PGA First Look: Rocket Mortgage Classic

The PGA First Look is complete with a course preview, odds, salaries, Official World Golf Rankings, and course history.

If you’re looking for more in-depth golf betting tips, check out our breakdown of the course and the PGA odds for the 2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

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Event Preview

It was great seeing Chez Reavie get his first win in over 10 years at the Travelers Championship, although I was a little disappointed that I didn’t have him as an outright bet. He’s been a regular feature of my betting card over the last two years and I hopped off on the wrong week. I’m always a big fan of the event that Travelers puts on and it’s hard not to like the finish that TPC River Highlands provides. You can make eagles, birdies, or bogeys on the last six-hole stretch.

This week we head to Detroit for a new event on the PGA Tour schedule. The Rocket Mortgage Classic signed a four-year deal that should help bring more interest to the tour in the midwest. With this being a new course, there are a lot of unknowns that come into play. Rather than try to speculate about a course that is located in a city that I haven’t ever been to, I find the best approach is to trust the course superintendent, Jake Mendoza. If you are interested in a full course breakdown, here is an 18-minute video with the superintendent. If you were one of those kids that bought the Cliff Notes version of books in school, I’ll recap the main points below.

Detroit Golf Club is a Par 72 that measures 7,334 yards. It features four par fives, four par threes, and 10 par fours. Off the tee, golfers will see tree-lined fairways with strategically placed bunkers. The mounds around the bunkers will be penal, as golfers will be hitting a golf ball well below or above their feet. The rough could play a pivotal role in determining this week’s winner, as it will be 3.5 inches to start the tournament and they’ll let it grow from there. The fairways look flat from a distance, but they feature many small contours that will provide uneven lies on approaches and create strange bounces off the tee.

The greens are mostly made of poa annua grass, but will feature some bentgrass as well. In terms of grass type, they are very similar to what we saw last week. The greens are far from flat and according to Mendoza, they will run at 12-12.5 on the stimpmeter. Fast and hilly greens should test even the best putters in the field. I honestly didn’t know what a drainage swell was until watching the video, but they are featured throughout the course. Golfers will have a tough time hitting out of these if their ball ends up finding them. We shouldn’t see too many penalties this week, as the course only has one water hazard throughout the 18 holes.

The big question is how difficult the course will play. A 7,300 yard course feels long on paper, but it is a bit misleading. The four par fives all measure at least 550 yards and two of the par threes measure over 200 yards. While golfers will have to hit long irons on these holes, most of the par fours will create wedge opportunities. This is a complete guess on my part, but I’ll set the line for the winning score at 18-under par. In terms of the type of golfer that I’m looking for, I tend to lean on ball strikers when we are dealing with limited course information.

Best of luck this week!

Cut Rule: Top 70 and ties move on after the first two rounds. The MDF rule is in effect if more than 78 golfers make the initial cut.

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Approach
2) Birdie or Better %
3) Strokes Gained Off the Tee
4) Bogey Avoidance
5) Strokes Gained Putting (Emphasis on Poa)

Sports Betting Card

I had a great week of DFS at the Travelers Championship, but it was a big swing and a miss for the bets. We had 12 units in play and didn’t bring a single one back. The worst part was that we didn’t even have a sweat on Sunday. We’ll look to bounce back this week in Detroit. I really only see two options this week — hammer Dustin Johnson with a three-plus unit bet or take a shot on some dark horses. Both are viable, but I’ll chase the golfers with deeper odds given the unknowns about how the course will play.

YTD: 5 wins, -7 units

Outright Bets

Billy Horschel 30/1
Kevin Streelman 40/1
Rory Sabbatini 60/1

Top 5 Bets

Billy Horschel 6/1
Kevin Streelman 8/1
Rory Sabbatini 12/1

Top 20 Bets

Troy Merritt 4/1
Peter Malnati 5/1
Hank Lebioda 5/1
Cameron Tringale 5/1

Salaries & Odds (No Course History)

