PGA First Look: The PLAYERS Championship

The PGA First Look is complete with a course preview, odds, salaries, Official World Golf Rankings, and course history.

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Event Preview

The year’s fifth major is upon us and with it comes the strongest field that we will see all year. All 50 of the top golfers in the world are in the field. Thanks to FanDuel, I had the pleasure (if you can call it that) of playing one of the most iconic courses in the world — the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass. Pete Dye designs tend to magnify a golfer’s weakness and that was certainly the case for myself, Stephen Young, and Dan Back. We sprayed the ball off the tee, we found the hazards all too often, and had a difficult time around these elevated greens. The course was incredibly tough, but at the very least, I didn’t take as many shots to hit the 17th green as Russell Knox did a few years ago. I tried to find the video on Twitter, but it seems to have disappeared.

We’ll start with the renovations that the course went through after the 2016 tournament. All of the green complexes were rebuilt and replanted with TifEagle Bermudagrass and the bunkers were rebuilt as well. The 6th, 7th, and 12th holes were all reconfigured. The spectator mound between the 6th and 7th holes was removed and turned into another hazard. The 12th hole had the biggest renovation, as it was changed from a 358-yard par four to a driveable, 302-yard par four. Many golfers chose to lay up off the tee last year, but a good drive on the hole turned into an easy up and down for birdie. It sounds like the hole will play a little differently this season, so I expect more golfers to go for the green (which was the intent in the first place).

After the renovations, the course now measures 7,189 yards. It’s significantly short than most Par 72 courses that we see on tour, but it has plenty of bite. It ranked as the fifth hardest course on tour last season. Pete Dye designs tend to favor the all-around golfer, which is why we’ve seen so many different types of golfers compete here. There may be no better example of that then the fact that 16 different golfers have won this event over the last 16 years. Tiger Woods is the only golfers since the year 2000 to win this event twice. Speaking of Tiger, his three best finishes this season were all on difficult Florida golf courses (12th at the Honda Classic, second at the Valspar Championship, and fifth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational).

This course is the ultimate test of golf. It requires patience, but you have to be aggressive as well. With so many water hazards (25 in total with water in play on 14 of the holes), there aren’t many bailout areas. You have to be accurate off the tee and precise with your irons. If and when the wind picks up (this is Florida golf after all), you have to be able to scramble to save par. I compare this event to the Honda Classic, where there are plenty of big numbers on the scorecard. Get ready for some serious ejections this week, even by some of the best golfers in the world. If you make a lineup that gets all six golfers through the cut, you’ll be sitting pretty heading into the weekend. Last year, it was absolute carnage when it came to getting six golfers through the cut.

Cut Rule:Top 70 and ties will move on after the first two rounds. The MDF rule is in effect if more than 78 golfers make the initial cut.

Recent Winners of this Event:Si Woo Kim (2017), Jason Day (2016), Rickie Fowler (2015), Martin Kaymer (2014), Tiger Woods (2013)

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Approach
2) Good Drives Gained
3) Par 4 Scoring
4) Par 5 Scoring
5) Birdie or Better %

Hole by Hole Breakdown

Salaries, Odds, and Course History (2013-2017)

