NHL DFS Slate Summary: Tuesday January 24th
Welcome to the RotoGrinders NHL DFS Slate Summary. In this article, we’ll concentrate on the key elements of DFS success while delivering analysis on the upcoming slate of NHL slate of games for DraftKings and FanDuel. We’ll discuss today’s NHL DFS player projections, player correlations and NHL stacking, injuries to monitor, NHL starting lineups, differentiation tactics using NHL projected ownership, and recommendations on ways to create lineup diversity if entering multiple lineups using LineupHQ.
Today’s Games
Slate Overview
The grind of a long NHL season is in full effect both for the real teams and us NHL players. Soon, NFL will be no longer and even more attention will be paid to hockey and basketball. Tonight, we have a typical Tuesday night slate with 11 games. The Bruins stand out in a major way with their -400 number against the woeful Canadiens. After that, there’s only one favorite better than a -200, and it belongs to a team we almost never see as such a large favorite (Vancouver). I think the ANA-ARI game will be the “sneaky” late-night hammer that actually isn’t that sneaky, but there is plenty of merit to it given both teams’ defensive woes.
Top Skaters
Nathan MacKinnon
I think it’s a two-horse race at the top tonight between David Patrnak and Nathan MacKinnon. I don’t feel strongly, but ultimately give the nod to MacKinnon. He doesn’t have a goal in his last three games, despite a ridiculous 20 SOG during that span. I view that as a positive rather than a negative because the goals will come soon. Still, he has 12 points in his last 6 games despite being held scoreless in his last outing. He’ll be facing off against one of the all-time greats in Ovechkin, so motivation might be a tad higher than your average Tuesday night.
Jordan Kyrou
I’ll admit, Jordan Kyrou has been one of the most frequent answers to the question “Who will be the biggest bust relative to salary?” in the Expert Survey. He always seems overpriced, yet he continues to deliver. No one is going to want to play someone like Kyrou who is priced up with other studs, which should lead to low ownership. The Sabres will be on the second of a back-to-back and Kyrou should be able to use his speed to take advantage of tired legs.
Other Options: David Pastrnak, Nikita Kucherov, Elias Pettersson, Timo Meier, Jake Guentzel
Top Values
Nick Schmaltz
I can probably count the number of times the Coyotes have been favored on one hand, but tonight is one of those rare occasions. Nick Schmaltz has had a solid season (23 points in 31 games), especially considering how lousy his team is. The standout statistic is how much better he’s been at home, which is where he’ll be this evening. In 14 home games, he’s averaging over a point per game (15 points in 14 games). On the road, he’s averaging less than 0.5 points per game (8 points in 17 games). Those are enough for me to prioritize Schmaltz tonight, even if it does come with some ownership.
Other Options: Lucas Raymond, Ivan Barbashev, Andrew Copp, Devon Toews
Top Goalie Projections
Tristan Jarry
Look, I could have taken the easy way out and gone with Linus Ullmark or whoever is going to start for the Bruins. After all, he hasn’t let me down all year. Instead, I’ll play to the GPP-crowd with a slightly riskier option in Tristan Jarry. Jarry has been excellent lately, allowing just three total goals in his last two starts while stopping 70 shots. The upside is tremendous going against the team tied for the league-lead in shots on goal per game. He’s not a lock to get the win, but the -155 number indicates there’s a solid chance he gets there.
Other Options: Bruins starter, Alexandar Georgiev, Juuse Saros (GPPs)
Top Stack Projections
| Team | Proj | Own% | DKPt/$ | FDPt$ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOSPP1 | 14.03 | 10.02% | 2.04 | 2.13 |
| VANPP1 | 12.93 | 10.36% | 2.18 | 2.10 |
| NJPP1 | 12.37 | 4.98% | 1.98 | 1.94 |
| BUF1 | 12.31 | 1.83% | 1.60 | 1.64 |
| PIT1 | 13.68 | 9.63% | 2.21 | 2.32 |
| PITPP1 | 12.62 | 7.20% | 2.04 | 2.11 |
| COL1 | 13.31 | 8.37% | 1.95 | 1.98 |
| COLPP1 | 13.92 | 8.90% | 1.39 | 2.04 |
| TB1 | 13.13 | 4.90% | 1.88 | 1.92 |
| TBPP1 | 13.49 | 6.10% | 1.96 | 2.02 |
Projected Ownership is posted after morning skate daily.
Top Stacks
Note: I incorrectly said that Colorado 1 correlates perfectly, when actually Evan Rodrigues is no longer on the number one power play. Still, they (along with Boston) are the top lines for tonight in my opinion.
Colorado 1/PP1
Understandably, BOS PP1 projects as the highest scoring stack of the night. I have zero issues with this, however, I don’t love that they don’t correlate perfectly at even-strength. The Avalanche don’t have that problem with Lehkonen, MacKinnon, and Rodrigues all correlating. MacKinnon is the obvious priority and the other two can be played as needed. If you’re wanting to get a little different, stacking MacKinnon with Rantanen is an expensive (but potentially lucrative) option and both are threats to have 2+ points on the power play. Devon Toews will continue to see massive minutes, including time on the power play, and is very affordable at just $4800.
Other Options: BOS1/PP1, VAN1/PP1, STL1/PP1 (GPPs), DET1/PP1, ARI1/PP1 (Value),
Image Credit: Imagn
Welcome to the RotoGrinders NHL DFS Slate Summary. In this article, we’ll concentrate on the key elements of DFS success while delivering analysis on the upcoming slate of NHL slate of games for DraftKings and FanDuel. We’ll discuss today’s NHL player projections, player correlations and NHL stacking, injuries to monitor, NHL starting lineup news and notes, differentiation tactics using NHL projected ownership, and recommendations on ways to create lineup diversity if entering multiple lineups using LineupHQ.
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