PGA Projected Ownership: CareerBuilder Challenge

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Last Week: Justin Thomas (15.54% pOwn%, 14.57% actual) crushed the “I can’t roster a guy who won last week” bias along with the entire Sony Open field, going wire-to-wire and winning by 7 strokes at 27 under par. It will be interesting how gamers approach this scenario next time, I suspect even more migration to the “recent form” camp with less fading of a prior week’s champ. We’ll see very soon. Justin Rose (7.03% pOwn%, 12.79% actual) came in with some injury and rust/long-break concerns, but was the closest competition to JT, finishing at solo 2nd. Jordan Spieth (27.61% pOwn%, 31.01% actual) got some kayaking in with his buddy Smylie and also played some decent golf finishing in 3rd.

Congrats to bigal13, for winning last week’s DK $3 Birdie. bigal13 avoided the Sony Open’s chalky busts of Walker/Casey and instead scored some performing chalk in Charles Howell III (30.71% pOwn%, 27.33% actual) A trio of low-owned plays (Kisner, Lovemark and O’Hair) added to the solid JT/Rose core, brought home the $10K top prize. The overall roster ownership% average for the winning entry was 11.03%. This week the CareerBuilder Challenge presents a weaker field, easy course(s)/venue, some ugly weather and the rare Saturday cut. We project this week’s winning DK GPP roster to have an overall roster ownership average of 9.75%.

It’s always fun to check in on the herd once in a while. The most duplicated $3 DK Birdie roster contained: Spieth/Kelly/Kataoka/CHIII/Casey/Perez, finishing tied for 64,248th place and the roster ownership% average was 19.24%. Daisuke Kataoka? Really? Okay, the second most duplicated roster was comprised of: Kelly/Piercy/English/CHIII/Matsuyama/Perez. This build had an ownership% average of 18.89% and did slightly better finishing tied for 56,829th place. Rosters in this unpaid range of 50Kth place and worse have a very common trait: the roster average ownership% is way too high. If you’re going to play the GPPs, give yourself a chance. Watch the ownership, keep it low. Not stupid low, just low. In a full-field tourney, around 10% will do.

Editor’s Note: In the near future, subscribers to DraftKings PGA Premium content will have access to all current week and historical PGA pOwn% data. Updates will be made throughout the week due to injury news, tout activity, odds/line movement, weather/tee-times, etc. But for this week, focusing on the $3 DK $250K Birdie, everyone has access to everything. Enjoy!

This Week’s Tweaks:

The CareerBuilder Challenge’s unique pro-am format (3-courses, Saturday cut) changes things a bit. Course history analysis is kind of a mess and we will be diminishing its weight in the model. Recent form gets yet another boost, although we still have some players coming off long breaks. Will we see a repeat of the Sony Open/Paul Casey this week? The weather is in play. Kevin Roth, where are you??!! We need help again. As of this Wednesday morning writing, it appears that some waves will have a weather conditions advantage. Tout material is still stoutly weighted. Line movement is steady and “perceived ownership” is starting to gain some traction. The DFS golf community will be picking up more folks from the expiring NFL season. Initially, the newer fantasy golf players tend to have the following tendencies: game-log/recent form junkies, “name recognition” biases, less aware/care about ownership, more reliant on tout material, less reliant on course fit/statistical models. But the newer players are learning quickly these days, there are many great PGA DFS resources out there now (especially on RG!). There is so much perceived value in the middle ranges, we should be looking at heavy “balanced” roster construction.

We will be focusing on the DK $250K ($3 entry) Birdie this week.

Upper Tier ($10K +):

Francesco Molinari (12% pOwn%): It looks like another week of balanced GPP roster construction for the CareerBuilder. We shouldn’t find any chalk in the top tier, Paul Casey might be the highest owned which is strange after he sank so many rosters last week at the Sony Open (cut at over 25% GPP ownership). Reed will have some one-off ownership, but will not anchor many roster cores. There were whispers of a Mickelson WD, but we now know he’ll gut it out after the recent hernia surgery. Haas has great recent form and course history, but can you really count course history here? Even after the nice T6 finish at the Sony Open (at 11% GPP ownership), Zach Johnson seems so over-priced with Grillo/Rahm/Lovemark a bit below the salary list at similar odds and $400-$600 savings.

