PGA DFS: Round 2 Showdown Picks & Projections - Valspar Championship

Showdown Picks and Projections – Round 2

Weather Forecasts

Round 2 Preview

Ladies and gentlemen, a round of applause is needed for the PGA Tour finishing the first round. We haven’t had a cut on Friday since October and we might get one this week!

Jokes aside, I can’t wait to see how my lineups are going to fall apart on Friday. I’m in too good of a spot after the first round, so there’s some carnage coming. As you can see from the forecast, it’s going to be windy on Friday. Sustained winds are stronger in the afternoon, but it looks like we could have stronger gusts in the morning. The course played 0.3 strokes easier for the morning wave in round one, but I’m not seeing an edge to either wave for round two.

Top Targets

  • Justin Thomas: $10,700
  • Adam Hadwin: $9,300

Tournament Targets

  • Matt Fitzpatrick: $9,600
  • Jhonattan Vegas: $7,800

Salary Savers

  • Ben Martin: $7,200
  • Seonghyeon Kim: $6,700

Salaries, Odds, In-Tournament Statistics, and Projections

LineupHQ w/ Projections
Golfer Pos Score Tee Group Tee Time OTT APP ATG SGP BS T2G DK Salary Proj Pt / $
Justin Thomas 12 -2 34 1:19 PM 1.29 0.39 1.83 -0.11 1.68 3.51 $10,700 48.3 4.51
Jordan Spieth 4 -4 32 1:08 PM 0.39 0.50 -0.02 4.51 0.89 0.87 $10,200 45.2 4.43
Tommy Fleetwood 7 -3 8 8:18 AM 0.68 1.17 1.28 1.26 1.85 3.13 $10,000 44.4 4.44
Justin Rose 32 E 8 8:18 AM 1.75 -0.81 1.02 -0.57 0.94 1.96 $9,700 43.6 4.49
Matt Fitzpatrick 96 3 8 8:18 AM -2.60 -0.61 -1.04 2.65 -3.21 -4.25 $9,600 43.6 4.54
Sam Burns 12 -2 32 1:08 PM 0.60 0.27 0.66 1.86 0.87 1.53 $9,500 41.8 4.40
Adam Hadwin 12 -2 26 12:35 PM 1.14 0.23 0.02 2.00 1.37 1.39 $9,300 43.8 4.71
Wyndham Clark 58 1 5 8:02 AM 1.06 1.35 -0.73 -1.29 2.41 1.68 $9,200 39.9 4.34
Denny McCarthy 58 1 39 1:47 PM -0.19 1.82 0.36 -1.60 1.63 1.99 $9,100 41.0 4.51
Justin Suh 58 1 42 2:03 PM 0.92 -2.67 -0.09 2.22 -1.75 -1.84 $9,000 39.9 4.44
Brian Harman 21 -1 10 8:29 AM 1.35 -0.52 0.79 0.77 0.83 1.62 $8,900 40.0 4.50
Ben Griffin 12 -2 41 1:58 PM 0.60 0.02 0.27 2.49 0.62 0.89 $8,800 40.0 4.55
Davis Riley 12 -2 41 1:58 PM 0.11 -0.77 0.24 3.80 -0.66 -0.42 $8,700 38.2 4.40
Gary Woodland 32 E 32 1:08 PM 1.01 0.00 0.26 0.12 1.01 1.27 $8,600 37.2 4.33
Brandon Wu 111 4 29 12:52 PM 0.26 0.94 -0.45 -3.36 1.20 0.75 $8,500 37.7 4.43
Maverick McNealy 4 -4 42 2:03 PM 0.58 0.81 1.08 2.93 1.39 2.47 $8,400 36.4 4.33
Stephan Jaeger 1 -5 37 1:36 PM 0.39 3.16 1.37 1.47 3.55 4.92 $8,300 36.5 4.39
