PGA DFS Expert Survey: BMW Championship

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Our panel of experts is here to give you their PGA DFS advice for this week’s contests by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know who Noto has as the top three finishers? Or who is STLCards’ top overall golfer? Find out below!

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PGA DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey for the BMW Championship

Who is your favorite contrarian golfer (when considering price, key stats, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?

Notorious: Patrick Cantlay – I get the feeling that everyone is going to run with the “this golfer grew up playing at high elevations” narrative, which could inflate ownership for both Tony Finau (grew up in Utah) and Wyndham Clark (grew up in Colorado). This could suppress the ownership for the rest of the range, including Cantlay. He hasn’t had his best season on the PGA TOUR, but he’s finished in the top 5 in 3 of his last 8 starts and had a great finish in Memphis last week (67-66-66 in his final three rounds). He’s won 3 times and has a runner-up finish in the playoffs over the last 3 years, so he certainly seems to save his best for the FedExCup.

stlcardinals84: Nick Dunlap – I have been on the Dunlap train for quite a while now. It’s probably more of a “roller coaster” than a “train” though, as Dunlap’s results have been a whirlwind this summer. That can be summed up by his results in his last 5 starts, which include a win, 3 missed cuts, and last week’s fifth place finish. The upside is clearly there, even in strong fields, and Dunlap is plenty long off the tee. I think his ability with the driver will come in handy on a really long course, and he’s not at any sort of course history disadvantage here. With early projected ownership runs still in the single digits after he came in at just 2% owned last week, I like the contrarian nature of Dunlap along with the obvious ceiling.

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JBails26: Sam Burns – While Sam Burns did help me take down the $150 3-max on DraftKings last week, I am kicking myself for not having more exposure in MME. Burns is the perfect no-cut event player, as he can make birdies in bunches (5th in Birdie or Better % in his last 50 rounds), but it’s also not surprising if he piles on some bogeys (47th in Bogey Avoidance). With no threat to miss the cut, I’ll go back to the well and hope his birdie-making abilities show up again. Since he doesn’t project as a strong value, his ownership could be held somewhat in check, but it’s a little trickier to gauge this early in the week with a field of only 50 players.

hondizzle: Will Zalatoris – Last week we saw talent and potential trump recent form with Viktor Hovland playing well above what most in the industry expected. In my opinion, Will Zalatoris can be that type of golfer this week. Sometimes it’s easier to play when you have no room for error in terms of advancing. Currently out of the mix for the TOUR championship, Zalatoris knows what it will take this week and should be aggressive from the start. I always like high talent at low interest.

Who is your favorite golfer (when considering price, key stats, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?

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About the Author

Epignosis
Robert Brown (Epignosis)

Robert Brown (aka Epignosis) was having lunch at a sports bar. A football game was on. He remarked to his wife that if he could have a second life, he’d like to be someone who enjoyed watching sports. That enjoyment began when he signed up for a fantasy football league that needed one more player. Since then, he has enjoyed playing NFL, NBA, and (especially) MLB DFS. When not teaching American literature, editing content for RotoGrinders (which he has done since 2019), or making lineups, Epignosis is rocking out or jazzing it up on one of several possible instruments.