PGA DFS Expert Survey: Arnold Palmer Invitational
Our panel of experts is here to give you their PGA DFS picks for this week’s contests by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know who Noto has as the top three finishers? Or who is STLCards’ top overall golfer? Find out below!
PGA DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey for the Arnold Palmer Invitational
Min Woo Lee is projecting as one of the top values on the slate and will likely be one of the highest-owned golfers. How are you approaching him this week?
Notorious: Given the fact that 19 golfers at most are going to miss the cut this week, I’m more worried about upside than ownership. Min Woo is clearly underpriced on DraftKings. He’s 0-for-2 at this event, but has played well at the other Florida courses (PGA Natinoal and TPC Sawgrass). He’s elite off the tee, he’s excellent around the green, and he’s a positive putter. It all comes down to his approach play, and I’m encouraged by his +6.0 strokes on approach last week. I’ll be overweight.
STLCardinals84: This is likely a spot where I’m not going to get cute. Min Woo Lee is simply too cheap (especially on DraftKings) for his talent. His overall game suits this course nicely, and he should definitely gain strokes on the field from tee to green in this event. Throw in a supreme value price tag and a limited number of golfers getting cut here, and I can’t see the rationale for fading him. It’s not like he is going to be 40% owned or more either. Our early run of ownership has him in the low 20% owned range, which is actually lower than I would have expected. If that holds, I’ll probably be double the field with my own ownership on Min Woo Lee here.
Jbails26: There is no doubt Min Woo Lee has as a crazy amount of upside, but I will likely plan on being underweight or even versus the field in this spot. This is not a course where you want to be playing from the rough, and Min Woo struggles with accuracy (63rd in driving accuracy over the last 12 months), and he ranks dead last in Strokes Gained: Approach in that same time frame. He’s coming off a strong iron week at the Cognizant, but I tend to favor long-term form overall. If he’s leaky with his driver, and his irons regress this week, that’s not a recipe for success. However, he’s not a full fade for me because of his price tag and friendlier cut line.
Update: After working with more builds and experimenting with SimLabs, my position on this has softened a bit.
hondizzle: Min Woo Lee is just too cheap for the talent and upside he brings to the table. If this were a full-field event, then I might answer this question a bit differently. The fact that Min Woo Lee can easily outperform his salary based expectations with just a below-average week makes me lean on being heavier than the field.
Over the last 12 months, Scottie Scheffler is nearly dead last (68th of 69 golfers) in Strokes Gained: Putting in this field. Does that factor into your decision to roster him at his slate-high price tag?
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