Golfer DK Salary FD Salary FDRFT Sal OWGR Odds DK % FD % FDRFT %
Dustin Johnson $12,000 $12,500 $18,600 2 6 0% 0% 0%
Rickie Fowler $11,200 $11,700 $17,400 14 11 0% 0% 0%
Gary Woodland $10,900 $11,200 $16,900 12 13 -33% 0% -33%
Hideki Matsuyama $10,200 $11,300 $16,900 31 13 25% 0% 0%
Brandt Snedeker $9,900 $10,600 $15,400 45 30 -20% 25% 0%
Chez Reavie $9,700 $10,900 $15,800 26 23 17% 0% 0%
Ryan Moore $9,500 $10,200 $15,400 75 31 -14% 33% -33%
Patrick Reed $9,300 $10,800 $15,100 25 35 -13% -50% 0%
Kevin Kisner $9,100 $10,500 $15,100 27 35 -11% -11% -11%
Billy Horschel $9,000 $10,400 $15,300 41 30 30% 30% 13%
Joaquin Niemann $8,900 $9,800 $14,600 97 44 -27% 13% 0%
Sungjae Im $8,800 $10,300 $14,700 66 43 -8% -18% 0%
Bubba Watson $8,700 $10,700 $14,800 22 42 8% -71% -9%
Kevin Streelman $8,600 $9,500 $14,800 87 41 21% 50% 0%
Rory Sabbatini $8,500 $9,400 $14,200 111 56 -40% 13% -17%
Viktor Hovland $8,400 $10,000 $14,600 340 46 6% -7% -7%
Jason Kokrak $8,300 $9,300 $13,900 70 61 -35% 15% 0%
Aaron Wise $8,200 $9,400 $14,500 71 48 11% 33% 0%
Kevin Tway $8,100 $10,100 $14,300 88 52 11% -31% 0%
Jason Dufner $8,000 $9,500 $14,200 138 55 5% 14% -6%
Brian Harman $8,000 $9,100 $14,200 91 55 5% 39% -6%
Byeong Hun An $7,900 $9,900 $14,200 53 52 18% -20% 0%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee $7,900 $9,600 $13,600 209 70 -18% -30% 0%
Charles Howell $7,800 $9,800 $14,000 55 59 8% -38% 0%
Charley Hoffman $7,800 $9,700 $13,800 78 67 0% -33% 0%
Keith Mitchell $7,800 $9,000 $13,400 62 73 -13% 18% 4%
Jimmy Walker $7,700 $9,700 $13,400 108 80 -19% -78% -14%
Luke List $7,700 $9,300 $13,400 67 80 -15% -15% -11%
Kyle Stanley $7,700 $9,600 $13,800 56 69 7% -25% -4%
Nick Watney $7,600 $9,400 $13,500 142 78 3% -21% -7%
Sung Kang $7,600 $8,800 $13,300 65 78 0% 21% 3%
Vaughn Taylor $7,600 $8,800 $13,300 125 78 7% 26% 10%
Mac Hughes $7,600 $8,700 $13,000 196 90 -10% 20% 0%
Peter Malnati $7,500 $8,500 $12,600 203 116 -32% 6% -15%
Bud Cauley $7,500 $8,600 $12,700 152 91 -3% 22% 5%
Martin Laird $7,500 $9,200 $13,000 247 90 0% -17% -3%
Matthew Wolff $7,500 $9,200 $12,600 115 -29% -52% -13%
Harold Varner $7,400 $9,000 $12,900 157 96 5% -9% -3%
J.J. Spaun $7,400 $8,900 $12,900 150 99 0% -6% -9%
Russell Henley $7,400 $8,400 $12,600 184 109 -5% 23% -3%
Si Woo Kim $7,400 $8,700 $12,700 61 97 3% 10% 0%
Cameron Smith $7,400 $8,800 $12,600 40 106 -3% -3% 0%
Corey Conners $7,300 $8,700 $12,600 82 111 2% -2% -8%
Michael Thompson $7,300 $8,900 $12,600 101 111 0% -19% -10%
Danny Lee $7,300 $8,600 $12,600 113 110 5% 9% -5%
Max Homa $7,300 $8,500 $12,300 98 131 -21% -8% -6%
J.B. Holmes $7,300 $9,100 $12,200 54 143 -33% -84% -12%
Austin Cook $7,200 $8,300 $12,400 155 116 6% 20% 6%
Chesson Hadley $7,200 $8,700 $12,600 90 117 0% -17% -23%
Zack Sucher $7,200 $9,000 $12,500 147 116 6% -36% 4%
Roberto Diaz $7,200 $8,400 $12,100 414 145 -23% -13% -7%
Beau Hossler $7,200 $8,500 $12,200 116 134 -10% -10% -4%
Brendan Steele $7,200 $8,500 $12,300 191 130 -6% -6% -4%
Dylan Frittelli $7,100 $8,300 $12,100 118 146 -11% -7% -9%
Sam Burns $7,100 $8,000 $12,100 120 127 9% 32% 11%
Brian Stuard $7,100 $8,600 $12,200 163 145 -7% -29% -14%
Wyndham Clark $7,100 $7,900 $11,900 233 154 -24% 13% -6%
