Noto/STL's Monkey Knife Fight Open Championship Strategy

Hey, Grinders! Welcome to our latest PGA strategy discussion for Monkey Knife Fight. This week we’ve got the last major of the season, the Open Championship, and we’re here to break down the top props.

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STLCardinals84’s Strategy

This article will give you golfers that we are high on in our props, and a few to shy away from. The key is finding value in the props — you are not forced to place money down on something you aren’t comfortable with, putting the user in control. Never forget that!

Golfer #1 To Target in Props – Rory McIlroy – While there will be some pressure on Rory playing close to home, everything is lining up well for him. His statistical profile remains outstanding, with elite ranks in ball striking (13th), par four scoring (3rd), strokes gained around the green (21st), and total driving (19th). He has ten top ten finishes over his last 13 worldwide starts. The overall ability is right there as perhaps the best golfer on Tour right now, but he hasn’t turned that ability into major wins lately. It’s coming. I’ll take him head-to-head against any other golfer in the field, and I think he gets off to a great start.

Golfer #2 To Target in Props – Matt Kuchar – As of the time I am writing this, he isn’t listed in any individual matchups, but MKF constantly changes those throughout the week. Either way, you could still target Kuchar in the “Par Patrol” or “Bunch of Birdies” formats. Kuchar is having a career year at age 41, and he has a better history on links layouts than most people think. While his personality has come into question this year, the golf game is as good as it has ever been. Don’t shy away from Kuchar in any props.

Golfer To Fade in Props – Dustin Johnson – I don’t mind taking a shot on DJ in GPP formats on the salary cap sites, but I’ll be fading him almost entirely on MKF. His links track record is nothing to write home about, with just one top ten over his last six Open appearances. The recent form has also lagged a bit, as he has gone 20-35-MC over his last three starts. I prefer the other high-end players in the prop market, especially for the opening round.

Notorious’ Strategy

Golfer #1 To Target in Props – Brooks Koepka – Matchups on MKF are always changing, but I’m currently seeing Brooks getting a half stroke against Dustin Johnson for Round 1. Even if that changes to Rory McIlroy, I will take my chances with the big game hunter. If he can finish first or second this week, he’ll be the first golfer in history to finish in the top two in all four majors in the same season. He’s been a fast starter in these majors recently and while he likely didn’t need any more help, his caddie grew up playing Royal Portrush and is something of a local legend. I will be targeting Koepka in any matchups for Round 1 and I don’t mind taking the under on 68.5 total strokes.

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Golfer #2 To Target in Props – Jon Rahm – We typically know what to expect from Rahm after his first round of a tournament. He’s not a golfer that is going to grind out a lot of T50 finishes. He seems to miss the cut or contend and he has very few finishes in-between. His last three finishes worldwide are first, second, and third. He has won two tournaments in Ireland in the last two years and should feel comfortable at Royal Portrush. My plan is pretty simple, I will target Rahm heavily in the opening round and depending on how he plays, I’ll double down in Round 2. He tends to implode when things don’t go his way, so don’t be afraid to bet against him on Friday if he gets off to a bad start on Thursday.

Golfer To Fade in Props – Tiger Woods – I might be the biggest Tiger fan in the DFS industry. I’ve watched nearly every shot of his since he started his comeback at the Hero World Challenge two years ago, I constantly follow Tiger Tracker on Twitter, and I’ve rostered him more than anyone when it comes to DFS. However, I don’t love what I’m hearing from him in interviews. He says his game isn’t quite where he wants it to be and he hasn’t teed it up in nearly a month. Counting the Open Championship, four of his last five events have been majors. It’s tough to get any sort of momentum when you are constantly putting the pressure of a major on your game. I might hop on Tiger in showdown and weekend contests on DraftKings, but will be targeting matchups against him on MKF in Round 1.

Image Credit: USA Today Sports Images

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