PGA First Look: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

The PGA First Look is complete with a course preview, odds, salaries, Official World Golf Rankings, and course history.

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Event Preview

I somehow managed to survive my trip to the Waste Management Open. Unfortunately, my DFS week left me feeling the same way as I did leaving the course – broke and nursing a hangover. All kidding aside, it was a blast out there in Scottsdale. It was great to see Gary Woodland pick up the win after dealing with some hard times off the course last season. It would have also been great to see Chez Reavie hold up the trophy, but we can only have one winner each week. Everyone else in the field becomes a distant memory. This week the PGA Tour heads back to California for the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am. As it says in the name, this is another pro-am event, so get ready for four days of watching Bill Murray and Justin Timberlake swing a golf club.

In order to accommodate a full field of professionals and amateurs, the event features a three-course rotation. The golfers will play each course once before the cut is made, which does change the strategy a bit when it comes to fantasy golf. With all golfers guaranteed to play 54 holes, we can afford to take a few more chances in our player pool. As far as the cut goes, the top 60 professionals and ties will play the final round. The top 25 pro-am teams will also play on Sunday, although the scoring will only count for the professionals that actually made the cut. Here is a quick rundown of each of the three courses that the golfers will face this week:

Pebble Beach Golf Links — This is the host course for the event, which means it will be in the rotation for the first three days and then host the final round on Sunday. The course is a Par 72 that measures only 6,816 yards. The fairways here are quite generous in size, especially compared to the last few events. The greens are extremely small, measuring only 3,500 square feet on average. In fact, these are the smallest greens that golfers will see all year. They feature Poa Annua grass and should roll pretty slow with a stimp around 10.5.

Spyglass Hill Golf Club — This course will be played one time by each golfer. It is a Par 72 that measures 6,953 yards. The greens are larger than those of Pebble, but still only average 5,000 square feet. The course also features Poa Annua greens that will play at a stimp around 10.0.

Monterey Peninsula Country Club — This course will be played one time by each golfer. It is a Par 71 that measures 6,958 yards. This course features the largest greens that the golfers will see this week (7,000 square feet on average), but they are also Poa Annua. The greens will play a little quicker here with a stimp of 11.5.

Looking at each of the courses, we should quickly note that they are all less than 7,000 yards in length. Not only are these courses short, but they all feature four par fives. Driving distance is not a huge advantage this week, as these set up better as second shot golf courses. All three of the courses can be tough in the wind, but all three are score-able in calm conditions. Looking at the weather this week, Saturday looks like the only day that could cause some problems. The four main statistics that I will be targeting this week are: strokes gained approach, birdie or better percentage, par five scoring, and par four scoring. I will also take a peak at putting on Poa greens, as most golfers either know how to putt on them or get frustrated by them.

Cut Rule:With this being a pro-am event, the top 60 and ties will move on after three rounds.

Recent Winners of this Event: Jordan Spieth (2017), Vaughn Taylor (2016), Brandt Snedeker (2015), Jimmy Walker (2014), Brandt Snedeker (2013)

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Approach
2) Birdie or Better %
3) Par 5 Scoring
4) Par 4 Scoring
5) Strokes Gained Putting (Emphasis on Poa)

Salaries, Odds, and Course History (2013-2017)

