PGA DFS Core Plays - DraftKings & FanDuel: Wyndham Championship

Top-ranked DFS player, Notorious, breaks down his favorite PGA DFS plays at various salary ranges for the coming week’s golf tournament. Who should you be building around? Find out below.

Wyndham Championship

Hello everyone and welcome to the final event before the FedExCup Playoffs. I learned a lot last weekend. For starters, we should put to bed the narrative that we should avoid golfers coming off of wins (at least for the elite golfers). We’ve seen Tony Finau, Xander Schauffele, and Scottie Scheffler all win in back-to-back events this season. I learned that no matter what I do with Kevin Kisner on his favorite courses, it seems to be the wrong decision. Unfortunately, I find myself in the same conundrum this week. I learned that Detroit Golf Club is a bomber’s paradise. We expected this heading into the week, but the leaderboard certainly confirmed our suspicions. And finally, I learned to be more careful closing my car door. My thumb got stuck in between the door and I couldn’t get it out until I opened it with the other hand. It ended up being a painful weekend all around (actual pain, DFS, and betting), but hey, at least I learned a lot.

We now turn our attention to the Wyndham Championship in North Carolina. Sedgefield Country Club is a Par 70 that measures 7,131 yards. While this is a Donald Ross design like Detroit Golf Club, the two courses could play any different in terms of the skillset needed to contend. Sedgefield is much tighter off the tee (fairways are 29 yards wide on average) and there’s a much steeper penalty for missing them. In fact, there’s nearly a 30% difference in greens in regulation when playing from the rough and the fairway. Golfers will need to hit very few drivers this week and while accuracy is certainly more important than distance, the longer hitters are going to have shorter clubs in their hands. Kevin Kisner said he loves this course because it forces everyone to play from the same spots. He likes his chances against the field from 175 yards and in. The best way to put it is that the driver won’t be much of a weapon for the longer hitters in the field this week.

Even though this isn’t a bomber’s course and even though there are only two par fives on the scorecard, this is still one of the easiest courses on the PGA Tour. Five of the last six winners here have finished with a score of at least 21-under par. The greens in regulation rate here over the last few years is close to 77%, which is the second highest of the 42 courses I have in my database. When greens are easy to hit for everyone, the event generally turns into a putting contest. This aligns with previous winners, as Kisner, Brandt Snedeker, and JT Poston have all won here in the last four years and are all elite bermuda putters. This event has also been a personal ATM for Webb Simpson and he’s been one of the best putters on tour over the last few years. In terms of on and around the greens, scrambling hasn’t been particularly difficult here over the years and honestly there aren’t a lot of scrambling opportunities compared to other events. I will note that the undulating greens do cause a fair amount of three-putts.

With very little wind in the forecast (at least early in the week), we can expect another week of low scoring. I’m placing a very small weight on off the tee metrics this week. I’m focusing mostly on iron play and putting. Despite having very few scrambling opportunities, good scramblers have played well here in the past so I will give a small weight to strokes gained around the green. Making birdies is imperative and a large portion of approach shots will be hit from 125-175 yards. In terms of comps, I am looking at strokes gained on short Par 70 courses, strokes gained on the specific courses I picked out for comps, and strokes gained on bermuda courses in general. All of these can be found in this week’s model if you want to see who rates out the best in each category.

Downloadable and Customizable Model for the Wyndham Championship

Tournament Info

Field Size:

  • 156 golfers

Cut Rule:

  • Top 65 and ties

Weather Forecasts

Key Statistics

  • Strokes Gained Approach
  • Strokes Gained Putting (Emphasis on Bermuda)
  • Birdie or Better %
  • Driving Accuracy or Good Drive %
  • Proximity from 125-175 Yards

Core Plays

Russell Henley

DK: $9,800 — FD: $10,900 — YH: $39

Accuracy — 20
SG: APP — 2
BOB% — 1
Proximity (125 – 175 Yards) — 5
SG: Putting (Bermuda) — 28
Noto’s Rating — 90.1

I know Webb Simpson has finished T7 or better at this event in each of the last five years and I know he loves the event so much that he named his daughter Wyndham, but I will be fading him in cash games and small-field tournaments this week. I prefer Henley, who has good course history and who has shown signs of life recently. He has always been a golfer that has popped in the stat models because he hits a ton of fairways and is extremely accurate with his irons. After a quiet stretch of golf, he finished T10 in Detroit last week despite losing strokes on the greens. He gained over 11 strokes on the field tee to green. He now returns to an event where he’s finished T7 and T9 the last two years. His putting can be hit or miss, but bermudagrass is clearly his preferred surface.

