PGA First Look: Valero Texas Open

The PGA First Look is complete with a course preview, odds, salaries, Official World Golf Rankings, and course history.

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Event Preview

The PGA Tour heads to Texas this week for the Valero Texas Open. While there are a few big names that headline the field, this is one of the weakest that we will see the rest of the season. This event has been played at the AT&T Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio since 2010. If you are a course history buff like myself, make sure to throw out any results before 2010. This is typically one of the toughest stops on the PGA Tour, largely thanks to the wind. It’s still early in the week, but forecasts show double-digit winds for all four days of the tournament. It could be a great week to stack tee times (both sides in tournaments), so be sure to check the weather late Wednesday night.

The AT&T Oaks course is a Par 72 that measures 7,435 yards. It typically plays firm and fast and many Australians say that it reminds them of the courses that they play at home. This is a long course, so it will require distance off the tee. It’s not a complete bomber’s track though, as the rough here can be penal. There are also a number of hazards in play off the tee. Rather than focusing on distance, I will be favoring the total drivers (combination of distance and accuracy). The greens are made of Bermudagrass and are multi-tiered with plenty of undulation. They are a little easier to hit than the greens last week, but that could change if the wind picks up.

As mentioned above, this is not going to be a birdie fest. It has ranked inside the top ten in terms of difficult in three of the last five seasons. I always like to lean on ball strikers when the wind picks up, as they are able to control their ball better than those that rely on a strong short game. I will be looking at par five scoring as well, although it’s worth noting that only one of the par fives is reachable by the entire field. The other three are only reachable by the longest of hitters and it will take two great shots to get there. Given the fact that scoring will be tough, I may lean toward bogey avoidance instead of birdie or better percentage this week.

As always, be sure to check out our great premium content. Good luck this week.

Cut Rule: The top 70 and ties move on after the first two rounds. The MDF rule is in effect if more than 78 golfers make the initial cut.

Recent Winners of this Event: Kevin Chappell (2017), Charley Hoffman (2016), Jimmy Walker (2015), Steven Bowditch (2014), Martin Laird (2013)

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Off the Tee (or Total Driving)
2) Strokes Gained Approach
3) Par 5 Scoring
4) Bogey Avoidance
5) Strokes Gained Putting (Emphasis on Bermuda)

Hole by Hole Breakdown

Salaries, Odds, and Course History (2013-2017)