So what do we do with the top tier this week? We might as well go for the best lowest-owned/high upside/no injury combo available: Francesco Molinari. He was streaking before the break (T6 at the HSBC Champions and T4 at the Shriners). After the Paul Casey debacle last week, lots of folks may be implementing a wait-and-see approach to highly priced golfers returning from the break. It’s a good shot at low ownership with good upside.

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Middle Tier ($9.9K – $7.3K):

Charles Howell III (24% pOwn%): Another week, and we need to discuss CHIII again. After being underpriced for the last three tourneys, CHIII is now perhaps overpriced. DK is all over the place with this guy. The recent form is really good but now Howell is chilling between Paul Casey and Grillo/Rahm on the DK salary list. Line movement hasn’t been that positive for CHIII this week and his odds to win are now over 40-1. It was a good run for Howell, as the chalk king. But Jon Rahm, the ultimate ownership hog, is going to take the chalk crown this week.

Jon Rahm (35% pOwn% and rising): Rahm disappointed at the OHL Classic (39.54% GPP ownership, $10.7K, 20-1 closing odds, T50 finish). But that’s been weeks ago. He’s popping on about everyone’s model, the experts can’t stop touting him, Vegas is on board and contrarians are scared to death of him. Just set your exposure level at 40%+ for Rahm and move on.

Luke List (16% pOwn%): Most folks over-looked List’s nice T15-T7-T13 run through the last three tourneys prior to the Sony Open. But he kept the recent form going with a T13 at 1.9% GPP ownership, so I guess we better stop ignoring him. List was the second most touted player this week (very distant to Mr. Rahm) and is sitting in a less competitive area on the DK Salary list. Chris Kirk and Charley Hoffman won’t be taking much ownership from List this week.

Lower Tier ($7.2K – $6.3K):

Cameron Smith (11% pOwn%): Due to the heavy balanced roster construction this week, the overall ownership in the $7-7.5K range should be more bloated. Out of necessity, Cameron Smith and Roberto Castro will be common choices to fill Grillo/Rahm/Lovemark/List/etc cores. The Smith kid is talented and playing really well right now, finally shaking off past injury concerns. Smith (current form) and Castro (strong end to last season) really stand out in this price range.

Henrik Norlander (5% pOwn%): Like List, most folks disregarded Norlander’s nice finish at the RSM Classic (T2 at 0.57% GPP ownership). His ownership will creep up to around 5% after last week’s T20 finish at the Sony Open at $7.1K and 1.5% ownership. There is a little ownership competition in this range coming from Kizzire, Garrigus and DeChambeau.

Cheap Scrubs and Dart Shop ($6.2K – $5.9K):

Like last week, there is not a pressing for ownership down here. But if you need a cheap dart, might as well go for a bomber like Andrew Loupe, Jonas Blixt and Bud Cauley or Brandon Hagy. Barring injury, at least you know you’ll get three rounds out of them.

Updates to pOwn% values (SEE BELOW) will be made Wednesday evening and a few hours before roster lock. Good luck this week Grinders!

