PGA DFS First Look: The Open Championship

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2021-07-14 15:51:42

Cut Rule:

Top 70 and ties (156 golfers in the field — at least 45% will make the cut)

Key Statistics for the Week

Strokes Gained Approach
Strokes Gained Off the Tee
Strokes Gained Around the Green
Bogey Avoidance
Open Championship / Links Experience

Weather Forecasts

Yardage Specialists (based on holes at Royal St. George’s)

Jon Rahm
Corey Conners
Abraham Ancer
Patrick Reed
Emiliano Grillo

Salaries, Odds, Open Championship History, and Last Five Starts

The % +/- columns show the difference in salaries and outright odds for each site.

Golfer	Odds	DK	% +/-	FD	% +/-	YH	% +/-	Cuts	2019	2018	2017	2016	-1W	-2W	-3W	-4W	-5W
Jon Rahm	8	$11,300	0%	$12,300	0%	$46	0%	3/4	11	94	44	59	7	1	WD	8	34
Xander Schauffele	18	$10,000	150%	$11,500	200%	$45	50%	3/3	41	2	20	500	10	7	11	83	14
Brooks Koepka	18	$10,700	50%	$11,800	100%	$41	350%	3/3	4	39	6	500	5	4	88	2	105
Rory McIlroy	19	$10,900	-50%	$12,100	-50%	$40	200%	3/4	73	2	4	5	79	59	7	18	49
Jordan Spieth	19	$9,700	75%	$11,600	25%	$42	100%	4/4	20	9	1	30	19	18	2	30	9
Justin Thomas	21	$9,600	33%	$11,400	17%	$45	-50%	2/4	11	81	89	53	8	19	42	40	83
Dustin Johnson	23	$10,400	-43%	$11,900	-57%	$46	-86%	3/4	51	105	54	9	25	19	10	83	48
Viktor Hovland	25	$9,100	38%	$10,900	38%	$40	50%	0/0	500	500	500	500	1	WD	47	30	3
Louis Oosthuizen	28	$9,300	0%	$11,100	0%	$36	111%	2/4	20	28	137	145	42	2	18	2	8
Patrick Reed	30	$8,800	40%	$10,600	40%	$40	20%	3/4	10	28	99	12	32	25	19	5	79
Paul Casey	30	$8,600	50%	$10,300	60%	$36	90%	3/4	57	51	11	124	36	7	6	4	21
Patrick Cantlay	30	$8,900	30%	$10,700	30%	$43	-40%	2/2	41	12	500	500	13	15	1	23	80
Matt Fitzpatrick	30	$7,900	130%	$9,900	100%			2/4	20	94	44	140	2	55	10	73	23
Tyrrell Hatton	35	$9,000	-14%	$10,800	-14%	$39	7%	3/4	6	51	131	5	18	84	2	38	39
Collin Morikawa	35	$9,200	-29%	$11,000	-29%	$44	-64%	0/0	500	500	500	500	71	4	2	14	8
Bryson DeChambeau	35	$9,900	-57%	$11,300	-43%	$43	-57%	1/3	106	51	148	500	98	19	26	18	38
Scottie Scheffler	45	$8,200	12%	$9,700	41%	$38	6%	0/0	500	500	500	500	12	47	7	3	90
Tony Finau	45	$8,400	0%	$10,200	0%	$41	-47%	4/4	3	9	27	18	127	104	32	20	8
Shane Lowry	46	$7,900	21%	$9,800	16%	$27	158%	1/4	1	94	123	103	23	65	6	4	65
Tommy Fleetwood	47	$8,000	5%	$10,500	-25%	$33	20%	3/4	2	12	27	103	26	17	50	35	96
Sergio Garcia	50	$7,600	38%	$9,500	33%	$30	76%	3/4	67	81	37	5	17	19	20	83	92
Webb Simpson	55	$8,300	-18%	$10,100	-18%	$39	-32%	4/4	30	12	37	39	98	127	30	9	12
Daniel Berger	55	$7,400	50%	$10,000	-14%	$39	-32%	1/2	500	81	27	500	34	7	20	75	3
Lee Westwood	57	$7,500	29%	$9,600	8%	$32	25%	4/4	4	61	27	22	35	46	99	71	21
Harris English	60	$7,300	48%	$9,200	36%	$41	-64%	1/1	500	500	500	46	1	3	14	64	13
