PGA First Look: John Deere Classic

by Derek Farnsworth (Notorious) Last Updated 2018-07-12 13:46:15

The PGA First Look is complete with a course preview, odds, salaries, Official World Golf Rankings, and course history.

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Event Preview

For the second week in a row, we had a golfer catch fire on Sunday and run away with the tournament. While most of the names at the top of the leaderboard faltered on the final day, Kevin Na shot six-under par to win the tournament by five strokes. It was his first win on tour since 2011 and he was very emotional in his post-round interview. It’s always great to see how much winning means to some of these golfers. It wasn’t a great week of DFS for yours truly. I had way too much J.B. Holmes, who couldn’t make a putt on Friday and ended up missing the cut by two strokes. This week we head to Silvis, Illinois for the John Deere Classic. This technically serves as a warm up for the Open Championship next week, although most of the big names are playing across the pond in the Scotish Open.

Year in and year out, this plays as one of the easiest events of the season. We typically see a winning score close to 20-under par, so you need to consistently make birdies if you are going to compete this week. TPC Deere Run is a Par 71 that measures 7,268 yards. It features three par fives, two of which are reachable by everyone in the field with a drive in the fairway. The tees, fairways, and greens are Bentgrass, while the rough is Kentucky Bluegrass. There are only three holes that feature water hazards and they generally don’t come into play. The course is known for its rolling hills and elevation changes, but this is a resort-style venue that the golfers will be able feast on. There will be plenty of birdies this week, golfers just have to avoid stringing together bogeys.

If you look at past statistics from this tournament, there are two that really jump off the page — strokes gained approach and strokes gained putting. Whether you are looking at the winners, top five, top ten, or top 20, they have all gained most of their strokes on approaches and on the greens. After a quick examination of the course layout, it’s easy to see why. Thes course features wide fairways and large greens. Each year, the field typically hits more than 70% of fairways and greens, which is well above the PGA Tour average. With everyone hitting fairways, it becomes a wedge contest. And with everyone hitting greens, it becomes a putting contest. The fact that Zach Johnson, Steve Stricker, and Wesley Bryan have all played so well here makes me feel great about the type of golfer that I am looking to target.

Good luck this week. I’ll have a more comprehensive course breakdown for next week’s Open Championship.

Cut Rule: Top 70 and ties move on after the first two rounds. The MDF rule is in effect if more than 78 golfers make the initial cut.

Recent Winners of this Event:Bryson DeChambeau (2017), Ryan Moore (2016), Jordan Spieth (2015), Brian Harman (2014), Jordan Spieth (2013)

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Approach
2) Birdie or Better %
3) Strokes Gained Putting (Emphasis on Bentgrass)
4) Par 4 Scoring
5) Par 5 Scoring

Hole by Hole Breakdown

Salaries, Odds, and Course History (2013-2017)