Golfer DK Salary FD Salary FDRFT Salary OWGR Odds DK Odds FD Odds FDRFT Odds 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
Sergio Garcia $12,000 $12,400 $16,900 10 13 0% 0% 0% 500 500 500 500 500
Matt Kuchar $11,400 $12,100 $16,400 21 16 0% 0% 0% 40 42 15 4 22
Charley Hoffman $10,900 $11,200 $16,200 26 17 0% 40% 0% 40 1 11 11 3
Ryan Moore $10,200 $10,500 $15,600 64 23 -25% 44% 0% 18 500 500 500 500
Luke List $10,000 $10,900 $15,800 53 21 20% 33% 0% 92 29 500 500 46
Adam Scott $9,600 $11,700 $15,400 59 28 -17% -133% 0% 500 500 500 500 500
Kevin Chappell $9,300 $10,500 $15,500 43 26 14% 33% 0% 1 4 66 127 15
Billy Horschel $9,100 $9,100 $15,300 78 30 -13% 68% -13% 110 4 3 113 3
Brandt Snedeker $9,000 $11,500 $14,800 81 35 -33% -200% 8% 500 25 500 500 500
Brendan Steele $8,900 $10,100 $15,000 46 30 20% 33% 20% 62 13 8 105 46
Xander Schauffele $8,800 $10,100 $15,100 28 35 9% 17% -11% 92 500 500 500 500
Ollie Schniederjans $8,700 $9,400 $14,700 84 40 -33% 20% -7% 18 500 500 500 500
Si Woo Kim $8,600 $9,600 $14,900 39 39 -8% 18% -17% 22 93 500 500 500
Chesson Hadley $8,500 $9,500 $15,000 71 35 21% 39% -10% 500 125 4 56 500
Pat Perez $8,400 $10,300 $14,800 22 37 13% -18% 0% 500 500 20 11 500
Ryan Palmer $8,300 $9,500 $14,400 110 44 -13% 0% 0% 6 4 6 56 15
Jimmy Walker $8,200 $9,400 $14,200 88 47 -12% 5% 5% 13 140 1 16 31
Beau Hossler $8,100 $9,400 $14,600 83 40 17% 25% 6% 144 500 500 500 500
Zach Johnson $8,000 $10,700 $14,500 58 42 11% -143% 0% 117 29 20 6 500
Martin Laird $8,000 $9,300 $14,200 101 55 -11% 13% -5% 18 500 50 95 1
Keegan Bradley $7,900 $9,700 $14,000 74 58 -14% -50% 8% 139 37 500 500 500
J.B. Holmes $7,800 $9,400 $14,200 96 53 9% 0% 0% 500 13 500 64 500
Kevin Na $7,800 $8,600 $13,900 73 70 -23% 37% 4% 500 500 20 11 500
Jamie Lovemark $7,700 $10,000 $14,300 91 57 8% -57% -16% 40 500 500 36 500
Kevin Streelman $7,700 $9,100 $14,100 117 62 -8% 7% -13% 53 37 500 500 500
Jim Furyk $7,700 $9,000 $13,200 205 81 -33% -7% 11% 500 500 58 6 3
Bill Haas $7,600 $10,600 $14,100 76 57 15% -188% 0% 500 500 500 500 500
Julian Suri $7,600 $8,900 $14,000 70 72 -4% 15% -8% 500 500 500 500 500
Chris Paisley $7,600 $8,400 $13,100 82 103 -63% 8% -16% 500 500 500 500 500
Chris Kirk $7,500 $8,700 $13,800 154 82 -10% 11% -14% 92 13 8 500 500
Russell Knox $7,500 $9,200 $13,800 106 73 3% -12% 0% 500 500 76 26 69
Brian Gay $7,500 $8,100 $12,600 147 122 -77% 15% -13% 6 133 500 56 61
Patrick Rodgers $7,500 $8,600 $12,600 135 104 -50% -5% 4% 500 128 500 500 500
Shubhankar Sharma $7,500 $9,300 $13,500 72 90 -17% -46% -9% 500 500 500 500 500
Jason Kokrak $7,400 $8,700 $13,400 116 85 3% 8% -3% 67 81 11 31 15
Scott Piercy $7,400 $9,800 $14,100 125 62 29% -67% -9% 130 500 40 500 500
Dylan Frittelli $7,400 $9,000 $13,400 51 75 14% 0% 9% 500 500 500 500 500
John Huh $7,400 $8,700 $13,300 197 91 -3% 3% -3% 22 72 35 81 72
Austin Cook $7,400 $9,200 $13,200 109 102 -20% -62% -17% 500 500 500 500 500
Keith Mitchell $7,400 $8,500 $12,700 179 93 -11% 15% 7% 500 500 500 500 500
