Searching for a Specialist: RBC Canadian Open

Returning from Scotland this week, we’re taking a pit stop in Canada before returning to the States.

This week’s RBC Canadian Open will take place at Glen Abbey Golf Club, which has hosted 29 times in the past. That means we have plenty of data to see which angles are relevant when it comes to searching for a specialist this week.

Reviewing last week, our specialist couldn’t get much going but made the cut on the number and then rallied to finish in a share of second place. Yup, that was Justin Rose. A perfect example of how fine the lines are in golf. If he missed his birdie putt on the 18th on Friday then he looks like a complete dud last week. Instead, he helped win someone a million dollars.

This week we will look at performance on Bentgrass/Poa Greens, performance on Driver-Heavy Courses, performance on Easy Courses, performance on Par 72s, and finish up with performance on Hard-to-Hit Fairways.

Here we go …

Bentgrass/Poa Greens

The greens at Glen Abbey were poa annua before a rough winter damaged many of the greens back in 2013. They replaced them with bentgrass but they still have some poa annua in them.

Coming from the superintendent, he mentioned this on Tuesday, “…having your soil temperature get above that 10-12° mark in the winter time can be incredibly dangerous, especially with very delicate Poa annua like we have on some of our valley holes.”

It’s unclear whether those holes are entirely poa annua or they just have poa annua that grows due to the winter conditions. Either way, we can use our blend of bentgrass and poa annua performance to bring it all together.

The 10 Bent/Poa Specialists:

Stephan Jaeger (1.012 sg:bent/poa vs. 0.207 sg:total)
Tom Lovelady (1.113 sg:bent/poa vs. 0.552 sg:total)
Andres Romero (0.641 sg:bent/poa vs. 0.185 sg:total)
Ben Silverman (0.743 sg:bent/poa vs. 0.377 sg:total)
Sam Ryder (1.107 sg:bent/poa vs. 0.751 sg:total)
Bronson Burgoon (1.151 sg:bent/poa vs. 0.853 sg:total)
Joel Dahmen (1.182 sg:bent/poa vs. 0.888 sg:total)
J.J. Henry (0.61 sg:bent/poa vs. 0.322 sg:total)
Lanto Griffin (0.858 sg:bent/poa vs. 0.576 sg:total)
Brandon Harkins (1.525 sg:bent/poa vs. 1.249 sg:total)

Quantity: The golfers that have the most strokes gained on bentgrass or poa since 2014 are Dustin Johnson, Tony Finau, Matt Kuchar, Charley Hoffman, and Brooks Koepka.

#2 on the list, Tom Lovelady, said this just last week “Bent greens are what I grew up on, so putting especially, I can see the lines a little better. I believe we’ll be going to bent greens next week I would assume. Just keep doing what I’m doing.”

A few golfers lose more than half a stroke compared to their baseline (J.J. Spaun and Nicholas Lindheim). Might be worth fading that, if you’re on the fence.

Driver-Heavy Courses

Last week we saw Carnoustie look to set up as a less-than-driver course before the event but when golfers started playing their practice rounds, some saw it differently.

In the end, historical less-than-driver performance was slightly more correlated to the final leaderboard but overall it proved that both strategies worked.

This week we have a course where the driver is not really restricted.

Just ask Bubba Watson who said this last year, “I hit driver I think everywhere except the last hole, No. 9. Just trying to have short irons in here. The rough’s not too high, so it’s a little bit easier than British Open rough.”

The Top 10 Driver-Heavy Specialists:

Sung Kang (1.51 sg:driver-heavy vs. 0.754 sg:total)
Martin Laird (1.881 sg:driver-heavy vs. 1.331 sg:total)
Andrew Putnam (1.26 sg:driver-heavy vs. 0.732 sg:total)
Ollie Schniederjans (1.73 sg:driver-heavy vs. 1.228 sg:total)
Nick Watney (1.552 sg:driver-heavy vs. 1.069 sg:total)
Harris English (1.539 sg:driver-heavy vs. 1.102 sg:total)
Bubba Watson (2.312 sg:driver-heavy vs. 1.897 sg:total)
Vaughn Taylor (1.433 sg:driver-heavy vs. 1.036 sg:total)
Jimmy Walker (1.908 sg:driver-heavy vs. 1.512 sg:total)
Sam Saunders (1.04 sg:driver-heavy vs. 0.65 sg:total)

Quantity: Golfers with the most weighted strokes gained on driver-heavy courses since 2014 are Dustin Johnson, Matt Kuchar, Charley Hoffman, Tony Finau, and J.B. Holmes.