Peter Uihlein $7,100 $8,200 $12,200 132 141 -2% 10% -8%
Stephan Jaeger $7,100 $8,100 $11,900 277 146 -11% 10% 5%
Troy Merritt $7,000 $8,400 $12,100 182 128 17% 4% 9%
Matt Jones $7,000 $8,200 $11,900 190 157 -13% -11% -8%
Sebastian Munoz $7,000 $8,200 $12,000 220 148 -5% -3% -5%
Alex Prugh $7,000 $8,100 $12,000 367 146 0% 10% 0%
Cameron Tringale $7,000 $7,900 $12,000 429 142 7% 27% 7%
Nick Taylor $7,000 $8,300 $11,800 236 152 -8% -16% 2%
Hank Lebioda $6,900 $8,000 $11,800 365 164 -8% 1% -8%
Sepp Straka $6,900 $8,300 $11,600 316 180 -20% -41% 0%
Trey Mullinax $6,900 $8,100 $11,700 237 167 -14% -12% -1%
Adam Long $6,900 $8,000 $12,100 109 139 18% 25% 2%
JT Poston $6,900 $8,200 $11,800 170 152 2% -7% 2%
Ryan Armour $6,900 $8,000 $11,800 130 159 -6% 3% -6%
Jonas Blixt $6,800 $7,800 $11,800 211 148 13% 22% 5%
Harris English $6,800 $8,100 $11,800 298 166 -1% -9% -11%
Andrew Landry $6,800 $8,200 $11,800 153 164 1% -16% -8%
Cameron Champ $6,800 $8,100 $11,800 128 157 6% -1% -3%
Ryan Blaum $6,800 $7,700 $11,600 320 179 -8% 7% 1%
Ollie Schniederjans $6,800 $7,900 $11,700 265 190 -14% -6% -11%
Robert Streb $6,800 $8,400 $11,700 265 166 -1% -40% 1%
Scott Brown $6,700 $7,800 $11,700 246 170 4% 6% -3%
Scott Stallings $6,700 $8,300 $11,600 149 186 -1% -43% -1%
Bronson Burgoon $6,700 $7,600 $11,000 205 243 -16% -6% 0%
Brian Gay $6,700 $7,800 $11,600 144 186 -1% 1% -1%
Luke Donald $6,700 $7,900 $11,400 490 234 -14% -17% -7%
Roberto Castro $6,700 $7,100 $11,200 332 232 -11% 16% 1%
Cody Gribble $6,700 $7,500 $10,900 633 275 -25% -10% 0%
Sam Ryder $6,600 $8,000 $11,700 188 173 10% -7% -4%
Adam Schenk $6,600 $7,400 $11,200 249 232 -2% 6% 1%
Benjamin Silverman $6,600 $7,500 $11,500 380 218 -1% 3% -5%
Tyler Duncan $6,600 $7,700 $11,400 389 207 3% 1% 1%
Sam Saunders $6,600 $7,400 $10,600 343 350 -34% -22% -6%
Seamus Power $6,600 $8,200 $11,300 293 216 0% -41% 1%
Sang-Moon Bae $6,600 $7,500 $11,000 338 263 -12% -7% -4%
Scott Langley $6,600 $7,000 $10,700 264 289 -21% 5% 2%
Denny McCarthy $6,500 $7,600 $11,300 166 215 10% 2% 2%
Cameron Davis $6,500 $7,000 $10,900 208 264 -3% 11% 2%
Jim Knous $6,500 $7,000 $11,000 450 254 0% 14% -2%
Shawn Stefani $6,500 $7,200 $11,100 307 239 3% 11% 0%
Kramer Hickok $6,500 $7,700 $11,400 214 211 11% 0% 0%
Wes Roach $6,500 $7,300 $10,600 421 311 -16% -11% 0%
Chris Stroud $6,500 $7,400 $10,700 213 302 -15% -15% -2%
Fredrik Jacobson $6,500 $7,000 $10,600 311 -16% 0% 0%
Josh Teater $6,400 $7,300 $11,000 388 259 7% 3% -3%
Carlos Ortiz $6,400 $7,200 $10,900 276 250 9% 9% 6%
Brandon Harkins $6,400 $7,200 $10,900 368 264 5% 5% 2%
Tom Hoge $6,400 $7,300 $10,800 350 275 3% -1% 5%
Fabian Gomez $6,400 $7,000 $10,300 508 404 -23% -15% -2%
Roger Sloan $6,400 $7,100 $10,800 282 277 0% 3% 2%
Nicholas Lindheim $6,400 $7,000 $10,600 441 332 -11% -4% -4%
Curtis Luck $6,400 $7,000 $11,000 490 291 -3% 4% -14%
Anirban Lahiri $6,400 $7,500 $11,000 267 279 -1% -14% -12%
Stewart Cink $6,300 $7,600 $10,900 119 300 4% -23% -8%
Adam Svensson $6,300 $7,000 $10,600 495 314 0% -2% -2%
Hunter Mahan $6,300 $7,000 $10,600 445 350 -4% -6% -6%
Joey Garber $6,300 $7,000 $10,600 419 325 -1% -3% -3%
Patton Kizzire $6,300 $7,400 $11,000 124 275 11% -5% -8%
