PGA First Look: RBC Canadian Open
The PGA First Look is complete with a course preview, odds, salaries, Official World Golf Rankings, and course history.
If you’re looking for more in-depth golf betting tips, check out our breakdown of the course and the PGA odds for the 2019 RBC Canadian Open.
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Event Preview
DFS favorite Patrick Cantlay was able to snag a come from behind victory at the Memorial Tournament last week to pick up his second career win on the PGA Tour. We knew that a big win was coming eventually and it was nice that it happened on a week where I was overweight on him in DFS and had him as an outright bet. We now head to Canada for the RBC Canadian Open. While it’s not considered a major on tour, it is Canada’s major (just ask Brooks Koepka).
The event has switched venues over the years and will be held at Hamilton Golf and Country Club, which is located just outside of Toronto. We have two years of course history data to work with, but the tournament hasn’t been played here since 2012. The course is a short Par 70 that measures just under 7,000 yards. On paper, it looks more like Harbour Town than Augusta National and the statistics back that up. The average driving distance here in the past was well below the tour average. Greens are fairly easy to hit and scrambling doesn’t appear to be overly difficult. This is a second shot golf course if I’ve ever seen one.
When it comes to off the tee, position is more important than distance. On average, the fairways are only 30 yards wide and they are surrounded by trees and fairly penal rough. Even more, about half of the holes feature dog legs. This doesn’t mean that a bomber can’t win here, but gaining strokes off the tee isn’t nearly as important as it is most weeks. You have to be great with your irons and catch fire with the putter. The last two winners here (Scott Piercy and Jim Furyk) gained most of their strokes on the greens the weeks that they won.
That’s all I have for you this week. We’ll do a much deeper dive into Pebble Beach for the U.S. Open.
Cut Rule: Top 70 and ties move on after the first two rounds. The MDF rule is in effect if more than 78 golfers make the initial cut.
Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)
1) Strokes Gained Approach
2) Bogey Avoidance
3) Strokes Gained Putting (Emphasis on Bentgrass)
4) Birdie or Better Percentage
5) Proximity Blend
- 100-125 (15%)
- 125-150 (20%)
- 150-175 (20%)
- 175-200 (15%)
- 200-225 (30%)
Sports Betting Card
Ladies and gentlemen, we are back in the winner’s circle. It was a great week for the bets. We hit the Patrick Cantlay outright at 16/1, we hit Byeong-Hun An for a top 20 at 4/1, and we hit Kevin Streelman for a top 20 at 4/1. Overall we bet 10 units and brought back 24, so we are officially back in the green for the season.
YTD: 5 wins, +9 units
Outright Bets
Webb Simpson 20/1
Sergio Garcia 25/1 (late add)
Brandt Snedeker 40/1
Jim Furyk 50/1
Bud Cauley 50/1
Top 5 Bets
Jim Furyk 10/1
Bud Cauley 10/1
Nick Watney 20/1
Top 20 Bets
Peter Malnati 6/1