Taylor Moore 32 E 25 12:30 PM 1.43 -1.71 0.19 1.48 -0.28 -0.09 $8,200 33.8 4.12
Victor Perez 21 -1 44 2:14 PM 0.80 0.13 -1.27 2.73 0.93 -0.34 $8,100 36.8 4.55
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 96 3 36 1:30 PM -0.14 -0.66 -2.45 1.64 -0.80 -3.25 $8,000 33.6 4.20
J.T. Poston 21 -1 34 1:19 PM 0.23 3.69 -0.24 -1.30 3.92 3.68 $7,900 38.2 4.84
Byeong-Hun An 7 -3 4 7:56 AM 0.34 2.44 1.98 -0.37 2.78 4.76 $7,900 32.9 4.16
Nick Taylor 58 1 7 8:13 AM 0.03 -0.74 2.23 -1.13 -0.71 1.52 $7,800 36.2 4.65
Jhonattan Vegas 96 3 6 8:07 AM 0.64 1.52 -1.41 -2.36 2.16 0.75 $7,800 36.2 4.64
Joel Dahmen 85 2 34 1:19 PM 0.02 -0.65 -0.54 0.55 -0.63 -1.17 $7,700 32.1 4.17
Akshay Bhatia 21 -1 44 2:14 PM -0.49 3.69 -0.64 -0.18 3.20 2.56 $7,700 32.1 4.17
Nate Lashley 111 4 1 7:40 AM -2.20 2.30 -0.88 -1.84 0.10 -0.78 $7,600 35.8 4.71
Sam Ryder 58 1 2 7:45 AM -0.37 -1.74 -0.91 3.40 -2.11 -3.02 $7,600 30.0 3.95
Robby Shelton 58 1 1 7:40 AM 1.20 0.52 -1.25 -0.08 1.72 0.47 $7,500 34.5 4.60
Eric Cole 96 3 18 9:13 AM -1.38 0.97 -0.84 -0.36 -0.41 -1.25 $7,500 34.1 4.55
David Lingmerth 58 1 28 12:46 PM -0.33 -0.52 1.40 -0.16 -0.85 0.55 $7,500 25.1 3.35
Alex Smalley 7 -3 25 12:30 PM -0.37 1.67 1.32 1.77 1.30 2.62 $7,400 36.2 4.90
Will Gordon 21 -1 42 2:03 PM 1.50 -0.30 -1.06 2.25 1.20 0.14 $7,400 36.0 4.86
Ben Taylor 140 8 37 1:36 PM -3.31 -2.01 -2.09 0.81 -5.32 -7.41 $7,400 33.0 4.47
Tyler Duncan 133 6 9 8:24 AM 1.26 -0.18 -1.70 -3.99 1.08 -0.62 $7,400 30.8 4.17
Dylan Wu 32 E 20 9:24 AM 0.64 -0.25 1.94 -0.93 0.39 2.33 $7,400 26.4 3.57
Mark Hubbard 21 -1 13 8:46 AM 0.88 1.06 0.53 -0.08 1.94 2.47 $7,300 34.2 4.68
Patrick Rodgers 21 -1 25 12:30 PM 0.85 0.53 1.21 -0.21 1.38 2.59 $7,300 31.2 4.28
Garrick Higgo 32 E 33 1:14 PM -0.28 2.39 0.08 -0.80 2.11 2.19 $7,300 30.4 4.16
Joseph Bramlett 32 E 5 8:02 AM -0.03 -0.89 0.80 1.50 -0.92 -0.12 $7,300 29.4 4.03
Luke List 111 4 12 8:40 AM 0.52 -0.71 0.75 -3.17 -0.19 0.56 $7,300 29.2 4.01
Kramer Hickok 7 -3 6 8:07 AM 0.12 1.19 0.77 2.30 1.31 2.08 $7,300 27.0 3.70
Ludvig Aberg 58 1 22 9:35 AM -0.20 -0.15 0.57 0.18 -0.35 0.22 $7,300 20.3 2.79
Ben Martin 12 -2 15 8:57 AM 0.77 3.19 0.71 -1.29 3.96 4.67 $7,200 34.1 4.74
Pierceson Coody 96 3 20 9:24 AM -2.70 -1.64 0.36 2.37 -4.34 -3.98 $7,200 32.8 4.56
Nick Hardy 58 1 21 9:30 AM -0.23 2.33 -0.21 -1.51 2.10 1.89 $7,200 32.1 4.46
Beau Hossler 85 2 40 1:52 PM 0.38 -0.47 0.50 -1.02 -0.09 0.41 $7,200 30.5 4.24
Lee Hodges 96 3 18 9:13 AM -0.38 0.27 -0.82 -0.69 -0.11 -0.93 $7,200 24.8 3.45
Kevin Streelman 85 2 3 7:51 AM -0.19 1.32 0.06 -1.80 1.13 1.19 $7,200 23.8 3.31