Golfer	DK Salary	FD Salary	FDRFT Salary	OWGR	Odds	DK Odds	FD Odds	FDRFT Odds	Cuts	2017	2016	2015	2014	2013
Francesco Molinari	$11,600	$12,200	$17,700	15	9	0%	0%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Bryson DeChambeau	$11,400	$12,100	$17,600	22	11	0%	0%	0%	1/2	1	500	116	500	500
Zach Johnson	$11,200	$11,700	$17,500	51	11	0%	0%	0%	5/5	5	34	3	2	2
Joaquin Niemann	$10,400	$11,400	$16,600	171	16	-25%	0%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Ryan Moore	$10,200	$11,000	$16,700	77	16	20%	33%	0%	4/5	127	1	24	7	22
Steve Stricker	$9,800	$11,500	$16,200	134	20	0%	-50%	0%	5/5	5	52	35	11	10
Kyle Stanley	$9,700	$10,500	$16,000	38	22	0%	13%	0%	4/5	55	22	18	63	141
Chesson Hadley	$9,500	$10,600	$15,600	62	28	0%	-14%	0%	1/3	25	74	127	500	500
Austin Cook	$9,300	$10,200	$15,300	99	41	-11%	9%	-11%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Wesley Bryan	$9,100	$9,000	$15,100	130	38	10%	61%	10%	2/2	3	8	500	500	500
David Lingmerth	$9,000	$8,500	$14,700	202	48	-18%	59%	-8%	0/1	500	500	500	124	500
Chris Kirk	$8,900	$10,400	$14,800	132	43	8%	-22%	0%	2/3	60	500	500	96	22
Patrick Rodgers	$8,800	$9,100	$14,300	133	51	-15%	29%	6%	3/5	2	27	74	110	15
Andrew Landry	$8,700	$7,900	$14,500	68	44	14%	80%	8%	1/1	500	8	500	500	500
Brian Gay	$8,600	$10,000	$14,400	121	51	-7%	-23%	-14%	1/3	106	133	500	500	61
Aaron Wise	$8,500	$8,500	$14,400	81	49	13%	56%	0%	1/1	500	16	500	500	500
Danny Lee	$8,400	$8,100	$14,200	146	71	-41%	49%	-41%	1/2	500	500	3	110	500
Scott Piercy	$8,300	$9,400	$14,200	197	67	-22%	-38%	-29%	1/1	500	500	14	500	500
Sung Kang	$8,200	$8,000	$14,000	113	68	-21%	57%	-10%	1/1	500	14	500	500	500
Kevin Streelman	$8,100	$8,900	$14,100	127	60	10%	28%	5%	2/4	44	500	74	96	44
Kevin Tway	$8,000	$9,300	$14,100	144	65	5%	-18%	-5%	2/2	12	500	500	52	500
Keith Mitchell	$8,000	$9,100	$13,900	148	74	-24%	-24%	-4%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Johnson Wagner	$7,900	$8,500	$13,900	396	76	-26%	9%	-16%	3/4	82	5	5	7	500
Kelly Kraft	$7,900	$8,100	$14,000	124	66	9%	55%	0%	2/2	64	5	500	500	500
Si Woo Kim	$7,800	$9,600	$14,000	48	64	24%	-27%	10%	0/1	500	500	500	500	119
Ryan Blaum	$7,800	$8,200	$13,900	237	77	-20%	30%	-20%	1/1	77	500	500	500	500
Cheng-Tsung Pan	$7,700	$8,800	$14,000	185	72	7%	4%	-19%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Andrew Putnam	$7,600	$10,300	$13,900	153	74	0%	-180%	-12%	0/1	500	500	150	500	500
Joel Dahmen	$7,600	$9,000	$13,900	298	77	-11%	-35%	-24%	0/1	139	500	500	500	500
Nick Watney	$7,600	$8,800	$13,600	105	81	-14%	-23%	0%	1/2	115	500	500	500	27
Tyler Duncan	$7,600	$8,200	$13,300	338	93	-36%	12%	-6%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Chez Reavie	$7,500	$9,200	$13,900	56	54	47%	11%	32%	3/3	39	500	65	500	15
Scott Stallings	$7,500	$8,400	$13,800	154	74	16%	27%	13%	2/4	5	16	500	141	141
Bronson Burgoon	$7,500	$8,000	$13,400	284	82	-3%	38%	0%	1/1	500	47	500	500	500
Ryan Palmer	$7,500	$9,800	$13,400	131	88	-9%	-150%	-6%	0/1	135	500	500	500	500
JT Poston	$7,400	$9,300	$13,300	307	89	0%	-112%	0%	1/1	64	500	500	500	500
Harold Varner	$7,400	$8,700	$13,300	184	89	-3%	-32%	-3%	0/1	115	500	500	500	500
Bill Haas	$7,400	$10,100	$13,400	96	86	6%	-183%	-3%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Brandon Harkins	$7,300	$8,400	$13,000	224	96	-3%	-8%	-3%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Alex Cejka	$7,300	$8,000	$12,900	230	99	-8%	21%	-5%	1/2	135	500	55	500	500
