PGA Projected Ownership: OHL Classic

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Last Week: Rod Pampling (0.30% pOwn%, 0.05% actual) jumped out to an early lead at the Shriners with a smoking Thursday 60. It looked like Pampling would predictably slip but he held on to second place after Saturday, then fired a solid 65 on Sunday for a surprising win by 2 strokes over Brooks Koepka (32.08% pOwn%, 19.78% actual). Lucas Glover (5.84% pOwn%, 5.13% actual) took third.

Congrats to jetblackx for winning the DK $4 Fore, he actually had two entries in the top ten. The winning roster was a bit chalky (English, Hadwin, Koepka, Molinari and Rahm), having an average ownership of 14.95%. jetblackx’s key differentiator was nailing a scrub: Aaron Wise (0.23% pOwn%, 0.79% actual). No roster in the top ten contained Pampling.

RotoGrinders was well represented with Josh Culp/futureoffantasy getting two rosters in the top ten. Also, JimKronlund had an entry that finished 13th.

Editor’s Note: In the near future, subscribers to DraftKings PGA Premium content will have access to all current week and historical pOwn% data. Updates will be made throughout the week due to injury news, tout activity, odds/line movement, weather/tee-times, etc. But for this week, focusing on the $4 DK Fore, everyone has access to everything. Enjoy!

This Week’s Tweaks:

The OHL Classic features a weaker field of 128 players. DK keeps the prize pools low, so we march on with a larger concentration of sharps/die-hards. Course history is very much in play this week. Accuracy-based golfers are favored. Weather is fine, maybe a little windy but no AM/PM advantages in play. Models are having to adjust to the lack of El Camaleon Golf Club SG data, so more conventional stats forced into action. Recent form and perceived talent is weighted more this week. Touts are keen on a more balanced approach to roster building. We expect less interest in the recent Web.com Tour gang and more interest in fading chalk (Rahm and Knox).

We will be focusing on the DK $100K ($4 entry) Fore this week. Come on DK, let’s push up these prize pools!!!!!

Upper Tier ($8K +):

Emiliano Grillo (24% pOwn%): Grillo probably won’t catch Rahm’s high ownership but he should get close. Grillo is the Tout Buzz champ of the week, sports strong recent form and solid odds/line movement. The Rahm train is such a smooth ride, it can go really fast and far too. But there are a lot of game theory based narratives out there urging folks to jump off. We think Grillo is the favored pivot.

jim-furyk-300x200

Jim Furyk (14% pOwn%): If you want the lowest owned golfer from the salary list’s top five, go with Furyk. Even though Furyk is considered a great course fit for El Caamaleon, he has no recent course history. Furyk is surrounded by salary neighbors with strong ownership trends (Rahm, Keegan, Piercy and English). Mr. 58 could be your way to differentiate into a winning roster.

Middle Tier ($6.7K – $8K):

Billy Horschel (26% pOwn%): Horschel disappointed with a T41 at $9.1K last week. But Vegas and touts all over Horschel this week. He’s a line movement stud and has great odds value in his salary range. He could be the starting point of many balanced rosters.

Cameron Smith (7% pOwn%): DK is giving Smith a decent salary hike after last week’s T10 finish. Recent form junkies are going to love his last three game log entries (omG, he looks like he’s 12 years old on DK profile). Touts are starting to notice him now, but many DFS players are stuck in a wait-and-see approach (like we should have been with Ryo Ishikawa last week).

Lower Tier ($6K – $6.6K):

Jason Bohn (7% pOwn%): It’s kind of hard to play a guy that had a heart attack 9 months ago. But Bohn is back and making cuts. He is an El Camaleon course horse finishing T2 last year. Vegas seems to be getting over the heart issue, but Bohn is price above ownership hogs Swafford and CHIII so his ownership should be capped at around 9%.

Aaron Wise (4% pOwn%): Wise was an awesome cheap dart at the Shriners, finishing T10 at 0.70% GPP ownership. He’ll get the obligatory ownership hike this week from points chasers and recent form junkies. Wise will likely fall back to earth (watch out though, please don’t fall into one of those El Camaleon cenotes). Gribble hurt points chasers last week. But if you are targeting a Web.com Tour guy and can’t afford Ryan Braum, you’ll probably settle for Wise this week.