Shawn Stefani 6/1
Nate Lashley 7/1
Salaries, Odds, and Course History (2012)
Golfer | DK Salary | FD Salary | FDRFT Sal | OWGR | Odds | DK % | FD % | FDRFT % | Cuts | 2012 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dustin Johnson | $11,900 | $12,600 | $18,800 | 2 | 5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Brooks Koepka | $11,700 | $12,500 | $18,600 | 1 | 6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Rory McIlroy | $11,200 | $12,000 | $17,800 | 4 | 9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Matt Kuchar | $10,500 | $11,300 | $15,900 | 13 | 18 | -25% | 0% | 0% | 1/1 | 34 |
Justin Thomas | $10,000 | $11,500 | $16,700 | 6 | 14 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Webb Simpson | $9,700 | $10,800 | $15,900 | 20 | 20 | 0% | 0% | -20% | 0/0 | 500 |
Sergio Garcia | $9,500 | $10,700 | $15,600 | 30 | 25 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Scott Piercy | $9,300 | $10,500 | $15,400 | 60 | 28 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 1/1 | 1 |
Henrik Stenson | $9,100 | $10,600 | $15,300 | 43 | 33 | 0% | -13% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Brandt Snedeker | $9,000 | $10,300 | $14,900 | 50 | 38 | -10% | 0% | 0% | 1/1 | 34 |
Bubba Watson | $8,900 | $10,400 | $15,000 | 19 | 36 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Jim Furyk | $8,800 | $10,100 | $14,600 | 49 | 46 | -8% | -8% | 0% | 0/1 | 80 |
Jason Dufner | $8,700 | $9,900 | $14,300 | 146 | 50 | -15% | -7% | -7% | 0/0 | 500 |
Shane Lowry | $8,600 | $10,000 | $14,800 | 42 | 42 | 14% | 8% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Keegan Bradley | $8,500 | $9,900 | $13,800 | 37 | 62 | -13% | -21% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Bud Cauley | $8,400 | $9,800 | $14,300 | 145 | 49 | 13% | 13% | 0% | 1/1 | 4 |
Adam Hadwin | $8,300 | $9,300 | $13,800 | 79 | 65 | -6% | 28% | -6% | 0/1 | 80 |
Ryan Palmer | $8,200 | $9,700 | $14,200 | 69 | 54 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 1/1 | 19 |
Austin Cook | $8,100 | $9,500 | $13,600 | 147 | 74 | -11% | 0% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Daniel Berger | $8,000 | $9,700 | $13,700 | 98 | 69 | 0% | -11% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Lucas Bjerregaard | $8,000 | $9,400 | $13,500 | 44 | 77 | -10% | 4% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Jimmy Walker | $7,900 | $9,300 | $13,300 | 101 | 81 | -14% | 0% | 0% | 1/1 | 28 |
Sungjae Im | $7,900 | $9,600 | $13,400 | 68 | 80 | -9% | -20% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Erik Van Rooyen | $7,800 | $9,100 | $13,200 | 90 | 87 | -17% | 7% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Aaron Wise | $7,800 | $9,800 | $13,800 | 71 | 67 | 21% | -19% | -12% | 0/0 | 500 |
Jonas Blixt | $7,800 | $9,500 | $13,000 | 214 | 91 | -33% | -52% | -3% | 0/0 | 500 |
Joaquin Niemann | $7,700 | $9,000 | $13,300 | 132 | 82 | 4% | 19% | -4% | 0/0 | 500 |
Kevin Tway | $7,700 | $9,200 | $13,100 | 105 | 91 | -15% | -15% | -3% | 0/0 | 500 |
Alexander Noren | $7,700 | $9,200 | $13,500 | 38 | 77 | 15% | 15% | -5% | 0/0 | 500 |