The top-10 list above is about what you’d expect to see on a driver course except for Vaughn Taylor. He is a surprising name that doesn’t bring any distance to the table.

Tommy Fleetwood finds himself near the bottom of this column which is also very surprising. Perhaps it’s just a coincidence/noise based on his lower level of sample size. Or maybe he really does prefer courses that are more restrictive of the driver but he would still use it to gain an edge if that makes sense.

Easy Courses

This course always yields a field average that is on the easy side of par.

Two years ago was about as hard as it plays but that was due to (rare) firm and fast conditions. Things are looking rather soft this week which should mean plenty of birdies and eagles will be flying off the shelves.

The Top 10 Easy Course Specialists:

J.B. Holmes (2.067 sg:easy vs. 1.538 sg:total)
Ryan Blaum (1.267 sg:easy vs. 0.752 sg:total)
Steve Wheatcroft (0.768 sg:easy vs. 0.307 sg:total)
Martin Piller (0.274 sg:easy vs. -0.111 sg:total)
Cameron Tringale (0.944 sg:easy vs. 0.57 sg:total)
Robert Garrigus (1.026 sg:easy vs. 0.667 sg:total)
Byeong Hun An (1.827 sg:easy vs. 1.468 sg:total)
Johnson Wagner (1.075 sg:easy vs. 0.722 sg:total)
Roger Sloan (-0.777 sg:easy vs. -1.113 sg:total)
Andres Romero (0.519 sg:easy vs. 0.185 sg:total)

Quantity: Most weighted strokes gained on easy courses since 2014 are Keegan Bradley, Hudson Swafford, Dustin Johnson, Kevin Kisner, and Adam Hadwin.

You probably noticed that quantity list is quite different from the other ones. Most superstars only see easy courses a few times a year.

It’s not surprising to see someone like Brooks Koepka near the bottom of this column (when comparing to his baseline). He does so much damage in the majors, on tough courses, that it’s a tough standard to live up to.

Par 72 Courses

Heading to a par 72 this week, we have a four-pack of par 5s to score on.

Glen Abbey’s par 5s are some of the easiest on TOUR, so that should yield plenty of eagles.

The Top 10 Par 72 Specialists:

Tom Lovelady (1.687 sg:par72 vs. 0.552 sg:total)
Martin Piller (0.623 sg:par72 vs. -0.111 sg:total)
Xinjun Zhang (0.934 sg:par72 vs. 0.243 sg:total)
Ryan Palmer (1.68 sg:par72 vs. 1.245 sg:total)
Andrew Putnam (1.164 sg:par72 vs. 0.732 sg:total)
Byeong Hun An (1.801 sg:par72 vs. 1.468 sg:total)
Nick Taylor (0.96 sg:par72 vs. 0.679 sg:total)
Ben Crane (0.917 sg:par72 vs. 0.643 sg:total)
Brooks Koepka (2.471 sg:par72 vs. 2.207 sg:total)
D.A. Points (-0.007 sg:par72 vs. -0.245 sg:total)

Quantity: Most weighted strokes gained on links since 2014 are Dustin Johnson, Tony Finau, Matt Kuchar, Keegan Bradley, and Charley Hoffman.

Tom Lovelady shows up as #1 here while he was #1 on the bent/poa list. We might have him perfectly cornered into a great course fit.

Hard-to-Hit Fairways

This angle goes a bit hand-in-hand with the driver-heavy angle.

When a course allows a lot of drivers to be hit, it’s only natural that fewer fairways will be found.

The Top 10 Hard Fairway Specialists:

Bubba Watson (2.565 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.897 sg:total)
Ben Silverman (0.892 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.377 sg:total)
Stephan Jaeger (0.718 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.207 sg:total)
Talor Gooch (1.096 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.635 sg:total)
Ryan Armour (1.392 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.954 sg:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.561 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.139 sg:total)
Vaughn Taylor (1.455 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.036 sg:total)
Ollie Schniederjans (1.601 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.228 sg:total)
James Hahn (1.437 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.067 sg:total)
Tom Hoge (1.022 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.658 sg:total)

Quantity: Most weighted strokes gained on hard-to-hit fairways since 2014 are Matt Kuchar, Dustin Johnson, Tony Finau, Charley Hoffman, and Gary Woodland.

