PGA DFS GPP Breakdown: John Deere Classic
Long-time grinder, stlcardinals84, breaks down his top PGA DFS picks in various price ranges for this week’s tournament. Which golfers should you be targeting to try and take down the big DFS tournaments? Find out below!
Hello, Grinders! Welcome back to the PGA DFS GPP article for the John Deere Classic! This is one of my favorite tournaments of the year, as it is contested a stone’s throw away from me, which makes this the most accessible PGA TOUR event for me to attend on an annual basis. We have great weather forecast for this week, and I’ll be attending to check out a few days of golf! We have a weak field assembled here, which is generally no surprise the week before everyone heads overseas for the Scottish Open and The Open Championship. Still, there’s plenty of DFS money to be won!
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TPC Deere Run is your host course for this event, and Deere Run always sets up as one of the easiest courses on TOUR. In fact, TPC Deere Run has hosted this event 23 times now, and the winning score has never been worse than 16 strokes under par. Birdies and eagles are the name of the game around this place. This is a bit of a rare layout in the fact that it is a par 71 course, so we have three par fives in play this week. A lot of the par fours are fairly short in terms of distance, so wedge play will be absolutely critical. I will be honing in on players who are solid from the 125-150 yard distance range while also looking at birdie makers and golfers with a good combination of length and accuracy off the tee.
Once again, getting as many golfers through the cut as possible is paramount for this event, as there will be plenty of scoring opportunities available. It will take a very, very good 5/6 lineup to beat any lineup that gets all six golfers through the cut since almost every golfer in the field will be racking up birdies and fantasy scoring.
Let’s get to some of my favorite GPP picks for the week!
PGA DFS Picks: DraftKings & FanDuel GPP Breakdown for the John Deere Classic
Aaron Rai
DraftKings: $10,000
FanDuel: $11,500
Yahoo: $36
This is a wide open tournament, especially now that Patrick Cantlay has withdrawn. The favorite to win sits at around +1400 on most sportsbooks. That’s a wild number. Don’t feel like you NEED to try to fit in any one golfer at the top, especially if pOWN% numbers get large. We need to embrace some variance this week. My favorite top-end play is going to be Aaron Rai. His ball striking has been spectacular of late, and he leads this field in total strokes gained over the last 36 rounds. He ranks 13th off the tee and 2nd on approach during that span. He has finished inside the top 20 in three straight starts and has finished inside the top 40 in seven straight. There’s a good mix of floor and ceiling here, and he’s been knocking on the door of a win, including a runner-up finish a week ago in Detroit.
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