Golfer DK Salary FD Salary FDRFT Salary OWGR Odds DK Odds FD Odds FDRFT Odds 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
Dustin Johnson $11,700 $12,800 $17,200 1 6 0% 0% 0% 3 41 4 2 90
Jon Rahm $11,400 $12,400 $16,800 2 9 0% 0% 0% 5 500 500 500 500
Rory McIlroy $11,100 $12,000 $16,200 8 10 0% 40% 25% 500 500 500 500 500
Jason Day $10,900 $12,300 $16,400 10 10 0% -33% -33% 5 11 4 65 6
Jordan Spieth $10,700 $12,200 $16,000 3 11 0% -25% 0% 1 21 7 4 22
Gary Woodland $9,900 $11,100 $15,400 26 25 0% 33% 14% 5 500 500 500 500
Phil Mickelson $9,600 $10,900 $15,400 41 29 -14% 27% -14% 65 2 500 19 60
Paul Casey $9,400 $11,600 $15,500 17 28 13% -17% -17% 500 500 500 500 500
Branden Grace $9,100 $11,000 $15,000 28 38 -56% -40% -17% 500 500 500 500 500
Patrick Cantlay $8,900 $10,400 $15,000 38 37 -30% 13% -8% 48 500 500 500 9
Matt Kuchar $8,800 $11,500 $15,300 18 33 18% -29% 0% 89 500 500 500 500
Adam Scott $8,700 $11,400 $14,300 43 51 -42% -113% -6% 500 500 500 500 500
Pat Perez $8,600 $10,300 $15,200 19 35 23% 38% 0% 14 41 4 7 50
Chesson Hadley $8,500 $9,500 $14,300 68 50 -14% 33% 0% 500 101 10 10 500
James Hahn $8,400 $9,100 $13,600 60 71 -73% 16% 0% 58 101 29 123 3
Beau Hossler $8,300 $8,800 $13,400 217 80 -75% 22% 0% 78 500 500 500 500
Kevin Kisner $8,200 $10,600 $14,400 31 46 12% -7% 0% 10 500 77 65 500
Brandt Snedeker $8,100 $10,900 $15,100 67 36 39% 0% 0% 4 35 1 113 1
Chez Reavie $8,000 $9,800 $14,200 61 53 5% 10% 0% 78 26 91 500 62
Kevin Chappell $7,900 $10,100 $14,100 34 57 5% -6% 0% 48 90 18 35 84
Patrick Reed $7,900 $10,700 $15,000 24 36 40% 8% 0% 23 6 29 13 7
Bubba Watson $7,800 $9,400 $13,200 115 86 -36% -20% -3% 500 70 500 500 500
Nick Watney $7,700 $8,500 $12,700 360 107 -57% 18% -9% 14 500 2 92 119
Jimmy Walker $7,700 $8,500 $12,500 84 122 -78% 7% -8% 55 11 21 1 3
Rory Sabbatini $7,700 $7,800 $11,500 309 208 -187% 6% -8% 48 120 91 500 119
Kevin Na $7,600 $9,000 $12,500 97 115 -50% -15% -3% 500 120 118 4 22
Seamus Power $7,600 $8,300 $11,500 318 196 -142% -24% -3% 39 500 500 500 500
Nick Taylor $7,600 $8,000 $11,700 197 172 -100% 12% 4% 10 30 129 500 500
Martin Piller $7,600 $7,700 $11,000 209 253 -177% 10% -4% 500 81 500 500 500
Andrew Putnam $7,600 $7,400 $10,700 356 287 -208% 18% 0% 500 500 146 500 500
Shane Lowry $7,500 $9,400 $13,800 69 66 29% 12% -5% 14 41 21 500 500
Brian Gay $7,500 $8,500 $12,200 162 126 -35% 5% 0% 66 58 500 45 500
Paul Dunne $7,500 $8,000 $12,700 80 100 -6% 44% 0% 500 112 500 500 500
Jerry Kelly $7,500 $8,300 $11,600 414 180 -81% -10% 0% 134 500 500 131 84
Vijay Singh $7,500 $7,200 $10,700 428 289 -165% 28% -3% 151 147 34 100 50
Cody Gribble $7,500 $7,500 $10,600 329 341 -226% -9% -19% 119 500 500 500 500
J.B. Holmes $7,400 $9,700 $13,900 81 61 46% 9% 0% 23 11 10 500 50
Brice Garnett $7,400 $7,700 $10,900 212 261 -103% 6% 1% 500 134 500 19 500
Aaron Baddeley $7,400 $7,900 $11,500 227 196 -70% 2% -3% 500 51 54 56 12
Jonathan Byrd $7,400 $7,200 $10,400 280 361 -186% 7% 0% 500 51 65 500 500
Julian Suri $7,400 $7,900 $11,800 66 176 -46% 16% -15% 500 500 500 500 500
Jim Herman $7,400 $7,000 $10,300 204 413 -208% 11% -2% 119 17 500 27 101