Golfer DK Salary FD Salary FDRFT Salary OWGR Odds DK Odds FD Odds FDRFT Odds Cuts 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
Rory McIlroy $11,600 $12,000 $16,900 8 15 -200% 25% -200% 5/5 35 12 8 6 8
Jason Day $11,400 $12,100 $16,800 7 14 50% 67% 50% 3/4 60 1 126 500 19
Jordan Spieth $11,100 $12,300 $16,700 4 16 -67% -400% -67% 1/4 97 77 103 4 500
Justin Thomas $10,800 $11,900 $16,700 2 15 50% 60% 33% 3/3 75 3 24 500 500
Dustin Johnson $10,300 $12,200 $16,400 1 15 20% -100% 20% 4/4 12 28 69 59 500
Rickie Fowler $9,600 $11,500 $15,800 6 20 0% 33% 0% 3/5 60 77 1 77 78
Jon Rahm $9,300 $11,800 $15,700 3 24 0% -17% 0% 1/1 72 500 500 500 500
Justin Rose $9,100 $11,700 $15,600 5 27 0% -14% 0% 3/5 65 19 76 4 89
Sergio Garcia $9,000 $11,300 $15,200 13 38 -44% -18% -8% 5/5 30 54 2 3 8
Paul Casey $8,900 $11,000 $15,300 12 34 0% 29% 9% 2/2 22 23 500 500 500
Henrik Stenson $8,800 $11,600 $15,500 15 28 18% -13% 0% 4/5 16 131 17 34 5
Patrick Reed $8,700 $11,400 $15,400 10 34 8% -10% -10% 2/4 22 77 24 137 500
Tiger Woods $8,600 $10,900 $15,000 92 39 -15% 0% -7% 2/2 500 500 69 500 1
Hideki Matsuyama $8,500 $10,500 $14,800 9 37 14% 33% 20% 4/4 22 7 17 23 500
Phil Mickelson $8,400 $11,200 $15,100 19 38 7% -17% -8% 1/5 41 77 119 83 78
Bryson DeChambeau $8,300 $9,600 $14,300 42 54 -6% 47% 0% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Tommy Fleetwood $8,200 $10,300 $14,500 14 55 -12% 5% -19% 1/1 41 500 500 500 500
Francesco Molinari $8,100 $9,500 $14,200 30 54 0% 49% 0% 3/4 6 7 500 6 89
Kevin Kisner $8,000 $8,900 $13,900 24 72 -63% 38% -24% 2/3 56 102 2 500 500
Alexander Noren $7,900 $9,800 $14,100 18 61 -15% 18% -15% 1/1 10 500 500 500 500
Bubba Watson $7,900 $10,700 $14,200 17 61 -5% -31% -17% 4/5 123 43 42 48 37
Matt Kuchar $7,800 $11,100 $14,100 21 65 -18% -100% -30% 4/5 82 3 76 17 48
Ian Poulter $7,800 $9,500 $14,000 26 77 -50% 6% -43% 4/5 2 57 30 65 89
Marc Leishman $7,700 $10,200 $14,100 16 63 0% -14% -20% 4/5 97 64 24 23 8
Brooks Koepka $7,700 $10,400 $14,000 11 61 8% -16% 4% 2/3 16 35 76 500 500
Louis Oosthuizen $7,700 $9,400 $13,900 33 72 -25% 19% -20% 4/5 2 28 69 135 19
Cameron Smith $7,600 $9,200 $13,800 39 71 -7% 31% -7% 0/1 97 500 500 500 500
Daniel Berger $7,600 $9,900 $13,300 37 96 -63% -69% -22% 2/3 65 9 76 500 500
Billy Horschel $7,600 $8,700 $13,400 78 64 7% 57% 24% 3/5 123 28 13 26 98
Zach Johnson $7,500 $10,100 $13,600 53 67 7% -22% 10% 5/5 48 54 13 26 19
Patrick Cantlay $7,500 $9,800 $13,800 34 53 47% 43% 41% 1/1 22 500 500 500 500
Tony Finau $7,500 $10,600 $13,700 31 59 33% -18% 31% 0/2 83 116 500 500 500
Emiliano Grillo $7,500 $9,200 $13,700 65 66 10% 36% 7% 1/2 11 110 500 500 500
Brian Harman $7,500 $9,300 $13,500 23 94 -33% 0% -25% 3/5 53 54 8 94 135
Luke List $7,400 $9,400 $13,400 50 79 3% 8% -3% 0/1 83 500 500 500 500
Rafael Cabrera-Bello $7,400 $10,200 $13,300 25 95 -20% -100% -17% 1/2 4 77 500 500 500
Kevin Chappell $7,400 $9,700 $13,100 47 94 -17% -37% -3% 4/5 35 2 119 26 68
Branden Grace $7,400 $9,900 $13,200 35 74 9% -23% 16% 4/4 48 57 42 500 48
Chesson Hadley $7,400 $8,800 $12,900 69 101 -37% 11% -14% 1/3 500 127 24 83 500
