PGA First Look: Dell Technologies Championship

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2018-08-28 20:04:44

The PGA First Look is complete with a course preview, odds, salaries, Official World Golf Rankings, and course history.

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Event Preview

Bryson DeChambeau ran away from the field last week to take the lead in the FedExCup and all but secure a Ryder Cup berth. While there are only three weeks left in the season, at least they will be star-studded weeks. The top 100 in the FedExCup rankings will play this week in Boston with the exception of two golfers who have already withdrawn — Rickie Fowler and Francesco Molinari. With the same cut rule as always (top 70 and ties move on), we are going to see at a minimum 71% of the golfers make the cut this week. This is certainly of note, as it should change our lineup building approach in DFS. With so many golfers making the cut, it devalues golfers that are consistent cut makers and increases the value of golfers that have upside.

This week’s event will be held at TPC Boston. It has been a staple on the PGA Tour for quite some time, so it’s a little sad that this event is going away after this season. The FedExCup will be cut down to three events next year, although TPC Boston will host the Northern Trust every few years. It’s a Par 71 that measures 7,342 yards. There are two very reachable par fives (530 and 542 yards) that must be taken advantage of. The par threes are all lengthy and five of the par fours measure at least 460 yards. If you look at the shot dispersion over the last five years, the three leading ranges are 150-175, 175-200, and 200+. This places an emphasis on long iron play (hello, Tiger).

As far as off the tee is concerned, I found an interesting stat with this course. Compared to the PGA Tour average, more fairways are hit and the average driving distance is higher. We typically see an inverse correlation between those two. We should see plenty of drivers this week, as these fairways average 38 yards wide (some of the widest on tour). The greens are fairly small and made of bentgrass. The greens are expected to play fast (hello, Tiger), even though the conditions may be soft with a few rainstorms in the forecast leading up to the tournaments. In order to contend this week, you have to be aggressive, which once again plays into the strategy of targeting boom or bust golfers.

If you can find a ball striker that can putt, you should feel good about his chances this week. One final note — the tournament will start on Friday this week. They always have this tournament finish on Labor Day. Be sure to check out all of our great premium content and good luck this week.

Cut Rule: Top 70 and ties move on after the first two rounds. There is no MDF in the FedExCup.

Recent Winners of this Event:Justin Thomas (2017), Rory McIlroy (2016), Rickie Fowler (2015), Chris Kirk (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013)

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Approach
2) Birdie or Better Percentage
3) Par 5 Scoring
4) Strokes Gained Off the Tee
5) Strokes Gained Putting (Emphasis on Bentgrass)

Hole by Hole Breakdown

Salaries, Odds, and Course History (2013-2017)