Brian Harman

DK: $8,300 — FD: $10,200 — YH: $37

Accuracy — 12
SG: APP — 61
BOB% — 82
Proximity (125 – 175 Yards) — 52
SG: Putting (Bermuda) — 7
Noto’s Rating — 86.0

If you’ve been reading my golf content for a while, you probably could have guessed Harman would make the list of core plays for the week. He’s long been one of my favorites, especially on shorter courses where everyone is going to be playing from similar spots in the fairway. He’s not long off the tee, but routinely gains strokes due to his ability to pepper fairways. His irons have come alive over the last couple of months and he’s been one of the best putters on tour for years. He rates out well in all of the comps, he’s in good form, and he has two top 30s here in the last three years.

Conviction Plays

Denny McCarthy

DK: $8,900 — FD: $9,800 — YH: $38

Accuracy — 29
SG: APP — 78
BOB% — 46
Proximity (125 – 175 Yards) — 63
SG: Putting (Bermuda) — 3
Noto’s Rating — 81.4

As noted in my preview, I am looking to load up on good bermuda putters this week. When golfers are routinely hitting 75% of greens, it often turns into a putting contest. It only makes sense to target the best putter on tour in McCarthy. He has never missed a cut at this event and has posted back-to-back top 15 finishes. The best part is that he could fly under the radar after missing the cut at fairly high ownership last week in Detroit. This is a much better course fit, as he typically plays his best on short Par 70s. He’s accurate off the tee and something about this course seems to set up well for his approach game — he has gained 11.4 strokes on approach in four appearances at Sedgefield.

Justin Rose

DK: $8,000 — FD: $9,900 — YH: $38

Accuracy — 71
SG: APP — 51
BOB% — 53
Proximity (125 – 175 Yards) — 1
SG: Putting (Bermuda) — 27
Noto’s Rating — 84.3

When I want Rose to show up in my tournament builds, I generally have to manually bump up his projection in my model. For whatever reason, the model absolutely loves him as a play this week and it looks like his ownership will be in the 10% range. After burning a lot of people with a late withdrawal at the Open Championship, it certainly makes sense that many wouldn’t want to go back to him. He’s first in this field in proximity from 125-175 yards, he’s a good putter on bermuda, and he finished T10 here last year. He has excelled on Par 70s throughout his career and also rates out very well in the comp courses that I am looking at this week.

Brendon Todd

DK: $7,500 — FD: $9,400 — YH: $31

Accuracy — 6
SG: APP — 88
BOB% — 56
Proximity (125 – 175 Yards) — 89
SG: Putting (Bermuda) — 1
Noto’s Rating — 74.2

Todd is essentially the light version of Denny McCarthy. He’s extremely accurate off the tee, he’s one of the best putters on tour, and he tends to play his best on short Par 70 courses. If you like one, you should like the other. Todd hasn’t played great in his last three starts, but finished T13 at the Canadian Open and T3 at the Charles Schwab Challenge, so good form isn’t far removed. He didn’t have the best course history leading up to this event last year, but clearly figured something out. He gained strokes in all four facets and finished in a tie for 10th. At projected low ownership, he’s one of my favorite mid-range options this week.

Alex Smalley

DK: $7,500 — FD: $9,100 — YH: $29

Accuracy — 65
SG: APP — 41
BOB% — 47
Proximity (125 – 175 Yards) — 92
SG: Putting (Bermuda) — 75
Noto’s Rating — 72.3

I was already itching to hop back on Smalley this week after his missed cut last week and then I heard that Sedgefield Country Club was his home course and that he played his college golf at Duke. He’s very familiar with Carolina golf and is obviously very familiar with this course in particular. These home game situations don’t work out as often as expected, but I certainly don’t think it hurts that Smalley knows every inch of the course. He’s been very boom or bust this year, which is actually a positive for tournaments. He has finished T27 or better in each of the last six events where he’s made the cut. He also had some great ball striking numbers at the Scottish and the John Deere Classic.

PGA Betting Card

Much like Cameron Young, we have had far too many second place finishes for a single season. He was the latest bet to finish just shy of the outright win. Unfortunately, we didn’t have much else cooking on Sunday. Chris Kirk didn’t record a single birdie on his final nine and finished shy of the top 10. Brendan Steele struggled down the stretch as well and finished outside of the top 20. The ultimate goal of being profitable for the season is in serious jeopardy, as there are only four events remaining.

Season total: -50.8 units

This week: 15 units in play

To compare odds across all of the major sportsbooks, check out the Scores and Odds golf page.