Ian Poulter	60	$7,200	64%	$8,400	116%	$29	60%	1/3	126	145	14	500	4	36	40	25	3
Justin Rose	60	$8,000	-16%	$9,800	-12%	$31	28%	4/4	20	2	54	22	36	142	20	8	135
Joaquin Niemann	70	$7,700	-7%	$9,700	-14%	$35	-21%	0/1	106	500	500	500	2	36	31	93	50
Marc Leishman	70	$7,700	-7%	$9,400	7%	$28	61%	3/4	134	60	6	53	3	64	57	83	21
Jason Day	75	$7,700	-13%	$9,000	23%	$29	33%	3/4	73	17	27	22	14	10	44	73	80
Cameron Smith	75	$7,800	-17%	$9,900	-33%	$33	-20%	2/3	20	78	113	500	30	72	73	59	9
Branden Grace	80	$7,200	28%	$8,800	34%	$22	116%	3/4	51	81	6	72	54	7	4	WD	38
Will Zalatoris	85	$8,500	-52%	$9,500	-15%	$36	-42%	0/0	500	500	500	500	26	77	95	59	8
Rickie Fowler	85	$7,300	12%	$9,400	-9%	$25	64%	4/4	6	28	22	46	32	131	11	8	73
Abraham Ancer	90	$7,600	-17%	$9,300	-9%	$33	-31%	0/2	73	110	500	500	4	104	88	14	8
Sam Burns	90	$6,300	226%	$9,000	6%	$34	-34%	0/0	500	500	500	500	18	13	72	50	WD
Jason Kokrak	90	$7,200	17%	$9,300	-9%	$33	-31%	1/2	32	119	500	500	12	116	1	49	13
Brian Harman	90	$7,100	37%	$9,100	3%	$30	6%	0/3	73	94	99	500	109	5	19	8	83
Kevin Kisner	90	$6,900	77%	$8,900	14%	$27	40%	4/4	30	2	54	76	8	5	55	77	40
Ryan Palmer	90	$6,900	77%	$8,200	74%	$32	-14%	1/2	126	500	500	30	4	104	32	103	47
Robert Macintyre	90	$7,300	6%	$8,500	49%	$24	71%	1/1	6	500	500	500	18	35	37	49	8
Corey Conners	95	$7,100	14%	$8,700	7%	$33	-43%	0/1	118	500	500	500	79	84	53	20	17
Russell Henley	100	$7,200	-5%	$8,600	12%	$29	-7%	1/3	500	110	37	113	11	19	13	83	71
Charley Hoffman	100	$6,700	81%	$8,800	0%	$30	-14%	4/4	51	17	20	77	30	57	57	3	17
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	100	$7,400	-23%	$8,900	-7%	$25	26%	0/1	86	500	500	500	44	23	31	37	30
Bernd Wiesberger	100	$7,100	12%	$8,300	33%	$20	91%	2/3	32	500	74	124	26	5	72	40	1
Alexander Noren	100	$7,200	-5%	$8,600	12%	$22	60%	4/4	11	17	6	46	91	4	77	13	55
Matt Wallace	100	$7,200	-5%	$8,400	26%	$20	91%	1/2	51	81	500	500	26	84	73	56	55
Lucas Herbert	100	$6,800	60%	$8,000	58%	$28	5%	1/1	500	51	500	500	4	1	19	18	71
Adam Scott	110	$8,100	-60%	$9,600	-48%	$31	-36%	3/4	138	17	22	43	13	35	16	83	54
Stewart Cink	110	$6,900	24%	$8,300	14%	$28	-10%	2/3	20	24	123	500	30	57	47	30	37
Keegan Bradley	110	$6,800	38%			$26	2%	2/3	73	79	500	18	14	80	99	17	18
Phil Mickelson	110	$7,500	-38%	$8,700	-10%	$33	-52%	2/4	134	24	123	2	74	61	62	79	1
Lucas Glover	125	$6,600	59%	$8,100	19%	$20	52%	1/1	20	500	500	500	1	41	130	37	8
Garrick Higgo	125	$7,400	-39%	$9,200	-37%	$31	-41%	0/0	500	500	500	500	79	41	80	84	1
Billy Horschel	125	$7,000	2%	$8,300	6%	$31	-41%	0/3	106	500	137	132	54	95	67	40	23
Erik Van Rooyen	125	$7,000	2%	$8,100	19%	$20	52%	2/2	20	17	500	500	72	10	112	126	96
Harold Varner III	140	$6,700	34%			$24	3%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Martin Kaymer	140	$7,100	-17%			$23	12%	2/3	500	81	37	36	93	41	2	26	81
