PGA DFS: Round 2 Showdown Picks & Projections - Masters
PGA DFS Round 2 Showdown Picks and Projections – Masters
Even though the Masters is one of the most predictable events of the year (arguably the most predictable), there are always a handful of chalky players who struggle out of the gates. If you targeted Sepp Straka, Russell Henley, Jon Rahm, Robert MacIntyre, or Lucas Glover in your lineups, you’ll need a small miracle to get 6-of-6. I’m sure there will be some Friday blowups as well, so it will be quite the sweat in Round 2.
Even though there were some big numbers on Thursday (shoutout to Nick Dunlap and his 90), it’s going to be a lot windier on Friday. The course is only going to get firmer and faster, so we can expect some major ejections over the next 3 days. I am putting even more of an emphasis on tee to green play for Round 2 Showdown contests. The morning does seem to have lower sustained winds, but I’m not going out of my way to stack that side of the draw.
Weather Forecasts
- PGA weather report from Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth
- Windfinder
- Accuweather
Top-End Targets
Rory McIlroy: $11,100 – As someone who has a sizable outright on McIlroy, I was not thrilled to see him chip into the water on #15. He went from having a potential birdie look to a double bogey in the blink of an eye. Still, everything was solid today except for that chip. Perhaps heading into the second round a ways back from the leader will lead to slightly more aggressive play on Friday. He’s my favorite spend, as Scottie Scheffler is expensive and relied on a hot putter in Round 1.
Xander Schauffele: $9,300 – Schauffele got off to a shaky start on Thursday, but he rallied on the back nine to post a respectable score. I still see this as a major discount, even though his incoming form wasn’t elite. He did gain 11.2 strokes on approach in his last start before the Masters. He has a great track record here and an elite track record in the majors.
Patrick Cantlay: $8,500 – McIlroy wasn’t the only one to get bit by #15 today, as Cantlay decided to play with Olaf (he built a snowman). Other than that, he had a very nice day. The ball striking numbers look solid, and he’s been excellent tee to green all season. Like his friend Schauffele, he feels a tad underpriced for Round 2.
Value Plays
Tyrrell Hatton: $7,700 – Hatton has gotten progressively better at the Masters in each of his last 3 appearances (T9 last year). He’s off to a blazing start at this year’s Masters (-3) and seems to have the perfect game for the majors (he’s solid in all 4 of the strokes gained metrics).
Sergio Garcia: $7,400 – Garcia was red-hot coming into the Masters and has won a green jacket before, so he certainly knows how to get around Augusta National. He shot a solid opening round that could have been even better if some putts had dropped.