Corey Conners	$7,300	$9,200	$12,900	334	98	-5%	-116%	-3%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
David Hearn	$7,300	$8,000	$12,600	453	121	-31%	4%	-9%	3/4	82	500	67	45	2
Matt Jones	$7,300	$8,100	$12,800	295	106	-15%	4%	-7%	2/3	115	27	500	500	7
Troy Merritt	$7,200	$8,500	$12,800	315	103	0%	-38%	-5%	3/4	60	56	116	20	500
Sam Saunders	$7,200	$8,300	$12,800	175	100	2%	-8%	-2%	2/2	25	500	44	500	500
Rory Sabbatini	$7,200	$8,600	$12,700	167	95	11%	-30%	15%	3/4	19	62	500	37	149
Trey Mullinax	$7,200	$8,100	$12,800	177	109	-5%	2%	-10%	1/1	19	500	500	500	500
Fabian Gomez	$7,200	$8,400	$12,300	554	137	-39%	-65%	-3%	0/2	500	500	98	500	73
Whee Kim	$7,200	$7,200	$12,600	152	117	-9%	51%	-2%	1/2	500	3	74	500	500
Seamus Power	$7,100	$8,000	$12,600	308	115	6%	11%	0%	1/1	25	500	500	500	500
Ben Crane	$7,100	$8,600	$12,600	288	123	-6%	-77%	-13%	2/4	25	500	127	37	98
Cameron Percy	$7,100	$7,700	$12,500	507	126	-12%	18%	-4%	2/4	12	108	62	500	73
Scott Brown	$7,100	$7,300	$12,500	186	125	-8%	39%	0%	4/5	25	16	89	5	22
Zac Blair	$7,100	$8,000	$12,400	511	131	-16%	-9%	-2%	1/3	82	56	74	500	500
Mac Hughes	$7,100	$7,700	$12,400	242	130	-14%	16%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Richy Werenski	$7,100	$8,500	$12,600	227	119	0%	-56%	-6%	1/1	25	500	500	500	500
Stephan Jaeger	$7,100	$8,000	$12,600	233	126	-10%	-4%	-17%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Harris English	$7,100	$7,700	$12,200	240	141	-26%	7%	-2%	3/3	500	500	72	74	15
Robert Streb	$7,100	$7,800	$12,600	250	118	2%	22%	-4%	4/5	74	143	14	37	22
Aaron Baddeley	$7,000	$8,200	$12,200	236	146	-7%	-49%	-3%	0/2	500	500	133	500	133
Sean O’Hair	$7,000	$7,800	$12,100	109	152	-13%	-8%	-3%	2/4	77	74	500	68	113
Sam Ryder	$7,000	$7,800	$12,100	256	146	-7%	-2%	3%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Lanto Griffin	$7,000	$7,600	$12,100	319	156	-17%	5%	-6%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Dylan Meyer	$7,000	$8,300	$12,500	713	122	13%	-30%	4%	0/1	95	500	500	500	500
Blayne Barber	$7,000	$7,500	$12,200	427	152	-12%	15%	-8%	1/1	500	40	500	500	500
Peter Malnati	$7,000	$8,000	$11,500	555	158	-18%	-34%	14%	2/3	44	27	500	141	500
Denny McCarthy	$7,000	$8,300	$12,200	394	136	0%	-50%	3%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Chris Stroud	$7,000	$7,300	$12,300	213	134	2%	33%	0%	3/4	19	74	5	59	500
Chad Campbell	$7,000	$7,900	$12,300	354	138	-3%	-2%	-5%	4/4	12	500	28	13	15
Daniel Summerhays	$7,000	$7,000	$11,700	419	202	-35%	28%	-14%	4/5	12	139	8	13	4
Vaughn Taylor	$6,900	$8,700	$11,700	239	160	-1%	-157%	-1%	3/4	19	108	44	500	48
Robert Garrigus	$6,900	$7,600	$12,100	253	149	7%	11%	0%	2/3	500	22	24	110	500
William McGirt	$6,900	$8,100	$11,700	193	154	3%	-47%	3%	3/4	71	500	41	23	86
Hunter Mahan	$6,900	$7,800	$11,700	677	200	-11%	-25%	-11%	0/2	106	89	500	500	500
Nick Hardy	$6,900	$7,500	$11,400		224	-24%	-11%	-1%	1/1	55	500	500	500	500
Michael Thompson	$6,900	$8,100	$11,700	335	208	-15%	-74%	-15%	1/3	500	74	55	124	500
Tom Lovelady	$6,900	$7,500	$11,700	342	193	-7%	4%	-7%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Talor Gooch	$6,900	$7,300	$11,700	225	196	-10%	11%	-10%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Andres Romero	$6,900		$11,800	292	191	-6%		-7%	4/4	25	67	500	45	44
Michael Kim	$6,900	$7,000	$11,500	473	218	-18%	25%	-1%	2/2	71	47	500	500	500
John Huh	$6,800	$8,200	$11,700	226	187	10%	-70%	-3%	2/5	127	64	50	78	73