Thomas Detry	140					$20	41%	0/0	500	500	500	500	2	71	72	2	59
Sam Horsfield	140	$7,000	-5%			$23	12%	0/0	500	500	500	500	112	WD	5	19	49
Cameron Tringale	150	$6,800	11%	$8,900	-35%	$25	-13%	0/0	500	500	500	500	14	80	26	32	103
Kevin Streelman	150	$6,800	11%	$8,500	-16%	$26	-18%	1/1	57	500	500	500	140	80	15	13	20
Guido Migliozzi	160	$7,100	-25%	$8,600	-25%	$24	-6%	0/0	500	500	500	500	35	13	4	2	2
Chris Kirk	175	$6,400	62%	$8,000	5%	$28	-31%	0/1	500	500	500	91	12	110	26	69	103
Carlos Ortiz	175	$6,400	62%	$8,100	-2%	$29	-38%	0/0	500	500	500	500	47	84	16	40	55
Brendon Todd	175	$6,900	-5%	$8,300	-12%	$29	-38%	0/0	500	500	500	500	78	30	95	53	8
Sebastian Munoz	175	$6,500	46%	$7,800	18%	$22	6%	0/0	500	500	500	500	4	67	80	84	102
Max Homa	175	$7,100	-26%	$9,000	-43%	$31	-51%	0/0	500	500	500	500	25	99	95	6	118
Lanto Griffin	175	$6,700	20%	$7,700	25%	$22	6%	0/0	500	500	500	500	25	70	35	73	103
Padraig Harrington	175	$6,900	-5%	$8,000	5%	$20	26%	1/4	86	119	78	36	18	130	50	88	116
Gary Woodland	175	$7,300	-43%	$8,600	-26%	$25	-17%	3/4	86	67	70	12	78	50	83	14	38
Rafael Cabrera-Bello	175	$6,900	-5%	$8,000	5%	$20	26%	3/4	118	74	4	39	23	144	110	50	100
Matt Jones	180	$6,800	-7%	$8,200	-18%	$22	-7%	1/2	500	132	500	39	52	36	65	93	79
Talor Gooch	200	$6,600	15%	$7,800	3%	$25	-28%	0/0	500	500	500	500	36	18	14	44	39
Victor Perez	200	$7,000	-27%	$8,100	-15%	$20	9%	0/0	500	500	500	500	59	104	99	83	72
Aaron Rai	200	$6,800	-8%	$7,300	25%	$20	9%	0/0	500	500	500	500	35	12	28	73	77
Francesco Molinari	200	$7,400	-56%	$8,700	-40%	$20	9%	3/4	11	1	89	36	150	140	13	96	52
Mackenzie Hughes	200	$6,700	4%	$7,800	3%	$24	-20%	0/0	500	500	500	500	14	76	15	114	79
Emiliano Grillo	250	$6,700	-3%			$25	-33%	1/4	145	119	113	12	111	80	93	8	38
Matt Kuchar	250	$7,000	-31%	$8,200	-24%	$26	-36%	4/4	41	9	2	46	84	WD	50	118	17
Chez Reavie	250	$6,700	-3%	$7,800	-4%	$20	3%	0/2	86	81	500	500	18	78	25	40	14
Jason Scrivener	250	$6,300	43%	$7,000	31%	$21	-5%	0/0	500	500	500	500	150	9	6	55	3
Joel Dahmen	250	$6,700	-3%	$7,600	6%	$20	3%	0/1	118	500	500	500	21	32	104	55	18
Brendan Steele	250	$6,800	-14%			$24	-25%	1/3	500	47	148	103	80	72	37	77	70
Andy Sullivan	250	$6,900	-23%			$23	-19%	2/4	138	94	70	12	79	12	5	40	83
Antoine Rozner	250	$6,400	31%			$21	-5%	0/0	500	500	500	500	65	33	55	18	83
Joost Luiten	250	$6,600	8%	$7,900	-9%	$20	3%	2/3	32	500	44	103	69	122	30	11	15
Richard Bland	250	$6,800	-14%	$7,900	-9%	$21	-5%	1/1	500	500	22	500	15	4	50	3	1
Danny Willett	250	$7,100	-40%	$8,400	-33%	$20	3%	4/4	6	24	76	53	132	67	26	64	11
Dylan Frittelli	300	$6,500	4%			$20	-10%	1/3	32	119	99	500	79	78	131	46	83
Matthias Schwab	300	$6,800	-24%	$7,900	-20%	$20	-10%	0/0	500	500	500	500	120	29	45	8	11
Adam Hadwin	300	$6,600	-5%	$7,700	-11%	$21	-16%	2/3	57	35	148	500	121	131	40	73	8
Henrik Stenson	300	$7,000	-40%	$7,900	-20%	$20	-10%	4/4	20	35	11	1	106	127	23	107	104
