PGA DFS Tournament Blog: FedEx St. Jude Championship Data Insights & Showdown Updates

My goal with this blog is to touch on various key data or course insights that I find valuable, and hopefully will aid in your process to help polish up your player pool, or perhaps even re-evaluate your process for the given week.

As we know with PGA DFS (and golf in general), every course and sometimes every round/day can play differently. This nuance makes PGA DFS both fun and also tricky to come to a simplified approach each week. I will use this blog to help steer through the fluff and focus on the most impactful data for each week. Check back throughout the tournament as I drop some interesting Showdown data nuggets that will help build your teams for the next day.

Thursday, August 11th, 9:15 PM ET: Round 2 Showdown Plays

Alright guys, had a minor sweat with about 5 holes to go this afternoon and caught about 5 bogeys from Jason Day, Fitzpatrick and Mullinax. Not an ideal finish, but I really like the process for this week’s course and going to stick with it for Round 3. Obviously, no placement points so we are just targeting the best rounds of the day, preferably the most birdies.

Let’s just jump into the plays because you will see a lot of overlap from Round 2.

Round 3 Showdown Plays

Patrick Cantlay 10100

Cameron Smith 9800
Matthew Fitzpatrick 9200
Will Zalatoris 9100
Cameron Young 9000

Sam Burns 8900
Collin Morikawa 8400

Keith Mitchell 7500
Brian Harman 7400
Maverick McNealy 7200

Adam Hadwin 6800

and if you’re looking for a few pivots, my sprinkles are as follows:

Justin Thomas 9300
Shane Lowry 8200
Adam Scott 7500
Adam Svensson 7200
Troy Merritt 6700

Thursday, August 11th, 9:15 PM ET: Round 2 Showdown Plays

Well the Playoffs are upon us which honestly means we are about to have a couple less-than-ideal weeks of golf considering no cuts, and smaller fields. Fortunately, based on the satellites that DraftKings has been offering we may have a couple Milly Makers to take a shot at which makes it a bit more fun.

As we transition into this first event of the playoffs, I was pretty disappointed from a few studs today and will likely chase them this week and even into the next event…for Showdown at least. As these guys (I’m looking at your Rory and Zalatoris) play poorly their ownership will drastically dip and people will go to others who played well. Not a bad thought process, but these guys will bounce back more often than play poorly for an extended period of time. My advice in these situations, take advantage of the crowd getting scared off and play them the following day. Stats won’t back it up, but their long-term history of beating fields by 3 to 4 shots will.

As far as other showdown options, the course was extremely gettable, so like I mentioned in my Expert Survey, birdie makers are extremely valuable. I will look to the same player pool I had for full-week contests, with an added emphasis on a few guys that played well T2G today.

Here is my short list of top plays. Again, all of these players are derived from my EAP data that focuses on weighted Opportunities and Spectrum data that provides a much more predictive Strokes Gained metric for every category.

Round 2 Plays
Rory McIlroy
Patrick Cantlay – likely will be the chalkiest play tomorrow so may warrant a fade based on your contests
Scheffler or Zalatoris

Sam Burns
Russell Henley

Taylor Pendrith
Keith Mitchell
Harold Varner III
Chez Reavie

Alex Smalley
Rickie Fowler

My goal with this blog is to touch on various key data or course insights that I find valuable, and hopefully will aid in your process to help polish up your player pool, or perhaps even re-evaluate your process for the given week.

As we know with PGA DFS (and golf in general), every course and sometimes every round/day can play differently. This nuance makes PGA DFS both fun and also tricky to come to a simplified approach each week. I will use this blog to help steer through the fluff and focus on the most impactful data for each week. Check back throughout the tournament as I drop some interesting Showdown data nuggets that will help build your teams for the next day.

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About the Author

  • Drew Mathews (Redkacheek)

  • Drew Mathews, aka Redkacheek, burst onto the PGA DFS scene in 2018 after winning the 2018 Masters Millionaire Maker. Drew’s background playing professional golf gave a unique perspective for the DFS crowd looking to improve their PGA process and overall understanding of Fantasy Golf and key statistics. Drew provides written and video content throughout the week, including the Fantasy Golf Bag Podcast and the Live RotoGrinders show: Drive for Show, DFS for Dough every Tuesday evening. Apart from PGA, Drew plays almost every other DFS sport available, always looking to learn more and find edges in the statistics that many overlook.

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