PGA DFS GPP Breakdown: Fed Ex St. Jude Championship

Top-ranked grinder, STLCardinals84, will break down his top GPP golf targets for the coming week’s tournament, going over his favorite plays at various price ranges. Who better than PGA DFS master, STLCards, to help you on your way?

Fed Ex St. Jude Championship

Welcome back, golf fans! Last week was a whirlwind tournament with rain delays, cut line sweats going into Saturday morning, the playoff golfers getting finalized, and Tom Kim winning a tournament while gaining over TWELVE strokes on the greens. Sometimes, luck runs in your favor! Congratulations to Kim on the first of what could be many PGA Tour wins.

We have the Fed Ex St. Jude Championship as our first playoff event at TPC Southwind in Memphis. This tournament used to be a typical PGA Tour event for many years before being moved to be a WGC event a few years ago. That didn’t really pan out as a success, so now the tournament has been selected to host the first playoff event. This should be a good fit. Be wary of course history data this week. While it is important, we need to remember that this played as a “no cut” limited field WGC event for the past three years.

For whatever reason, course history tends to really matter at TPC Southwind. Many golfers have enjoyed extended success here. Daniel Berger has won here twice (when it was still a regular full field event) and finished second two years ago. Brooks Koepka finished 1st and 2nd in two of the WGC events. Matthew Fitzpatrick has finished 4th and 6th in two of his three trips. Billy Horschel has three straight top 25 finishes at TPC Southwind. You get the picture – golfers who see this course well often tend to play well here. I’ll value course history even more than I do most weeks.

Let’s take a look at some of my favorite GPP plays for the week!

Scottie Scheffler
DraftKings: $10,800
FanDuel: $11,700
Yahoo: $49

Scheffler was the most popular high-end selection virtually every time he teed it up during the spring. It was hard to argue against him, as he won a ridiculous four tournaments in a two month span. By those standards, he’s in a “slump” right now, and that has people off him in DFS. However, it’s not like he is really in a “slump.” The stats remain strong across the board, and Scheffler has still posted results of 2-18-2-13-MC-21 in his last six starts. Five top 25’s in a six start stretch is not a “slump.” Take the ownership discount for a player with obvious win equity at the top.

Patrick Cantlay
DraftKings: $10,300
FanDuel: $11,400
Yahoo: $45

Cantlay has had a strange year, but he has recovered nicely over the summer. He missed the cut as a chalk play at the PGA Championship, and that has had some people ignoring him ever since. However, all he has done since then is most SIX consecutive top 15 finishes. Four of those have been top eight finishes. He doesn’t grade out quite as well statistically as some of the other top golfers, but he is still well above average in almost every category. He also finished respectably in the three WGC events at this course, finishing inside the top 35 in all three editions. If the masses are still going to ignore him, I am fine going back to the well.

Matt Fitzpatrick
DraftKings: $9,800
FanDuel: $10,900
Yahoo: $41

Thanks to his course history, Fitzpatrick was one of the most popular selections at this event a year ago. He disappointed with a T57 finish (in a limited field) after finishing inside the top six in his first two trips to TPC Southwind. I’m not going to let one bad performance scare me away. He ranks 26th on Tour in total driving this year and has added quite a bit of distance off the tee. We know he likes to play on more difficult courses, and he’s going to keep himself in good position on many of the holes. He comes in rested, refreshed, and on the heels of four straight top 25 finishes in his last four starts. I’m staying on board.

Sam Burns
DraftKings: $8,600
FanDuel: $10,100
Yahoo: $41

This is the type of course where I think Burns can showcase his winning upside. We’re getting him at a bit of a discount here, and he finished runner-up (in a playoff) a year ago at this course. He has a reputation for being volatile, but that makes him all the more welcomed in GPP builds. He also ranks 9th in this field in approach play over the last 36 rounds, and the short game has also been very good over the past four months. With how small these greens are and how difficult the scoring conditions might be, saving par when you are out of position will be valuable, and the approach and short game play should serve Burns well in that capacity.