Cameron Young: $6,700 – Young is more of a large-field tournament play, but he rallied back after a slow start on Thursday to shoot even par. He hasn’t been very good on TOUR the last couple of years, but he’s looking for his 3rd straight top 10 at the Masters.
Salaries, Odds, In-Tournament Statistics, and Projections
Golf optimizer with PGA DFS projections
Table was updated at 9:30 PM ET.
| Golfer | POS | SCORE | T-Group | T-Time (ET) | OTT | APP | ATG | PUT | BS | T2G | SALARY | PROJ | FPTS/$ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 2 | -4 | 30 | 1:23 PM | 1.00 | 0.47 | 1.22 | 2.90 | 1.47 | 2.69 | $12,300 | 46.69 | 3.80 | |
| Rory McIlroy | 27 | E | 13 | 9:58 AM | 1.59 | 1.98 | -0.87 | -1.11 | 3.57 | 2.70 | $11,100 | 43.65 | 3.93 | |
| Collin Morikawa | 27 | E | 28 | 1:01 PM | 1.23 | 0.76 | -0.87 | 0.47 | 1.99 | 1.12 | $10,100 | 43.20 | 4.28 | |
| Ludvig Aberg | 2 | -4 | 13 | 9:58 AM | 2.09 | 1.24 | 1.93 | 0.32 | 3.33 | 5.26 | $9,900 | 38.87 | 3.93 | |
| Jon Rahm | 63 | 3 | 15 | 10:26 AM | -0.01 | -0.26 | 1.20 | -2.34 | -0.27 | 0.93 | $9,700 | 41.74 | 4.30 | |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 5 | -3 | 14 | 10:15 AM | 0.95 | 1.37 | 0.60 | 1.68 | 2.32 | 2.92 | $9,600 | 36.60 | 3.81 | |
| Justin Thomas | 38 | 1 | 30 | 1:23 PM | -1.74 | 0.05 | -0.51 | 2.80 | -1.69 | -2.20 | $9,400 | 39.34 | 4.18 | |
| Xander Schauffele | 38 | 1 | 12 | 9:47 AM | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.00 | -0.89 | 1.48 | 1.48 | $9,300 | 41.26 | 4.44 | |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 38 | 1 | 14 | 10:15 AM | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.75 | -1.41 | 1.25 | 2.00 | $9,100 | 39.64 | 4.36 | |
| Brooks Koepka | 51 | 2 | 11 | 9:36 AM | 0.81 | 0.90 | -2.27 | 0.15 | 1.71 | -0.56 | $9,000 | 34.79 | 3.87 | |
| Joaquin Niemann | 27 | E | 28 | 1:01 PM | 0.70 | 0.79 | -0.85 | 0.95 | 1.49 | 0.64 | $8,900 | 37.04 | 4.16 | |
| Shane Lowry | 11 | -1 | 14 | 10:15 AM | -0.54 | 2.31 | 0.07 | 0.75 | 1.77 | 1.84 | $8,800 | 36.69 | 4.17 | |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 38 | 1 | 15 | 10:26 AM | 0.70 | 2.02 | 0.84 | -2.98 | 2.72 | 3.56 | $8,700 | 38.09 | 4.38 | |
| Jordan Spieth | 38 | 1 | 31 | 1:34 PM | 0.79 | -2.12 | -0.32 | 2.23 | -1.33 | -1.65 | $8,600 | 32.76 | 3.81 | |
| Patrick Cantlay | 51 | 2 | 10 | 9:25 AM | 1.07 | 0.86 | -2.15 | -0.19 | 1.93 | -0.22 | $8,500 | 39.24 | 4.62 | |
| Russell Henley | 90 | 7 | 11 | 9:36 AM | -0.10 | -2.77 | -0.05 | -2.49 | -2.87 | -2.92 | $8,400 | 36.90 | 4.39 | |
| Viktor Hovland | 11 | -1 | 12 | 9:47 AM | -0.06 | 1.50 | -0.86 | 2.02 | 1.44 | 0.58 | $8,300 | 34.09 | 4.11 | |
| Corey Conners | 2 | -4 | 25 | 12:22 PM | 0.50 | 0.35 | 1.86 | 2.88 | 0.85 | 2.71 | $8,200 | 37.08 | 4.52 | |
| Will Zalatoris | 51 | 2 | 22 | 11:49 AM | 1.46 | 0.97 | -1.81 | -1.03 | 2.43 | 0.62 | $8,100 | 33.53 | 4.14 | |
| Min Woo Lee | 11 | -1 | 28 | 1:01 PM | -0.01 | 1.15 | 1.05 | 0.39 | 1.14 | 2.19 | $8,000 | 35.19 | 4.40 | |