Patton Kizzire	$6,800	$7,800	$11,500	76	188	9%	-17%	11%	1/1	25	500	500	500	500
Brett Stegmaier	$6,800	$7,300	$11,500	765	218	-5%	3%	-2%	1/1	81	500	500	500	500
Brice Garnett	$6,800	$7,700	$11,700	145	194	5%	-13%	-8%	1/3	500	100	98	45	500
Benjamin Silverman	$6,800	$7,400	$11,700	257	208	-2%	1%	-17%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Cameron Tringale	$6,800	$7,100	$11,300	455	250	-19%	8%	-9%	1/1	50	500	500	500	500
Nick Taylor	$6,800	$7,500	$11,600	259	219	-6%	-9%	-5%	0/3	127	127	145	500	500
Dominic Bozzelli	$6,800	$7,600	$11,700	318	200	1%	-8%	-13%	1/1	25	500	500	500	500
Derek Fathauer	$6,800	$7,300	$11,000	321	279	-30%	-19%	-4%	2/2	50	500	55	500	500
Jonathan Randolph	$6,800	$7,200	$11,000	405	288	-32%	-10%	-6%	1/2	68	500	150	500	500
J.J. Henry	$6,700	$7,300	$11,300	445	227	2%	-1%	-1%	3/5	10	74	116	63	7
Shawn Stefani	$6,700	$7,200	$11,300	406	220	4%	10%	1%	4/5	44	40	35	13	133
Jonathan Byrd	$6,700	$7,100	$11,300	364	232	1%	13%	-2%	3/4	5	500	98	52	33
Ricky Barnes	$6,700	$7,400	$11,000	534	288	-16%	-26%	-5%	3/5	55	5	98	68	133
Hudson Swafford	$6,700	$7,700	$11,300	188	235	-1%	-35%	-5%	2/3	500	47	35	144	500
Steve Wheatcroft	$6,700	$7,100	$11,300	927	251	-7%	7%	-10%	2/3	144	27	8	500	500
Tyrone Van Aswegen	$6,700	$7,700	$11,300	327	232	1%	-32%	-2%	2/4	39	74	55	78	500
Cody Gribble	$6,700	$7,500	$11,200	410	263	-12%	-29%	-5%	0/1	95	500	500	500	500
Conrad Shindler	$6,700	$7,000	$11,200	489	270	-13%	8%	-6%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Jason Gore	$6,700		$10,700	565	375	-29%		-2%	0/2	500	127	89	500	500
Doug Ghim	$6,700	$7,300	$11,300		245	-4%	-8%	-8%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Norman Xiong	$6,600	$7,600	$11,000		236	9%	-26%	8%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Nicholas Lindheim	$6,600	$7,400	$11,300	320	237	8%	-12%	-7%	1/1	55	500	500	500	500
Brian Stuard	$6,600	$7,600	$11,200	274	252	4%	-32%	-1%	1/3	82	500	18	78	500
Adam Schenk	$6,600	$7,000	$11,000	381	260	2%	11%	1%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
George McNeill	$6,600	$7,200	$10,900	1108	300	-8%	-13%	-1%	0/3	139	100	140	500	500
Billy Hurley	$6,600	$7,100	$11,200	556	262	1%	3%	-4%	2/4	68	34	98	96	500
Martin Flores	$6,600	$7,100	$11,000	363	257	3%	5%	2%	2/4	64	500	98	78	4
Rob Oppenheim	$6,600	$7,200	$11,000	333	271	-2%	-7%	-3%	1/1	500	70	500	500	500
Stuart Appleby	$6,600	$7,300	$10,600	737	369	-14%	-32%	1%	3/3	77	500	500	37	72
Ethan Tracy	$6,600	$7,400	$11,000	553	290	-6%	-29%	-7%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Davis Love	$6,600	$7,100	$10,800	906	319	-9%	-7%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
John Rollins	$6,600	$7,000	$10,400		421	-20%	-9%	-1%	1/5	127	89	145	23	86
Cameron Beckman	$6,600		$10,700		378	-16%		-3%	1/3	500	133	98	76	500
Ken Duke	$6,500	$7,100	$10,800		331	3%	-8%	-1%	2/5	95	74	67	110	48
Tim Herron	$6,500	$7,200	$10,400	734	410	-5%	-25%	0%	1/4	115	62	98	110	500
Parker McLachlin	$6,500	$7,300	$10,600		367	0%	-31%	2%	0/1	500	118	500	500	500
Matt Every	$6,500	$7,000	$10,800	648	333	2%	-1%	-2%	0/2	82	118	500	500	500
John Senden	$6,500	$7,100	$10,600		379	-3%	-14%	-2%	1/3	500	100	500	45	73
Roberto Diaz	$6,500	$7,200	$10,900	650	291	5%	-12%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Will Claxton	$6,500	$7,000	$10,300		481	-10%	-13%	-2%	0/1	500	500	500	500	98
Martin Piller	$6,500	$7,000	$10,800	267	336	1%	-2%	-3%	0/1	500	108	500	500	500