Adam Scott $7,400 $9,600 $13,000 71 83 -3% -13% 12% 5/5 6 12 38 38 19
Tyrrell Hatton $7,400 $8,900 $13,200 20 82 0% 30% 8% 1/1 41 500 500 500 500
Brandt Snedeker $7,400 $10,000 $12,700 81 97 -29% -80% -2% 2/4 500 116 103 48 8
Webb Simpson $7,300 $10,100 $13,400 41 84 14% -61% -12% 3/4 16 500 66 112 15
Ryan Moore $7,300 $9,100 $12,700 67 98 -7% -2% -5% 2/5 53 102 76 26 115
Adam Hadwin $7,300 $9,700 $12,500 44 103 -14% -63% 9% 2/3 30 39 119 500 500
Pat Perez $7,300 $9,400 $12,600 22 115 -37% -59% -23% 3/4 22 500 17 48 115
Byeong-Hun An $7,300 $8,600 $12,500 88 115 -35% 6% -7% 0/1 500 77 500 500 500
Nick Watney $7,300 $8,400 $12,400 101 108 -26% 23% 4% 0/3 500 500 119 128 89
Xander Schauffele $7,300 $8,600 $12,600 29 108 -23% 15% -10% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Charl Schwartzel $7,300 $8,400 $12,700 62 89 12% 46% 14% 3/4 114 500 51 48 55
Brendan Steele $7,200 $9,300 $12,600 49 105 -2% -30% -8% 3/5 6 57 76 26 78
Russell Henley $7,200 $9,000 $12,700 51 104 2% -6% -14% 3/5 35 116 24 17 78
Charley Hoffman $7,200 $9,600 $12,600 28 105 0% -59% -6% 4/5 30 77 30 38 37
Chris Kirk $7,200 $8,300 $12,300 137 122 -22% 17% -9% 4/4 12 500 13 13 55
Kyle Stanley $7,200 $8,700 $12,600 48 90 24% 33% 19% 3/3 4 500 500 71 33
Si Woo Kim $7,200 $9,100 $12,800 40 95 16% 4% 0% 2/2 1 23 500 500 500
Jimmy Walker $7,200 $9,200 $12,600 83 101 8% -12% 2% 3/5 56 139 90 6 15
Kevin Na $7,200 $7,900 $12,200 76 121 -18% 29% 2% 2/3 500 77 6 38 500
Gary Woodland $7,200 $8,400 $12,100 36 133 -27% 7% -2% 3/4 75 28 134 11 500
Jason Dufner $7,200 $8,900 $12,300 57 112 -8% -10% 4% 4/5 60 49 90 48 62
Matthew Fitzpatrick $7,200 $8,900 $12,300 38 122 -22% -24% -9% 0/2 104 77 500 500 500
Martin Laird $7,100 $9,000 $12,300 102 112 11% -17% 4% 1/4 83 93 500 94 5
Kevin Streelman $7,100 $8,100 $12,100 110 113 8% 30% 11% 3/5 72 74 119 112 2
Charles Howell $7,100 $9,000 $11,900 61 139 -10% -45% 1% 2/4 500 116 56 83 66
Ollie Schniederjans $7,100 $8,400 $12,200 87 121 3% 14% 2% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Beau Hossler $7,100 $8,500 $12,200 84 126 -3% 4% -5% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Russell Knox $7,100 $8,400 $11,800 119 144 -13% 0% 0% 3/4 97 19 17 34 500
Lucas Glover $7,100 $7,500 $11,800 97 149 -15% 28% -1% 1/3 6 500 500 83 115
Kiradech Aphibarnrat $7,100 $8,800 $12,100 32 134 -8% -24% -5% 0/1 500 93 500 500 500
J.B. Holmes $7,100 $8,200 $12,000 108 139 -10% 13% -1% 2/4 41 77 51 121 500
Ross Fisher $7,100 $8,000 $11,700 43 178 -31% 2% -7% 0/1 104 500 500 500 500
Satoshi Kodaira $7,100 $8,700 $11,800 27 163 -23% -31% -9% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Steve Stricker $7,000 $8,700 $11,600 142 163 -4% -31% 4% 4/4 41 500 38 13 37
Jamie Lovemark $7,000 $8,600 $11,700 95 163 -4% -23% 0% 2/2 75 64 500 500 500
Scott Piercy $7,000 $8,800 $11,800 143 157 -1% -37% -6% 1/4 143 23 103 500 98
Grayson Murray $7,000 $7,800 $11,600 106 181 -12% 7% -4% 1/1 79 500 500 500 500
James Hahn $7,000 $7,700 $11,000 70 224 -25% 1% 4% 3/5 83 43 30 94 62
Sean O’Hair $7,000 $8,000 $11,800 85 154 1% 13% -3% 2/4 130 64 132 500 43