Harris English $7,400 $8,400 $13,600 195 78 11% 35% 0% 500 500 30 500 61
Peter Uihlein $7,400 $8,300 $12,700 65 107 -37% 11% -14% 500 500 500 113 500
Aaron Wise $7,300 $8,400 $12,700 196 112 -21% -8% -24% 500 500 500 500 500
Aaron Baddeley $7,300 $8,300 $12,600 230 103 0% 20% 9% 5 29 20 67 15
Brandon Harkins $7,300 $8,100 $11,900 208 141 -44% 0% -2% 500 500 500 500 500
Nick Watney $7,300 $8,800 $12,300 277 126 -33% -63% -6% 77 500 111 500 500
Grayson Murray $7,300 $8,700 $12,900 108 109 -16% -35% -25% 500 500 500 500 500
Jhonattan Vegas $7,300 $8,900 $12,700 55 105 -7% -39% -10% 34 120 68 113 500
JT Poston $7,300 $8,000 $11,700 340 193 -91% -28% -5% 27 500 500 500 500
Sean O’Hair $7,300 $8,600 $12,300 112 123 -28% -28% -2% 500 500 111 81 500
Michael Thompson $7,300 $8,000 $12,200 279 132 -35% 9% 0% 49 133 44 16 500
William McGirt $7,200 $8,800 $13,000 130 91 27% -9% 3% 500 37 40 31 37
Brice Garnett $7,200 $8,300 $12,700 120 108 6% 9% -17% 500 65 30 31 500
Graeme McDowell $7,200 $8,700 $12,600 222 101 21% -11% 13% 27 500 500 500 500
Cheng-Tsung Pan $7,200 $7,900 $12,400 176 106 10% 31% 11% 117 500 500 500 500
Trey Mullinax $7,200 $8,200 $12,300 306 137 -15% -3% -11% 130 500 500 500 500
Matt Jones $7,200 $7,700 $11,800 290 167 -35% 4% -9% 13 60 26 500 500
J.J. Spaun $7,200 $7,700 $11,800 148 173 -37% 3% -11% 49 500 500 500 500
Martin Kaymer $7,200 $9,000 $12,800 93 101 23% -33% 2% 500 500 133 500 500
Dominic Bozzelli $7,200 $8,200 $11,600 228 199 -65% -48% -2% 69 500 500 500 500
Anirban Lahiri $7,200 $8,400 $11,800 90 162 -29% -40% -5% 72 500 500 500 500
Martin Piller $7,200 $7,300 $12,100 229 125 -8% 43% 5% 500 4 500 500 500
Stewart Cink $7,100 $8,700 $12,300 139 123 14% -46% 0% 22 500 500 500 500
Tom Lovelady $7,100 $7,600 $11,700 259 195 -32% -4% -6% 500 500 500 500 500
Shawn Stefani $7,100 $7,300 $11,800 351 158 -2% 35% 0% 49 29 26 500 141
Corey Conners $7,100 $8,200 $11,700 473 175 -16% -26% 6% 500 500 500 500 500
Adam Schenk $7,100 $7,500 $11,400 297 228 -51% -9% -4% 500 500 500 500 500
Seamus Power $7,100 $7,800 $11,700 329 186 -27% -13% -3% 58 500 500 500 500
Robert Garrigus $7,100 $7,800 $11,700 218 180 -24% -10% 0% 92 109 58 500 500
Nicholas Lindheim $7,100 $7,400 $11,500 281 205 -41% 4% -2% 27 500 500 500 500
John Peterson $7,100 $7,900 $11,500 749 208 -43% -32% -3% 147 500 11 67 74
Sung Kang $7,100 $7,200 $11,900 103 179 -22% 31% -26% 6 42 500 500 500
Danny Lee $7,100 $7,500 $11,800 173 160 -3% 25% -2% 130 500 500 113 500
Roberto Diaz $7,100 $7,200 $11,200 517 242 -60% 9% 1% 500 500 500 500 500
Kevin Tway $7,000 $7,900 $12,600 224 110 32% 25% -9% 3 500 500 119 500
Andrew Landry $7,000 $11,800 114 133 21% 8% 500 51 500 500 500
Tom Hoge $7,000 $7,600 $12,000 185 138 19% 24% -2% 53 9 76 500 500
Martin Flores $7,000 $7,300 $11,300 275 243 -37% -4% -6% 92 500 100 16 10
Johnson Wagner $7,000 $7,400 $11,200 447 243 -37% -11% -1% 139 72 127 26 74
Chad Campbell $7,000 $7,600 $11,000 268 253 -45% -36% 1% 77 93 40 500 82
Matt Every $7,000 $7,500 $11,800 548 178 -1% 13% -19% 135 147 35 500 79