Brady Schnell $6,300 $7,000 $10,400 436 379 -9% -11% -1%
Kelly Kraft $6,300 $7,000 $10,500 199 357 -5% -7% 1%
Satoshi Kodaira $6,300 $7,000 $10,200 94 429 -15% -17% 0%
Chip McDaniel $6,300 $10,000 703 450 -19% 11%
Richy Werenski $6,200 $7,300 $10,600 238 332 6% -15% -4%
Brice Garnett $6,200 $7,000 $10,700 194 293 12% 3% 0%
Ernie Els $6,200 $7,100 $10,500 361 364 1% -13% -1%
Jose de Jesus Rodriguez $6,200 $7,000 $10,600 435 357 3% -7% -7%
Seth Reeves $6,200 $7,000 $10,200 577 461 -12% -23% -5%
Anders Albertson $6,200 $7,000 $10,200 330 504 -13% -25% -6%
Martin Trainer $6,200 $7,000 $10,200 175 454 -11% -22% -4%
Kyle Jones $6,200 $7,000 $10,200 477 443 -8% -19% -2%
Justin Suh $6,200 $7,000 $10,300 393 -3% -14% -1%
Will Claxton $6,200 $7,000 $10,100 714 -21% -33% -4%
J.J. Henry $6,100 $7,000 $10,300 668 407 3% -16% -2%
Billy Hurley $6,100 $7,000 $10,200 1013 493 -4% -24% -5%
Chase Wright $6,100 $7,000 $10,200 379 571 -8% -29% -10%
Alex Cejka $6,100 $7,000 $10,300 520 371 8% -10% 2%
Colt Knost $6,100 $7,000 $10,200 436 1% -18% -1%
Chris Thompson $6,100 $7,000 $10,200 433 443 0% -19% -2%
Ryan Vermeer $6,100 $7,000 $10,100 771 -15% -38% -7%
Whee Kim $6,100 $7,000 $10,200 256 504 -5% -25% -6%
John Chin $6,100 $7,000 $10,100 628 739 -13% -35% -5%
Mike Weir $6,100 $7,000 $10,100 750 -14% -36% -6%
Smylie Kaufman $6,100 $7,000 $10,100 729 -12% -34% -4%
Julian Etulain $6,000 $7,100 $10,300 371 411 10% -21% -3%
Chad Collins $6,000 $7,000 $10,200 554 1% -28% -9%
Ted Potter $6,000 $7,000 $10,400 195 389 13% -12% -2%
Jim Herman $6,000 $7,000 $10,100 1190 661 -1% -31% -2%
Morgan Hoffmann $6,000 $7,000 $10,400 1117 389 13% -12% -2%
Rod Pampling $6,000 $7,000 $10,200 1012 550 2% -27% -8%
Will MacKenzie $6,000 $7,000 $10,100 688 -2% -32% -3%
Michael Kim $6,000 $7,000 $10,100 409 554 1% -28% 1%
Zachary Bauchou $6,000 $7,000 $10,100 592 -1% -30% -1%
Matt Harmon $6,000 $10,000 1145 750 -5% 1%
Lee Houtteman $6,000 $7,000 $10,000 1135 -7% -39% -1%
David Berganio $6,000 $7,000 $10,000 1536 -8% -39% -2%

Color Coding
Course history in BLUE indicates a top ten finish.
Course history in GREEN indicates a top 25 finish.
Course history in YELLOW indicates a made cut with a finish outside the top 25.
Course history in RED indicates a missed cut.

Legend

Term Description
Site % Odds The percentage differential between a golfer’s salary rank and odds rank. The higher the %, the better.
OWGR Official World Golf Ranking
Cuts Cut record of each golfer at this course in the last five seasons.
2014 – 2018 Columns Course history at this event in the last five seasons.

Cover Image Credit: USA Today Sports Images

About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

    Interview after $100,000 Win

Comments

  • TMH887

    For what it’s worth: I live/work right next to the Detroit Golf Club and always listen to the sports talk radio station here. They’be been saying they expect these golfers to crush this course and have said they wouldn’t be surprised to see a winning score of around -28. I’ve heard as high as -30 but that seems hyperbolic.

  • femshaveballs

    Where’s the specialist articles?

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