Cheap Scrubs and Dart Shop ($5.6K – $5.9K):

Who’s the next Rod Pampling??!! Kyle Reifers is the big favorite down here, but we heard some buzz about Seamus Power, Chad Campbell and Brian Gay.

Updates will be made Wednesday evening and a few hours before roster lock.

Good luck this week Grinders!

Legend

Golfer Sal Odds Mon
pOwn%
Tue
pOwn%
Wed
pOwn%
Thu
pOwn%
% Change
Since Open
% Change
Since Yesterday
ContR Act Own% Var
Russell Knox $11,800 15.65/1 25.79% 19.26% 18.17% 18.67% -7.12% 0.50% 6.39 21.18% -2.51%
Emiliano Grillo $11,200 19.2/1 18.65% 24.32% 22.41% 22.05% 3.40% -0.36% 5.29 17.71% 4.34%
Jon Rahm $10,700 20.5/1 39.48% 32.24% 36.94% 37.16% -2.32% 0.22% 3.28 36.65% 0.51%
Jim Furyk $10,200 27.5/1 9.47% 14.11% 13.29% 13.01% 3.54% -0.28% 8.16 16.98% -3.97%
Keegan Bradley $10,000 28/1 14.59% 18.05% 17.18% 17.10% 2.51% -0.08% 6.67 23.76% -6.66%
Scott Piercy $9,800 38.5/1 18.10% 15.37% 12.96% 12.68% -5.42% -0.28% 8.48 19.85% -7.17%
Chris Kirk $9,600 36.5/1 8.10% 7.40% 7.70% 7.62% -0.48% -0.08% 14.30 7.72% -0.10%
Harris English $9,500 28.5/1 22.43% 22.94% 24.91% 25.14% 2.71% 0.23% 4.44 16.60% 8.54%
Tony Finau $9,400 52/1 11.49% 9.72% 7.65% 7.58% -3.91% -0.07% 13.29 9.38% -1.80%
Billy Horschel $9,300 32.5/1 17.42% 25.76% 25.72% 25.38% 7.96% -0.34% 4.13 15.97% 9.41%
Graeme McDowell $9,100 61/1 3.41% 4.55% 4.33% 4.29% 0.88% -0.04% 21.58 8.22% -3.93%
Anirban Lahiri $9,000 94/1 8.60% 7.44% 6.72% 6.20% -2.40% -0.52% 14.71 6.85% -0.65%
Si-Woo Kim $8,900 38.5/1 16.19% 15.76% 15.83% 15.95% -0.24% 0.12% 6.40 13.02% 2.93%
Martin Laird $8,700 55/1 4.83% 8.04% 7.99% 8.24% 3.41% 0.25% 11.57 6.81% 1.43%
Gary Woodland $8,600 48/1 12.98% 13.43% 14.68% 14.87% 1.89% 0.19% 6.96 12.95% 1.92%
Marc Leishman $8,500 40/1 18.79% 20.60% 23.26% 23.72% 4.93% 0.46% 4.13 14.52% 9.20%
Johnson Wagner $8,400 61/1 7.75% 11.47% 11.94% 11.97% 4.22% 0.03% 8.08 11.35% 0.62%
Derek Fathauer $8,300 87/1 4.71% 4.88% 6.85% 6.74% 2.03% -0.11% 12.52 9.94% -3.20%
Kevin Streelman $8,200 81/1 10.26% 7.06% 7.39% 7.35% -2.91% -0.04% 11.86 4.17% 3.18%
Cameron Smith $8,100 84/1 5.20% 6.74% 6.28% 6.32% 1.12% 0.04% 12.01 7.42% -1.10%
Webb Simpson $8,000 73/1 10.93% 10.22% 13.97% 14.05% 3.12% 0.08% 5.91 8.86% 5.19%
Ian Poulter $7,900 130/1 3.48% 2.18% 2.04% 1.98% -1.50% -0.06% 34.14 2.41% -0.43%