Legend

Golfer Sal Odds Mon
pOwn%
Tue
pOwn%
Wed
pOwn%
Thu
pOwn%
% Change
Since Open
% Change
Since Yesterday
ContR Act Own% Var
Patrick Reed $11,200 21.5/1 22.33% 19.87% 20.06% 20.31% -2.02% 0.25% 5.68 20.72% -0.41%
Phil Mickelson $10,800 29.5/1 13.26% 9.41% 10.81% 11.04% -2.22% 0.23% 10.68 8.13% 2.91%
Bill Haas $10,500 21.5/1 19.91% 17.48% 17.54% 17.32% -2.59% -0.22% 6.37 21.14% -3.82%
Francesco Molinari $10,300 36/1 15.42% 12.50% 11.87% 10.81% -4.61% -1.06% 9.74 7.90% 2.91%
Zach Johnson $10,200 28/1 20.68% 19.03% 18.62% 18.27% -2.41% -0.35% 5.48 17.27% 1.00%
Paul Casey $10,000 29/1 22.40% 20.35% 20.48% 21.68% -0.72% 1.20% 5.21 11.04% 10.64%
Charles Howell $9,900 38/1 17.31% 23.99% 23.10% 22.99% 5.68% -0.11% 4.52 17.17% 5.82%
Emiliano Grillo $9,800 33.5/1 24.72% 26.47% 26.38% 24.64% -0.08% -1.74% 4.17 11.08% 13.56%
Jon Rahm $9,700 27/1 34.20% 35.24% 35.70% 36.44% 2.24% 0.74% 2.96 23.86% 12.58%
Jamie Lovemark $9,600 28.5/1 9.19% 17.66% 19.55% 20.31% 11.12% 0.76% 4.41 26.32% -6.01%
Russell Henley $9,500 48/1 4.45% 6.21% 6.02% 6.17% 1.72% 0.15% 13.64 5.30% 0.87%
Brendan Steele $9,300 36/1 6.63% 9.14% 8.73% 9.23% 2.60% 0.50% 10.55 14.64% -5.41%
Jason Dufner $9,200 36/1 12.82% 13.27% 13.14% 13.45% 0.63% 0.31% 7.34 9.86% 3.59%
Kevin Kisner $8,900 32.5/1 17.90% 15.77% 15.22% 15.40% -2.50% 0.18% 5.21 18.27% -2.87%
Kevin Na $8,800 49/1 10.21% 10.68% 10.66% 10.61% 0.40% -0.05% 8.93 14.23% -3.62%
Chris Kirk $8,700 71/1 5.74% 4.56% 4.03% 2.71% -3.03% -1.32% 31.55 2.17% 0.54%
Luke List $8,600 44/1 9.66% 15.82% 16.26% 16.70% 7.04% 0.44% 5.75 23.45% -6.75%
Charley Hoffman $8,500 70/1 3.16% 2.63% 2.62% 2.10% -1.06% -0.52% 37.24 8.09% -5.99%
Scott Piercy $8,300 48/1 9.50% 8.94% 9.29% 10.38% 0.88% 1.09% 8.75 11.00% -0.62%
Webb Simpson $8,200 71/1 12.95% 12.30% 10.57% 9.02% -3.93% -1.55% 10.36 17.98% -8.96%
Kevin Streelman $8,100 81/1 3.94% 4.25% 3.84% 3.10% -0.84% -0.74% 24.78 5.00% -1.90%
Ryan Palmer $8,000 44/1 5.64% 6.31% 6.36% 8.37% 2.73% 2.01% 12.11 19.53% -11.16%
Hudson Swafford $7,900 71/1 10.85% 10.79% 10.81% 10.10% -0.75% -0.71% 7.81 13.19% -3.09%
Martin Laird $7,800 76/1 4.83% 4.72% 4.63% 4.22% -0.61% -0.41% 20.57 6.94% -2.72%
Lucas Glover $7,700 67/1 5.49% 5.89% 5.97% 6.33% 0.84% 0.36% 14.55 14.10% -7.77%
Brian Harman $7,600 101/1 3.32% 2.52% 1.89% 1.46% -1.86% -0.43% 49.79 5.62% -4.16%
Chez Reavie $7,500 58/1 11.64% 9.76% 9.35% 9.51% -2.13% 0.16% 9.27 23.74% -14.23%
Adam Hadwin $7,500 67/1 6.95% 6.71% 6.90% 6.91% -0.04% 0.01% 11.02 7.38% -0.47%
Keegan Bradley $7,400 76/1 4.76% 4.55% 4.20% 4.36% -0.40% 0.16% 19.00 6.36% -2.00%
William McGirt $7,400 69/1 9.67% 7.75% 7.67% 7.24% -2.43% -0.43% 10.71 13.94% -6.70%