Bud Cauley $7,000 $8,100 $11,600 127 165 -8% 2% 0% 0/1 500 500 500 500 125
Bill Haas $7,000 $8,800 $11,500 80 172 -10% -48% 2% 3/5 104 43 4 26 108
Shane Lowry $7,000 $8,200 $12,000 82 134 10% 15% 1% 1/3 114 16 103 500 500
Alexander Levy $7,000 $8,600 $11,500 46 185 -14% -34% -1% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Hao-Tong Li $7,000 $8,300 $11,500 45 190 -15% -12% -2% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Trey Mullinax $6,900 $7,400 $11,300 177 213 -5% 13% -1% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Keegan Bradley $6,900 $8,500 $11,700 76 162 11% -12% 1% 2/5 60 35 76 83 98
Jason Kokrak $6,900 $7,700 $11,100 121 239 -11% -1% 0% 0/4 83 500 76 128 78
Austin Cook $6,900 $8,300 $11,200 103 190 0% -12% 6% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Harris English $6,900 $7,800 $11,400 212 222 -7% -2% -6% 1/5 142 102 90 112 33
Martin Kaymer $6,900 $8,200 $11,800 107 155 13% 6% -4% 5/5 69 39 56 1 43
Ryan Palmer $6,900 $8,600 $11,300 123 217 -6% -44% -2% 3/5 97 23 119 59 5
Ben Martin $6,900 $7,400 $10,800 231 257 -14% 5% 2% 2/3 30 137 4 500 500
William McGirt $6,900 $7,900 $11,200 139 228 -10% -8% -3% 3/5 22 43 113 137 43
Brice Garnett $6,900 $7,300 $10,700 124 294 -19% 3% 0% 0/1 500 500 129 500 500
Jhonattan Vegas $6,900 $7,900 $10,900 59 264 -17% -15% -1% 2/3 83 57 42 500 500
David Lingmerth $6,900 $7,200 $11,000 205 258 -15% 13% -2% 2/4 72 77 500 112 2
Chez Reavie $6,800 $8,500 $11,400 52 196 10% -28% -1% 1/2 56 93 500 500 500
Patton Kizzire $6,800 $7,800 $11,200 58 239 3% -6% -4% 1/2 138 76 500 500 500
John Huh $6,800 $7,800 $10,800 207 278 -3% -13% -1% 2/5 83 139 103 72 68
Scott Stallings $6,800 $7,500 $10,400 138 328 -9% -7% 2% 2/3 500 500 75 65 115
Cheng-Tsung Pan $6,800 $7,100 $10,400 190 336 -11% 9% 0% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Kelly Kraft $6,800 $7,200 $10,600 164 299 -6% 8% -1% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Ryan Armour $6,800 $7,300 $10,300 165 378 -19% -11% -4% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Kevin Tway $6,800 $7,200 $10,300 227 369 -17% -1% -2% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Anirban Lahiri $6,800 $7,300 $10,600 100 297 -5% 2% 0% 0/2 114 500 113 500 500
Scott Brown $6,800 $7,000 $10,500 159 358 -14% 13% -5% 2/5 83 102 30 62 108
Danny Lee $6,800 $7,100 $10,600 186 308 -7% 13% -2% 1/3 139 35 90 500 500
Rory Sabbatini $6,700 $7,700 $11,200 166 210 19% 5% 2% 3/3 500 500 6 38 71
Patrick Rodgers $6,700 $7,600 $11,100 134 244 11% 0% -2% 0/2 104 116 500 500 500
Stewart Cink $6,700 $7,600 $10,400 153 333 1% -12% 1% 1/3 500 500 113 38 115
Tom Hoge $6,700 $7,100 $10,500 189 317 3% 12% 0% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Ted Potter $6,700 $7,200 $10,500 79 341 -1% 3% -4% 0/2 500 500 500 83 125
Michael Thompson $6,700 $7,300 $10,200 283 419 -12% -17% -2% 1/3 500 500 103 107 55
Hudson Swafford $6,700 $7,200 $10,200 132 400 -8% -5% 2% 1/2 83 57 500 500 500
Chad Campbell $6,700 $7,100 $10,200 292 419 -12% -2% -2% 2/3 104 39 500 500 43
Harold Varner $6,700 $7,000 $10,200 199 428 -14% 2% -3% 2/2 35 57 500 500 500
Mac Hughes $6,700 $7,000 $10,100 215 495 -26% -8% 0% 1/1 16 500 500 500 500