Looking at the top 14 in the hard fairway column, only one of them is negative in the driver-heavy course.

There is a good blend of golfers that love to bomb-and-gouge with others that stripe a ton of fairways. It sort of rules out golfers that are short AND wild, though.

Baseline Performance

We now have a list of six golfers that are positive in all of the angles above.

However, we can rule five of them out due to their baseline performance and/or current form:

Harris English
Jhonattan Vegas
Sung Kang
Ben Crane
Cameron Tringale

Vegas clearly loves this layout (B2B champ here) but his form is pretty awful again.

Kang could pop here but he’s done nothing outside of his big finish when he was accused of cheating.

Ben Crane has a top 10 here but may struggle to hang on a softer setup.

The Specialist

J.B. Holmes

The specialist this week is J.B. Holmes!

For the second straight week we have just one specialist that fits every angle and also arrives in decent form.

This big hitter has a pair of top 20s in three tries at Glen Abbey and also has a pair of podium finishes in two of his last four lead-in starts.

Holmes brings upside in the form, history, and course-fit departments.

Anti-Specialists

We’ve identified the golfers that grade out positive in all of the course-fit angles, but who does the opposite?

Alex Cejka
Blayne Barber

I don’t think either will be popular this week. It’s easy to fade them both. Especially Cejka with his plethora of pre-tournament WDs. He’s always an injury concern.

Super Simple Specialist Ratings

The goal of this article is to isolate course fit, to see who should outperform their baseline.

However, anyone with common sense knows that baseline talent (and current form) can’t be ignored when handicapping golf.

Combining Baseline Strokes Gained with Current Form and Specialist Rating, we get a Top 20 ranking that looks like this:

J.B. Holmes
Tony Finau
Bubba Watson
Charley Hoffman
Joaquin Niemann
Gary Woodland
Dustin Johnson
Brooks Koepka
Stewart Cink
Keegan Bradley
Brandt Snedeker
Byeong Hun An
Matt Kuchar
Seamus Power
Brandon Harkins
Steve Stricker
Chris Kirk
Bill Haas
Billy Horschel
Vaughn Taylor

The top of this list is loaded with heavy hitters which isn’t surprising when you consider the course attributes we just looked at. The only surprising thing is DJ at 7 instead of 1. Not something I would put too much stock into because this doesn’t use a scale that properly reflects have far ahead DJ is in terms of baseline performance. Maybe something I’ll consider changing in the future.

If the course ends up playing firmer than expected than guys like Kuchar, Stricker, Haas, Taylor might jump into the mix, but otherwise I think they have a tall task ahead of them.

Best of luck everyone!

Below is a table with the full specialist data. Any fields with a 0 in them mean the sample size is not large enough. There is a minimum of 30 rounds to qualify for each angle.

The SG:TOTAL column is a baseline performance measure (since 2014). It is time-weighted so more recent results count for more than finishes from years ago.

HISTORY column is a weighted performance metric based on course history. I’ve made small adjustments for sample sizes but be sure to check on number of course rounds before blindly following this number.

FORM looks at the total strokes gained, adjusted to field strength, over the last 8 weeks (PGA TOUR and European Tour).

SIMPLE RATING looks at SGTotal, FORM, and SPECIALIST RATING to create a simple rating that includes course fit but doesn’t overweight it.