David Lingmerth $7,300 77/1 6.35% 4.92% 4.89% 4.78% -1.57% -0.11% 15.50 11.49% -6.71%
Sean O’Hair $7,300 95/1 5.81% 5.88% 5.51% 5.40% -0.41% -0.11% 13.97 12.82% -7.42%
Harold Varner $7,200 101/1 5.26% 5.14% 5.16% 5.67% 0.41% 0.51% 12.22 5.22% 0.45%
Stewart Cink $7,200 177/1 4.58% 3.70% 3.72% 3.68% -0.90% -0.04% 19.57 2.62% 1.06%
Shawn Stefani $7,100 186/1 3.53% 2.44% 2.36% 2.38% -1.15% 0.02% 24.48 1.48% 0.90%
Blayne Barber $7,100 167/1 4.09% 3.96% 3.12% 2.78% -1.31% -0.34% 23.43 0.83% 1.95%
Brandon Stone $7,000 245/1 6.35% 5.33% 5.67% 5.92% -0.43% 0.25% 10.54 11.13% -5.21%
Anirban Lahiri $7,000 111/1 2.85% 3.24% 3.65% 3.67% 0.82% 0.02% 19.25 4.89% -1.22%
Soren Kjeldsen $7,000 145/1 4.24% 3.66% 3.39% 3.42% -0.82% 0.03% 19.85 2.09% 1.33%
John Huh $7,000 111/1 5.87% 5.75% 5.92% 6.12% 0.25% 0.20% 11.99 6.19% -0.07%
Cameron Smith $7,000 111/1 9.92% 11.37% 12.28% 12.01% 2.09% -0.27% 5.14 7.50% 4.51%
Grayson Murray $7,000 95/1 9.53% 8.40% 7.91% 8.41% -1.12% 0.50% 7.50 1.49% 6.92%
Roberto Castro $7,000 115/1 11.20% 12.23% 12.83% 12.60% 1.40% -0.23% 6.47 6.86% 5.74%
Ollie Schniederjans $6,900 168/1 4.89% 3.65% 3.19% 3.51% -1.38% 0.32% 11.76 3.80% -0.29%
Brian Stuard $6,900 200/1 3.03% 1.76% 2.41% 2.38% -0.65% -0.03% 20.72 1.27% 1.11%
Graham DeLaet $6,900 149/1 4.38% 3.15% 3.17% 3.17% -1.21% 0.00% 22.07 2.21% 0.96%
Jhonattan Vegas $6,900 187/1 9.64% 6.69% 6.08% 6.08% -3.56% 0.00% 11.73 4.49% 1.59%
Smylie Kaufman $6,900 167/1 3.56% 3.34% 2.75% 2.75% -0.81% 0.00% 22.19 3.24% -0.49%
Michael Kim $6,900 177/1 3.88% 3.91% 3.10% 3.10% -0.78% 0.00% 15.41 4.12% -1.02%
Aaron Baddeley $6,900 159/1 3.06% 3.87% 4.43% 4.29% 1.23% -0.14% 15.34 1.36% 2.93%
Geoff Ogilvy $6,900 167/1 2.23% 2.37% 2.49% 2.49% 0.26% 0.00% 21.47 0.41% 2.08%
Bryson DeChambeau $6,800 129/1 4.61% 4.72% 5.05% 5.05% 0.44% 0.00% 11.13 5.78% -0.73%
Ryo Ishikawa $6,800 200/1 3.29% 2.50% 2.37% 2.37% -0.92% 0.00% 21.10 1.67% 0.70%
John Peterson $6,800 567/1 0.65% 0.59% 0.51% 0.51% -0.14% 0.00% 75.82 0.13% 0.38%
Robert Garrigus $6,800 131/1 2.80% 5.03% 5.28% 5.28% 2.48% 0.00% 12.99 2.92% 2.36%
Henrik Norlander $6,800 149/1 4.97% 4.83% 4.79% 4.82% -0.15% 0.03% 10.95 6.94% -2.12%
Alex Cejka $6,800 207/1 4.16% 4.26% 4.28% 4.28% 0.12% 0.00% 17.47 2.72% 1.56%
Camilo Villegas $6,800 139/1 2.21% 2.00% 2.18% 2.68% 0.47% 0.50% 19.17 0.58% 2.10%
Bryce Molder $6,800 193/1 1.75% 1.67% 1.88% 1.88% 0.13% 0.00% 27.70 2.02% -0.14%
Patton Kizzire $6,700 120/1 4.99% 6.43% 7.21% 7.21% 2.22% 0.00% 9.32 3.05% 4.16%
John Senden $6,700 391/1 1.14% 0.98% 0.97% 0.97% -0.17% 0.00% 61.48 1.06% -0.09%
Daniel Summerhays $6,700 167/1 4.86% 4.90% 4.66% 4.66% -0.20% 0.00% 14.27 3.64% 1.02%