Jason Kokrak $7,900 75/1 9.34% 7.83% 7.80% 7.96% -1.38% 0.16% 11.80 7.70% 0.26%
Luke List $7,800 82/1 8.41% 8.56% 7.98% 7.96% -0.45% -0.02% 11.12 10.00% -2.04%
Jerry Kelly $7,700 112/1 4.78% 3.86% 3.09% 2.88% -1.90% -0.21% 28.08 4.03% -1.15%
John Huh $7,600 77/1 3.02% 3.17% 5.24% 5.39% 2.37% 0.15% 14.23 11.56% -6.17%
Jason Bohn $7,600 82/1 3.96% 8.76% 8.10% 8.67% 4.71% 0.57% 8.37 8.54% 0.13%
Hudson Swafford $7,500 93/1 9.49% 9.04% 9.23% 9.72% 0.23% 0.49% 6.87 6.42% 3.30%
Charles Howell $7,500 81/1 18.37% 17.38% 16.33% 15.48% -2.89% -0.85% 6.42 26.13% -10.65%
Luke Donald $7,500 102/1 3.61% 4.81% 4.61% 4.26% 0.65% -0.35% 18.40 5.22% -0.96%
Cody Gribble $7,400 142/1 14.20% 6.94% 5.88% 5.01% -9.19% -0.87% 17.12 11.14% -6.13%
Ryo Ishikawa $7,400 130/1 8.84% 7.24% 3.91% 3.27% -5.57% -0.64% 21.94 3.24% 0.03%
Grayson Murray $7,400 Off 6.71% 0.82% 0.21% 0.09% -6.62% -0.12% 815.50 0.25% -0.16%
Shawn Stefani $7,300 94/1 5.46% 6.37% 4.44% 4.22% -1.24% -0.22% 18.37 5.59% -1.37%
Graham DeLaet $7,300 Off 6.85% 0.59% 0.14% 0.04% -6.81% -0.10% 1876.32 1.29% -1.25%
Alex Cejka $7,300 95/1 10.67% 11.44% 9.90% 10.33% -0.34% 0.43% 8.70 13.20% -2.87%
Patrick Rodgers $7,200 114/1 8.24% 6.59% 6.58% 6.48% -1.76% -0.10% 10.56 3.16% 3.32%
Jhonattan Vegas $7,200 90/1 17.20% 14.89% 14.29% 14.50% -2.70% 0.21% 5.12 10.28% 4.22%
Kyle Stanley $7,200 75/1 9.38% 12.79% 8.45% 9.71% 0.33% 1.26% 8.24 8.53% 1.18%
Harold Varner $7,100 95/1 10.22% 15.00% 13.32% 13.56% 3.34% 0.24% 5.17 13.04% 0.52%
Pat Perez $7,100 141/1 2.78% 3.26% 3.24% 2.78% 0.00% -0.46% 23.12 4.68% -1.90%
Wesley Bryan $7,100 96/1 7.21% 8.14% 8.16% 8.23% 1.02% 0.07% 8.62 5.26% 2.97%
Brian Harman $7,000 86/1 4.89% 6.10% 6.04% 6.49% 1.60% 0.45% 12.59 5.43% 1.06%
Robert Garrigus $7,000 126/1 4.26% 3.40% 3.31% 3.64% -0.62% 0.33% 14.92 1.33% 2.31%
Jamie Lovemark $7,000 102/1 14.09% 10.76% 9.25% 8.96% -5.13% -0.29% 7.73 5.64% 3.32%
Ben Martin $7,000 193/1 2.74% 1.94% 1.40% 1.22% -1.52% -0.18% 42.49 0.67% 0.55%
Ryan Blaum $6,900 141/1 10.21% 10.62% 9.73% 9.62% -0.59% -0.11% 8.23 15.29% -5.67%
Will MacKenzie $6,900 159/1 0.17% 0.87% 0.89% 0.88% 0.71% -0.01% 56.08 0.77% 0.11%
Charley Hoffman $6,900 96/1 4.83% 4.84% 5.90% 5.96% 1.13% 0.06% 11.06 4.03% 1.93%
Adam Hadwin $6,900 86/1 10.62% 10.48% 10.81% 11.03% 0.41% 0.22% 5.90 6.18% 4.85%
Seung-Yul Noh $6,800 131/1 1.19% 1.07% 1.04% 1.03% -0.16% -0.01% 55.96 2.06% -1.03%
Billy Hurley $6,800 103/1 1.33% 2.43% 2.15% 2.11% 0.78% -0.04% 30.07 4.07% -1.96%
Trey Mullinax $6,800 233/1 8.97% 6.47% 3.31% 2.86% -6.11% -0.45% 20.44 8.26% -5.40%
Michael Kim $6,800 168/1 3.04% 2.85% 2.46% 2.40% -0.64% -0.06% 23.33 2.81% -0.41%
Bryson DeChambeau $6,700 115/1 2.85% 3.13% 4.78% 5.63% 2.78% 0.85% 11.12 4.08% 1.55%
Stewart Cink $6,700 179/1 1.26% 1.40% 2.15% 2.40% 1.14% 0.25% 19.87 0.98% 1.42%
Danny Lee $6,700 96/1 5.31% 6.73% 7.93% 8.22% 2.91% 0.29% 7.21 4.13% 4.09%
Scott Brown $6,700 141/1 0.94% 0.91% 0.98% 1.10% 0.16% 0.12% 46.37 2.51% -1.41%
Ben Crane $6,600 355/1 0.04% 0.05% 0.19% 0.17% 0.13% -0.02% 218.55 0.32% -0.15%
Jonas Blixt $6,600 190/1 0.67% 0.87% 1.12% 1.15% 0.48% 0.03% 33.31 0.85% 0.30%
John Peterson $6,600 314/1 0.07% 0.64% 1.00% 0.86% 0.79% -0.14% 35.18 0.14% 0.72%
Sung Kang $6,600 195/1 0.88% 0.67% 0.69% 0.82% -0.06% 0.13% 53.73 0.53% 0.29%
Fabian Gomez $6,600 73/1 3.86% 3.94% 3.38% 3.87% 0.01% 0.49% 15.54 5.28% -1.41%
Brian Stuard $6,500 163/1 0.18% 0.23% 0.35% 0.33% 0.15% -0.02% 131.76 0.86% -0.53%
Bud Cauley $6,500 146/1 2.90% 2.14% 2.24% 2.37% -0.53% 0.13% 25.72 1.90% 0.47%
Chris Stroud $6,500 212/1 0.72% 1.01% 1.04% 0.99% 0.27% -0.05% 46.50 2.14% -1.15%
Camilo Villegas $6,500 134/1 0.64% 0.58% 0.51% 0.48% -0.16% -0.03% 84.59 0.68% -0.20%
Ryan Brehm $6,500 274/1 2.53% 1.67% 1.32% 1.24% -1.29% -0.08% 45.82 5.71% -4.47%
Jim Herman $6,400 131/1 0.60% 0.57% 0.68% 0.69% 0.09% 0.01% 77.53 1.30% -0.61%
Chez Reavie $6,400 94/1 2.84% 6.29% 11.16% 10.47% 7.63% -0.69% 5.90 9.52% 0.95%
Jon Curran $6,400 233/1 1.15% 1.12% 1.13% 1.08% -0.07% -0.05% 36.00 0.83% 0.25%
Boo Weekley $6,400 188/1 0.39% 0.32% 0.47% 0.51% 0.12% 0.04% 80.74 0.87% -0.36%
J.T. Poston $6,400 389/1 1.75% 1.20% 0.95% 0.75% -1.00% -0.20% 0.61% 0.14%
Vaughn Taylor $6,300 164/1 0.48% 0.45% 0.99% 1.03% 0.55% 0.04% 48.72 1.43% -0.40%
Andres Gonzales $6,300 223/1 0.32% 0.31% 0.68% 0.70% 0.38% 0.02% 60.47 0.48% 0.22%
J.J. Henry $6,300 542/1 0.13% 0.19% 0.14% 0.12% -0.01% -0.02% 0.37% -0.25%
K.J. Choi $6,300 183/1 1.01% 1.04% 1.28% 1.25% 0.24% -0.03% 30.18 1.20% 0.05%