Graeme McDowell | $7,600 | $9,100 | $13,200 | 121 | 87 | 3% | 3% | -4% | 0/0 | 500 |
Zach Johnson | $7,600 | $9,400 | $13,000 | 94 | 90 | 0% | -30% | 3% | 0/0 | 500 |
J.B. Holmes | $7,600 | $9,000 | $12,600 | 51 | 105 | -20% | -13% | 0% | 1/1 | 15 |
Brian Harman | $7,600 | $9,200 | $13,300 | 96 | 83 | 10% | 0% | -8% | 1/1 | 19 |
Nick Watney | $7,500 | $8,800 | $13,000 | 144 | 94 | 3% | 13% | -6% | 0/0 | 500 |
Russell Henley | $7,500 | $8,900 | $12,500 | 168 | 105 | -6% | -6% | 5% | 0/0 | 500 |
Corey Conners | $7,500 | $8,900 | $13,000 | 83 | 94 | 0% | 0% | -10% | 0/0 | 500 |
Mac Hughes | $7,500 | $8,700 | $12,400 | 218 | 127 | -26% | -2% | -5% | 0/1 | 110 |
Peter Uihlein | $7,400 | $8,500 | $12,500 | 128 | 114 | -3% | 20% | -3% | 0/0 | 500 |
Kramer Hickok | $7,400 | $8,400 | $12,200 | 206 | 132 | -18% | 15% | 2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Matt Every | $7,400 | $8,500 | $12,100 | 216 | 148 | -37% | -6% | -8% | 1/1 | 61 |
Kyoung-Hoon Lee | $7,400 | $8,800 | $12,700 | 238 | 103 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Danny Willett | $7,400 | $8,800 | $12,600 | 84 | 108 | 0% | 0% | -6% | 0/0 | 500 |
Shawn Stefani | $7,300 | $8,600 | $12,000 | 293 | 146 | -19% | -11% | -4% | 0/0 | 500 |
Trey Mullinax | $7,300 | $8,900 | $12,400 | 226 | 119 | 5% | -21% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Dylan Frittelli | $7,300 | $8,700 | $12,500 | 107 | 118 | 7% | 5% | -5% | 0/0 | 500 |
Denny McCarthy | $7,300 | $8,700 | $12,000 | 164 | 137 | -12% | -14% | 2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Danny Lee | $7,300 | $8,800 | $12,300 | 117 | 121 | 2% | -11% | 5% | 0/1 | 80 |
Harris English | $7,300 | $8,200 | $11,800 | 331 | 166 | -37% | 3% | 0% | 0/1 | 80 |
Sebastian Munoz | $7,200 | $8,300 | $11,900 | 246 | 155 | -12% | 4% | -4% | 0/0 | 500 |
Ryan Armour | $7,200 | $8,500 | $11,900 | 126 | 157 | -14% | -14% | -6% | 0/0 | 500 |
Scott Stallings | $7,200 | $8,700 | $12,400 | 141 | 130 | 10% | -5% | -7% | 1/1 | 7 |
Brian Gay | $7,200 | $8,900 | $12,200 | 137 | 135 | 4% | -38% | -2% | 1/1 | 28 |
Seamus Power | $7,200 | $8,300 | $11,800 | 277 | 168 | -22% | -5% | -2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Martin Laird | $7,200 | $8,600 | $12,300 | 272 | 134 | 6% | 0% | -5% | 0/0 | 500 |
Peter Malnati | $7,100 | $8,200 | $12,000 | 220 | 152 | 2% | 11% | -10% | 0/0 | 500 |
Talor Gooch | $7,100 | $8,600 | $12,000 | 167 | 144 | 11% | -7% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Cameron Tringale | $7,100 | $7,800 | $11,600 | 543 | 198 | -20% | 16% | -5% | 1/1 | 19 |
Nick Taylor | $7,100 | $8,500 | $11,900 | 270 | 148 | 5% | -6% | 2% | 0/1 | 152 |
Luke Donald | $7,100 | $8,100 | $11,600 | 512 | 191 | -15% | 3% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Harold Varner | $7,100 | $8,400 | $11,900 | 176 | 145 | 9% | 6% | 6% | 0/0 | 500 |
Bill Haas | $7,100 | $8,400 | $11,800 | 327 | 176 | -11% | -15% | -3% | 0/0 | 500 |
Josh Teater | $7,000 | $8,000 | $11,500 | 398 | 189 | 0% | 10% | 6% | 1/1 | 4 |
Ollie Schniederjans | $7,000 | $8,200 | $11,900 | 235 | 158 | 8% | 7% | -8% | 0/0 | 500 |