Mark Wilson	$6,500	$7,000	$10,500		385	-4%	-7%	0%	2/5	127	64	124	63	86
Andrew Yun	$6,500	$7,000	$10,400	620	503	-15%	-18%	-9%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Charlie Beljan	$6,500	$7,000	$10,300		514	-17%	-21%	-9%	1/2	500	500	500	23	86
Dicky Pride	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300	923	482	-2%	-14%	-3%	3/4	82	52	500	27	48
John Merrick	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300		470	2%	-11%	0%	2/4	73	74	140	76	500
Xinjun Zhang	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300		436	2%	-10%	1%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Zecheng Dou	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300		476	1%	-12%	-1%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Brendon De Jonge	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300		480	0%	-13%	-2%	2/5	95	118	89	45	54
Brian Davis	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300		495	-3%	-16%	-5%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Daniel Chopra	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300	1029	495	-3%	-16%	-5%	0/2	500	118	500	96	500
Matt Atkins	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300	568	510	-6%	-20%	-8%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Carl Pettersson	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300		486	-2%	-15%	-4%	2/2	500	500	12	500	54
Kyle Thompson	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300	548	545	-10%	-23%	-11%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Jason Bohn	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300		505	-6%	-19%	-7%	3/5	115	56	12	124	22
Dru Love	$6,400	$7,000	$10,300		570	-11%	-25%	-13%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Tommy Gainey	$6,300	$7,000	$10,300		552	-1%	-24%	-12%	1/2	500	500	500	27	98
Chris Couch	$6,300	$7,000	$10,300		588	-3%	-27%	-15%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
D.J. Trahan	$6,300	$7,000	$10,300		545	1%	-22%	-10%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Chad Proehl	$6,300	$7,000	$10,200		713	-7%	-31%	-3%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Kris Blanks	$6,300	$7,000	$10,200		680	-5%	-29%	-1%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Robert Allenby	$6,300	$7,000	$10,200	1174	658	-4%	-28%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Troy Matteson	$6,300	$7,000	$10,300		533	1%	-21%	-10%	2/5	60	149	133	151	27
D.A. Points	$6,300	$7,000	$10,300	465	574	-2%	-26%	-14%	0/5	115	108	98	138	139
Omar Uresti	$6,300	$7,000	$10,200		675	-4%	-29%	-1%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
David Berganio	$6,300	$7,000	$10,200		684	-6%	-30%	-2%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500
Broc Everett	$6,300	$7,000	$10,100		958	-7%	-32%	0%	0/0	500	500	500	500	500

Color Coding
Course history in BLUE indicates a top ten finish.
Course history in GREEN indicates a top 25 finish.
Course history in YELLOW indicates a made cut with a finish outside of the top 25.
Course history in RED indicates a missed cut.

Legend

Term	Description
Site Odds	The percentage differential between a golfer’s salary rank and odds rank. The higher the %, the better.
OWGR	Official World Golf Ranking
Cuts	Cut record of each golfer at this course in the last five seasons.
2013 – 2017 Columns	Course history at this event in the last five seasons.