J.J. Spaun $6,300 293/1 0.82% 0.93% 1.06% 0.93% 0.11% -0.13% 0.24% 0.69%
Aaron Wise $6,300 110/1 6.29% 4.38% 4.88% 4.53% -1.76% -0.35% 10.71 4.57% -0.04%
Zac Blair $6,200 178/1 0.79% 1.09% 1.45% 1.53% 0.74% 0.08% 26.16 1.49% 0.04%
Michael Thompson $6,200 173/1 0.07% 0.04% 0.17% 0.41% 0.34% 0.24% 89.21 0.23% 0.18%
Kyle Reifers $6,200 106/1 3.21% 7.43% 9.64% 9.82% 6.61% 0.18% 5.62 5.89% 3.93%
Chad Campbell $6,200 149/1 2.29% 3.79% 5.22% 4.66% 2.37% -0.56% 9.58 1.49% 3.17%
Scott Stallings $6,200 298/1 0.15% 0.14% 0.30% 0.31% 0.16% 0.01% 110.57 0.11% 0.20%
David Hearn $6,200 126/1 4.57% 2.17% 2.61% 2.89% -1.68% 0.28% 18.22 1.07% 1.82%
Brett Stegmaier $6,200 277/1 0.36% 0.34% 0.49% 0.54% 0.18% 0.05% 62.41 0.34% 0.20%
Greg Chalmers $6,100 353/1 0.11% 0.12% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% 0.07% 0.12% 0.06%
Zack Sucher $6,100 612/1 0.02% 0.03% 0.06% 0.05% 0.03% -0.01% 0.03% 0.02%
Morgan Hoffmann $6,100 329/1 0.49% 0.44% 0.42% 0.35% -0.14% -0.07% 91.36 0.23% 0.12%
Cameron Tringale $6,100 199/1 0.88% 0.85% 0.87% 0.99% 0.11% 0.12% 39.85 1.04% -0.05%
Martin Flores $6,100 206/1 1.43% 1.34% 1.51% 1.38% -0.05% -0.13% 33.96 2.47% -1.09%
Mark Wilson $6,100 296/1 0.26% 0.20% 0.26% 0.28% 0.02% 0.02% 0.23% 0.05%
Kevin Tway $6,100 504/1 0.13% 0.12% 0.10% 0.09% -0.04% -0.01% 342.52 0.25% -0.16%
Ricky Barnes $6,100 245/1 2.41% 2.29% 2.40% 2.19% -0.22% -0.21% 16.44 1.55% 0.64%
Mackenzie Hughes $6,000 347/1 1.18% 1.08% 0.99% 0.92% -0.26% -0.07% 46.64 1.38% -0.46%
Steve Marino $6,000 242/1 0.33% 0.32% 0.30% 0.38% 0.05% 0.08% 0.32% 0.06%
Ollie Schniederjans $6,000 417/1 0.60% 0.58% 0.52% 0.45% -0.15% -0.07% 0.37% 0.08%
Cheng-Tsung Pan $6,000 169/1 0.88% 1.18% 1.36% 1.55% 0.67% 0.19% 20.26 1.38% 0.17%
Spencer Levin $6,000 169/1 1.62% 1.40% 1.58% 1.71% 0.09% 0.13% 26.44 1.98% -0.27%
Matthew NeSmith $6,000 832/1 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01%
Seamus Power $6,000 319/1 1.64% 1.41% 1.37% 1.22% -0.42% -0.15% 34.22 1.69% -0.47%
Dominic Bozzelli $6,000 455/1 0.84% 0.86% 0.73% 0.52% -0.32% -0.21% 0.24% 0.28%
Cameron Davis $6,000 513/1 0.07% 0.06% 0.05% 0.07% 0.00% 0.02% 0.17% -0.10%
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano $5,900 240/1 1.42% 1.25% 1.26% 1.20% -0.22% -0.06% 29.52 1.13% 0.07%