J.J. Spaun | $7,000 | $8,300 | $11,900 | 160 | 161 | 6% | -2% | -9% | 0/0 | 500 |
David Hearn | $7,000 | $8,000 | $11,400 | 525 | 232 | -16% | -4% | -6% | 1/1 | 71 |
Wyndham Clark | $7,000 | $8,400 | $11,300 | 267 | 239 | -24% | -45% | -7% | 0/0 | 500 |
Brandon Harkins | $7,000 | $8,000 | $11,400 | 340 | 216 | -10% | 1% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Stephan Jaeger | $7,000 | $8,100 | $11,200 | 332 | 241 | -26% | -20% | -1% | 0/0 | 500 |
David Lingmerth | $6,900 | $8,300 | $11,600 | 521 | 191 | 9% | -11% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Roberto Castro | $6,900 | $7,900 | $11,300 | 334 | 225 | -3% | 4% | 1% | 0/1 | 110 |
Zack Sucher | $6,900 | $7,900 | $11,300 | 494 | 232 | -4% | 3% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Cameron Davis | $6,900 | $7,500 | $11,100 | 210 | 259 | -20% | 13% | -1% | 0/0 | 500 |
Nicholas Lindheim | $6,900 | $7,600 | $11,000 | 404 | 277 | -29% | 1% | -6% | 0/0 | 500 |
Chris Stroud | $6,900 | $8,100 | $11,400 | 203 | 218 | 0% | -6% | -1% | 1/1 | 61 |
Benjamin Silverman | $6,900 | $7,600 | $11,000 | 389 | 264 | -22% | 7% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Padraig Harrington | $6,900 | $8,100 | $11,400 | 252 | 223 | -1% | -8% | -3% | 0/0 | 500 |
Adam Schenk | $6,800 | $7,800 | $11,500 | 240 | 202 | 13% | 15% | -2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Johnson Wagner | $6,800 | $7,900 | $11,000 | 328 | 275 | -13% | -18% | -4% | 0/0 | 500 |
Sepp Straka | $6,800 | $8,000 | $11,200 | 355 | 245 | -5% | -17% | -5% | 0/0 | 500 |
Jim Knous | $6,800 | $7,600 | $11,200 | 440 | 236 | 4% | 18% | 4% | 0/0 | 500 |
Roger Sloan | $6,800 | $7,700 | $11,200 | 263 | 241 | -1% | 7% | -1% | 0/0 | 500 |
Tyler Duncan | $6,800 | $7,900 | $11,700 | 386 | 193 | 16% | 12% | -5% | 0/0 | 500 |
Roberto Diaz | $6,800 | $7,500 | $11,000 | 593 | 268 | -12% | 9% | -2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Chad Campbell | $6,800 | $7,400 | $10,600 | 438 | 305 | -34% | -2% | 2% | 0/1 | 98 |
Nate Lashley | $6,700 | $8,000 | $11,200 | 397 | 241 | 8% | -13% | -1% | 0/0 | 500 |
D.J. Trahan | $6,700 | $7,700 | $10,700 | 528 | 264 | 0% | -1% | 9% | 0/1 | 80 |
Hank Lebioda | $6,700 | $7,700 | $11,100 | 423 | 257 | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Scott Brown | $6,700 | $8,200 | $11,300 | 250 | 236 | 13% | -21% | -3% | 0/1 | 80 |
Alex Prugh | $6,700 | $7,300 | $10,700 | 531 | 286 | -7% | 15% | 2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Curtis Luck | $6,700 | $7,900 | $11,300 | 458 | 236 | 13% | 0% | -3% | 0/0 | 500 |
Brady Schnell | $6,700 | $7,400 | $10,700 | 412 | 295 | -16% | 2% | -6% | 0/0 | 500 |
Robert Streb | $6,700 | $7,400 | $10,800 | 300 | 295 | -16% | 2% | -8% | 0/0 | 500 |
Ben Crane | $6,600 | $7,300 | $10,700 | 467 | 318 | -15% | 0% | -15% | 0/0 | 500 |
Sam Saunders | $6,600 | $7,500 | $10,900 | 318 | 286 | 2% | 4% | -2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Richy Werenski | $6,600 | $7,700 | $10,700 | 219 | 286 | 2% | -8% | 2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Tom Hoge | $6,600 | $7,800 | $10,700 | 347 | 286 | 2% | -15% | 2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Jonathan Byrd | $6,600 | $7,700 | $10,900 | 406 | 286 | 2% | -8% | -2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Brice Garnett | $6,600 | $7,400 | $10,700 | 191 | 286 | 2% | 10% | 2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Alex Cejka | $6,600 | $7,700 | $10,600 | 475 | 314 | -13% | -25% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Sang-Moon Bae | $6,600 | $7,000 | $10,500 | 380 | 391 | -24% | 7% | -5% | 0/0 | 500 |
Adam Svensson | $6,500 | $7,500 | $10,600 | 454 | 336 | -8% | -15% | -4% | 0/0 | 500 |
Bronson Burgoon | $6,500 | $7,500 | $10,700 | 195 | 291 | 3% | -3% | -5% | 0/0 | 500 |
Hudson Swafford | $6,500 | $7,800 | $10,900 | 273 | 277 | 12% | -13% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Ricky Barnes | $6,500 | $7,200 | $10,500 | 998 | 375 | -13% | -1% | -4% | 1/1 | 48 |
Fabian Gomez | $6,500 | $7,200 | $10,700 | 480 | 314 | -4% | 7% | -13% | 0/0 | 500 |
Kelly Kraft | $6,500 | $7,600 | $11,000 | 193 | 275 | 14% | 3% | -4% | 0/0 | 500 |
Brandon Hagy | $6,500 | $7,200 | $10,500 | 758 | 436 | -20% | -7% | -10% | 0/0 | 500 |
Cody Gribble | $6,500 | $7,300 | $10,300 | 790 | 400 | -15% | -8% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Julian Etulain | $6,400 | $7,400 | $10,700 | 344 | 300 | 6% | -1% | -10% | 0/0 | 500 |
Collin Morikawa | $6,400 | $7,000 | $10,500 | 323 | 1% | 12% | 2% | 0/0 | 500 | |
Scott Langley | $6,400 | $7,300 | $10,700 | 260 | 305 | 6% | 4% | -11% | 0/0 | 500 |
Jose de Jesus Rodriguez | $6,400 | $7,800 | $10,600 | 490 | 359 | -2% | -41% | -6% | 0/0 | 500 |
Joey Garber | $6,400 | $7,000 | $10,300 | 439 | 364 | -3% | 9% | 3% | 0/0 | 500 |
Austin Connelly | $6,400 | $7,200 | $10,400 | 680 | 414 | -9% | -5% | -3% | 0/0 | 500 |
Albin Choi | $6,400 | $7,100 | $10,200 | 1118 | 505 | -22% | -13% | -9% | 1/1 | 74 |
Richard T. Lee | $6,400 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 518 | -23% | -9% | -10% | 0/0 | 500 | |
Carlos Ortiz | $6,300 | $7,000 | $10,600 | 278 | 286 | 22% | 26% | 13% | 0/0 | 500 |
Dominic Bozzelli | $6,300 | $7,300 | $10,700 | 363 | 295 | 15% | 7% | -6% | 0/0 | 500 |
J.J. Henry | $6,300 | $7,600 | $10,300 | 635 | 355 | 6% | -22% | 5% | 1/1 | 37 |
Chad Collins | $6,300 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 545 | -16% | -11% | -11% | 0/0 | 500 | |
Whee Kim | $6,300 | $7,000 | $10,300 | 234 | 459 | -5% | 0% | -6% | 0/0 | 500 |
Mike Weir | $6,300 | $7,100 | $10,200 | 564 | -18% | -17% | -13% | 0/1 | 129 | |
Michael Gligic | $6,300 | $7,000 | $10,300 | 362 | 400 | 1% | 6% | 0% | 0/1 | 129 |
Drew Nesbitt | $6,300 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 846 | 532 | -15% | -10% | -11% | 0/0 | 500 |
Tyrone Van Aswegen | $6,200 | $7,500 | $10,500 | 639 | 365 | 10% | -19% | -3% | 0/0 | 500 |
Ryan Yip | $6,200 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 795 | 595 | -11% | -13% | -14% | 0/0 | 500 |