Ryan Gerard 58 1 48 2:36 PM 0.69 0.14 -1.59 1.15 0.83 -0.76 $7,200 20.6 2.87
Greyson Sigg 32 E 5 8:02 AM 1.13 1.35 -0.79 -0.31 2.48 1.69 $7,100 26.8 3.77
Lucas Glover 4 -4 33 1:14 PM 0.74 1.13 0.09 3.43 1.87 1.96 $7,100 25.5 3.59
Matthias Schmid 58 1 45 2:20 PM 0.32 0.38 -0.37 0.05 0.70 0.33 $7,100 24.5 3.45
Tano Goya 32 E 20 9:24 AM 1.57 0.27 1.21 -1.66 1.84 3.05 $7,100 24.1 3.39
Kevin Tway 58 1 14 8:51 AM -0.34 -1.30 0.62 1.42 -1.64 -1.02 $7,100 21.0 2.96
Webb Simpson 32 E 36 1:30 PM -0.47 1.27 0.50 0.09 0.80 1.30 $7,100 20.6 2.90
Harry Higgs 21 -1 24 9:46 AM 0.27 -0.37 0.79 1.70 -0.10 0.69 $7,100 16.1 2.26
Cameron Champ 32 E 9 8:24 AM 0.64 0.09 -1.17 1.83 0.73 -0.44 $7,100 14.9 2.09
Dylan Frittelli 111 4 15 8:57 AM -0.33 -1.89 1.14 -1.54 -2.22 -1.08 $7,000 25.4 3.63
Chesson Hadley 127 5 28 12:46 PM -1.95 -0.04 -1.95 0.33 -1.99 -3.94 $7,000 23.5 3.36
Erik Van Rooyen 21 -1 35 1:25 PM 0.53 1.91 1.14 -1.19 2.44 3.58 $7,000 23.4 3.34
Russell Knox 133 6 39 1:47 PM -0.74 -0.13 -1.77 -1.97 -0.87 -2.64 $7,000 22.7 3.25
Patton Kizzire 7 -3 38 1:41 PM 1.10 0.76 0.78 1.74 1.86 2.64 $7,000 22.0 3.15
Charley Hoffman 96 3 30 12:57 PM -1.30 -0.40 0.68 -0.60 -1.70 -1.02 $7,000 19.4 2.77
Austin Smotherman 58 1 41 1:58 PM -0.09 -0.70 0.60 0.58 -0.79 -0.19 $7,000 16.7 2.39
Chad Ramey 21 -1 7 8:13 AM 0.22 -1.30 0.78 2.69 -1.08 -0.30 $7,000 13.8 1.97
Trey Mullinax 111 4 12 8:40 AM 0.50 1.10 -1.52 -2.69 1.60 0.08 $6,900 28.9 4.18
David Lipsky 58 1 15 8:57 AM -0.75 -0.42 1.56 0.00 -1.17 0.39 $6,900 27.4 3.97
Harry Hall 111 4 43 2:09 PM 0.93 -2.09 1.06 -2.52 -1.16 -0.10 $6,900 25.9 3.75
Adam Long 32 E 4 7:56 AM -0.60 1.11 0.62 0.26 0.51 1.13 $6,900 25.6 3.71
Stewart Cink 12 -2 11 8:35 AM 0.28 2.28 1.53 -0.70 2.56 4.09 $6,900 22.8 3.31
Zach Johnson 96 3 10 8:29 AM 0.52 -0.58 0.14 -1.69 -0.06 0.08 $6,900 22.7 3.29
Vincent Norrman 32 E 46 2:25 PM 1.29 -0.15 -0.47 0.73 1.14 0.67 $6,900 21.7 3.15
Martin Laird 140 8 33 1:14 PM -2.38 -2.00 1.52 -3.75 -4.38 -2.86 $6,900 21.3 3.09
Augusto Nunez 133 6 23 9:41 AM -0.05 0.16 -1.98 -2.74 0.11 -1.87 $6,800 28.7 4.22
Matthys Daffue 12 -2 48 2:36 PM 0.08 0.86 1.01 1.43 0.94 1.95 $6,800 26.8 3.94
Michael Kim 58 1 27 12:41 PM -1.19 -1.26 0.40 2.44 -2.45 -2.05 $6,800 26.6 3.91
Peter Malnati 58 1 30 12:57 PM 1.08 -0.38 -1.05 0.74 0.70 -0.35 $6,800 24.7 3.63
Ryan Moore 96 3 38 1:41 PM -1.35 -0.01 0.56 -0.81 -1.36 -0.80 $6,800 20.7 3.04
Luke Donald 133 6 37 1:36 PM -2.89 0.13 0.39 -2.24 -2.76 -2.37 $6,800 20.0 2.94