Whee Kim $7,000 $7,100 $11,400 141 232 -28% 20% -5% 77 29 500 500 500
Daniel Summerhays $7,000 $7,700 $10,700 256 238 -32% -36% 18% 58 13 4 2 7
Benjamin Silverman $7,000 $7,000 $11,000 258 292 -61% 6% -10% 500 500 500 500 500
Scott Brown $7,000 $7,300 $11,200 151 251 -44% -9% -6% 500 500 56 36 129
Geoff Ogilvy $7,000 $7,000 $10,600 383 287 -57% 9% 6% 27 93 133 11 500
Nate Lashley $6,900 $7,600 $11,800 276 175 16% 9% -14% 500 500 500 500 500
Abraham Ancer $6,900 $8,300 $12,600 189 91 57% 31% 21% 500 42 500 500 500
Ryan Armour $6,900 $8,000 $11,900 160 162 23% -5% -10% 92 500 500 500 500
Troy Merritt $6,900 $7,600 $11,800 363 174 17% 10% -13% 49 133 71 46 500
Vaughn Taylor $6,900 $8,000 $11,800 253 175 16% -14% -14% 500 500 500 500 124
Tyrone Van Aswegen $6,900 $8,500 $11,800 269 161 24% -43% -3% 110 500 500 77 500
Ricky Barnes $6,900 $7,700 $11,000 395 263 -29% -53% -2% 67 4 85 500 129
Joel Dahmen $6,900 $7,300 $10,700 515 289 -37% -20% 1% 92 500 500 500 500
Denny McCarthy $6,900 $7,500 $11,400 445 224 -7% -7% -2% 500 500 500 500 500
Tyler Duncan $6,900 $7,100 $10,600 364 -55% -13% -7% 500 500 500 500 500
Richy Werenski $6,900 $7,100 $10,500 357 392 -57% -14% -3% 110 500 500 500 500
Joaquin Niemann $6,900 $7,500 $11,100 280 -33% -33% -7% 500 500 500 500 500
Ben Martin $6,800 $8,400 $11,800 223 150 36% -31% 2% 500 500 500 119 500
Hudson Swafford $6,800 $8,200 $11,600 126 195 16% -43% 1% 500 125 35 134 500
Wesley Bryan $6,800 $8,400 $11,800 95 166 30% -44% -8% 500 500 500 500 500
Bob Estes $6,800 $7,100 $10,600 1193 339 -31% -8% -3% 27 500 500 500 7
K.J. Choi $6,800 $7,300 $11,200 595 253 -10% -10% -7% 117 51 15 105 6
David Lingmerth $6,800 $7,600 $11,500 187 187 18% -1% 7% 500 500 44 95 106
J.J. Henry $6,800 $7,300 $11,200 431 245 -6% -6% -3% 22 81 85 105 95
Chris Stroud $6,800 $7,400 $11,000 178 279 -15% -23% -4% 77 72 116 500 82
Brian Stuard $6,800 $7,700 $11,300 226 242 -2% -38% -4% 130 55 64 500 500
Michael Kim $6,800 $7,200 $11,300 380 239 -1% 10% -3% 135 21 500 500 500
Stephan Jaeger $6,800 $7,100 $10,700 303 303 -24% -3% -3% 500 500 500 500 500
Ernie Els $6,800 $7,100 $10,900 643 306 -25% -3% -6% 500 81 500 81 500
Derek Fathauer $6,800 $7,000 $10,600 274 350 -33% -2% -5% 500 500 64 500 500
Bronson Burgoon $6,700 $7,300 $11,600 399 200 22% 12% -4% 500 72 500 500 500
Nick Taylor $6,700 $7,000 $11,700 216 197 24% 34% -9% 22 21 500 500 500
Sam Ryder $6,700 $7,500 $11,800 232 180 30% 10% -22% 500 500 500 500 500
Jonathan Byrd $6,700 $7,300 $10,700 285 279 -2% -15% 5% 500 500 500 500 95
Sang-Moon Bae $6,700 $7,600 $11,000 915 274 -1% -41% -3% 500 500 500 500 500
Rod Pampling $6,700 $7,700 $11,000 304 284 -4% -60% -6% 500 93 500 500 82
Steve Marino $6,700 $7,100 $11,000 659 237 13% 19% 12% 77 109 500 500 129
David Hearn $6,700 $7,300 $10,600 397 311 -13% -27% 0% 147 13 122 500 500
Brett Stegmaier $6,700 $7,100 $10,400 721 364 -21% -13% 1% 147 93 500 500 500
Xin-Jun Zhang $6,700 $10,800 308 -12% -6% 500 500 500 500 500
Peter Malnati $6,700 $7,200 $10,600 650 333 -15% -16% -2% 144 13 500 119 500