Johnson Wagner $6,700 167/1 1.21% 1.22% 1.24% 1.24% 0.03% 0.00% 48.65 0.42% 0.82%
Cameron Tringale $6,700 216/1 3.34% 3.36% 2.78% 2.78% -0.56% 0.00% 23.18 3.13% -0.35%
Derek Fathauer $6,700 226/1 1.07% 1.19% 1.17% 1.17% 0.10% 0.00% 36.01 0.28% 0.89%
Fabian Gomez $6,700 216/1 3.00% 2.51% 2.49% 2.49% -0.51% 0.00% 21.74 1.63% 0.86%
Danny Lee $6,700 177/1 6.15% 5.85% 5.37% 5.37% -0.78% 0.00% 10.98 3.86% 1.51%
Michael Thompson $6,600 168/1 2.90% 4.20% 4.88% 4.88% 1.98% 0.00% 11.80 4.72% 0.16%
Rory Sabbatini $6,600 490/1 1.39% 1.18% 0.95% 0.95% -0.44% 0.00% 1.15% -0.20%
Ben Crane $6,600 291/1 1.03% 0.91% 1.19% 1.19% 0.16% 0.00% 38.69 0.32% 0.87%
Trey Mullinax $6,600 228/1 2.61% 1.54% 1.52% 1.52% -1.09% 0.00% 28.58 1.18% 0.34%
Cheng-Tsung Pan $6,600 221/1 4.44% 4.32% 4.74% 4.74% 0.30% 0.00% 9.99 0.94% 3.80%
Martin Flores $6,600 284/1 1.28% 1.27% 1.31% 1.31% 0.03% 0.00% 34.15 0.72% 0.59%
Ben Martin $6,600 149/1 2.76% 2.84% 2.71% 2.71% -0.05% 0.00% 20.48 1.85% 0.86%
Whee Kim $6,600 200/1 1.80% 1.54% 1.44% 1.44% -0.36% 0.00% 32.27 0.28% 1.16%
Seung-Yul Noh $6,500 293/1 0.68% 0.55% 0.52% 0.52% -0.16% 0.00% 92.70 0.50% 0.02%
Xander Schauffele $6,500 293/1 0.63% 0.62% 0.92% 0.92% 0.29% 0.00% 41.56 0.80% 0.12%
Nick Watney $6,500 241/1 3.15% 3.00% 2.79% 2.79% -0.36% 0.00% 12.93 1.11% 1.68%
Colt Knost $6,500 284/1 0.38% 0.51% 0.62% 0.62% 0.24% 0.00% 75.65 1.35% -0.73%
Chad Campbell $6,500 207/1 1.74% 1.66% 1.75% 1.75% 0.01% 0.00% 32.51 0.81% 0.94%
Brian Gay $6,500 240/1 2.04% 2.28% 0.80% 0.80% -1.24% 0.00% 48.87 2.77% -1.97%
Ricky Barnes $6,500 351/1 0.67% 0.51% 0.48% 0.46% -0.21% -0.02% 95.37 0.45% 0.01%
Aaron Wise $6,500 194/1 4.20% 4.87% 4.99% 4.99% 0.79% 0.00% 8.10 1.87% 3.12%
Zac Blair $6,400 377/1 1.32% 0.89% 0.79% 0.79% -0.53% 0.00% 41.81 0.53% 0.26%
Jerry Kelly $6,400 322/1 3.36% 2.47% 2.27% 2.27% -1.09% 0.00% 28.09 0.97% 1.30%
Nick Taylor $6,400 331/1 0.52% 0.68% 0.48% 0.48% -0.04% 0.00% 76.04 0.15% 0.33%
Vaughn Taylor $6,400 274/1 2.14% 1.74% 1.73% 1.73% -0.41% 0.00% 28.11 1.32% 0.41%
Tim Wilkinson $6,400 543/1 1.11% 0.80% 0.82% 0.82% -0.29% 0.00% 46.10 1.09% -0.27%
Wesley Bryan $6,400 143/1 3.81% 4.65% 4.88% 4.88% 1.07% 0.00% 10.39 1.56% 3.32%
Seamus Power $6,400 370/1 1.58% 0.99% 1.10% 1.10% -0.48% 0.00% 40.27 0.94% 0.16%
Ryan Brehm $6,400 351/1 0.94% 1.01% 1.03% 1.03% 0.09% 0.00% 41.75 1.44% -0.41%
Steve Marino $6,300 480/1 0.26% 0.24% 0.22% 0.22% -0.04% 0.00% 0.11% 0.11%
Peter Malnati $6,300 370/1 0.62% 0.47% 0.32% 0.32% -0.30% 0.00% 1.09% -0.77%
Will MacKenzie $6,300 495/1 0.34% 0.29% 0.34% 0.34% 0.00% 0.00% 0.18% 0.16%
Sam Saunders $6,300 495/1 0.15% 0.13% 0.15% 0.15% 0.00% 0.00% 0.13% 0.02%
Kelly Kraft $6,300 471/1 1.30% 0.87% 0.75% 0.75% -0.55% 0.00% 53.29 1.05% -0.30%