Sang-Moon Bae $7,400 $7,500 $10,300 426 -211% -24% -3% 500 500 500 107 500
Eric Axley $7,400 $7,000 $10,200 679 478 -232% 4% -4% 500 500 60 500 500
Charley Hoffman $7,300 $9,800 $13,800 23 68 47% -20% -14% 100 500 500 149 500
Kevin Streelman $7,300 $8,700 $13,000 167 87 31% 18% 3% 14 17 112 500 40
Stewart Cink $7,300 $8,700 $11,800 144 153 -2% -21% 2% 55 21 500 500 500
Keith Mitchell $7,300 $7,400 $10,600 354 289 -82% 16% 4% 500 500 500 500 500
Cameron Percy $7,300 $7,600 $10,600 411 334 -118% -11% -15% 10 145 57 500 500
Stephan Jaeger $7,300 $7,400 $10,400 302 376 -140% -10% -2% 500 500 500 500 500
Daniel Summerhays $7,300 $7,600 $10,800 195 284 -76% 10% -3% 100 128 45 19 101
Dominic Bozzelli $7,300 $7,700 $10,200 285 442 -158% -45% 2% 126 500 500 500 500
Corey Conners $7,200 $8,100 $11,000 583 233 -30% -25% 0% 500 500 500 500 500
Rob Oppenheim $7,200 $7,300 $10,600 243 303 -66% 19% -4% 8 70 500 500 500
Johnson Wagner $7,200 $7,400 $10,500 368 355 -94% -5% -4% 500 500 65 500 128
Colt Knost $7,200 $7,100 $10,300 632 405 -113% 6% -1% 500 51 41 500 500
Brett Stegmaier $7,200 $7,100 $10,200 700 497 -136% -4% -6% 146 101 500 500 500
Will Zalatoris $7,200 $7,400 $10,100 597 -166% -44% -5% 500 500 500 500 500
Rod Pampling $7,200 $7,800 $10,300 277 461 -128% -73% -8% 142 136 65 113 60
Brendon De Jonge $7,200 $7,000 $10,000 792 -183% -17% -1% 134 69 65 65 46
Chris Kirk $7,100 $8,900 $13,500 160 74 56% 23% 0% 39 500 91 61 2
Steve Stricker $7,100 $9,100 $12,100 127 134 30% -39% 2% 23 101 500 500 500
Robert Garrigus $7,100 $8,000 $11,600 198 193 -2% -5% -11% 23 140 107 27 22
Trey Mullinax $7,100 $7,700 $10,800 367 261 -23% 6% 3% 14 500 500 500 500
Scott Brown $7,100 $8,100 $11,000 132 242 -16% -29% -3% 58 90 62 78 30
Benjamin Silverman $7,100 $7,800 $10,700 254 296 -43% -24% -9% 500 500 500 500 500
Derek Fathauer $7,100 $7,300 $10,700 347 289 -34% 25% -3% 23 51 41 500 500
Cameron Tringale $7,100 $7,300 $10,600 350 308 -49% 17% -7% 100 500 500 13 22
Ted Potter $7,100 $7,200 $10,500 246 339 -64% 12% -1% 500 500 500 127 16
Patrick Rodgers $7,100 $8,000 $11,000 191 237 -15% -19% -1% 500 500 500 500 500
Austin Cook $7,000 $10,000 $13,800 111 69 65% -32% -19% 500 500 500 500 500
Scott Piercy $7,000 $9,400 $13,100 121 88 55% -28% -3% 55 500 500 500 500
Sam Saunders $7,000 $8,200 $11,800 220 161 31% 8% -4% 78 81 91 500 50
Brandon Harkins $7,000 $8,500 $12,200 234 139 38% 0% -5% 500 500 500 500 500
Grayson Murray $7,000 $8,600 $11,900 125 149 37% -13% 0% 119 500 500 500 500
Xin-Jun Zhang $7,000 $7,200 $10,200 301 458 -69% -5% -2% 500 500 500 500 500
Mac Hughes $7,000 $7,800 $10,400 163 385 -56% -59% -5% 10 500 500 500 500
Ken Duke $7,000 $7,000 $10,200 844 503 -77% 2% -7% 23 140 54 92 50
Roberto Diaz $7,000 $7,000 $10,100 555 658 -103% -13% -7% 500 500 500 500 500
Matt Atkins $7,000 $7,000 $10,100 451 653 -101% -12% -7% 500 500 500 500 500
Jason Kokrak $6,900 $9,200 $13,200 130 82 64% 3% 0% 23 30 112 19 84
Bryson DeChambeau $6,900 $9,600 $13,700 85 68 72% 0% 8% 111 500 500 500 500
Rafael Cabrera-Bello $6,900 $10,200 $13,800 21 65 74% -24% 0% 500 500 500 65 137