| Robert Macintyre | 63 | 3 | 27 | 12:50 PM | -0.49 | -0.19 | 1.91 | -2.65 | -0.68 | 1.23 | $7,900 | 36.21 | 4.58 | |
| Cameron Smith | 11 | -1 | 23 | 12:00 PM | -0.95 | -1.47 | 2.57 | 2.44 | -2.42 | 0.15 | $7,900 | 33.94 | 4.30 | |
| Sepp Straka | 87 | 6 | 16 | 10:37 AM | -0.53 | 1.75 | -2.19 | -3.44 | 1.22 | -0.97 | $7,800 | 33.54 | 4.30 | |
| Akshay Bhatia | 7 | -2 | 13 | 9:58 AM | 0.23 | 0.00 | 2.01 | 1.35 | 0.23 | 2.24 | $7,800 | 32.37 | 4.15 | |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 5 | -3 | 31 | 1:34 PM | 0.29 | 2.77 | 1.62 | -0.09 | 3.06 | 4.68 | $7,700 | 36.17 | 4.70 | |
| Tony Finau | 63 | 3 | 32 | 1:45 PM | 0.85 | 0.14 | -0.70 | -1.70 | 0.99 | 0.29 | $7,700 | 35.51 | 4.61 | |
| Wyndham Clark | 73 | 4 | 15 | 10:26 AM | -0.07 | -0.54 | -0.62 | -1.19 | -0.61 | -1.23 | $7,600 | 32.15 | 4.23 | |
| Jason Day | 7 | -2 | 29 | 1:12 PM | 0.42 | 1.88 | 1.64 | -0.35 | 2.30 | 3.94 | $7,600 | 31.49 | 4.14 | |
| Keegan Bradley | 51 | 2 | 29 | 1:12 PM | 0.53 | -0.25 | 0.57 | -1.27 | 0.28 | 0.85 | $7,500 | 34.60 | 4.61 | |
| Patrick Reed | 11 | -1 | 26 | 12:33 PM | 1.06 | 1.95 | 0.21 | -0.62 | 3.01 | 3.22 | $7,500 | 31.67 | 4.22 | |
| Sergio Garcia | 27 | E | 9 | 9:14 AM | 0.91 | 2.78 | 0.76 | -2.86 | 3.69 | 4.45 | $7,400 | 34.76 | 4.70 | |
| Sungjae Im | 11 | -1 | 11 | 9:36 AM | -0.02 | -0.17 | 0.17 | 2.60 | -0.19 | -0.02 | $7,400 | 33.14 | 4.48 | |
| J.J. Spaun | 51 | 2 | 7 | 8:52 AM | 1.00 | -0.04 | -0.40 | -0.97 | 0.96 | 0.56 | $7,300 | 32.81 | 4.49 | |
| Daniel Berger | 11 | -1 | 9 | 9:14 AM | 0.11 | 0.46 | 1.64 | 0.38 | 0.57 | 2.21 | $7,300 | 30.29 | 4.15 | |
| Justin Rose | 1 | -7 | 7 | 8:52 AM | -1.10 | 2.72 | 1.70 | 5.27 | 1.62 | 3.32 | $7,300 | 28.50 | 3.90 | |
| Sahith Theegala | 27 | E | 16 | 10:37 AM | -0.72 | 1.01 | 0.05 | 1.24 | 0.29 | 0.34 | $7,200 | 31.64 | 4.39 | |
| Lucas Glover | 87 | 6 | 9 | 9:14 AM | -0.52 | 0.60 | -0.50 | -3.99 | 0.08 | -0.42 | $7,200 | 30.90 | 4.29 | |
| Maverick McNealy | 27 | E | 32 | 1:45 PM | 0.41 | -0.80 | 2.98 | -0.99 | -0.39 | 2.59 | $7,200 | 30.30 | 4.21 | |
| Denny McCarthy | 11 | -1 | 6 | 8:35 AM | -0.33 | 1.33 | 0.84 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 1.84 | $7,100 | 31.60 | 4.45 | |
| Taylor Pendrith | 81 | 5 | 24 | 12:11 PM | 0.67 | -1.76 | -1.71 | -0.60 | -1.09 | -2.80 | $7,100 | 31.45 | 4.43 | |
| Tom Kim | 38 | 1 | 31 | 1:34 PM | -0.66 | 0.70 | 0.51 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.55 | $7,100 | 30.89 | 4.35 | |
| Dustin Johnson | 51 | 2 | 8 | 9:03 AM | 0.35 | -0.70 | -0.17 | 0.12 | -0.35 | -0.52 | $7,100 | 27.66 | 3.90 | |
| Sam Burns | 38 | 1 | 16 | 10:37 AM | -0.41 | -0.06 | -1.72 | 2.78 | -0.47 | -2.19 | $7,000 | 31.49 | 4.50 | |
| Aaron Rai | 7 | -2 | 23 | 12:00 PM | 1.23 | 1.01 | 2.55 | -1.21 | 2.24 | 4.79 | $7,000 | 30.87 | 4.41 | |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 11 | -1 | 10 | 9:25 AM | 1.04 | 2.15 | -0.41 | -0.19 | 3.19 | 2.78 | $7,000 | 28.80 | 4.11 | |
| Phil Mickelson | 63 | 3 | 29 | 1:12 PM | -1.24 | -1.43 | 1.30 | -0.05 | -2.67 | -1.37 | $7,000 | 26.17 | 3.74 | |
| Michael Kim | 11 | -1 | 19 | 11:10 AM | -0.89 | 1.47 | 0.20 | 1.80 | 0.58 | 0.78 | $6,900 | 30.54 | 4.43 | |
| Billy Horschel | 81 | 5 | 27 | 12:50 PM | -1.11 | 1.33 | -2.01 | -1.62 | 0.22 | -1.79 | $6,900 | 29.44 | 4.27 | |
| Brian Harman | 11 | -1 | 25 | 12:22 PM | 0.67 | 0.83 | -0.46 | 1.55 | 1.50 | 1.04 | $6,900 | 29.38 | 4.26 | |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 73 | 4 | 18 | 10:59 AM | -0.67 | 0.08 | -0.10 | -1.72 | -0.59 | -0.69 | $6,900 | 27.98 | 4.06 | |
| Thomas Detry | 90 | 7 | 32 | 1:45 PM | 1.05 | -3.42 | -1.92 | -1.13 | -2.37 | -4.29 | $6,900 | 27.53 | 3.99 | |
| Adam Scott | 81 | 5 | 12 | 9:47 AM | -0.87 | -1.10 | -0.13 | -1.31 | -1.97 | -2.10 | $6,800 | 31.70 | 4.66 | |
| Byeong Hun An | 51 | 2 | 26 | 12:33 PM | -0.18 | -1.88 | 0.48 | 1.17 | -2.06 | -1.58 | $6,800 | 31.01 | 4.56 | |
| J.T. Poston | 51 | 2 | 23 | 12:00 PM | 0.44 | 0.27 | 0.22 | -1.34 | 0.71 | 0.93 | $6,800 | 30.55 | 4.49 | |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 38 | 1 | 10 | 9:25 AM | 1.26 | 0.24 | -0.55 | -0.37 | 1.50 | 0.95 | $6,800 | 26.66 | 3.92 | |
| Cameron Davis | 51 | 2 | 1 | 7:40 AM | 0.55 | -2.62 | -0.19 | 1.85 | -2.07 | -2.26 | $6,800 | 25.94 | 3.81 | |
| Davis Thompson | 11 | -1 | 21 | 11:38 AM | -0.42 | 2.71 | 1.21 | -0.91 | 2.29 | 3.50 | $6,700 | 31.92 | 4.76 | |
| Cameron Young | 27 | E | 19 | 11:10 AM | 1.52 | 0.37 | -0.19 | -0.11 | 1.89 | 1.70 | $6,700 | 31.31 | 4.67 | |
| Laurie Canter | 81 | 5 | 2 | 7:51 AM | -0.50 | -2.85 | -0.16 | 0.10 | -3.35 | -3.51 | $6,700 | 28.92 | 4.32 | |
| Max Greyserman | 11 | -1 | 26 | 12:33 PM | -0.03 | -2.16 | 1.11 | 3.68 | -2.19 | -1.08 | $6,700 | 28.83 | 4.30 | |
| Harris English | 7 | -2 | 24 | 12:11 PM | -0.45 | 3.32 | 0.43 | 0.29 | 2.87 | 3.30 | $6,700 | 28.42 | 4.24 | |
| Chris Kirk | 63 | 3 | 20 | 11:21 AM | 0.28 | -1.32 | -0.35 | -0.02 | -1.04 | -1.39 | $6,600 | 27.95 | 4.23 | |
| Tom Hoge | 27 | E | 5 | 8:24 AM | 1.18 | 0.88 | -4.14 | 3.67 | 2.06 | -2.08 | $6,600 | 27.64 | 4.19 | |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 73 | 4 | 5 | 8:24 AM | -1.58 | -0.82 | -0.17 | 0.16 | -2.40 | -2.57 | $6,600 | 26.84 | 4.07 | |
| Nick Dunlap | 95 | 18 | 27 | 12:50 PM | -4.87 | -6.70 | -3.36 | -1.48 | -11.57 | -14.93 | $6,600 | 26.06 | 3.95 | |
| Max Homa | 51 | 2 | 7 | 8:52 AM | 0.08 | -0.16 | -1.28 | 0.94 | -0.08 | -1.36 | $6,600 | 25.01 | 3.79 | |
| Stephan Jaeger | 27 | E | 25 | 12:22 PM | -1.15 | 0.73 | -0.21 | 2.22 | -0.42 | -0.63 | $6,500 | 30.11 | 4.63 | |
| Nick Taylor | 38 | 1 | 8 | 9:03 AM | 0.37 | -0.65 | 0.39 | 0.48 | -0.28 | 0.11 | $6,500 | 26.51 | 4.08 | |
| Matthieu Pavon | 87 | 6 | 4 | 8:13 AM | -1.70 | -1.08 | -2.37 | 0.74 | -2.78 | -5.15 | $6,500 | 23.21 | 3.57 | |
| Davis Riley | 38 | 1 | 17 | 10:48 AM | -1.57 | 2.16 | -0.08 | 0.09 | 0.59 | 0.51 | $6,500 | 22.37 | 3.44 | |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 38 | 1 | 21 | 11:38 AM | -1.50 | -0.35 | 0.57 | 1.87 | -1.85 | -1.28 | $6,500 | 22.19 | 3.41 | |