Scott Brown $6,300 293/1 0.35% 0.48% 0.66% 0.66% 0.31% 0.00% 53.99 0.35% 0.31%
Jason Bohn $6,300 380/1 1.09% 1.06% 0.73% 0.73% -0.36% 0.00% 57.12 1.34% -0.61%
Brett Stegmaier $6,300 298/1 0.74% 0.96% 1.01% 1.01% 0.27% 0.00% 44.72 0.29% 0.72%
Bobby Wyatt $6,200 286/1 0.69% 0.70% 0.76% 0.76% 0.07% 0.00% 0.13% 0.63%
Kyle Reifers $6,200 351/1 0.92% 0.94% 1.28% 1.28% 0.36% 0.00% 30.89 0.42% 0.86%
Ryan Blaum $6,200 255/1 3.34% 3.40% 3.67% 3.67% 0.33% 0.00% 14.94 1.96% 1.71%
Andrew Loupe $6,200 235/1 2.67% 4.76% 4.90% 4.90% 2.23% 0.00% 8.69 4.01% 0.89%
Spencer Levin $6,200 593/1 0.69% 0.38% 0.30% 0.30% -0.39% 0.00% 111.55 0.19% 0.11%
David Hearn $6,200 327/1 1.10% 1.18% 1.26% 1.26% 0.16% 0.00% 32.41 0.29% 0.97%
Boo Weekley $6,200 245/1 0.18% 0.23% 0.75% 0.75% 0.57% 0.00% 46.93 0.49% 0.26%
Cameron Percy $6,200 399/1 0.45% 0.41% 0.26% 0.26% -0.19% 0.00% 142.05 0.45% -0.19%
Miguel Angel-Carballo $6,100 851/1 0.08% 0.07% 0.14% 0.14% 0.06% 0.00% 0.07% 0.07%
Jonas Blixt $6,100 293/1 1.28% 2.25% 2.31% 2.31% 1.03% 0.00% 14.86 0.80% 1.51%
Carl Pettersson $6,100 437/1 0.22% 0.17% 0.19% 0.19% -0.03% 0.00% 0.19% 0.00%
Troy Merritt $6,100 447/1 0.73% 0.69% 0.74% 0.74% 0.01% 0.00% 41.71 0.16% 0.58%
Sung Kang $6,100 284/1 0.79% 0.88% 0.83% 0.83% 0.04% 0.00% 45.02 0.29% 0.54%
Brad Fritsch $6,100 803/1 0.08% 0.09% 0.11% 0.11% 0.03% 0.00% 0.05% 0.06%
Ken Duke $6,100 946/1 0.21% 0.15% 0.16% 0.16% -0.05% 0.00% 0.22% -0.06%
Jonathan Randolph $6,100 946/1 0.03% 0.03% 0.04% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00% 0.06% -0.02%
J.J. Spaun $6,100 395/1 0.80% 0.86% 0.95% 0.95% 0.15% 0.00% 0.21% 0.74%
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano $6,000 245/1 0.31% 0.42% 0.45% 0.45% 0.14% 0.00% 67.62 0.64% -0.19%
Richy Werenski $6,000 553/1 0.54% 0.44% 0.70% 0.70% 0.16% 0.00% 1.05% -0.35%
Zack Sucher $6,000 946/1 0.05% 0.06% 0.08% 0.08% 0.03% 0.00% 0.11% -0.03%
Nicholas Lindheim $6,000 946/1 0.09% 0.08% 0.07% 0.07% -0.02% 0.00% 0.04% 0.03%
Ryan Armour $6,000 946/1 0.13% 0.12% 0.09% 0.09% -0.04% 0.00% 0.12% -0.03%
Andres Gonzales $6,000 293/1 0.27% 0.32% 0.24% 0.24% -0.03% 0.00% 132.21 1.36% -1.12%
Hunter Mahan $6,000 158/1 0.14% 0.19% 0.37% 0.37% 0.23% 0.00% 0.69% -0.32%
Brian Campbell $6,000 282/1 0.23% 0.22% 0.23% 0.23% 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 0.15%
Julian Etulain $6,000 946/1 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.06% 0.01% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03%
Bud Cauley $6,000 264/1 1.45% 1.98% 2.41% 2.41% 0.96% 0.00% 18.92 1.74% 0.67%
Jon Curran $6,000 380/1 1.24% 1.20% 1.11% 1.11% -0.13% 0.00% 28.98 0.70% 0.41%