Winner

  • Russell Henley +2500 (DraftKings)
  • Si Woo Kim +2800 (DraftKings)
  • Denny McCarthy +3300 (BetMGM)
  • Brian Harman +4000 (DraftKings)
  • Justin Rose +5000 (FanDuel)

Top 5 Bets

  • Russell Henley +600 (FanDuel)

Top 10 Bets

  • Si Woo Kim +330 (FanDuel)
  • Brian Harman +360 (FanDuel)
  • Denny McCarthy +360 (FanDuel)
  • Justin Rose +490 (FanDuel)
  • Brendon Todd +800 (DraftKings)

Top 20 Bets

  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout +250 (FanDuel)
  • Alex Smalley +430 (FanDuel)
  • Matthias Schwab +700 (FanDuel)

Made Cut Parlay

  • Harman, Henley, Todd, Rose, McCarthy, Bezuidenhout +703 (FanDuel)

These odds were found at Scores and Odds and were available as of Tuesday afternoon.

Image Credit: Imagn

Meet the Experts Content Posting Times

Top-ranked DFS player, Notorious, breaks down his favorite PGA DFS plays at various salary ranges for the coming week’s golf tournament. Who should you be building around? Find out below.

Wyndham Championship

Hello everyone and welcome to the final event before the FedExCup Playoffs. I learned a lot last weekend. For starters, we should put to bed the narrative that we should avoid golfers coming off of wins (at least for the elite golfers). We’ve seen Tony Finau, Xander Schauffele, and Scottie Scheffler all win in back-to-back events this season. I learned that no matter what I do with Kevin Kisner on his favorite courses, it seems to be the wrong decision. Unfortunately, I find myself in the same conundrum this week. I learned that Detroit Golf Club is a bomber’s paradise. We expected this heading into the week, but the leaderboard certainly confirmed our suspicions. And finally, I learned to be more careful closing my car door. My thumb got stuck in between the door and I couldn’t get it out until I opened it with the other hand. It ended up being a painful weekend all around (actual pain, DFS, and betting), but hey, at least I learned a lot.

We now turn our attention to the Wyndham Championship in North Carolina. Sedgefield Country Club is a Par 70 that measures 7,131 yards. While this is a Donald Ross design like Detroit Golf Club, the two courses could play any different in terms of the skillset needed to contend. Sedgefield is much tighter off the tee (fairways are 29 yards wide on average) and there’s a much steeper penalty for missing them. In fact, there’s nearly a 30% difference in greens in regulation when playing from the rough and the fairway. Golfers will need to hit very few drivers this week and while accuracy is certainly more important than distance, the longer hitters are going to have shorter clubs in their hands. Kevin Kisner said he loves this course because it forces everyone to play from the same spots. He likes his chances against the field from 175 yards and in. The best way to put it is that the driver won’t be much of a weapon for the longer hitters in the field this week.

Even though this isn’t a bomber’s course and even though there are only two par fives on the scorecard, this is still one of the easiest courses on the PGA Tour. Five of the last six winners here have finished with a score of at least 21-under par. The greens in regulation rate here over the last few years is close to 77%, which is the second highest of the 42 courses I have in my database. When greens are easy to hit for everyone, the event generally turns into a putting contest. This aligns with previous winners, as Kisner, Brandt Snedeker, and JT Poston have all won here in the last four years and are all elite bermuda putters. This event has also been a personal ATM for Webb Simpson and he’s been one of the best putters on tour over the last few years. In terms of on and around the greens, scrambling hasn’t been particularly difficult here over the years and honestly there aren’t a lot of scrambling opportunities compared to other events. I will note that the undulating greens do cause a fair amount of three-putts.

With very little wind in the forecast (at least early in the week), we can expect another week of low scoring. I’m placing a very small weight on off the tee metrics this week. I’m focusing mostly on iron play and putting. Despite having very few scrambling opportunities, good scramblers have played well here in the past so I will give a small weight to strokes gained around the green. Making birdies is imperative and a large portion of approach shots will be hit from 125-175 yards. In terms of comps, I am looking at strokes gained on short Par 70 courses, strokes gained on the specific courses I picked out for comps, and strokes gained on bermuda courses in general. All of these can be found in this week’s model if you want to see who rates out the best in each category.

Downloadable and Customizable Model for the Wyndham Championship

Tournament Info

Field Size:

  • 156 golfers

Cut Rule:

  • Top 65 and ties

Weather Forecasts

Key Statistics

  • Strokes Gained Approach
  • Strokes Gained Putting (Emphasis on Bermuda)
  • Birdie or Better %
  • Driving Accuracy or Good Drive %
  • Proximity from 125-175 Yards

Core Plays

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About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

  • FlyingArmBar4u

    Ahhh sorry to hear about your hand noto, I hope you feel better soon . My kitchen window broke ( the top portion literally just fell down ) and a piece of it went about half of an inch into my shin. So I feel your pain ( literally) 😆. Thanks for the picks and I hope you kill it this weekend brother

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