PGA DFS Core Plays - DraftKings & FanDuel: Presidents Cup

Top-ranked DFS player, Notorious, breaks down his favorite PGA DFS plays at various salary ranges for the coming week’s golf tournament. Who should you be building around? Find out below.

2022 Presidents Cup

This week is different than every other on the PGA Tour schedule, so this article will focus less on course fit and projections and more on strategy and how you should be thinking about constructing your lineups. Given the fact that every golfer will play anywhere between two and five matches this week, trying to come up with projections seems a little pointless. It’s more about predicting who will play the most matches, not who sets up best for the course. For that reason, there won’t be a model video breakdown this week. However, I did run the model based on all of the usual metrics. The Noto Ratings are all included in the team breakdowns below.

The host course will be Quail Hollow, which is a course that we are very familiar with. It is located in North Carolina and is a Par 71 that measures 7,521 yards. It features three par fives and has been very kind to the longer hitters over the years. This certainly plays into the strength of the American team, as it is loaded with bombers. Again, focusing on course fit only does so much for an event like this, but long and straight off the tee plays well at this course and plays well in any match play event. Additionally, it’s not the worst idea to look at course history as a tiebreaker.

Event Format:

  • First team to reach 15.5 points wins the cup
  • 30 matches total over four days (18 team matches, 12 singles matches)
  • All matches are worth one point, ties end up in a half point for each team
  • Each golfer is required to play one team match and singles, but can play all five
  • Predicting who will play the most matches is half the battle for DFS

Schedule:

  • Thursday: 5 four-ball matches
  • Friday: 5 foursome matches
  • Saturday: 4 four-ball matches (morning) & 4 foursome matches (afternoon)
  • Sunday: 12 singles matches

USA Team (w/ Noto Ratings):

  • Scottie Scheffler 86.7
  • Patrick Cantlay 92.9
  • Xander Schauffele 89.4
  • Justin Thomas 84.1
  • Max Homa 75.1
  • Sam Burns 67.2
  • Tony Finau 81.3
  • Collin Morikawa 76.1
  • Jordan Spieth 79.8
  • Cameron Young 57.1
  • Billy Horschel 59.9
  • Kevin Kisner 50.5

International Team (w/ Noto Ratings):

  • Hideki Matsuyama 68.7
  • Sungjae Im 70.8
  • Corey Conners 64.3
  • Adam Scott 65.0
  • Tom Kim 58.9
  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout 48.4
  • Si Woo Kim 44.6
  • Cameron Davis 51.7
  • Mito Pereira 45.9
  • Taylor Pendrith 45.6
  • Kyoung-Hoon Lee 43.7
  • Sebastian Munoz 46.0

Before we get into the specifics, let’s talk about some strategy. For starters, maximizing holes should be the goal this week. As you can see from the schedule above, two golfers from each team will sit on day one, two golfers from each team will sit on day two, and then four golfers from each team will sit in the morning on day three and then four more will sit in the afternoon. The fact that golfers are not guaranteed to play the same amount of holes really brings a different element into trying to pick a team for DFS.

Right off the bat, I will be avoiding the four golfers that are going to sit on day one. It’s likely that they are the lowest on their team’s totem pole and it would take something crazy to happen for them to play four of the five matches. I will also note that the only matchups that we will know before lock are the day one matchups. After lock, it’s all about who plays well and who the captains want to roll out for the next two days. More often than not, captains will stick with teams that show chemistry and that get off to good starts.

If you are looking to maximize points, it makes sense to target both of the golfers in the pairing that you like on day one. For instance, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas often play together in these team events. If they are paired together, playing both in the same lineup will help capitalize on the success of the pairing. If they go out and win their match on day one, they will likely go out again on day two. And if a team starts 2-0, the chances of them going out again together on day three are very good. This doesn’t mean all six of your golfers have to be paired together on day one, but I certainly don’t mind that strategy.

Given the fact that the American team is a lot deeper than the International team, we could see more concentrated pairings from the latter. It wouldn’t be surprising in the slightest to see Sungjae Im or Corey Conners play all five matches. Even if they aren’t dominant on a point scoring basis in terms of the Ryder Cup, playing in a lot of matches will lead to a lot of fantasy production. I’m sure I’ll think of more throughout the course of the week, but my final note is that I will be avoiding golfers that are facing each other on day one. It hurts your upside (maximizing wins) and a loss for one side could lead to that golfer not going out again the next match.

I’m sure I’ll think of more throughout the week, so I’ll try to post my strategy updates in the comments section below.

Core Plays

These are plays that I feel confident using in both cash games and tournaments.

Justin Thomas

DK: $9,600

JT and Spieth have been great friends since they were kids (any golf broadcast will make sure to tell you this) and tend to get paired together in these team events. Assuming they are paired together on day one, I will be locking both into my main lineup. Chemistry is a real thing in these matches and these two have plenty of it. JT didn’t end the season on the strongest note, but he’s one of the best in the world when it comes to tee to green play. Additionally, he has the best track record at Quail Hollow of anyone in the field. He won the PGA Championship here and is first in strokes gained per round at this venue.

