PGA DFS Core Plays: Wyndham Championship
Top-ranked DFS player, Notorious, breaks down his favorite PGA DFS picks at various salary ranges for this week’s tournament. Who should you be building lineups around? Find out below!
Even though the PGA TOUR schedule is year-round, it’s hard to believe the season is almost over. This is the last chance for golfers to secure their spot in the top 70 in the FedExCup standings. If you are unfamiliar with the new playoff format, 70 golfers will tee it up at the St. Jude Championship, 50 golfers will tee it up at the BMW Championship, and 30 golfers will tee it up at the TOUR Championship. There’s a lot at stake this week, which always makes the event a little more interesting.
The Wyndham Championship is always held at Sedgefield Country Club, which is a par 70 that measures 7,131 yards. Driving accuracy has always been important here (the average greens in regulation rate is 30% higher from the fairway than the rough). Given the current forecast, that could be even more true this year. We might not see much golf on Thursday or Friday and can expect a water-logged course over the weekend. We are likely going to see lift, clean, and place, which means golfers will want to keep their drives in the fairway.
Noto’s PGA Model Download & Video for the Wyndham Championship
The greens at Sedgefield are large in size (6,000 square feet) and feature bermuda grass. The average greens in regulation rate here last year was 72%, which was well above the TOUR average. Given the expected conditions, we could see an even higher greens in regulation rate this week. More often than not, this places an emphasis on approach play and putting. If everyone is hitting greens in regulation, it often comes down to who can hit the ball closest and who can make putts.
This is one of those courses where any type of golfer can contend. Many will opt to hit less than driver on a lot of the holes, which levels the playing field off the tee. The winning score has been at least -20 in 4 of the last 5 years. If they can get all 4 rounds in this week, we can expect the scores to be very good given how soft the course is expected to play. My final note is that course history here has been very predictive over the years.
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PGA DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Core Plays for the Wyndham Championship
Field Size:
- 156 golfers
Cut Rule:
- Top 65 and ties
Weather Forecasts
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Sedgefield Country Club
- Location: Greensboro, North Carolina
- Designer: Donald Ross
- Par 70 — 7,131 yards
- Recent winners: Lucas Glover (-20), Tom Kim (-20), Kevin Kisner (-15), Jim Herman (-21), J.T. Poston (-22)
- Difficulty: 2023 (22nd), 2022 (27th), 2021 (34th), 2020 (29th), 2019 (41st)
- Green type: bermuda
- Green size: 6,000 square feet
- Fairway width: 30 yards
- Missed fairway penalty: low
- Holes with water hazards: 6
- 2023 tournament averages:
- - Driving accuracy: 63% (TOUR average: 58%)
- - Driving distance: 284 yards (TOUR average: 292)
- - Greens in regulation: 72% (TOUR average: 64%)
- 2023 approach shot distributions:
- - 50-75 yards: 2%
- - 75-100 yards: 5%
- - 100-125 yards: 12%
- - 125-150 yards: 17%
- - 150-175 yards: 24%
- - 175-200 yards: 16%
- - 200-225 yards: 13%
- - 225+ yards: 11%
Event and Course Notes
- This is the last week for golfers to secure their spot in the FedExCup Playoffs
- The combination of this course having narrow fairways and this being a short par 70 leads to any type of golfer being able to contend here
- This is not a course that can be overpowered off the tee, which is evidenced by the average driving distance (284 yards) here last year
- Driving accuracy and greens in regulation here are much higher than TOUR average
- The greens are large and feature run-off areas, which emphasizes iron play
- The winning score is typically around -20, so golfers can’t take their foot off the gas
- Course history has been very predictive here over the years
What to Look For
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Birdie or Better %
- Total Strokes Gained on bermuda courses
- Total Driving
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Strokes Gained on easy courses
Core Plays
Sungjae Im
DraftKings: $10,700 / pOWN%: 27%
FanDuel: $12,000 / pOWN%: 34%
Total Driving: 18
Strokes Gained Approach: 54
Strokes Gained Around the Green: 6
Strokes Gained Putting: 35
Birdie or Better %: 24
Bogey Avoidance: 38
Even though he’s not an overwhelming favorite in the outright market, I view Im as the class of the field. After a slow start to the season, he has finished T12 or better in 8 of his last 10 starts. He’s always been an accurate driver of the ball with an elite short game, but his recent iron play is the most encouraging. He has gained over 15 strokes on approach in his last 4 events alone. He’s a great fit for the course and is a perfect 5-for-5 here with 3 top-10 finishes and nothing worse than T24. Even at high ownership, I plan to be well over the field on Im.
Brian Harman
DraftKings: $9,300 / pOWN%: 13%
FanDuel: $10,800 / pOWN%: 17%
Total Driving: 46
Strokes Gained Approach: 41
Strokes Gained Around the Green: 36
Strokes Gained Putting: 14
Birdie or Better %: 66
Bogey Avoidance: 29
Harman currently ranks second in my model this week, so he screams value at $9,300 on DraftKings and $10,800 on FanDuel. While his course history here is mixed (a lot of missed cuts and 2 top-6 finishes), this is a perfect course for his skill set. He’s accurate off the tee, he has an elite short game, and he has quietly gained at least 5 strokes on approach in 5 of his last 14 events. The spike weeks with the irons and putter are what help win golf tournaments, and Harman is capable of doing both.
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