C.T. Pan	400	$6,500	0%	$7,500	-6%	$20	-14%	0/1	138	500	500	500	79	80	31	57	32
Takumi Kanaya	400	$6,500	0%			$22	-27%	0/1	73	500	500	500	28	17	93	144	53
Dean Burmester	400	$6,100	41%	$7,100	6%	$22	-27%	0/0	500	500	500	500	35	71	70	59	6
John Catlin	400	$6,600	-9%			$20	-14%	0/0	500	500	500	500	93	41	63	118	73
Adam Long	400					$20	-14%	0/0	500	500	500	500	23	147	131	26	20
Ryan Fox	400	$6,600	-9%	$7,700	-15%	$20	-14%	2/3	16	39	78	500	44	147	14	12	11
Justin Harding	400	$6,500	0%	$7,600	-11%	$20	-14%	1/1	41	500	500	500	132	23	5	45	105
Marcus Armitage	400	$6,400	11%	$7,200	3%	$20	-14%	0/1	500	110	500	500	54	41	72	1	8
Brandt Snedeker	400	$7,000	-42%	$8,000	-28%	$20	-14%	1/3	73	145	500	22	38	80	60	50	17
Johannes Veerman	400	$6,100	41%	$7,000	11%	$20	-14%	0/0	500	500	500	500	8	3	50	84	58
Byeong Hun An	400	$6,600	-9%	$7,400	-3%	$20	-14%	3/4	32	51	99	59	119	76	80	52	114
Kurt Kitayama	600	$6,500	-10%	$7,200	-8%	$20	-23%	0/1	86	500	500	500	150	69	50	25	8
Shaun Norris	600	$6,500	-10%	$7,300	-11%	$20	-23%	2/3	126	61	62	500	130	5	14	23	46
Mike Lorenzo-Vera	600	$6,700	-26%	$7,700	-24%	$20	-23%	1/2	134	500	62	500	44	99	29	52	34
Rikuya Hoshino	600	$6,100	26%	$7,100	-5%	$20	-23%	0/0	500	500	500	500	26	140	72	11	45
Jazz Janewattananond	600	$6,500	-10%	$7,500	-16%	$20	-23%	0/2	106	119	500	500	112	71	37	81	135
Marcus Kinhult	600	$6,600	-19%	$7,300	-11%	$20	-23%	1/1	500	61	500	500	59	86	68	70	60
Romain Langasque	600	$6,600	-19%	$7,600	-20%	$20	-23%	1/1	63	500	500	500	44	86	88	65	99
Jack Senior	600							0/3	97	150	500	132	10	61	101	45	18
JC Ritchie	600	$6,000	35%	$7,000	-1%	$20	-23%	0/0	500	500	500	500	37	84	73	68	5
Paul Waring	600	$6,500	-10%	$7,100	-5%	$20	-23%	1/2	63	500	89	500	138	99	WD	79	28
Rikard Karlberg	600	$6,000	35%	$7,000	-1%	$20	-23%	0/1	500	500	500	132	93	2	74	72	29
Keith Mitchell	600	$6,400	-1%	$7,500	-16%	$20	-23%	0/1	73	500	500	500	91	148	88	99	26
Daniel Van Tonder	600	$6,400	-1%	$7,000	-1%	$23	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500	106	71	12	88	44
Jimmy Walker	600	$6,400	-1%	$7,400	-13%	$20	-23%	1/4	118	119	54	132	112	71	70	6	104
Chan Kim	750	$6,200	3%	$7,000	-13%	$21	-37%	1/2	126	500	11	500	134	23	35	60	62
Troy Merritt	750	$6,300	-5%			$20	-32%	0/0	500	500	500	500	134	2	36	65	50
Min Woo Lee	750	$7,200	-66%			$20	-32%	0/0	500	500	500	500	1	17	42	67	52
Ryosuke Kinoshita	750	$6,100	12%	$7,000	-13%	$21	-37%	0/0	500	500	500	500	67	6
Marcel Siem	750							0/0	500	500	500	500	67	77	6	35	56
Richard Mansell	750	$6,000	19%	$7,000	-13%	$20	-32%	0/0	500	500	500	500	37	81	152	57	12
Benjamin Hebert	750	$6,300	-5%	$7,100	-16%	$20	-32%	1/1	41	500	500	500	79	59	66	7	77
Jorge Campillo	750	$6,400	-13%	$7,300	-22%	$20	-32%	0/2	126	94	500	500	135	86	3	25	40