Golfer	DK Salary	FD Salary	FDRFT Salary	OWGR	Odds	DK Odds	FD Odds	FDRFT Odds	Cuts	2017	2016	2015	2014	2013
Dustin Johnson	$11,600	$12,500	$18,100	1	9	0%	0%	0%	4/4	18	8	44	500	27
Justin Thomas	$11,400	$12,000	$17,700	3	10	0%	33%	0%	2/3	1	85	56	500	500
Brooks Koepka	$11,000	$12,300	$17,300	2	12	0%	-50%	0%	2/3	18	57	92	500	500
Rory McIlroy	$10,600	$11,600	$16,700	7	17	-25%	0%	0%	4/5	80	1	29	5	47
Jason Day	$10,400	$11,800	$16,800	10	15	20%	0%	0%	5/5	25	15	12	7	13
Jordan Spieth	$10,000	$11,600	$16,100	9	20	-17%	-40%	-17%	4/5	2	21	85	29	4
Tiger Woods	$9,700	$11,500	$16,100	26	20	14%	14%	0%	1/1	500	500	500	500	65
Adam Scott	$9,400	$10,400	$15,700	38	28	-25%	44%	0%	3/4	80	4	500	16	53
Justin Rose	$9,300	$11,500	$15,800	4	24	0%	-29%	0%	3/4	10	57	75	500	16
Jon Rahm	$9,100	$11,000	$16,000	5	23	20%	33%	0%	1/1	4	500	500	500	500
Patrick Cantlay	$9,000	$10,000	$15,600	23	28	-9%	45%	-9%	1/1	13	500	500	500	500
Hideki Matsuyama	$8,900	$11,000	$15,400	19	33	-17%	-17%	7%	4/4	23	15	25	57	500
Tony Finau	$8,800	$10,700	$15,600	18	28	15%	31%	0%	2/3	65	24	92	500	500
Bryson DeChambeau	$8,700	$10,900	$15,400	12	33	-7%	-7%	0%	1/1	30	500	500	500	500
Henrik Stenson	$8,600	$10,800	$15,500	21	34	-13%	-13%	-31%	4/4	500	41	2	26	1
Tommy Fleetwood	$8,500	$11,400	$15,500	11	31	19%	-44%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Patrick Reed	$8,400	$11,100	$15,300	13	34	6%	-45%	6%	5/5	6	5	4	74	70
Webb Simpson	$8,300	$11,300	$15,200	17	36	0%	-80%	0%	4/5	75	74	44	9	53
Phil Mickelson	$8,200	$10,200	$14,700	24	46	0%	0%	5%	4/5	6	91	65	45	41
Billy Horschel	$8,100	$8,700	$14,800	66	47	0%	50%	-5%	3/5	80	94	72	2	70
Marc Leishman	$8,000	$9,100	$14,300	22	55	-10%	28%	-5%	4/5	3	46	80	65	16
Paul Casey	$7,900	$10,500	$14,300	16	51	5%	-24%	5%	2/2	4	2	500	500	500
Louis Oosthuizen	$7,800	$9,400	$14,300	35	55	4%	15%	0%	3/3	30	8	12	500	500
Brandt Snedeker	$7,800	$9,300	$14,400	49	58	-4%	11%	-14%	3/4	500	46	44	88	47
Gary Woodland	$7,700	$9,200	$13,900	42	66	-12%	7%	-4%	5/5	18	15	12	29	41
Tyrrell Hatton	$7,700	$9,000	$14,100	25	60	0%	26%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Aaron Wise	$7,600	$7,700	$13,900	52	64	0%	61%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Bubba Watson	$7,600	$9,900	$13,900	14	74	-11%	-30%	-11%	4/5	69	74	29	29	67
Zach Johnson	$7,500	$9,700	$14,100	48	62	10%	-8%	-4%	5/5	56	57	22	16	27
Matt Kuchar	$7,500	$10,100	$13,700	31	74	0%	-38%	6%	5/5	56	46	9	29	4
Kevin Na	$7,400	$8,900	$13,700	41	77	0%	14%	0%	2/3	6	500	60	84	500
Ian Poulter	$7,400	$8,900	$13,500	32	86	-16%	0%	-6%	4/4	23	500	33	23	9
Rafael Cabrera-Bello	$7,300	$10,200	$13,400	30	81	-3%	-79%	3%	1/1	18	500	500	500	500
Charley Hoffman	$7,300	$9,000	$12,800	36	100	-27%	-24%	2%	3/5	47	97	3	84	27
Alexander Noren	$7,300	$9,300	$13,800	15	78	3%	-19%	-7%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Keegan Bradley	$7,200	$9,100	$13,300	65	88	-3%	-16%	0%	4/4	35	500	25	16	16
Daniel Berger	$7,200	$9,300	$13,100	44	89	-6%	-41%	0%	3/3	61	41	12	500	500
Xander Schauffele	$7,200	$9,500	$13,600	20	79	8%	-32%	0%	1/1	53	500	500	500	500
Stewart Cink	$7,100	$8,500	$12,300	72	131	-23%	-7%	2%	3/3	12	500	500	50	27
Kyle Stanley	$7,100	$8,300	$13,400	29	82	10%	29%	0%	1/2	25	500	500	500	92
Emiliano Grillo	$7,100	$8,100	$12,700	64	116	-21%	15%	-7%	2/2	22	33	500	500	500
Jimmy Walker	$7,100	$8,700	$12,000	73	163	-59%	-55%	-5%	2/4	500	3	85	9	81
Ryan Moore	$7,000	$8,800	$12,900	71	97	9%	-3%	3%	3/4	500	8	96	73	75
Chez Reavie	$7,000	$7,900	$12,200	56	142	-19%	19%	-2%	1/2	61	82	500	500	500
Byeong-Hun An	$7,000	$8,800	$12,600	47	114	-5%	-18%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Cameron Smith	$7,000	$8,300	$12,900	39	97	7%	18%	0%	0/1	91	500	500	500	500
Branden Grace	$7,000	$9,200	$13,000	37	98	5%	-37%	-5%	2/2	25	41	500	500	500
Nick Watney	$7,000	$7,900	$12,100	109	158	-35%	8%	-5%	2/2	500	500	44	500	35
Kevin Kisner	$7,000	$8,600	$12,900	28	101	0%	0%	-8%	3/3	53	46	12	500	500
Luke List	$6,900	$8,000	$12,600	50	112	12%	25%	2%	1/1	47	500	500	500	500
Ryan Palmer	$6,900	$8,100	$12,500	98	131	2%	11%	-2%	3/4	500	24	65	16	77
Beau Hossler	$6,900	$8,100	$12,200	75	148	-8%	2%	-8%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Adam Hadwin	$6,900	$8,400	$12,600	58	114	10%	4%	0%	2/2	13	46	500	500	500
