NHL DFS Slate Summary: Wednesday December 7th

Welcome to the RotoGrinders NHL DFS Slate Summary. In this article, we’ll concentrate on the key elements of DFS success while delivering analysis on the upcoming slate of NHL slate of games for DraftKings and FanDuel. We’ll discuss today’s NHL DFS player projections, player correlations and NHL stacking, injuries to monitor, NHL starting lineups, differentiation tactics using NHL projected ownership, and recommendations on ways to create lineup diversity if entering multiple lineups using LineupHQ.

Today’s Games

Slate Overview

Let’s call it like it is. Yesterday’s Slate Summary was terrible, arguably the worst of the year. Whiffed on several picks (including goalie), and only the Top Stack of PIT1 and Jared McCann could save it from disaster. I managed to scrape by with a near min-cash with my single bullet $444, but it could have and should have been worse. The good news? Unlike most Wednesdays where there are only a few games, this week appears to have flipped Wednesday and Thursday so we have a 7 gamer. The Oilers will be the overwhelming chalk and it’s tough to disagree with it. Still, it’s hockey and occasionally the chalk does bust. It all depends on your objectives and levels of risk tolerance. Anyways, let’s get into it.

Top Skaters

Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl
Sometimes it doesn’t have to be complicated in DFS. Arguably the best offensive duo in the league is facing one of the worst teams and are doing so at home. It’s that simple. These two players should be a staple in your cash game lineups and involved heavily in your GPP lineups too. They both have goal scoring props well below -135, a total rarely seen in hockey. I won’t go into the ridiculous numbers both of them have put up this season because it would be wasted breath. They are smash plays.

Tage Thompson
If you’re bored at work today, do yourself a favor and Google some of Thompson’s highlight real goals. I knew he was a good player coming into the season, but had no clue he would take this sort of jump so quickly. Through 25 games, he has 16 goals and 18 assists. He’ll face a Columbus team on the second of a back-to-back after getting handled easily by the Penguins last night. He makes for a contrarian pivot off of McDavid and Draisaitl and possesses almost as much upside.

Best of the Rest
Since McDavid and Draisaitl were so obvious, I’ll mix it up and do some quick hitters for other options rather than just listing their names. Mikko Rantanen has a tough matchup against Boston, but all of the offensive burden falls on him with so many weapons missing for Colorado. He could see 25 minutes and is a nice contrarian option. Similar thoughts for the top Boston forwards like David Pastrnak. Tough matchup, but crazy low ownership for such an elite player. Timo Meier is ice cold lately, but the last time this happened, he went on a goal-scoring streak. It could start tonight against a defensively inept Canucks team. Last, Alex Ovechkin will be overlooked (again), but does have GPP-winning upside if you’re feeling crazy.

Top Skater Values (Pts/$)

Alex Newhook
Alex Newhook was the chalk of all chalk the other night at minimum price and of course he delivered with a pair of goals (on his only two shots). He’ll continue to feature in a lead role as the number one center at even-strength and the power play. As I mentioned for Rantanen above, the matchup is the primary concern, but at $3400, this is slightly less worrisome than if you’re investing a heavy amount of salary for him. It’s rare to get a forward with this much opportunity at sub-$3500.

Other Options: Dylan Strome, Kevin Labanc, Jonathan Huberdeau, Ilya Mikheyev, Charles Hudon, T.J. Oshie, J.T. Compher

Top Goalie Projections

Stuart Skinner
Goalie was a disaster last night as the decision to feature Talbot over the runner-up in consideration (Hellebuyck) was a costly one and I apologize. Unfortunately I don’t love goalie much more tonight than last night, but I’m going to chicken out and play it safe with Stuart Skinner. They are the biggest favorites on the slate by a wide margin and Stuart hasn’t been THAT bad lately. Yes, he’s going to allow some goals (even to a bad Arizona team), but the win is all but guaranteed and the team has been allowing plenty of volume on net.

Other Options: Logan Thompson, Linus Ullmark, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (what a name! GPPs only), Igor Shesterkin (value – I never thought we’d see him this cheap all season)

Top Stack Projections

Team Proj Own% DKPt/$ FDPt$
SJ1 12.76 11.10% 2.24 2.32
SJPP1 12.49 10.96% 2.07 2.12
BOS1 12.42 7.30% 1.87 1.81
BOSPP1 13.29 7.88% 1.91 1.83
CLS1 13.38 9.17% 1.86 #N/A #N/A
BUF1 14.07 16.43% 2.14 2.02
BUFPP1 13.02 13.74% 2.03 1.95
COLPP1 11.93 7.84% 1.19 2.21
EDM1 19.03 11.93% 2.27 2.33
EDMPP1 15.43 9.50% 2.17 2.18

Projected Ownership is posted after morning skate daily.

Top Stacks

Edmonton 1/PP1
We’ll keep it short and sweet. Play McDavid and Draisaitl as mentioned above. Then throw in Hyman for the ES and PP stack. From there, you can go with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins if you’re wanting to go full power play stack. As I’ve mentioned before, pick one of Bouchard or Barrie. Whoever I end up will be the wrong choice, so just take the other one.

Buffalo 1/PP1
As I mentioned in my Expert Survey, my hot take was that this line would match the raw production of the line above, but at a much better point per dollar ratio. Tage Thompson is the number one priority, but Skinner and Tuch should all come in a trio if possible. Paying up for Rasmus Dahlin is a tough ask when there are the high-priced forwards available, but it’s not unheard of that he could post a multiple-bonus type performance on DK and match the production of some of the forwards.

Other Options: WSH1/PP1, SJ1/PP1 (GPPs), BOS1/PP1 (GPPs), CGY1/2/PP1

Image Credit: Imagn

Welcome to the RotoGrinders NHL DFS Slate Summary. In this article, we’ll concentrate on the key elements of DFS success while delivering analysis on the upcoming slate of NHL slate of games for DraftKings and FanDuel. We’ll discuss today’s NHL player projections, player correlations and NHL stacking, injuries to monitor, NHL starting lineup news and notes, differentiation tactics using NHL projected ownership, and recommendations on ways to create lineup diversity if entering multiple lineups using LineupHQ.

Today’s Games

Slate Overview

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About the Author

  • Taylor Ezell (ezellmt)

  • Taylor Ezell (fantasy alias ezellmt) has been playing fantasy sports for over a decade and made the transition to daily fantasy near the end of 2013. Once an editor on RotoGrinders, Ezell has transitioned into a top DFS Grinder in the industry. His biggest accomplishment is winning the 2018 DraftKings Fantasy Hockey World Championship for $100k. He was a 2015 DraftKings World Baseball Championship Finalist and the former runner-up at the DraftKings $1M College Football Championship. Outside of fantasy sports, Taylor is an accountant (IT Auditor) living in Nashville. You can follow Taylor on Twitter @taylorezell.

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