Whee Kim $6,700 $7,000 $10,200 152 474 -21% -3% -9% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
J.J. Spaun $6,600 $7,300 $10,300 150 367 6% -8% -1% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Brian Gay $6,600 $7,300 $10,300 144 400 2% -13% -5% 0/3 114 500 500 121 98
Dominic Bozzelli $6,600 $7,100 $10,100 253 531 -15% -15% -1% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Wesley Bryan $6,600 $7,600 $10,300 105 386 3% -21% -5% 0/1 97 500 500 500 500
Ryan Blaum $6,600 $7,000 $10,100 352 583 -18% -11% -3% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Richy Werenski $6,600 $7,100 $10,200 319 489 -12% -12% -12% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Rod Pampling $6,600 $7,100 $10,100 337 544 -17% -17% -2% 1/1 48 500 500 500 500
Martin Flores $6,600 $7,000 $10,200 295 472 -8% -2% -8% 2/3 500 500 38 48 108
Chris Stroud $6,600 $7,000 $10,300 187 414 -1% 5% -8% 3/3 500 500 42 80 33
Michael Kim $6,600 $7,000 $10,200 406 453 -6% 0% -6% 1/1 60 500 500 500 500
Geoff Ogilvy $6,600 $7,000 $10,300 402 372 4% 10% -3% 2/3 500 500 24 69 115
Derek Fathauer $6,600 $7,000 $10,200 290 489 -12% -6% -12% 1/2 130 500 17 500 500
Brandon Harkins $6,500 $7,200 $10,200 217 409 9% -6% 0% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Blayne Barber $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 401 436 5% 1% -5% 1/1 16 500 500 500 500
Vaughn Taylor $6,500 $7,500 $10,200 241 431 5% -26% -4% 0/2 130 77 500 500 500
Robert Garrigus $6,500 $7,200 $10,200 229 481 0% -17% -10% 0/4 139 500 134 94 78
Sung Kang $6,500 $7,000 $10,300 116 358 16% 13% 1% 1/1 30 500 500 500 500
Tyrone Van Aswegen $6,500 $7,300 $10,200 308 467 3% -22% -7% 0/1 137 500 500 500 500
J.J. Henry $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 448 533 -5% -10% -1% 2/3 500 28 500 48 89
Nick Taylor $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 230 472 2% -2% -8% 1/2 500 110 73 500 500
Scott McCarron $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 753 -9% -14% -5% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Robert Streb $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 224 494 -3% -7% -14% 1/3 114 102 30 500 500
Danny Willett $6,500 $7,300 $10,200 400 483 -1% -27% -11% 0/2 500 77 90 500 500
Cody Gribble $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 399 669 -8% -12% -4% 1/1 48 500 500 500 500
D.A. Points $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 369 744 -8% -13% -4% 1/3 130 500 500 131 48

Color Coding
Course history in BLUE indicates a top ten finish.
Course history in GREEN indicates a top 25 finish.
Course history in YELLOW indicates a made cut with a finish outside of the top 25.
Course history in RED indicates a missed cut.

Legend

Term Description
Site Odds The percentage differential between a golfer’s salary rank and odds rank. The higher the %, the better.
OWGR Official World Golf Ranking
Cuts Cut record of each golfer at this course in the last five seasons.
2013 – 2017 Columns Course history at this event in the last five seasons.

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious