PGA DFS Picks - Expert Survey: Presidents Cup

Presidents Cup

Who is your favorite golfer for optimal lineups?

Notorious: Jordan Spieth
STLCardinals84: Jordan Spieth
redkacheek: Cameron Young
hondizzle: Jordan Spieth

Who is your favorite golfer for large field contests?

Notorious: Sam Burns
STLCardinals84: Corey Conners
redkacheek: Collin Morikawa
hondizzle: Tony Finau

Who is your favorite salary saver on the board?

Notorious: Taylor Pendrith
STLCardinals84: Taylor Pendrith
redkacheek: Taylor Pendrith
hondizzle: Tom Kim

Which golfer are you afraid of being underweight on compared to the field?

Notorious: Scottie Scheffler
STLCardinals84: Max Homa
redkacheek: Scottie Scheffler
hondizzle: Patrick Cantlay

Which high-priced golfer will you have little to no exposure to in tournaments?

Notorious: Hideki Matsuyama
STLCardinals84: Hideki Matsuyama
redkacheek: Hideki Matsuyama
hondizzle: Hideki Matsuyama

What type of golfers are you targeting most? (ie: bomber, short game specialist)

Notorious: All-Around
STLCardinals84: All-Around
redkacheek: All-Around
hondizzle: All-Around

Which statistic other than Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green are you weighing most?

Notorious: SG: OTT
STLCardinals84: SG: Approach
redkacheek: wGIR%
hondizzle: SG: Approach

Predict the winning score of the week (e.g., E, -5, -10).

Notorious: USA 19.5 – INT 10.5
STLCardinals84: USA 17 – INT 13
redkacheek: USA 17 – INT 13
hondizzle: USA 18- INT 12

Which useful trend or statistic stuck out most during your research?

Notorious: The USA has won eight straight Presidents Cup and has dominated the events on U.S. soil. While they lost a few big games to LIV golf, you could argue that the International team lost even more players. Before the recent LIV departures, the USA were -300 favorites. After Cameron Smith and a few others left, the line has moved all the way to -700. To get an idea of the mismatch, here are the total cumulative ratings in my model for each team: USA — 900.3, International — 653.5. The key from a DFS perspective is to play the golfers that you expect to play the most matches. Golfers can play up to five times in the event, but are only required to play twice. The four golfers that don’t tee it up on Day 1 are fairly easy to scratch off our list of potential targets.

STLCardinals84: Winning contests for this type of event always comes down to getting players who actually play in matches. Golfers are only required to play once outside of the singles session where everyone tees it up. It’s even more ideal if you can get golfers that are paired together. For example, some of the U.S. pairings seem obvious (Cantlay/Schauffele and Thomas/Spieth). Put them together in the same lineup to get double the points if they pull off some wins. We will know the first round pairings before rosters lock, so use that to your advantage as you build.

redkacheek: After LIV took a bunch of the top International team talent, this looks to be extremely lopsided on the American side. We know this rarely holds true in team events, so trying to find edges can be tricky. Essentially both teams are so young we can’t really use Wells Fargo course history so instead of eating the chalky values, I will look to go contrarian in this limited field to get some kind of leverage with the projected American runaway victory.

hondizzle: This week more than any other will have a ton more of guess work in terms of trying to project performance. Matches played will equal opportunity. My first suggestion for the week would be to target players from parings that have been successful in the past. For example, the combo of Spieth and Thomas should be a pairing that Captain Love plays often. My second suggestion would try to embrace the idea of playing whoever you think might be the best combo for The International team. Look at the first-round pairings to confirm your duo is playing together. Captain Immelmann does not have the luxury of resting any of his good players. The US squad is deep and can win this thing without pushing most players for the week. If there is a hot combo or player for the International team, one would think you have to ride that combo for the week. I am interested in seeing who plays with Tom Kim this week. The pairing of Kim with IM or Si Woo could end up being the best combo for the International team this week.

Who is your top contrarian golfer (when considering price, key stats, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?

Notorious: Sam Burns – We’ll have to see if he goes out on Day 1 and who he is paired with, but I have to think he’ll be one of the lower-owned options on the American team. He’s $8,800 on DraftKings, which is more expensive than the likes of Jordan Spieth, Collin Morikawa, and Tony Finau (who all have a lot of experience in these team events). Burns doesn’t have great course history at Quail Hollow and he didn’t finish the season on the best note (25th out of 30 golfers at the Tour Championship). I’m a big believer in his talent, so will be playing plenty of Burns if he’s going to be low owned.

STLCardinals84: This will entirely depend on how the initial matchups shake out. The International golfers will obviously carry low ownership. I’m hoping for a Canadian pairing of Conners and Pendrith, and if they are together in Day 1, I will definitely use them in some GPP builds. Conners is a great ball striker, and Pendrith has been playing with confidence. They could surprise in some team matchups, and I could see either player winning in singles, too.

redkacheek: This is really dependent on matchups. I want to target some players with some borderline poor recent form. Essentially the volatility of match play is something that may be undervalued by the public.

hondizzle: Sungjae Im – Proven tour talent playing in his second Presidents cup. One could argue that Im is the face of this team. Looking to improve on a 3-1 record in this format Im has the best chance of being the top International performer of the week. With value in minds of many when picking exposure to the international team, rostering the second most expensive player ( Im) is a great way to set your rosters up to be a bit different for the week.

Who is your top overall golfer (when considering price, key stats, projected ownership, etc.) on the board and why?

Notorious: Jordan Spieth – We can talk about his recent form, but this is strictly a play based on price and how many matches I expect him to play in. There’s a very good chance he gets paired with Justin Thomas and as long as the two get off to a good start, we could see them three or four times in the two-man team matches. With Dustin Johnson and Patrick Reed both unable to compete, Spieth is going to take on more of a leader role for the American team. And let’s face it, he’s going to be heavily favored in each match. As long as he doesn’t play awful, he’ll have an easy path to being one of the top per-dollar producers of the slate.

STLCardinals84: Justin Thomas – The obvious top plays are Cantlay and Schauffele, as they always tend to play well together as a team. However, they are also the two most expensive golfers on the board, and they are tough to fit together into a lineup. I prefer the Spieth/Thomas pairing. They also have a strong history when playing together, and I expect them to be vocal leaders for the USA team. On a points per dollar basis, I’ll start with Thomas — but I like both players very much.

redkacheek: Patrick Cantlay – There’s plenty of value this week to make any expensive player work but it’s hard to ignore Cantlay’s form all year. As far as ball striking, Cantlay can be an anomaly but when it comes to birdies he is in the Top 3 this week depending on how many matches he plays. That’s really the tricky part to figure out and will apply to all players.

hondizzle: Jordan Spieth – So the big question this week is how many American golfers will play all five matches. I am sure all of the big name guys want to play every match, but how many actually will play them all. When you factor in price vs expectation it’s hard to not like Jordan Spieth this week. In terms of experience Spieth is the elder of this team. If the much predicted combo of Spieth and Thomas takes care of business it’s not hard to see a path to 4 points for the team this week.

What is your hot take of the week?

Notorious: Taylor Pendrith ends up being the top point scorer for the International team.

STLCardinals84: Corey Conners and Taylor Pendrith both win in singles and they combine for two wins as a pair.

redkacheek: One of the American studs goes winless.

hondizzle: Tom Kim leads the INT squad in points for the week.

Presidents Cup

Who is your favorite golfer for optimal lineups?

Notorious: Jordan Spieth
STLCardinals84: Jordan Spieth
redkacheek: Cameron Young
hondizzle: Jordan Spieth

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About the Author

  • John Britt (jmbwngfn)

  • One of the top baseball and hockey analysts in the DFS industry, John Britt is a family man hailing from St. Louis, Missouri. A proud graduate of the University of Missouri, John’s passion is hockey but he excels at multiple DFS sports. He has been nominated multiple times for awards for his written work in both baseball (best MLB series) and hockey (3x NHL Writer of the Year nominee) and is now the Lead Editor at RotoGrinders. John can be found on Twitter at the username JMBWngFn.

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