Jordan Spieth

DK: $7,000

Spieth hasn’t been in the best of form over the last few months, but he is far too cheap on DraftKings. There are two players on the International team that are more expensive and there are eight players on the American team that are more expensive. Even if he doesn’t bring his best, he’s going to be heavily favored in his matches. There’s a good chance he’s paired with Justin Thomas and there’s a good chance he’ll play on each of the first two days. As long as he wins or picks up ties, I would assume he’ll be out there for at least one of the matches on day two. The combination of price and expected matches is too good to pass up.

Taylor Pendrith

DK: $4,400

Pendrith was one of the many that got into the Presidents Cup thanks to many going to play on the LIV Tour. They aren’t eligible to compete in this event, which opened up a number of spots on both teams. Now, there’s no guarantee that he’s going to play a ton of matches, but I certainly like his chances. For starters, he’s best friends with Corey Conners. Chemistry is important in these team events and it would make sense for Trevor Immelman to pair them together. On top of that, he’s been in great form (T13 or better in four of his last six starts) and his game should really fit Quail Hollow. As long as he plays on day one, I’ll lock him into my main lineup.

Conviction Plays

These are lower-owned plays that are best suited for tournaments.

Tony Finau

DK: $8,200

Given the strange nature of the event, predicting ownership is going to be a difficult task. However, with so many looking to lock in a high number of matches with the expensive golfers from the American side, I have to think the mid-range options get overlooked. Finau has played in three Presidents and Ryder Cups, so he has plenty of experience in the team events. In those outings, he has posted a record of 3-3-2. He ended the season in great form (back-to-back wins at the 3M and Rocket Mortgage) and is one of those players that should mesh well with anyone that Davis Love III wants to pair him with.

Sungjae Im

DK: $7,400

Sungjae was one of the stars on the International team in Royal Melbourne. He went 3-1 and gave his team a good chance to win on Sunday. Ultimately, the American team made a furious comeback in the singles matches and won the last Presidents Cup. Given the fact that he’s in great form and that he should have plenty of confidence in his second Presidents Cup, he stands out as one of the top mid-range targets. In fact, he’s the odds-on favorite to be the top points scorer for the International team. He’s solid all-around, so his game translates well to most courses.

PGA Betting Card

To compare odds across all of the major sportsbooks, check out the Scores and Odds golf page.

Season total: -10 units

This week: 6 units in play

Presidents Cup

  • Jordan Spieth top points scorer +1400 (DraftKings)
  • Taylor Pendrith top International debutant +650 (DraftKings)

Cazoo Open de France

  • Thomas Pieters +1600 (DraftKings)
  • Victor Perez +2000 (DraftKings)
  • Adrian Otaegui +3500 (DraftKings)
  • Antoine Rozner +3000 (DraftKings)

These odds were found at Scores and Odds and were available as of Tuesday afternoon.

Image Credit: Imagn

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

Top-ranked DFS player, Notorious, breaks down his favorite PGA DFS plays at various salary ranges for the coming week’s golf tournament. Who should you be building around? Find out below.

2022 Presidents Cup

This week is different than every other on the PGA Tour schedule, so this article will focus less on course fit and projections and more on strategy and how you should be thinking about constructing your lineups. Given the fact that every golfer will play anywhere between two and five matches this week, trying to come up with projections seems a little pointless. It’s more about predicting who will play the most matches, not who sets up best for the course. For that reason, there won’t be a model video breakdown this week. However, I did run the model based on all of the usual metrics. The Noto Ratings are all included in the team breakdowns below.

Event Format:

  • First team to reach 15.5 points wins the cup
  • 30 matches total over four days (18 team matches, 12 singles matches)
  • All matches are worth one point, ties end up in a half point for each team
  • Each golfer is required to play one team match and singles, but can play all five
  • Predicting who will play the most matches is half the battle for DFS

Schedule:

  • Thursday: 5 four-ball matches
  • Friday: 5 foursome matches
  • Saturday: 4 four-ball matches (morning) & 4 foursome matches (afternoon)
  • Sunday: 12 singles matches

USA Team (w/ Noto Ratings):

  • Scottie Scheffler 86.7
  • Patrick Cantlay 92.9
  • Xander Schauffele 89.4
  • Justin Thomas 84.1
  • Max Homa 75.1
  • Sam Burns 67.2
  • Tony Finau 81.3
  • Collin Morikawa 76.1
  • Jordan Spieth 79.8
  • Cameron Young 57.1
  • Billy Horschel 59.9
  • Kevin Kisner 50.5

International Team (w/ Noto Ratings):

  • Hideki Matsuyama 68.7
  • Sungjae Im 70.8
  • Corey Conners 64.3
  • Adam Scott 65.0
  • Tom Kim 58.9
  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout 48.4
  • Si Woo Kim 44.6
  • Cameron Davis 51.7
  • Mito Pereira 45.9
  • Taylor Pendrith 45.6
  • Kyoung-Hoon Lee 43.7
  • Sebastian Munoz 46.0
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About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

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