Ernie Els	750	$6,300	-5%	$7,000	-13%	$20	-32%	2/4	32	110	61	84	115	113	84	48	52
Cole Hammer	750	$6,400	-13%	$7,000	-13%	$20	-32%	0/0	500	500	500	500	104	144	73	102
Marcel Schneider	750	$6,200	3%	$7,000	-13%	$20	-32%	0/0	500	500	500	500	62	7	92	147	111
Yuki Inamori	750	$6,200	3%	$7,000	-13%	$20	-32%	1/1	72	500	500	500	48	18
Sam Bairstow	750	$6,300	-5%	$7,000	-13%	$20	-32%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Hao-Tong Li	1000	$6,500	-29%	$7,600	-36%	$20	-38%	2/3	97	39	3	500	93	147	108	153	99
Matthias Schmid	1000	$6,300	-14%	$7,000	-21%	$20	-38%	0/1	106	500	500	500	14	127	143
Deyen Lawson	1500	$6,200	-8%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500	94	88	33	18	31
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	1500	$6,200	-8%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500	94	52	115	77	79
Brad Kennedy	1500	$6,000	6%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500	127	61	41	39
Jaco Ahlers	1500	$6,000	6%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500	32	66	80	4
Darren Clarke	1500	$6,300	-16%	$7,200	-27%	$20	-39%	1/4	86	156	99	30
Richard T. Lee	1500	$6,200	-8%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Christoffer Bring	1500	$6,200	-8%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Aaron Pike	1500	$6,000	6%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500	117	139
Ryutaro Nagano	1500	$6,200	-8%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500	139
Daniel Croft	1500	$6,000	6%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Poom Saksansin	1500	$6,300	-16%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500	6
Abel Gallegos	1500	$6,100	-1%	$7,000	-22%	$20	-39%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Jon Thomson	2000	$6,200	-16%	$7,000	-29%			0/0	500	500	500	500
Daniel Hillier	2000	$6,100	-9%	$7,000	-29%	$20	-44%	0/0	500	500	500	500	15
Ben Hutchinson	2000	$6,100	-9%	$7,000	-29%	$20	-44%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Yuxin Lin	2000	$6,200	-16%	$7,000	-29%	$20	-44%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Joe Long	2000	$6,000	-3%	$7,000	-29%	$20	-44%	0/0	500	500	500	500	134	81	126	122
Ricardo Celia	2000	$6,100	-9%	$7,000	-29%	$20	-44%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Nicholas Poppleton	2000	$6,100	-9%	$7,000	-29%	$20	-44%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Laird Shepherd	2000	$6,300	-22%	$7,000	-29%	$20	-44%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Connor Worsdall	2500	$6,000	-8%	$7,000	-32%	$20	-47%	0/0	500	500	500	500
Sam Forgan	2500	$6,000	-8%	$7,000	-32%	$20	-47%	0/0	500	500	500	500

PGA DFS First Look: The Open Championship

Salaries, Odds, Open Championship History, and Last Five Starts

Cover Image Credit: Imagn

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