Corey Conners
DraftKings: $7,600
FanDuel: $9,800
Yahoo: $36

There’s really nothing special in the Conners profile at the moment. He’s been plodding along to respectable but uneventful finishes over the summer. He has three finishes between 25th and 40th in his last three trips to TPC Southwind. Ho hum. The tee to green game remains very strong (6th off the tee, 8th in ball striking, and 15th on approach in this field over the last 36 rounds), and the short game remains suspect. That’s the typical Conners stat line. However, we’re now getting him at a bit of a DFS discount and at a little less ownership than what you would normally see when he is priced like this. Perhaps this is the week the ball striking pays off on a course that suits his game a little more than the venues we saw in July.

Taylor Pendrith
DraftKings: $7,600
FanDuel: $9,200
Yahoo: $20

Pendrith has a reputation as a bomber, so that will generally have people somewhat skeptical of him this week. However, he has looked fantastic since returning from injury a couple months ago, and perhaps that break is what he needed to reset his game. He ranks 10th in this field in ball striking over the last 24 rounds, and he has now finished 13th or better in five consecutive events. Even though we have a stronger field this week than what he faced in some of those starts, the trends are difficult to ignore. He’s minimum salary on Yahoo and is almost a must play over there, but I like the relative discount on FD and DK as well.

Cameron Davis
DraftKings: $7,200
FanDuel: $9,500
Yahoo: $28

Things start to get ugly in a hurry as we head deeper into the value range, but the best statistical profile in this area seems to belong to Cameron Davis or Scott Stallings. I’ll probably play a little of both, but I’ll highlight Davis here. Over the last four months, he ranks in the top third of this field in virtually every statistical category. That includes a top 20 ranking in approach play. He has also been playing strong golfer of late, with finishes of 8-6-16-14 over his last four starts. Both Davis and Stallings are streaky players, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see one of them be a sneaky contender this week.

Luke List
DraftKings: $6,500
FanDuel: $7,900
Yahoo: $28

If you’re looking for a golfer under $7,000 on DK or under $8,000 on FD, it’s difficult to find one to feel great about. I’ll highlight List as a sub-5% owned GPP play, but it doesn’t feel great. As usual, the tee to green numbers have been solid for List, but his short game somehow seems to be getting worse. He ranks at the bottom of this field in putting over the last 36 rounds, and that has absolutely tanked his results. We’re largely banking on the hope that he can at least run average on the greens for a week. He doesn’t need to be last week’s Tom Kim on the greens to post a decent result. If that happens, he could certainly be a steal at this price.

Image Credit: Imagn

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Top-ranked grinder, STLCardinals84, will break down his top GPP golf targets for the coming week’s tournament, going over his favorite plays at various price ranges. Who better than PGA DFS master, STLCards, to help you on your way?

WGC – Fed Ex St. Jude Invitational

Welcome back, golf fans! Last week was certainly an interesting event with the Olympic Golf Tournament, with Xander Schauffele bringing home the gold medal for Team USA. Rory Sabbatini rode a 10-under par Sunday round to a silver medal, while there was a massive playoff for the bronze. It was a fun tournament, and now we have a lot of those golfers teeing it up again this week back stateside in Memphis, Tennessee.

Things should get back to normal this week with a strong field and a no cut World Golf Championships event. We have just 66 golfers teeing it up, and all will get to play four rounds barring a withdrawal. As for the course, TPC Southwind is the venue this week. This is yet another course where I will place an emphasis on ball striking and approach play, as we have only two par fives available on this moderate length par 70 track. There are a lot of tough par fours on this course, so I will look at par four scoring as a key component of my lineup building process as well.

About the Author

  • Justin Van Zuiden (stlcardinals84)

  • Justin Van Zuiden, aka stlcardinals84, is a popular RotoGrinders contributor and GrindersLive host who routinely finishes in the top 10 of the TPOY race. He’s appeared in numerous live finals and has logged countless six-figure wins in a host of different sports, including five in PGA. Justin is also a main contributor of sports betting picks at ScoresAndOdds.

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