Ernie Els $5,900 406/1 0.40% 0.35% 0.31% 0.32% -0.08% 0.01% 0.91% -0.59%
Richy Werenski $5,900 589/1 0.55% 0.58% 0.46% 0.42% -0.13% -0.04% 0.24% 0.18%
Roberto Diaz $5,900 832/1 0.02% 0.06% 0.08% 0.09% 0.07% 0.01% 0.08% 0.01%
Steven Alker $5,900 383/1 0.08% 0.07% 0.05% 0.07% -0.01% 0.02% 0.13% -0.06%
Ken Duke $5,900 376/1 0.15% 0.16% 0.22% 0.23% 0.08% 0.01% 0.25% -0.02%
Tyrone Van-Aswegen $5,900 212/1 1.39% 1.70% 1.71% 1.90% 0.51% 0.19% 18.34 2.39% -0.49%
Rick Lamb $5,900 513/1 0.06% 0.08% 0.04% 0.05% -0.01% 0.01% 0.12% -0.07%
Nick Taylor $5,800 355/1 0.67% 0.68% 0.79% 0.83% 0.16% 0.04% 39.22 0.97% -0.14%
Carlos Ortiz $5,800 327/1 0.12% 0.31% 0.36% 0.31% 0.19% -0.05% 0.84% -0.53%
Rory Sabbatini $5,800 173/1 1.01% 0.76% 0.69% 0.77% -0.24% 0.08% 43.02 0.43% 0.34%
Peter Malnati $5,800 417/1 0.57% 0.66% 0.60% 0.59% 0.02% -0.01% 1.80% -1.21%
Nicholas Lindheim $5,800 677/1 0.21% 0.20% 0.19% 0.12% -0.09% -0.07% 0.19% -0.07%
Carl Pettersson $5,800 375/1 0.11% 0.49% 0.47% 0.52% 0.41% 0.05% 0.14% 0.38%
Hunter Mahan $5,800 336/1 0.38% 0.31% 0.37% 0.40% 0.02% 0.03% 0.18% 0.22%
Angel Cabrera $5,800 391/1 0.14% 0.17% 0.17% 0.19% 0.05% 0.02% 0.26% -0.07%
Steven Bowditch $5,700 300/1 0.05% 0.06% 0.07% 0.19% 0.14% 0.12% 0.21% -0.02%
Miguel Angel-Carballo $5,700 389/1 0.09% 0.18% 0.19% 0.22% 0.13% 0.03% 0.15% 0.07%
Julian Etulain $5,700 455/1 0.08% 0.11% 0.16% 0.19% 0.11% 0.03% 0.04% 0.15%
Bob Estes $5,700 590/1 0.04% 0.05% 0.06% 0.08% 0.04% 0.02% 0.07% 0.01%
Matt Every $5,700 348/1 0.07% 0.37% 0.35% 0.38% 0.31% 0.03% 0.13% 0.25%
Fito Cazaubon $5,700 832/1 0.78% 0.64% 0.45% 0.47% -0.31% 0.02% 1.43% -0.96%
Brian Gay $5,700 418/1 0.09% 1.07% 1.23% 0.78% 0.69% -0.45% 0.75% 0.03%
Mark Hubbard $5,700 513/1 0.77% 0.72% 0.63% 0.64% -0.13% 0.01% 0.34% 0.30%
Jonathan Garrick $5,700 832/1 0.04% 0.05% 0.06% 0.03% -0.01% -0.03% 0.07% -0.04%

About the Author

Traeko
Trae Schwabe (Traeko)

Trae Schwabe began providing PGA projected ownership analysis for the largest DraftKings GPPs in 2016 and has since expanded PGA pOWN% coverage to include FanDuel and most recently DK Showdown slates. His pOWN% process is constantly evolving and focuses on delivering numerous updates, past performance transparency, and most importantly, industry-leading accuracy.