PGA Ownership Report: AT&T Byron Nelson

Here’s the data for the $3 Birdie for this week’s Byron Nelson!

Name Ownership
Dustin Johnson 35.6%
Ryan Palmer 26.7%
Scott Piercy 22.3%
Colt Knost 21.2%
Gary Woodland 18.5%

Full field ownerships (for the $3, cash games, and more) can be found here!

And we have a co-ownerships matrix that shows who the highest owned pairs of golfers were in this week’s $3 Birdie:

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Dustin Johnson (35% GPP, 34% Cash) – So, can’t even begin to think about this article without going here. Seemingly the obvious chalk going in, these percentages are higher than we even normally see. I think mostly due to there not being a lot of alternatives? I would have guessed 25%-30% in GPP was where we’ve seen a lot of the heavy DFS favorites level out at this year. Also in cash games I would have suspected that his salary would have kept a few more people off of him, wanting to fit an extra $8k-$8.9k range guy on their team. But I was wrong! Kind of. I think he just crept up there because, well, the PGA DFS world is so small these things kind of spiral on themselves sometimes – that combined with there being no particularly sexy alternatives, at least in the minds of many, I think created one of the highest ownership marks we’ve seen in a long time in GPPs.

Ryan Palmer (26% GPP, 54% Cash) – The next of the obvious chalk, his profile is a little bit more familiar. Everyone made sure to have him in cash, but purposefully looked for pivots in GPP. Still a very very high GPP ownership rate though but people seemingly forced themselves to get creative, but took the comfy blanket in cash. I personally thought the price was VERY fair, nearly $9,000, so I’m holding my breath currently!

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Jordan Spieth (18.4% GPP, 7.5% Cash) – Pretty interesting when you think about the fact that DJ was picked 2x as often as Jordan was, and they were both in the top 5 most picked players in GPP. Here we see people definitely wanting exposure to 10%+ expected win percentage in GPP, but really I feel like the public is bailing on Jordan. If he disappoints in his home state I’m hoping to see the bubble burst perhaps going forward? Just for good fun! I think he’ll blow everyone away again soon! But I hope it’s not this week!

Sergio Garcia (8% GPP, 3% Cash) – This is one I’m still trying to wrap my head around. Sergio was a phenomenally popular pick last week. He actually played … quite well? 23 birdies? Isn’t that the kind of stuff DFS’ers drool over? And he comes back in a weaker field this week, etc., and obviously there’s lots of variables, including course history – BUT … I don’t see how he goes to 3% owned in cash games, 8% in GPP. This was the week the play Sergio in GPPs, in my opinion. We’ll see how it goes. I didn’t even play him in GPPs. But if you were so inclined. Actually his performance last week makes me MORE impressed with him going into this week, but it seems like the masses totally disowned him overnight. I think the truth likely lies somewhere inbetween.

Steven Bowditch (2.3% GPP, 0.6% Cash) – Listen, this man hasn’t gained a stroke t2g since … well not quite since he won this tournament last year, but damn sure feels like it at this point. Anyway 2.3% brave souls out there have attached themselves to the Bowditch train again this week. It’s an almost Tiger-like streak of ineptitude … I can’t wait to see how this one plays out! One day may he shine again! It’s at the point where I wouldn’t even be mad, I would just stand there and clap for the gentlemen who did play him.

Good luck everyone!

About the Author

hokie2009
Sean O'Donnell (hokie2009)

Sean O’Donnell is a proud Hokie (Virginia Tech class of 2009, electrical engineering) as well as a Grateful Dead enthusiast. A fantasy baseball player since age 12, he has flirted with DFS in the past, but only this season stumbled onto the dearth of information that exists pertaining to daily fantasy golf and made a commitment to analyzing PGA tournament data on a weekly basis. When he’s not scouring the web for obscure PGA data, he works as a consultant for small businesses involved in research grants with the federal government.