at the Staples Center (2.06 GAA, .921 SV%) this season. Unlike the Buffalo Sabres, the Arizona Coyotes fire enough shots on goal per game (29.4) to give Quick a decent amount of saves, yet they lack any kind of scoring punch (2.03 goals per game). The Desert Dogs have lost four consecutive games, scoring only three total goals combined. Look for Quick and the Kings to dominate this game from puck drop.

Other Goalies To Target (Cash Games) – Braden Holtby

Other Goalies To Target (Tournaments) – Carey Price, Ben Bishop, Jonathan Bernier

CENTERS

Jeff Carter, Los Angeles Kings – Carter has scored goals in five of his last seven games and has produced solid numbers for the Kings since the All-Star break (12G, 19 PTS, 64 SOG in 21 GP). Carter has fantastic numbers on home ice this season (15 G, 36 PTS +15 in 36 GP) and he should only add to those numbers, facing the defensively challenged Arizona Coyotes tonight. The Desert Dogs are one of the NHL’s worst defensive teams, ranking 25th in shots against per game (32.4), 28th in goals against per game (3.26) and 26th on the penalty kill this season. Look for Carter to snipe at least one goal and fire three plus shots on goal tonight.

Other Centers To Target (Cash Games) – Nicklas Backstrom, Anze Kopitar

Other Centers To Target (Tournaments) – Ryan-Nugent Hopkins, Tyler Bozak, David Desharnais

WINGERS

Alexander Ovechkin, Washington Capitals – Ovechkin is riding a five-game point streak and he has scored in four of his last five games. During his five-game point streak, Ovi has racked up an impressive six goals, nine points and 29 shots on goal. The “Great Eight” has been the hottest player on the planet for many weeks now and I doubt Buffalo can slow him down tonight. The Buffalo Sabres have been the league’s worst defensive team all season long. They currently sit dead last in shots against per game (35.4), 2nd last in goals against per game (3.32) and they have the NHL’s worst penalty kill. The bottom line is Ovechkin is at home and facing the Buffalo Sabres. If there is ever going to be a “must play”, this is it.

Phil Kessel, Toronto Maple Leafs – Despite a terrible second half, Kessel remains an elite sniper and the biggest offensive threat for the Toronto Maple Leafs. Kessel scored the Leafs lone goal against the Canucks on Saturday night and he is still firing plenty of shots on goal with 74 in his last 22 games. The Oilers have been a complete disaster in their own end all year long, allowing the most goals per game (3.36) in hockey this season. Edmonton has now lost seven straight hockey games and have allowed 32 goals against in the process. This is a great spot for Kessel to produce and he still has huge upside.

Jordan Eberle, Edmonton Oilers – Eberle has points in four straight games, including three multi-point performances. The Oilers’ struggles have not affected Eberle’s offensive game as he has now generated 23 points in his last 22 games. The Maple Leafs have been a very poor defensive team throughout the 2014-15 season and they have been a terrible road team (8-23-5). The Leafs are ranked 29th in shots against per game (33.1) and 25th in goals against per game (3.13) this season. Toronto has now lost five of their past six games and they have given up 27 goals along the way. Eberle could very well roll out another multi-point effort and he is likely to be under-owned in all game formats.

Other Wingers To Target (Cash Games) – Max Pacioretty, Tyler Toffoli, Marian Gaborik

Other Wingers To Target (Tournaments) – Troy Brouwer, Brendan Gallagher, James van Riemsdyk, Marcus Johansson

DEFENSE

Drew Doughty, Los Angeles Kings – The Kings’ best overall player will be able to focus more on offense than his defense tonight for a change, with the pathetic Arizona Coyotes in town. The Coyotes have now lost 14 of their last 15 games and they have not had much success on the road this season (11-20-3). On the flip side, the Los Angeles Kings are one of the league’s best teams on home ice and I expect Doughty and the Kings’ powerplay to come up big against the Coyotes’ 26th-ranked penalty kill. Doughty has multi-point upside in this plus matchup tonight.

John Carlson, Washington Capitals – The Buffalo Sabres were last in Washington to face the Capitals back on Saturday March 7th and they were beaten 6-1 and outshot 45-17. A similar result can be expected tonight at the Verizon Center. Buffalo has lost six games in a row and have allowed 23 goals against in the process. The Sabres remain the NHL’s worst road team, with a 7-24-3 record away from the First Niagara Center. With the Sabres’ awful penalty kill (ranked 30th) facing off against the Capitals second-ranked powerplay, I expect at least two or three Washington goals with the man advantage tonight. Like Drew Doughty, I expect Carlson to do most of his damage on the powerplay tonight.

Other Defensemen To Target (Cash Games) – Jake Muzzin, Mike Green

Other Defensemen To Target (Tournaments) – P.K. Subban, Justin Schultz, Morgan Rielly

Good Luck Grinders!
Pepsi7

About the Author

  • Chris Lowery (pepsi7)

  • Chris Lowery aka Pepsi7 has a long of history of proven success in fantasy sports getting his start in season long leagues where he won many high stakes expert leagues across baseball, football, and hockey. He made the jump to DFS in 2012 and dominated MLB in 2013 in a huge way by winning the FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Championship for a six-figure payday. The RotoGrinders Director of NHL content, Pepsi7 can frequently be found on RotoGrinders GrindersLive shows, videos, and written articles providing expert insight for hockey and baseball.

Comments

  • jpm2275

    Any chance Holtby sits tonight on a back-to-back? Thanks for all of your great write-ups.

  • SoupBlast

    I REALLY want to roster Ovechkin (as I did last night), but damn, that price tag. Would you recommend exposure in the form of Backstrom or someone else? Or with so few games tonight is the chance of getting burned if he goes off too high?

  • pepsi7

    • 2013 FanDuel WFBC Champion

    • x3

      2012 FanDuel WFBC Finalist

    jpm2275 – I can see Holtby sitting out tonight. I am fine with Grubauer and his discounted price.

    SoupBlast – I have used this strategy many times and have been successful, but fading him tonight VS Buffalo on short slate could be the reason you lose. I think I have to have him tonight. Start with Ovi and fine value elsewhere, even if that means passing on Backstrom. Perhaps use Johansson instead and head over to LA to continue the lineup build.

  • dude_abides7

    @SoupBlast said...

    I REALLY want to roster Ovechkin (as I did last night), but damn, that price tag. Would you recommend exposure in the form of Backstrom or someone else? Or with so few games tonight is the chance of getting burned if he goes off too high?

    I’m not surprised by the “sticker shock” many have with Ovi’s price. With Fanduel’s restructured salaries most players are now more expensive. Ovi’s increased price is relative to the increase in other players’ prices. Toews from low $7K, to now mid to high $8K. Scott Hartnell is mid-$7k+ for crying out loud! The days are over when we could roster Markov and Anders Lee every night at crazy value and pay up for the big boys with ease…..and still start Carey Price. Ah…the good ole days!

    As Pepsi said, it is really hard to fade Ovi, especially in cash where the risk/reward assessment is diminished by the fact that most people will have him. I can see fading him in GPP where your money multiplier justifies the risk. But in cash, where your bet only doubles (sans the rake) it doesn’t benefit to get cute when 80% or more DFS’ers will roster him. The small slate makes it hard to make up chalk points.

    You could take Backstrom/Marcus Johansson for Ovi exposure, but my monkey math says $11.3K for two player slots is less preferred than $10.3K for the guy you want in the first place.

    I typically avoid 4 game slates in cash, but the matchups today are pretty sweet so I may dip my beak in a few 50/50’s.

  • stephen9678

    If I am not mistaken Ovi has owned the Sabers in his career. While I agree that he is pretty much a must pay in cash games I worry if he will meet his value based on salary. Sure he could go off and probably will but keep in mind that the Caps played a hard, defensive, physical game last night. They were amped up and ready for the Bruins off a terrible five game home stand. As a Caps fan I have seen them play down to their competition many times in the past and come out flat in games like this, and that worries me a little. I think this is a different team under Trotz and Ovi seems to finally understand his role on this team and the locker room is much different now with Orpik, Glencross, Brouwer, being seasoned veterans who know what it takes to win when it “matters”. I can the Caps getting out to a lead tonight and then possibly resting the top line since they fought hard last night and probably tired. There will be value you can play tonight on that second line and also take look at Mike Green as a mid-level defenseman. He had 7 shots last night and his playing up more in the offensive zone since the acquisition of Gleason. Hope all my caps info helps out and as a fan I hope to Ovi go off tonight, but I will have exposure to that second and maybe Chimera on that third line as he has been skating well lately.

  • stephen9678

    One more thing….if Holtby sits I have no issues starting Gruebruer. He has been good in the Ahl and has seen some time on the big squad. He is being groomed to be Holtby’s backup and possible replacement down the road from what I have read.

  • Chilluminate

    Hey guys, just wondering what the strategy is for the “league” play on fanduel compared to GPP and 50/50. I have one team in two different 100 team leagues. I’m treating my lineups just as I would a 50/50, trying to limit risk while adding a piece or two like a David Booth that may not not have a ton of exposure. OVI did not score last night so I like him to rebound tonight against an inferior team. My two cents on the OVI talk.

  • leafs93

    your kessel write up doesnt tell the entire story if you have a heatmap of shots from the past 22 games its safe to say the red area would be all to the outside, not a prime area to score from esp. when you have duds like bozak and lupul passing you the puck. Leafs have got to the point of not trying and if your roster guys more likely to go negative on the PP than score goals i dont think your going to win much money. Simple as this anyone with secure money over the next few years on the leafs should probably remain a dfs fade imo.

  • illuminatedk

    re: this entire thread.

    Tom Wilson.

  • stephen9678

    Why Wilson? He skated on top line last night to give some grit and too take pressure off Ovi as far as hits and the physicality of the Boston Def.

  • mhombresports

    Guess I’ll have to actually research other Goalies since The Hamburglar is off tonight.

  • natroslezka

    Bogosian out I think so none of him working on opposing RW

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