Jamie Lovemark	$6,900	$8,100	$12,100	110	148	-8%	2%	2%	2/2	40	71	500	500	500
Pat Perez	$6,900	$8,500	$12,200	46	144	-6%	-18%	-6%	3/3	6	500	29	500	70
Russell Knox	$6,900	$8,200	$12,100	57	144	-4%	2%	5%	4/4	61	15	12	26	500
Chris Kirk	$6,800	$8,300	$12,100	126	153	0%	-16%	-4%	5/5	47	33	29	1	16
Russell Henley	$6,800	$8,200	$12,200	62	141	12%	6%	0%	3/5	40	73	75	2	62
Danny Lee	$6,800	$8,000	$11,800	121	161	-4%	0%	8%	2/4	91	74	33	35	500
Kevin Streelman	$6,800	$7,200	$11,900	130	172	-12%	22%	-7%	5/5	35	57	69	26	41
Bronson Burgoon	$6,800	$7,300	$11,900	166	163	-5%	23%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Kevin Chappell	$6,800	$8,600	$12,200	55	149	2%	-30%	-12%	5/5	35	8	12	50	22
Brian Harman	$6,800	$8,700	$11,900	34	163	-5%	-50%	0%	4/5	65	24	12	65	77
Cheng-Tsung Pan	$6,700	$7,800	$11,900	137	166	2%	5%	-5%	1/1	47	500	500	500	500
Chesson Hadley	$6,700	$8,300	$11,700	70	200	-6%	-39%	-3%	2/2	500	500	74	9	500
Jason Kokrak	$6,700	$7,600	$11,700	111	185	-3%	7%	0%	4/5	53	8	95	16	73
J.B. Holmes	$6,700	$7,500	$11,500	89	236	-20%	-4%	-7%	3/3	500	33	44	35	500
Charles Howell	$6,700	$8,400	$11,400	77	209	-9%	-49%	7%	4/5	91	24	56	35	53
Jhonattan Vegas	$6,700	$7,500	$11,700	81	187	-5%	9%	-2%	2/2	65	33	500	500	500
Scott Stallings	$6,700	$7,300	$11,600	156	243	-22%	0%	-13%	2/2	500	500	500	35	35
Kevin Tway	$6,600	$7,900	$11,500	128	230	-3%	-16%	-1%	1/1	40	500	500	500	500
Abraham Ancer	$6,600	$7,400	$11,300	144	233	-7%	0%	3%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Brian Gay	$6,600	$7,700	$11,600	108	208	3%	0%	0%	1/1	500	500	500	500	27
Austin Cook	$6,600	$7,600	$11,800	101	177	8%	8%	-2%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Peter Uihlein	$6,600	$8,000	$11,600	67	211	0%	-20%	-3%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Anirban Lahiri	$6,600	$7,300	$11,400	99	231	-6%	4%	0%	1/1	56	500	500	500	500
Scott Piercy	$6,600	$7,400	$11,300	232	245	-11%	-4%	-1%	2/3	500	53	75	500	13
Si Woo Kim	$6,600	$7,800	$11,400	53	230	-4%	-12%	1%	2/2	40	15	500	500	500
Keith Mitchell	$6,500	$7,000	$11,000	148	285	-8%	4%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
J.J. Spaun	$6,500	$7,200	$11,100	129	259	-6%	-2%	0%	1/1	75	500	500	500	500
Andrew Putnam	$6,500	$7,300	$11,300	90	250	-3%	-4%	-4%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Brendan Steele	$6,500	$7,800	$11,300	74	247	-1%	-21%	-3%	5/5	56	72	44	50	20
Brian Stuard	$6,500	$7,200	$10,800	265	328	-10%	-6%	0%	3/3	500	21	500	16	67
Jason Dufner	$6,500	$8,000	$11,500	69	213	9%	-22%	0%	4/4	69	33	60	500	9
Ollie Schniederjans	$6,500	$7,600	$11,300	112	252	-4%	-15%	-5%	0/1	94	500	500	500	500
Ryan Armour	$6,500	$7,100	$11,000	106	291	-9%	-1%	-1%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Ted Potter	$6,500	$7,100	$10,600	92	363	-14%	-6%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Andrew Landry	$6,500	$7,000	$10,700	78	350	-13%	0%	-1%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Joel Dahmen	$6,400	$7,100	$11,300	185	252	8%	4%	-5%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Troy Merritt	$6,400	$7,000	$10,500	176	393	-4%	-4%	-1%	1/1	500	500	39	500	500
Whee Kim	$6,400	$7,000	$10,700	103	347	1%	1%	0%	0/1	80	500	500	500	500
Patton Kizzire	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300	88	481	-9%	-9%	0%	0/2	89	94	500	500	500
Tom Hoge	$6,400	$7,000	$10,400	206	413	-6%	-6%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
James Hahn	$6,400	$7,100	$10,500	105	363	-2%	-7%	1%	2/3	75	5	80	500	500
Michael Kim	$6,400	$7,000	$10,600	209	370	-3%	-3%	-2%	0/1	80	500	500	500	500
Brice Garnett	$6,400	$7,000	$10,400	146	473	-7%	-7%	-1%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Kelly Kraft	$6,400	$7,000	$10,400	141	475	-8%	-8%	-2%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Satoshi Kodaira	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300	43	506	-10%	-10%	-1%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500

Color Coding
Course history in BLUE indicates a top ten finish.
Course history in GREEN indicates a top 25 finish.
Course history in YELLOW indicates a made cut with a finish outside of the top 25.
Course history in RED indicates a missed cut.

Legend