| Kevin Yu | 73 | 4 | 18 | 10:59 AM | -0.01 | -1.25 | 0.61 | -1.75 | -1.26 | -0.65 | $6,400 | 28.10 | 4.39 | |
| Austin Eckroat | 73 | 4 | 1 | 7:40 AM | -1.71 | -0.70 | -1.80 | 1.80 | -2.41 | -4.21 | $6,400 | 25.73 | 4.02 | |
| Adam Schenk | 38 | 1 | 2 | 7:51 AM | 0.06 | 1.69 | -1.89 | 0.72 | 1.75 | -0.14 | $6,400 | 25.60 | 4.00 | |
| Matthew McCarty | 11 | -1 | 5 | 8:24 AM | -0.06 | 3.64 | 0.93 | -1.93 | 3.58 | 4.51 | $6,400 | 25.53 | 3.99 | |
| Joe Highsmith | 73 | 4 | 20 | 11:21 AM | 0.98 | -1.56 | -1.43 | -0.40 | -0.58 | -2.01 | $6,400 | 25.43 | 3.97 | |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 63 | 3 | 18 | 10:59 AM | -0.04 | 0.74 | 0.02 | -2.13 | 0.70 | 0.72 | $6,300 | 26.46 | 4.20 | |
| Charl Schwartzel | 51 | 2 | 6 | 8:35 AM | 0.81 | -2.07 | 0.78 | 0.07 | -1.26 | -0.48 | $6,300 | 24.20 | 3.84 | |
| Brian Campbell | 27 | E | 3 | 8:02 AM | 0.43 | -0.79 | 1.27 | 0.68 | -0.36 | 0.91 | $6,300 | 23.54 | 3.74 | |
| Zach Johnson | 27 | E | 20 | 11:21 AM | 0.23 | -0.45 | 1.26 | 0.54 | -0.22 | 1.04 | $6,300 | 20.51 | 3.26 | |
| Danny Willett | 63 | 3 | 21 | 11:38 AM | -0.25 | -0.72 | 0.52 | -0.95 | -0.97 | -0.45 | $6,300 | 20.10 | 3.19 | |
| Patton Kizzire | 90 | 7 | 17 | 10:48 AM | -1.96 | -1.53 | -0.94 | -0.98 | -3.49 | -4.43 | $6,200 | 21.61 | 3.49 | |
| Bubba Watson | 11 | -1 | 4 | 8:13 AM | 0.13 | 1.10 | -0.40 | 1.76 | 1.23 | 0.83 | $6,200 | 19.84 | 3.20 | |
| Thriston Lawrence | 90 | 7 | 3 | 8:02 AM | 0.09 | 0.50 | -3.32 | -2.68 | 0.59 | -2.73 | $6,200 | 19.12 | 3.08 | |
| Fred Couples | 11 | -1 | 24 | 12:11 PM | -0.17 | -1.28 | 1.96 | 2.08 | -1.45 | 0.51 | $6,200 | 18.68 | 3.01 | |
| Bernhard Langer | 51 | 2 | 22 | 11:49 AM | -1.51 | -3.10 | 1.51 | 2.69 | -4.61 | -3.10 | $6,200 | 17.91 | 2.89 | |
| Jose Luis Ballester | 73 | 4 | 30 | 1:23 PM | 1.04 | 0.80 | -1.39 | -2.86 | 1.84 | 0.45 | $6,100 | 22.46 | 3.68 | |
| Rafael Campos | 63 | 3 | 1 | 7:40 AM | 1.51 | -1.45 | -1.39 | -0.08 | 0.06 | -1.33 | $6,100 | 18.49 | 3.03 | |
| Mike Weir | 63 | 3 | 19 | 11:10 AM | -1.80 | 1.57 | 0.90 | -2.08 | -0.23 | 0.67 | $6,100 | 18.30 | 3.00 | |
| Angel Cabrera | 63 | 3 | 2 | 7:51 AM | 1.35 | -1.64 | -0.98 | -0.15 | -0.29 | -1.27 | $6,100 | 18.10 | 2.97 | |
| Hiroshi Tai | 38 | 1 | 6 | 8:35 AM | 0.90 | -2.13 | 0.97 | 0.84 | -1.23 | -0.26 | $6,000 | 17.72 | 2.95 | |
| Evan Beck | 81 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 AM | -0.38 | -1.41 | 1.48 | -3.09 | -1.79 | -0.31 | $6,000 | 17.53 | 2.92 | |
| Jose Maria Olazabal | 81 | 5 | 3 | 8:02 AM | -2.26 | -1.48 | 0.68 | -0.35 | -3.74 | -3.06 | $6,000 | 17.34 | 2.89 | |
| Noah Kent | 90 | 7 | 22 | 11:49 AM | 1.18 | -3.20 | -1.03 | -2.37 | -2.02 | -3.05 | $6,000 | 17.14 | 2.86 | |
| Justin Hastings | 73 | 4 | 8 | 9:03 AM | -2.54 | -1.09 | 1.13 | 0.09 | -3.63 | -2.50 | $6,000 | 16.95 | 2.83 |
Image Credit: Imagn