PGA DFS Expert Survey: Valero Texas Open

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Our panel of experts is here to give you their PGA DFS advice for this week’s contests by answering a handful of questions to help you make crucial lineup-building decisions. Want to know who Noto has as the top three finishers? Or who is STLCards’ top overall golfer? Find out below!

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PGA DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey for the Valero Texas Open

Who is your top contrarian golfer (when considering price, key stats, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?

Notorious: Eric Cole – After being one of the most popular DFS plays for nearly a year, it seems like the masses have moved on. Cole has been contrarian in each of his last few tournaments and isn’t projecting for much ownership again this week. I know the form has tailed off a bit, but this is a great price point on a golfer that was a top-10 machine only a few months ago. He’s not a good driver of the ball but is top 25 in this field in strokes gained approach, around the green, and putting over the last 12 months. He played here last year and finished T39. If he has a slightly better week with the driver, I could see him contending on Sunday.

STLCardinals84: Russell Henley – Early ownership projections have Henley in the 10% range, which is a lot lower than you would expect given his talent level and the players around him. Pricing is going to make a lot of people skip this range this week, particularly those who are starting with Rory McIlroy at the top. Course history truthers won’t love Henley given that he hasn’t played here since 2019 (and finished T52 in that trip). He missed the cut at THE PLAYERS in his last start, but otherwise had made every cut in 2024 with a pair of top five finishes. He’s a strong GPP option.

Jbails26: Matthew Fitzpatrick – In Fitz’s price range, he’ll likely be under-owned since he is sandwiched between Collin Morikawa and Max Homa above him and Jordan Spieth and Corey Conners below him. Our first run of ownership projections have him at around 12%, which isn’t bad for someone who has the 7th-best odds to win this tournament. His iron play is respectable, he’s solid around the greens, and Fitz ranks 2nd in par-5 scoring over his last 50 rounds.

hondizzle: Russell Henley- I think pricing structure will force a pretty common lineup construction this week. The need to spend up could leave the middle pricing range a bit overlooked as a whole. I know last week I fell victim to this, as I really liked a lot of cheap golfers in order to pay up for the number one option. This week I don’t feel like spending up is such a major priority. I will be attacking some middle players, and Russell Henley looks to be a good option if you are looking for a low ownership addition. Henley is a great ball striker who can get hot in a hurry. If the wind blows, Henley can without a doubt handle those types of conditions. Not that it’s a major factor, but Henley’s caddie Andy Sanders has multiple wins in this event with Jimmy Walker. Despite having a ton of experience on this course, a veteran caddie could help out a bit this week.

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About the Author

Epignosis
Robert Brown (Epignosis)

Robert Brown (aka Epignosis) was having lunch at a sports bar. A football game was on. He remarked to his wife that if he could have a second life, he’d like to be someone who enjoyed watching sports. That enjoyment began when he signed up for a fantasy football league that needed one more player. Since then, he has enjoyed playing NFL, NBA, and (especially) MLB DFS. When not teaching American literature, editing content for RotoGrinders (which he has done since 2019), or making lineups, Epignosis is rocking out or jazzing it up on one of several possible instruments.