PGA DFS GPP Breakdown: 3M Open
Long-time grinder, stlcardinals84, breaks down his top PGA DFS picks in various price ranges for this week’s tournament. Which golfers should you be targeting to try and take down the big DFS tournaments? Find out below!
Welcome back, PGA DFS Grinders! There’s always a bit of a letdown factor in play the week after a major tournament, and that is especially true this time around after a star-studded Open Championship at Royal Portrush. We have a very weak field gathered for the 3M Open in Minneapolis this week, and this has the looks of a wide open event. While this tournament may not have the general excitement of a major, there is still plenty of money to be won in the DFS GPP streets. I actually like this course quite a bit, so it will be fun to see how things play out in 2025. After all, we are just a few weeks away from the FedEx Cup playoffs, so this tournament means a lot to the players who are on the bubble of playoff contention.
Editor’s Note: RotoGrinders has partnered with Betsperts Golf and the Rabbit Hole!
Tool Highlights
- Build unlimited custom stat models with official PGA TOUR data.
- Hundreds of filters to find the exact data split you’re looking for.
- Save custom reports and run them again with next week’s field.
- Download anything right to your computer with the click of a button.
- See expert models each week.
As we often see in weaker-field PGA TOUR events, a shootout should be in store in Minnesota. The winning score generally comes in around 18-to-20 under par for this event, while Lee Hodges breezed to victory with a 25 under par score 2 years ago. In general, the scoring was a little bit more difficult in 2024, but that was largely due to heavy winds in the first 2 rounds. The forecast isn’t expected to offer as much resistance this year. I would expect plenty of birdies.
As usual, TPC Twin Cities is the host course. It sets up as a moderate-length par 71 with a trio of par 5s in play. There is water in play on 15 holes around the property, but there is room for the professionals to miss off the tee. The water is really the only hazard that the course offers, but it does bring double bogeys into play if shots are way off target. A 4-shot swing could very easily happen in one hole around here, as an eagle or a double bogey could be made on a par 5. It’s part of the reason why I like this course so much. If you are hitting it well, you could shoot a 62. If you aren’t hitting it well, you could shoot a 76.
Ball striking and approach play will be the name of the game along with birdie makers, as whoever can grab a hot putter will rise to the top of the leaderboard. I will target golfers with strong birdie or better percentages as well. I do think you can make a case for the bomber angle too, as we have seen long hitters play well here in the past, and there is some room to miss off the tee as long as you aren’t going in the water.
Let’s get to some of my favorite GPP picks for the week!
PGA DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel GPP Breakdown for the 3M Open
Maverick McNealy
DraftKings: $10,300
FanDuel: $11,800
This tournament field is fascinating, albeit weak in nature relative to other high-profile events. There’s just enough talent for it to be intriguing, yet it feels absolutely WIDE open. It’s a tough week to build cash game rosters, but rolling out a GPP player pool feels quite fun. McNealy gets the slight edge for me among the top players, though the decision is a close one. I would not argue with a choice of Sam Burns or Wyndham Clark. The only player I am not comfortable with among the top few options is Chris Gotterup, who is surely due for a bit of a letdown after a pair of strong finishes in Europe this month.
As for McNealy, he finished 12th here a year ago and 32nd in his previous trip before that, so he checks the course history box to some degree. He grades out well above field average in every strokes gained metric over the past 6 months, and his game has been very steady, with 4 top-25 finishes in his last 5 starts. He is a great starting point this week.
Want to read more? Sign up for Premium!