Dou Zecheng $6,700 $7,000 $10,200 454 528 -30% -13% -4% 500 500 500 500 500
Jon Curran $6,700 $7,000 $10,300 734 433 -25% -9% -1% 500 9 44 500 500
Cody Gribble $6,700 $7,000 $10,200 374 503 -29% -12% -2% 130 500 500 500 500
Rob Oppenheim $6,600 $7,400 $11,500 248 212 28% 2% -5% 500 37 500 500 500
Talor Gooch $6,600 $7,400 $11,300 221 237 23% -4% 0% 500 500 500 500 500
Harold Varner $6,600 $7,200 $11,400 192 201 30% 21% 3% 40 9 500 500 500
Cameron Champ $6,600 $7,300 $11,300 250 16% -7% -9% 500 500 500 500 500
Retief Goosen $6,600 $7,200 $11,100 346 261 12% 0% -3% 92 500 58 127 53
Lanto Griffin $6,600 $7,100 $10,800 371 321 -2% -7% -8% 500 500 500 500 500
Fabian Gomez $6,600 $7,300 $10,700 555 289 5% -21% 0% 500 500 44 500 500
Cameron Tringale $6,600 $7,000 $10,500 388 361 -6% -4% -1% 144 60 40 46 82
Jonathan Randolph $6,600 $7,000 $10,600 294 347 -4% -2% -4% 27 500 500 500 500
Camilo Villegas $6,600 $7,000 $10,700 439 294 3% 5% -2% 10 81 100 77 500
Ben Crane $6,600 $10,500 457 312 -1% 5% 40 29 500 95 500
Ethan Tracy $6,600 $7,000 $10,200 616 575 -17% -15% -5% 500 500 500 500 500
Greg Chalmers $6,600 $7,000 $10,400 552 400 -10% -7% -1% 77 128 500 56 37
Jesse Droemer $6,600 $7,000 $10,000 847 -21% -18% -1% 500 500 500 500 500
Andrew Putnam $6,500 $7,400 $11,400 332 225 33% -1% -3% 500 500 72 500 500
Alex Cejka $6,500 $7,200 $11,200 236 250 24% 5% -4% 117 500 500 500 500
Hunter Mahan $6,500 $7,700 $11,400 613 213 34% -26% -1% 110 93 500 500 500
Kris Blanks $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 733 -7% -16% -1% 500 500 500 500 500
John Senden $6,500 $7,200 $10,500 786 353 5% -20% 0% 77 93 76 42 500
Steve Wheatcroft $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 671 494 -2% -11% -1% 77 500 85 500 500
Mac Hughes $6,500 $7,200 $10,200 198 467 -1% -27% 0% 117 500 500 500 500
Billy Hurley $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 350 506 -4% -12% -3% 37 109 35 113 500
Matt Atkins $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 452 483 -1% -10% -1% 500 500 500 500 500
Kyle Thompson $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 415 681 -6% -16% -1% 500 500 500 500 500
Andrew Yun $6,500 $7,000 $10,000 490 803 -8% -17% 0% 500 500 500 500 500
Conrad Shindler $6,500 $7,000 $10,300 449 422 1% -8% 0% 500 500 500 500 134
Steven Bowditch $6,500 $7,000 $10,100 547 -5% -14% 1% 117 500 85 1 69

Color Coding
Course history in BLUE indicates a top ten finish.
Course history in GREEN indicates a top 25 finish.
Course history in YELLOW indicates a made cut with a finish outside of the top 25.
Course history in RED indicates a missed cut.

Legend

Term Description
Site Odds The percentage differential between a golfer’s salary rank and odds rank. The higher the %, the better.
OWGR Official World Golf Ranking
Cuts Cut record of each golfer at this course in the last five seasons.
2013 – 2017 Columns Course history at this event in the last five seasons.

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious