PGA DFS GPP Breakdown: BMW Championship
Long-time grinder, stlcardinals84, breaks down his top PGA DFS picks in various price ranges for this week’s tournament. Which golfers should you be targeting to try and take down the big DFS tournaments? Find out below!
Welcome back, golf fans! The FedExCup playoffs began last week with a flourish, with Hideki Matsuyama holding off a star-studded leaderboard with a two stroke victory over Viktor Hovland and Xander Schauffele. It was a fun start to the three week sprint to a title, and we will continue that with the BMW Championship this week. The top 50 golfers remain in the competition, and we have another no cut event this week.
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As I mentioned above, the remaining 50 playoff participants will tee it up this week. This is the one playoff event that does do an annual course rotation, and we have a new venue this year. Castle Pines Golf Club in Colorado gets the honors, and this course has not hosted a PGA TOUR related event since 2006. It had previously hosted an event for 20 years before that. Adam Scott is the only player in this week’s field who has played this course on TOUR competition.
This course is a traditional par 72 that stretches to a whopping 8,130 yards from the tips. However, the course sits at over 6,000 feet of altitude, so it will play much shorter than that listed distance. Still, this is a long golf course where it is going to benefit to be long and straight off the tee. I will look at the traditional ball striking metrics this week, but I do like the bombers a bit more than usual. Par 5 scoring is a big plus, as I do expect the rest of the course to play relatively difficult. This should be a fun week! The top 30 golfers in the standings after this week will advance to next week’s TOUR Championship.
Let’s get to some of my favorite GPP picks for this second playoff event!
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PGA DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel GPP Breakdown for the BMW Championship
Xander Schauffele
DraftKings: $11,100
FanDuel: $12,600
Yahoo: $44
Yeah, I’m going to be the rebel this week. There’s been some internal chatter about Schauffele grading out better than Scheffler in our projection models, and I buy it. They are only projecting about a point or two different, and you are still getting Schauffele at a strong discount. We all talk about how ridiculous Scheffler’s numbers are this year, but let’s take a look at the last three months for Schauffele. His finishes in that span: 2nd, 1st, 8th, 7th, 13th, 15th, 1st, 9th, and 2nd. That’s nine starts, nine top fifteen finishes, and two major championship wins. That’ll play… and it’s not much worse than Scheffler. Over the last 36 rounds, he ranks 2nd in this field in total strokes gained and 3rd in approach play. I find the discount a big factor this week, and Schauffele and Scheffler are a close “1A” and “1B” at the top of the board even without factoring in salary.