Kevin Kisner 133 6 10 8:29 AM 0.21 -1.72 -0.82 -2.29 -1.51 -2.33 $6,800 19.0 2.80
Matthias Schwab 127 5 27 12:41 PM -2.95 -0.08 -0.22 -0.36 -3.03 -3.25 $6,800 16.8 2.47
Seonghyeon Kim 32 E 2 7:45 AM -0.48 2.14 0.69 -0.95 1.66 2.35 $6,700 33.4 4.99
Adam Schenk 1 -5 13 8:46 AM 1.14 0.21 1.52 3.53 1.35 2.87 $6,700 29.9 4.47
Matt Wallace 32 E 16 9:02 AM -0.23 1.90 0.19 -0.48 1.67 1.86 $6,700 27.5 4.10
John VanDerLaan 32 E 43 2:09 PM -0.14 -0.13 -0.29 1.95 -0.27 -0.56 $6,700 27.4 4.09
Troy Merritt 85 2 11 8:35 AM 1.09 0.07 -0.49 -1.29 1.16 0.67 $6,700 25.2 3.76
Justin Lower 85 2 26 12:35 PM 0.27 -0.54 0.97 -1.31 -0.27 0.70 $6,700 21.7 3.24
Michael Thompson 96 3 31 1:03 PM 0.82 -1.85 -0.73 0.14 -1.03 -1.76 $6,700 21.2 3.16
Carson Young 111 4 47 2:31 PM 0.84 -1.26 -1.59 -0.59 -0.42 -2.01 $6,700 18.0 2.69
Sam Stevens 111 4 43 2:09 PM -1.11 -0.68 -0.86 0.04 -1.79 -2.65 $6,600 28.2 4.28
James Hahn 85 2 13 8:46 AM -0.29 0.04 0.63 -1.00 -0.25 0.38 $6,600 22.2 3.37
Ryan Armour 32 E 16 9:02 AM 0.00 1.18 1.63 -1.42 1.18 2.81 $6,600 20.6 3.12
Nicolas Echavarria 111 4 12 8:40 AM 1.06 -0.23 -1.43 -2.02 0.83 -0.60 $6,600 20.1 3.04
Harrison Endycott 58 1 22 9:35 AM 0.15 -0.02 -0.41 0.67 0.13 -0.28 $6,600 19.3 2.93
Andrew Novak 58 1 46 2:25 PM 1.14 -1.66 0.51 0.39 -0.52 -0.01 $6,600 17.9 2.71
Doug Ghim 12 -2 16 9:02 AM 1.57 0.45 0.74 0.63 2.02 2.76 $6,600 16.6 2.52
Erik Barnes 58 1 44 2:14 PM 1.15 1.53 -0.03 -2.26 2.68 2.65 $6,500 29.5 4.55
Austin Cook 111 4 29 12:52 PM -0.37 -0.51 0.72 -2.45 -0.88 -0.16 $6,500 19.3 2.96
Paul Haley 58 1 45 2:20 PM -1.13 -1.03 0.72 1.83 -2.16 -1.44 $6,500 17.5 2.70
Henrik Norlander 58 1 40 1:52 PM 0.68 -1.36 -0.11 1.18 -0.68 -0.79 $6,500 17.2 2.65
Chez Reavie 58 1 31 1:03 PM 0.72 0.03 -0.93 0.58 0.75 -0.18 $6,500 16.3 2.51
Cole Hammer 127 5 17 9:08 AM -0.27 -1.05 -0.76 -1.54 -1.32 -2.08 $6,500 16.1 2.48
Wesley Bryan 133 6 30 12:57 PM -1.03 -3.11 0.22 -0.69 -4.14 -3.92 $6,500 11.0 1.69
Nick Gabrelcik 111 4 23 9:41 AM 1.53 1.83 -2.86 -3.10 3.36 0.50 $6,500 10.3 1.58
Carl Yuan 58 1 17 9:08 AM 0.57 -0.67 0.83 -0.34 -0.10 0.73 $6,400 26.8 4.19
Austin Eckroat 58 1 21 9:30 AM 0.81 -0.03 -0.04 -0.36 0.78 0.74 $6,400 24.5 3.83
Brice Garnett 85 2 14 8:51 AM 1.01 -1.62 -0.88 0.88 -0.61 -1.49 $6,400 20.9 3.27
Doc Redman 96 3 39 1:47 PM -0.06 -2.34 -0.58 1.37 -2.40 -2.98 $6,400 13.7 2.14
Jason Dufner 32 E 29 12:52 PM 0.00 1.65 -0.22 -0.04 1.65 1.43 $6,400 13.1 2.04
Martin Trainer 111 4 3 7:51 AM -0.38 -2.22 0.37 -0.37 -2.60 -2.23 $6,400 10.7 1.67
Jim Herman 111 4 7 8:13 AM -0.76 -1.32 -0.05 -0.48 -2.08 -2.13 $6,400 10.6 1.66
Jonathan Byrd 133 6 36 1:30 PM -1.68 -3.14 0.53 -0.32 -4.82 -4.29 $6,400 0.0 0.00
Kevin Roy 58 1 48 2:36 PM -0.19 1.04 -0.93 0.47 0.85 -0.08 $6,300 25.2 4.00
Zecheng Dou 32 E 19 9:19 AM 0.26 2.16 -0.90 -0.14 2.42 1.52 $6,300 19.6 3.12
Kyle Westmoreland 85 2 46 2:25 PM -0.49 -1.66 -0.30 1.84 -2.15 -2.45 $6,300 16.0 2.54
Tyson Alexander 85 2 4 7:56 AM 0.05 -0.65 1.77 -1.78 -0.60 1.17 $6,300 15.0 2.38
Jimmy Walker 85 2 28 12:46 PM 0.50 -0.41 -0.67 -0.04 0.09 -0.58 $6,300 11.0 1.75
Richy Werenski 32 E 31 1:03 PM -1.34 2.70 -0.97 0.99 1.36 0.39 $6,300 10.8 1.72
Brian Stuard 127 5 1 7:40 AM -4.39 1.12 -0.16 -0.18 -3.27 -3.43 $6,300 10.8 1.71
Hank Lebioda 32 E 40 1:52 PM 0.70 0.43 -1.13 1.39 1.13 0.00 $6,200 18.5 2.99
Trevor Cone 85 2 19 9:19 AM 0.18 -1.29 0.89 -0.39 -1.11 -0.22 $6,200 17.6 2.84
Zac Blair 32 E 6 8:07 AM 0.51 -1.61 0.44 2.06 -1.10 -0.66 $6,200 17.3 2.78
Brent Grant 111 4 17 9:08 AM 0.16 0.67 -0.83 -2.62 0.83 0.00 $6,200 14.5 2.34
Michael Gligic 127 5 23 9:41 AM -0.33 -0.57 -0.46 -2.25 -0.90 -1.36 $6,200 13.1 2.11
Kyle Stanley 111 4 27 12:41 PM -0.35 -1.67 0.59 -1.17 -2.02 -1.43 $6,200 10.6 1.72
J.B. Holmes 96 3 35 1:25 PM -0.28 -2.98 0.72 0.94 -3.26 -2.54 $6,200 10.4 1.67
Cameron Percy 58 1 38 1:41 PM -1.24 0.78 -0.50 1.34 -0.46 -0.96 $6,100 23.0 3.77
Trevor Werbylo 32 E 47 2:31 PM -1.25 1.37 0.73 0.54 0.12 0.85 $6,100 15.6 2.55
Robert Streb 32 E 11 8:35 AM 1.04 1.44 -0.57 -0.52 2.48 1.91 $6,100 14.8 2.43
Cody Gribble 58 1 3 7:51 AM 0.98 1.15 -1.85 0.10 2.13 0.28 $6,100 13.3 2.19
Scott Harrington 96 3 24 9:46 AM 0.12 0.11 -0.80 -1.04 0.23 -0.57 $6,100 12.6 2.07
Brandon Matthews 127 5 22 9:35 AM -1.02 -0.80 -2.71 0.92 -1.82 -4.53 $6,100 11.7 1.92
Rory Sabbatini 96 3 18 9:13 AM -0.47 -1.67 1.38 -0.85 -2.14 -0.76 $6,100 10.5 1.71
Alex Chiarella 144 9 47 2:31 PM -1.10 -3.58 1.05 -3.98 -4.68 -3.63 $6,100 10.0 1.64
Ryan Brehm 1 -5 35 1:25 PM 2.04 1.59 0.90 1.87 3.63 4.53 $6,000 11.8 1.97
Kelly Kraft 32 E 26 12:35 PM -0.08 -0.50 0.57 1.40 -0.58 -0.01 $6,000 10.6 1.76
Max McGreevy 111 4 2 7:45 AM -0.45 -1.78 -0.62 0.24 -2.23 -2.85 $6,000 10.5 1.75
Andrew Landry 32 E 9 8:24 AM 0.48 0.54 0.92 -0.56 1.02 1.94 $6,000 10.4 1.73
Greg Koch 140 8 21 9:30 AM -0.65 -2.09 -1.02 -2.85 -2.74 -3.76 $6,000 10.3 1.72
Danny Guise 21 -1 19 9:19 AM -0.54 0.18 -0.53 3.27 -0.36 -0.89 $6,000 10.2 1.70
Peter Knade 140 8 45 2:20 PM 0.62 -1.24 -3.03 -2.96 -0.62 -3.65 $6,000 10.1 1.68
Chris Nido 96 3 24 9:46 AM -0.17 -0.83 0.17 -0.78 -1.00 -0.83 $6,000 10.0 1.67

Image Credit: Getty Images

Showdown Picks and Projections – Round 2

Weather Forecasts

Round 2 Preview

Ladies and gentlemen, a round of applause is needed for the PGA Tour finishing the first round. We haven’t had a cut on Friday since October and we might get one this week!

Jokes aside, I can’t wait to see how my lineups are going to fall apart on Friday. I’m in too good of a spot after the first round, so there’s some carnage coming. As you can see from the forecast, it’s going to be windy on Friday. Sustained winds are stronger in the afternoon, but it looks like we could have stronger gusts in the morning. The course played 0.3 strokes easier for the morning wave in round one, but I’m not seeing an edge to either wave for round two.

Top Targets

*

Tournament Targets

*

Salary Savers

*

Salaries, Odds, In-Tournament Statistics, and Projections

LineupHQ w/ Projections
Golfer Pos Score Tee Group Tee Time OTT APP ATG SGP BS T2G DK Salary Proj Pt / $
Justin Thomas 12 -2 34 1:19 PM 1.29 0.39 1.83 -0.11 1.68 3.51 $10,700 48.3 4.51
Jordan Spieth 4 -4 32 1:08 PM 0.39 0.50 -0.02 4.51 0.89 0.87 $10,200 45.2 4.43
Tommy Fleetwood 7 -3 8 8:18 AM 0.68 1.17 1.28 1.26 1.85 3.13 $10,000 44.4 4.44
Justin Rose 32 E 8 8:18 AM 1.75 -0.81 1.02 -0.57 0.94 1.96 $9,700 43.6 4.49
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About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

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