Angel Cabrera $6,000 749/1 0.18% 0.16% 0.14% 0.14% -0.04% 0.00% 0.32% -0.18%
Tyrone Van-Aswegen $6,000 485/1 0.47% 0.48% 0.51% 0.51% 0.04% 0.00% 61.37 0.31% 0.20%
Scott Stallings $6,000 341/1 1.22% 1.09% 1.10% 1.10% -0.12% 0.00% 30.82 0.28% 0.82%
Mark Anderson $6,000 946/1 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00%
Max Homa $6,000 696/1 0.02% 0.03% 0.08% 0.08% 0.06% 0.00% 0.08% 0.00%
J.T. Poston $6,000 288/1 1.06% 0.94% 1.20% 1.20% 0.14% 0.00% 27.16 0.60% 0.60%
Sebastian Munoz $6,000 390/1 0.38% 0.26% 0.33% 0.33% -0.05% 0.00% 0.03% 0.30%
Chris Evans $6,000 946/1 0.01% 0.01% 0.03% 0.03% 0.02% 0.00% 0.02% 0.01%
Kenny Pigman $6,000 946/1 0.01% 0.02% 0.04% 0.04% 0.03% 0.00% 0.04% 0.00%
Steven Bowditch $5,900 664/1 0.04% 0.05% 0.07% 0.07% 0.03% 0.00% 0.18% -0.11%
Mark Brooks $5,900 946/1 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00% 0.03% -0.01%
Charlie Beljan $5,900 684/1 0.02% 0.63% 0.65% 0.65% 0.63% 0.00% 0.07% 0.58%
Brandon Hagy $5,900 506/1 0.64% 1.14% 1.69% 1.69% 1.05% 0.00% 20.57 1.29% 0.40%
Tag Ridings $5,900 687/1 0.14% 0.12% 0.15% 0.15% 0.01% 0.00% 0.54% -0.39%
D.J. Trahan $5,900 835/1 0.11% 0.10% 0.08% 0.08% -0.03% 0.00% 0.10% -0.02%
Chad Collins $5,900 903/1 0.04% 0.06% 0.05% 0.05% 0.01% 0.00% 0.08% -0.03%
Bob Estes $5,900 946/1 0.03% 0.02% 0.03% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% -0.01%
Joel Dahmen $5,900 552/1 0.01% 0.01% 0.04% 0.04% 0.03% 0.00% 0.14% -0.10%
Steven Alker $5,900 946/1 0.02% 0.03% 0.09% 0.09% 0.07% 0.00% 0.05% 0.04%
J.J. Henry $5,900 903/1 0.03% 0.05% 0.07% 0.07% 0.04% 0.00% 0.16% -0.09%
Matt Every $5,900 807/1 0.04% 0.08% 0.11% 0.11% 0.07% 0.00% 0.10% 0.01%
D.A. Points $5,900 600/1 0.05% 0.06% 0.13% 0.13% 0.08% 0.00% 0.23% -0.10%
John Cook $5,900 Off 0.02% 0.02% 0.03% 0.03% 0.01% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00%
Mark Hubbard $5,900 807/1 0.18% 0.17% 0.14% 0.14% -0.04% 0.00% 0.74% -0.60%
Mark Wilson $5,900 427/1 0.72% 0.82% 0.92% 0.92% 0.20% 0.00% 0.46% 0.46%
Kevin Tway $5,900 946/1 0.04% 0.06% 0.05% 0.05% 0.01% 0.00% 0.18% -0.13%
Dominic Bozzelli $5,900 946/1 0.20% 0.23% 0.22% 0.22% 0.02% 0.00% 0.08% 0.14%
Brett Drewitt $5,900 946/1 0.14% 0.10% 0.09% 0.09% -0.05% 0.00% 0.35% -0.26%
Rick Lamb $5,900 946/1 0.09% 0.08% 0.05% 0.05% -0.04% 0.00% 0.05% 0.00%

About the Author

Traeko
Trae Schwabe (Traeko)

Trae Schwabe began providing PGA projected ownership analysis for the largest DraftKings GPPs in 2016 and has since expanded PGA pOWN% coverage to include FanDuel and most recently DK Showdown slates. His pOWN% process is constantly evolving and focuses on delivering numerous updates, past performance transparency, and most importantly, industry-leading accuracy.