Vaughn Taylor $6,900 $8,400 $12,500 269 111 53% 21% 0% 111 1 10 500 71
Ryan Armour $6,900 $8,200 $11,800 171 163 38% 6% -6% 111 500 29 500 500
Scott Stallings $6,900 $7,600 $11,800 278 172 35% 40% -13% 14 500 500 500 500
Brian Stuard $6,900 $8,400 $11,500 183 186 25% -27% 0% 111 81 21 500 30
Talor Gooch $6,900 $7,900 $11,000 207 254 9% -16% -7% 500 500 500 500 500
Kelly Kraft $6,900 $7,400 $10,600 225 282 4% 20% 8% 2 70 500 500 40
Jonathan Randolph $6,900 $7,000 $10,300 256 403 -38% 13% 0% 146 500 139 500 500
Troy Merritt $6,900 $7,000 $10,100 520 564 -67% -5% -1% 89 81 107 78 500
Fabian Gomez $6,900 $7,400 $10,200 506 528 -59% -32% -9% 500 500 57 65 128
Matt Jones $6,800 $7,900 $11,800 260 164 45% 20% -9% 23 11 7 45 30
William McGirt $6,800 $9,100 $11,800 104 156 49% -52% 0% 66 101 21 100 16
Ben Martin $6,800 $8,600 $11,200 223 228 28% -68% 1% 89 140 500 92 500
Luke Donald $6,800 $8,100 $11,600 166 180 40% -2% 0% 23 26 500 500 500
Bronson Burgoon $6,800 $7,100 $10,500 442 361 -12% 13% -5% 500 21 500 500 500
Tom Lovelady $6,800 $7,300 $10,600 351 326 -2% 13% -12% 500 500 500 500 500
JT Poston $6,800 $8,100 $10,800 314 292 9% -55% -10% 66 500 500 500 500
Padraig Harrington $6,800 $7,600 $11,600 168 183 35% 32% -7% 100 21 91 27 84
Ben Crane $6,800 $7,600 $10,500 433 326 -2% -8% 4% 500 500 500 500 500
Ernie Els $6,800 $7,000 $10,500 601 361 -12% 19% -5% 500 500 118 500 500
George McNeill $6,800 $7,200 $10,100 581 -47% -20% -2% 500 500 500 52 500
David Solomon $6,800 $7,000 $10,000 1333 -67% -21% -5% 500 500 500 500 500
Charlie Beljan $6,800 $7,000 $10,200 589 -49% -9% -18% 500 136 3 138 71
Mike Weir $6,800 $7,000 $10,000 917 -65% -20% -3% 119 152 152 100 50
Russell Knox $6,700 $9,300 $12,700 83 104 68% -21% -3% 500 112 500 27 28
Cameron Davis $6,700 $7,800 $11,700 182 179 49% 21% -2% 500 500 500 500 500
Sean O’Hair $6,700 $8,600 $11,500 118 197 39% -63% -7% 66 35 29 56 16
Lanto Griffin $6,700 $7,500 $10,600 342 316 13% 0% -9% 500 500 500 500 500
Ryan Blaum $6,700 $7,700 $10,600 334 305 16% -13% -6% 111 500 500 500 500
Tyrone Van Aswegen $6,700 $7,900 $10,700 341 295 20% -34% -8% 100 60 91 127 500
David Hearn $6,700 $7,800 $10,600 327 304 17% -27% -5% 89 30 21 500 500
Ricky Barnes $6,700 $7,800 $10,500 353 334 8% -40% 1% 48 41 118 131 101
Tyler Duncan $6,700 $7,000 $10,300 445 -9% 9% -4% 500 500 500 500 500
J.J. Henry $6,700 $7,400 $10,400 470 384 -3% -12% -4% 500 70 45 131 69
Zac Blair $6,700 $7,400 $10,400 419 371 0% -9% -1% 48 60 91 500 500
Adam Schenk $6,700 $7,500 $10,200 310 453 -10% -27% 0% 500 500 500 500 500
D.A. Points $6,700 $7,000 $10,200 295 472 -14% 5% -3% 39 70 65 64 71
K.J. Choi $6,700 $7,100 $10,200 722 511 -20% -7% -8% 100 128 500 100 500
Tim Herron $6,700 $7,100 $10,100 1130 750 -39% -24% -11% 500 120 129 500 500
Jason Bohn $6,700 $7,000 $10,000 1055 819 -41% -18% -2% 126 58 65 78 40
Tom Hoge $6,600 $8,400 $11,900 192 158 61% 0% -7% 39 41 112 500 500
Billy Horschel $6,600 $8,800 $12,600 74 116 67% -11% -11% 500 500 45 500 28
Russell Henley $6,600 $9,300 $12,600 56 108 70% -32% -3% 500 112 500 52 500
Aaron Wise $6,600 $7,700 $11,600 210 182 52% 26% -5% 500 500 500 500 500
Graeme McDowell $6,600 $8,600 $12,500 211 106 72% 13% 8% 500 500 500 500 500
Hunter Mahan $6,600 $7,900 $11,400 615 228 46% -5% 0% 100 70 54 6 16
Maverick McNealy $6,600 $8,000 $11,500 1170 181 53% 2% 5% 500 500 500 500 500
Chris Stroud $6,600 $7,800 $11,000 176 267 37% -10% -12% 78 81 45 500 90
Nate Lashley $6,600 $7,400 $10,600 275 324 24% 4% -11% 500 500 500 500 500
Alex Cejka $6,600 $7,800 $10,600 208 311 25% -31% -8% 39 41 34 56 137
Robert Streb $6,600 $7,800 $11,000 179 253 41% -3% -4% 66 500 500 32 119
Shawn Stefani $6,600 $7,500 $10,600 362 329 21% -4% -14% 500 500 500 500 90
Richy Werenski $6,600 $7,700 $10,400 291 379 11% -36% -3% 58 500 500 500 500
Billy Hurley $6,600 $7,000 $10,100 266 581 -11% -7% -2% 131 51 45 500 500
Kyle Thompson $6,600 $7,000 $10,100 374 689 -18% -13% -8% 500 500 500 500 500
Dou Zecheng $6,600 $7,000 $10,000 728 -19% -14% 1% 500 500 500 500 500
David Duval $6,600 $7,000 $10,000 1097 -25% -20% -4% 111 101 138 35 137
Jonas Blixt $6,500 $7,300 $10,600 294 288 42% 26% 5% 58 3 91 500 500
Sam Ryder $6,500 $7,100 $10,200 296 508 9% -6% -8% 500 500 500 500 500
Nicholas Lindheim $6,500 $7,400 $10,500 306 353 27% -4% -3% 126 500 500 500 500
Joel Dahmen $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 549 567 3% -6% -1% 48 500 500 500 500
Peter Malnati $6,500 $7,700 $10,100 711 553 6% -64% 2% 131 66 500 78 500
Rick Lamb $6,500 $7,200 $10,200 408 556 6% -16% -12% 62 500 500 500 500
Matt Every $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 742 453 15% 7% -1% 142 500 500 100 30
Ethan Tracy $6,500 $7,000 $10,000 527 747 -6% -16% 0% 500 500 500 500 500
Angel Cabrera $6,500 $7,100 $10,200 1018 489 11% -3% -5% 500 500 500 500 500
Peter Jacobsen $6,500 $7,000 $10,000 2306 -11% -22% -5% 500 500 500 500 500
Derek Ernst $6,500 $7,100 $10,100 1010 639 -1% -18% -6% 500 140 129 500 137
Steve Wheatcroft $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 594 558 5% -4% 1% 500 134 51 500 500
Denny McCarthy $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 612 558 5% -4% -13% 500 500 500 500 500
Greg Chalmers $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 477 592 0% -9% -4% 119 128 51 149 500
Shane Bertsch $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 733 -5% -15% -10% 500 35 500 500 500
Conrad Shindler $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 390 533 7% -2% -10% 500 500 500 500 500
Andrew Yun $6,500 $7,000 $10,000 444 819 -8% -18% -2% 500 500 500 500 500

Color Coding
Course history in BLUE indicates a top ten finish.
Course history in GREEN indicates a top 25 finish.
Course history in YELLOW indicates a made cut with a finish outside of the top 25.
Course history in RED indicates a missed cut.

Legend

Term Description
Site Odds The percentage differential between a golfer’s salary rank and odds rank. The higher the %, the better.
OWGR Official World Golf Ranking
Cuts Cut record of each golfer at this course in the last five seasons.
2013 – 2016 Columns Course history at this event in the last five seasons.

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious