PGA DFS: Round 2 Showdown Picks & Projections - Masters

PGA golfer Sergio Garcia

PGA DFS Round 2 Showdown Picks and Projections – Masters

Even though the Masters is one of the most predictable events of the year (arguably the most predictable), there are always a handful of chalky players who struggle out of the gates. If you targeted Sepp Straka, Russell Henley, Jon Rahm, Robert MacIntyre, or Lucas Glover in your lineups, you’ll need a small miracle to get 6-of-6. I’m sure there will be some Friday blowups as well, so it will be quite the sweat in Round 2.

Even though there were some big numbers on Thursday (shoutout to Nick Dunlap and his 90), it’s going to be a lot windier on Friday. The course is only going to get firmer and faster, so we can expect some major ejections over the next 3 days. I am putting even more of an emphasis on tee to green play for Round 2 Showdown contests. The morning does seem to have lower sustained winds, but I’m not going out of my way to stack that side of the draw.

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Weather Forecasts

Top-End Targets

Rory McIlroy: $11,100 – As someone who has a sizable outright on McIlroy, I was not thrilled to see him chip into the water on #15. He went from having a potential birdie look to a double bogey in the blink of an eye. Still, everything was solid today except for that chip. Perhaps heading into the second round a ways back from the leader will lead to slightly more aggressive play on Friday. He’s my favorite spend, as Scottie Scheffler is expensive and relied on a hot putter in Round 1.

Xander Schauffele: $9,300 – Schauffele got off to a shaky start on Thursday, but he rallied on the back nine to post a respectable score. I still see this as a major discount, even though his incoming form wasn’t elite. He did gain 11.2 strokes on approach in his last start before the Masters. He has a great track record here and an elite track record in the majors.

Patrick Cantlay: $8,500 – McIlroy wasn’t the only one to get bit by #15 today, as Cantlay decided to play with Olaf (he built a snowman). Other than that, he had a very nice day. The ball striking numbers look solid, and he’s been excellent tee to green all season. Like his friend Schauffele, he feels a tad underpriced for Round 2.

Value Plays

Tyrrell Hatton: $7,700 – Hatton has gotten progressively better at the Masters in each of his last 3 appearances (T9 last year). He’s off to a blazing start at this year’s Masters (-3) and seems to have the perfect game for the majors (he’s solid in all 4 of the strokes gained metrics).

Sergio Garcia: $7,400 – Garcia was red-hot coming into the Masters and has won a green jacket before, so he certainly knows how to get around Augusta National. He shot a solid opening round that could have been even better if some putts had dropped.

Cameron Young: $6,700 – Young is more of a large-field tournament play, but he rallied back after a slow start on Thursday to shoot even par. He hasn’t been very good on TOUR the last couple of years, but he’s looking for his 3rd straight top 10 at the Masters.

Salaries, Odds, In-Tournament Statistics, and Projections

Golf optimizer with PGA DFS projections

Table was updated at 9:30 PM ET.

Golfer POS SCORE T-Group T-Time (ET) OTT APP ATG PUT BS T2G SALARY PROJ FPTS/$
Scottie Scheffler 2 -4 30 1:23 PM 1.00 0.47 1.22 2.90 1.47 2.69 $12,300 46.69 3.80
Rory McIlroy 27 E 13 9:58 AM 1.59 1.98 -0.87 -1.11 3.57 2.70 $11,100 43.65 3.93
Collin Morikawa 27 E 28 1:01 PM 1.23 0.76 -0.87 0.47 1.99 1.12 $10,100 43.20 4.28
Ludvig Aberg 2 -4 13 9:58 AM 2.09 1.24 1.93 0.32 3.33 5.26 $9,900 38.87 3.93
Jon Rahm 63 3 15 10:26 AM -0.01 -0.26 1.20 -2.34 -0.27 0.93 $9,700 41.74 4.30
Bryson DeChambeau 5 -3 14 10:15 AM 0.95 1.37 0.60 1.68 2.32 2.92 $9,600 36.60 3.81
Justin Thomas 38 1 30 1:23 PM -1.74 0.05 -0.51 2.80 -1.69 -2.20 $9,400 39.34 4.18
Xander Schauffele 38 1 12 9:47 AM 0.97 0.51 0.00 -0.89 1.48 1.48 $9,300 41.26 4.44
Hideki Matsuyama 38 1 14 10:15 AM 0.65 0.60 0.75 -1.41 1.25 2.00 $9,100 39.64 4.36
Brooks Koepka 51 2 11 9:36 AM 0.81 0.90 -2.27 0.15 1.71 -0.56 $9,000 34.79 3.87
Joaquin Niemann 27 E 28 1:01 PM 0.70 0.79 -0.85 0.95 1.49 0.64 $8,900 37.04 4.16
Shane Lowry 11 -1 14 10:15 AM -0.54 2.31 0.07 0.75 1.77 1.84 $8,800 36.69 4.17
Tommy Fleetwood 38 1 15 10:26 AM 0.70 2.02 0.84 -2.98 2.72 3.56 $8,700 38.09 4.38
Jordan Spieth 38 1 31 1:34 PM 0.79 -2.12 -0.32 2.23 -1.33 -1.65 $8,600 32.76 3.81
Patrick Cantlay 51 2 10 9:25 AM 1.07 0.86 -2.15 -0.19 1.93 -0.22 $8,500 39.24 4.62
Russell Henley 90 7 11 9:36 AM -0.10 -2.77 -0.05 -2.49 -2.87 -2.92 $8,400 36.90 4.39
Viktor Hovland 11 -1 12 9:47 AM -0.06 1.50 -0.86 2.02 1.44 0.58 $8,300 34.09 4.11
Corey Conners 2 -4 25 12:22 PM 0.50 0.35 1.86 2.88 0.85 2.71 $8,200 37.08 4.52
Will Zalatoris 51 2 22 11:49 AM 1.46 0.97 -1.81 -1.03 2.43 0.62 $8,100 33.53 4.14
Min Woo Lee 11 -1 28 1:01 PM -0.01 1.15 1.05 0.39 1.14 2.19 $8,000 35.19 4.40
Robert Macintyre 63 3 27 12:50 PM -0.49 -0.19 1.91 -2.65 -0.68 1.23 $7,900 36.21 4.58
Cameron Smith 11 -1 23 12:00 PM -0.95 -1.47 2.57 2.44 -2.42 0.15 $7,900 33.94 4.30
Sepp Straka 87 6 16 10:37 AM -0.53 1.75 -2.19 -3.44 1.22 -0.97 $7,800 33.54 4.30
Akshay Bhatia 7 -2 13 9:58 AM 0.23 0.00 2.01 1.35 0.23 2.24 $7,800 32.37 4.15
Tyrrell Hatton 5 -3 31 1:34 PM 0.29 2.77 1.62 -0.09 3.06 4.68 $7,700 36.17 4.70
Tony Finau 63 3 32 1:45 PM 0.85 0.14 -0.70 -1.70 0.99 0.29 $7,700 35.51 4.61
Wyndham Clark 73 4 15 10:26 AM -0.07 -0.54 -0.62 -1.19 -0.61 -1.23 $7,600 32.15 4.23
Jason Day 7 -2 29 1:12 PM 0.42 1.88 1.64 -0.35 2.30 3.94 $7,600 31.49 4.14
Keegan Bradley 51 2 29 1:12 PM 0.53 -0.25 0.57 -1.27 0.28 0.85 $7,500 34.60 4.61
Patrick Reed 11 -1 26 12:33 PM 1.06 1.95 0.21 -0.62 3.01 3.22 $7,500 31.67 4.22
Sergio Garcia 27 E 9 9:14 AM 0.91 2.78 0.76 -2.86 3.69 4.45 $7,400 34.76 4.70
Sungjae Im 11 -1 11 9:36 AM -0.02 -0.17 0.17 2.60 -0.19 -0.02 $7,400 33.14 4.48
J.J. Spaun 51 2 7 8:52 AM 1.00 -0.04 -0.40 -0.97 0.96 0.56 $7,300 32.81 4.49
Daniel Berger 11 -1 9 9:14 AM 0.11 0.46 1.64 0.38 0.57 2.21 $7,300 30.29 4.15
Justin Rose 1 -7 7 8:52 AM -1.10 2.72 1.70 5.27 1.62 3.32 $7,300 28.50 3.90
Sahith Theegala 27 E 16 10:37 AM -0.72 1.01 0.05 1.24 0.29 0.34 $7,200 31.64 4.39
Lucas Glover 87 6 9 9:14 AM -0.52 0.60 -0.50 -3.99 0.08 -0.42 $7,200 30.90 4.29
Maverick McNealy 27 E 32 1:45 PM 0.41 -0.80 2.98 -0.99 -0.39 2.59 $7,200 30.30 4.21
Denny McCarthy 11 -1 6 8:35 AM -0.33 1.33 0.84 0.75 1.00 1.84 $7,100 31.60 4.45
Taylor Pendrith 81 5 24 12:11 PM 0.67 -1.76 -1.71 -0.60 -1.09 -2.80 $7,100 31.45 4.43
Tom Kim 38 1 31 1:34 PM -0.66 0.70 0.51 0.03 0.04 0.55 $7,100 30.89 4.35
Dustin Johnson 51 2 8 9:03 AM 0.35 -0.70 -0.17 0.12 -0.35 -0.52 $7,100 27.66 3.90
Sam Burns 38 1 16 10:37 AM -0.41 -0.06 -1.72 2.78 -0.47 -2.19 $7,000 31.49 4.50
Aaron Rai 7 -2 23 12:00 PM 1.23 1.01 2.55 -1.21 2.24 4.79 $7,000 30.87 4.41
Matt Fitzpatrick 11 -1 10 9:25 AM 1.04 2.15 -0.41 -0.19 3.19 2.78 $7,000 28.80 4.11
Phil Mickelson 63 3 29 1:12 PM -1.24 -1.43 1.30 -0.05 -2.67 -1.37 $7,000 26.17 3.74
Michael Kim 11 -1 19 11:10 AM -0.89 1.47 0.20 1.80 0.58 0.78 $6,900 30.54 4.43
Billy Horschel 81 5 27 12:50 PM -1.11 1.33 -2.01 -1.62 0.22 -1.79 $6,900 29.44 4.27
Brian Harman 11 -1 25 12:22 PM 0.67 0.83 -0.46 1.55 1.50 1.04 $6,900 29.38 4.26
Nicolai Hojgaard 73 4 18 10:59 AM -0.67 0.08 -0.10 -1.72 -0.59 -0.69 $6,900 27.98 4.06
Thomas Detry 90 7 32 1:45 PM 1.05 -3.42 -1.92 -1.13 -2.37 -4.29 $6,900 27.53 3.99
Adam Scott 81 5 12 9:47 AM -0.87 -1.10 -0.13 -1.31 -1.97 -2.10 $6,800 31.70 4.66
Byeong Hun An 51 2 26 12:33 PM -0.18 -1.88 0.48 1.17 -2.06 -1.58 $6,800 31.01 4.56
J.T. Poston 51 2 23 12:00 PM 0.44 0.27 0.22 -1.34 0.71 0.93 $6,800 30.55 4.49
Rasmus Hojgaard 38 1 10 9:25 AM 1.26 0.24 -0.55 -0.37 1.50 0.95 $6,800 26.66 3.92
Cameron Davis 51 2 1 7:40 AM 0.55 -2.62 -0.19 1.85 -2.07 -2.26 $6,800 25.94 3.81
Davis Thompson 11 -1 21 11:38 AM -0.42 2.71 1.21 -0.91 2.29 3.50 $6,700 31.92 4.76
Cameron Young 27 E 19 11:10 AM 1.52 0.37 -0.19 -0.11 1.89 1.70 $6,700 31.31 4.67
Laurie Canter 81 5 2 7:51 AM -0.50 -2.85 -0.16 0.10 -3.35 -3.51 $6,700 28.92 4.32
Max Greyserman 11 -1 26 12:33 PM -0.03 -2.16 1.11 3.68 -2.19 -1.08 $6,700 28.83 4.30
Harris English 7 -2 24 12:11 PM -0.45 3.32 0.43 0.29 2.87 3.30 $6,700 28.42 4.24
Chris Kirk 63 3 20 11:21 AM 0.28 -1.32 -0.35 -0.02 -1.04 -1.39 $6,600 27.95 4.23
Tom Hoge 27 E 5 8:24 AM 1.18 0.88 -4.14 3.67 2.06 -2.08 $6,600 27.64 4.19
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 73 4 5 8:24 AM -1.58 -0.82 -0.17 0.16 -2.40 -2.57 $6,600 26.84 4.07
Nick Dunlap 95 18 27 12:50 PM -4.87 -6.70 -3.36 -1.48 -11.57 -14.93 $6,600 26.06 3.95
Max Homa 51 2 7 8:52 AM 0.08 -0.16 -1.28 0.94 -0.08 -1.36 $6,600 25.01 3.79
Stephan Jaeger 27 E 25 12:22 PM -1.15 0.73 -0.21 2.22 -0.42 -0.63 $6,500 30.11 4.63
Nick Taylor 38 1 8 9:03 AM 0.37 -0.65 0.39 0.48 -0.28 0.11 $6,500 26.51 4.08
Matthieu Pavon 87 6 4 8:13 AM -1.70 -1.08 -2.37 0.74 -2.78 -5.15 $6,500 23.21 3.57
Davis Riley 38 1 17 10:48 AM -1.57 2.16 -0.08 0.09 0.59 0.51 $6,500 22.37 3.44
Nicolas Echavarria 38 1 21 11:38 AM -1.50 -0.35 0.57 1.87 -1.85 -1.28 $6,500 22.19 3.41
Kevin Yu 73 4 18 10:59 AM -0.01 -1.25 0.61 -1.75 -1.26 -0.65 $6,400 28.10 4.39
Austin Eckroat 73 4 1 7:40 AM -1.71 -0.70 -1.80 1.80 -2.41 -4.21 $6,400 25.73 4.02
Adam Schenk 38 1 2 7:51 AM 0.06 1.69 -1.89 0.72 1.75 -0.14 $6,400 25.60 4.00
Matthew McCarty 11 -1 5 8:24 AM -0.06 3.64 0.93 -1.93 3.58 4.51 $6,400 25.53 3.99
Joe Highsmith 73 4 20 11:21 AM 0.98 -1.56 -1.43 -0.40 -0.58 -2.01 $6,400 25.43 3.97
Jhonattan Vegas 63 3 18 10:59 AM -0.04 0.74 0.02 -2.13 0.70 0.72 $6,300 26.46 4.20
Charl Schwartzel 51 2 6 8:35 AM 0.81 -2.07 0.78 0.07 -1.26 -0.48 $6,300 24.20 3.84
Brian Campbell 27 E 3 8:02 AM 0.43 -0.79 1.27 0.68 -0.36 0.91 $6,300 23.54 3.74
Zach Johnson 27 E 20 11:21 AM 0.23 -0.45 1.26 0.54 -0.22 1.04 $6,300 20.51 3.26
Danny Willett 63 3 21 11:38 AM -0.25 -0.72 0.52 -0.95 -0.97 -0.45 $6,300 20.10 3.19
Patton Kizzire 90 7 17 10:48 AM -1.96 -1.53 -0.94 -0.98 -3.49 -4.43 $6,200 21.61 3.49
Bubba Watson 11 -1 4 8:13 AM 0.13 1.10 -0.40 1.76 1.23 0.83 $6,200 19.84 3.20
Thriston Lawrence 90 7 3 8:02 AM 0.09 0.50 -3.32 -2.68 0.59 -2.73 $6,200 19.12 3.08
Fred Couples 11 -1 24 12:11 PM -0.17 -1.28 1.96 2.08 -1.45 0.51 $6,200 18.68 3.01
Bernhard Langer 51 2 22 11:49 AM -1.51 -3.10 1.51 2.69 -4.61 -3.10 $6,200 17.91 2.89
Jose Luis Ballester 73 4 30 1:23 PM 1.04 0.80 -1.39 -2.86 1.84 0.45 $6,100 22.46 3.68
Rafael Campos 63 3 1 7:40 AM 1.51 -1.45 -1.39 -0.08 0.06 -1.33 $6,100 18.49 3.03
Mike Weir 63 3 19 11:10 AM -1.80 1.57 0.90 -2.08 -0.23 0.67 $6,100 18.30 3.00
Angel Cabrera 63 3 2 7:51 AM 1.35 -1.64 -0.98 -0.15 -0.29 -1.27 $6,100 18.10 2.97
Hiroshi Tai 38 1 6 8:35 AM 0.90 -2.13 0.97 0.84 -1.23 -0.26 $6,000 17.72 2.95
Evan Beck 81 5 4 8:13 AM -0.38 -1.41 1.48 -3.09 -1.79 -0.31 $6,000 17.53 2.92
Jose Maria Olazabal 81 5 3 8:02 AM -2.26 -1.48 0.68 -0.35 -3.74 -3.06 $6,000 17.34 2.89
Noah Kent 90 7 22 11:49 AM 1.18 -3.20 -1.03 -2.37 -2.02 -3.05 $6,000 17.14 2.86
Justin Hastings 73 4 8 9:03 AM -2.54 -1.09 1.13 0.09 -3.63 -2.50 $6,000 16.95 2.83

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Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

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