Chase Wright | $6,200 | $7,200 | $10,300 | 358 | 400 | 7% | -3% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Tom Lovelady | $6,200 | $7,300 | $10,200 | 498 | 486 | -4% | -21% | -7% | 0/0 | 500 |
Jake Knapp | $6,200 | $7,000 | $10,100 | 846 | 636 | -12% | -14% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Will Claxton | $6,200 | $7,000 | $10,100 | 664 | -14% | -15% | -1% | 1/1 | 19 | |
Matthew Anderson | $6,200 | $7,000 | 864 | -17% | -19% | 0/0 | 500 | |||
Joseph Deraney | $6,200 | $7,000 | $10,000 | 1045 | -18% | -20% | -2% | 0/0 | 500 | |
Chris Crisologo | $6,200 | $7,000 | $10,000 | 1364 | -20% | -22% | -4% | 0/0 | 500 | |
Wes Roach | $6,100 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 533 | 418 | 10% | 2% | 2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Martin Trainer | $6,100 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 155 | 477 | 5% | -3% | -4% | 0/0 | 500 |
Derek Fathauer | $6,100 | $7,100 | $10,200 | 487 | 464 | 7% | -5% | -2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Jim Herman | $6,100 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 1133 | 482 | 4% | -4% | -5% | 0/0 | 500 |
Kyle Jones | $6,100 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 421 | 555 | -2% | -11% | -12% | 0/0 | 500 |
Rod Pampling | $6,100 | $7,000 | $10,100 | 1131 | 668 | -7% | -16% | -2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Paul Barjon | $6,100 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 706 | 440 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 |
Zachary Bauchou | $6,100 | $7,000 | $10,000 | 818 | -8% | -18% | -1% | 0/0 | 500 | |
Marc-Etienne Bussieres | $6,100 | $7,000 | $10,000 | 1364 | -12% | -22% | -4% | 0/0 | 500 | |
Anders Albertson | $6,000 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 309 | 491 | 8% | -7% | -7% | 0/0 | 500 |
Seth Reeves | $6,000 | $7,400 | $10,200 | 557 | 491 | 8% | -30% | -7% | 0/0 | 500 |
Martin Piller | $6,000 | $7,100 | $10,200 | 630 | 464 | 13% | -5% | -2% | 0/0 | 500 |
Colt Knost | $6,000 | $7,000 | $10,200 | 473 | 12% | -2% | -3% | 1/1 | 48 | |
John Chin | $6,000 | $7,000 | $10,100 | 599 | 659 | 1% | -15% | -1% | 0/0 | 500 |
Chris Thompson | $6,000 | $7,100 | $10,200 | 460 | 482 | 10% | -8% | -5% | 0/0 | 500 |
Joey Savoie | $6,000 | $7,000 | $10,000 | 1091 | -3% | -20% | -3% | 0/0 | 500 | |
Richard Jung | $6,000 | $7,000 | $10,000 | 732 | -1% | -17% | 0% | 0/0 | 500 | |
Michael Blair | $6,000 | $7,000 | $10,000 | 1136 | -4% | -21% | -3% | 0/0 | 500 | |
Josh Whalen | $6,000 | $7,000 | $10,000 | 2091 | -6% | -24% | -6% | 0/0 | 500 |
Color Coding
Course history in BLUE indicates a top ten finish.
Course history in GREEN indicates a top 25 finish.
Course history in YELLOW indicates a made cut with a finish outside the top 25.
Course history in RED indicates a missed cut.
Legend
Term | Description |
---|---|
Site % Odds | The percentage differential between a golfer’s salary rank and odds rank. The higher the %, the better. |
OWGR | Official World Golf Ranking |
Cuts | Cut record of each golfer at this course in the last five seasons. |
2014 – 2018 Columns | Course history at this event in the last five seasons. |