Golfer DK FD FDRFT SG: Total History Form Bent/Poa Driver Hard FW Par 72 Easy Specialist Rating Simple Rating
Tom Lovelady $6,800 $8,200 $13,200 0.552 0 16.7 0.561 0 -0.092 1.135 0 0.321 421
Stephan Jaeger $7,100 $7,800 $11,500 0.207 0 2.501 0.805 0 0.511 -0.099 0 0.243 563
J.B. Holmes $8,900 $9,600 $14,400 1.538 1.362 45.276 0.22 0.186 0.037 0.172 0.529 0.229 71
Sung Kang $7,400 $7,800 $12,100 0.754 -0.235 5.34 0.1 0.756 0.121 0.019 0.079 0.215 399
Vaughn Taylor $6,900 $8,700 $11,700 1.036 0.593 17.54 0.077 0.398 0.419 0.195 -0.052 0.207 242
Charley Hoffman $8,700 $10,800 $16,000 1.651 2.406 32.431 0.137 0.248 0.286 0.224 -0.007 0.178 87
James Hahn $7,000 $8,000 $12,700 1.067 1.859 14.793 -0.002 0.267 0.37 0.085 0.165 0.177 263
Harris English $6,900 $7,200 $11,400 1.102 0.196 -20.096 0.104 0.437 0.272 0.05 0.019 0.177 402
Ben Silverman $6,700 $7,500 $11,700 0.377 0 8.748 0.365 0 0.514 0 0 0.176 515
Ben Crane $7,100 $8,300 $11,800 0.643 1.231 2.726 0.017 0.228 0.335 0.274 0.007 0.172 465
Xinjun Zhang $6,300 $7,100 $10,400 0.243 0 0.2 0.137 0 0 0.69 0 0.165 581
Steve Wheatcroft $6,500 $7,600 $12,000 0.307 1.21 27.243 -0.106 0.127 0.056 0.221 0.461 0.152 422
Seamus Power $7,000 $8,200 $12,700 0.982 1.794 37.332 -0.031 0.123 0.194 0.182 0.239 0.141 178
Tom Hoge $7,100 $7,600 $11,700 0.658 1.208 14.876 0.155 0.253 0.364 0.19 -0.315 0.129 401
Martin Laird $7,200 $8,800 $13,000 1.331 1.176 -1.271 0.139 0.551 0.266 0.098 -0.438 0.123 345
Jimmy Walker $9,300 $10,500 $13,800 1.512 0.861 -3.516 -0.182 0.396 -0.027 0.099 0.313 0.12 328
Cameron Tringale $6,700 $7,000 $10,700 0.57 1.082 -9.969 0.08 0.013 0.075 0.046 0.374 0.118 581
Ryan Palmer $7,300 $9,400 $12,300 1.245 0.359 8.247 0 0.325 -0.006 0.434 -0.173 0.116 283
Matt Kuchar $9,500 $11,700 $15,800 2.139 1.766 14.873 0.149 0.137 0.422 0.051 -0.193 0.113 174
Gary Woodland $9,200 $9,800 $14,900 1.606 1.959 26.28 -0.064 0.275 0.225 -0.107 0.226 0.111 126
J.J. Henry $6,600 $7,500 $11,600 0.322 0.195 30.065 0.288 -0.098 0.033 0.113 0.167 0.101 419
Johnson Wagner $7,400 $8,600 $12,400 0.722 0.582 23.612 0.272 0.101 -0.103 -0.137 0.353 0.097 330
Jhonattan Vegas $7,500 $8,700 $14,300 0.986 2.644 14.299 0.036 0.055 0.198 0.183 0.003 0.095 293
Keegan Bradley $8,100 $9,700 $14,600 1.572 1.64 23.461 0.01 -0.03 0.015 0.174 0.272 0.088 147
Zac Blair $7,000 $7,800 $11,400 0.648 -0.149 22.194 -0.063 0.176 0.14 0.206 -0.02 0.088 375
Talor Gooch $6,500 $7,100 $10,900 0.635 0 0.682 -0.022 0 0.461 0 0 0.088 502
Jonas Blixt $6,600 $7,000 $10,700 0.502 0.737 -26.306 0.074 0.127 0.24 0.066 -0.099 0.082 643
Robert Garrigus $6,900 $7,600 $12,100 0.667 1.097 10.883 0.151 0.087 0.228 -0.425 0.36 0.08 436
Bubba Watson $9,600 $11,600 $16,100 1.897 1.259 37.798 0.139 0.415 0.668 -0.203 -0.626 0.079 82
Robert Streb $6,900 $8,000 $11,900 0.823 0.786 7.709 0.227 0.123 0.023 -0.095 0.113 0.078 392
Brandon Harkins $7,000 $8,100 $11,900 1.249 0 24.04 0.276 0 0.097 -0.003 0 0.074 197
Martin Flores $6,600 $7,000 $10,800 0.595 1.119 -8.19 -0.18 0.275 0.028 0.129 0.119 0.074 583
Sam Ryder $7,100 $8,600 $13,000 0.751 0 39.2 0.356 0 0 0 0 0.071 276
Roger Sloan $6,700 $7,100 $10,400 -1.113 0.064 0 0 0 0 0 0.336 0.067 693
Ryan Blaum $7,600 $8,100 $12,500 0.752 0.255 35.177 -0.168 0 0.053 -0.085 0.514 0.063 289
Sean O’Hair $6,900 $7,500 $11,400 0.971 1.358 -9.955 -0.27 0.363 0.185 -0.025 0.039 0.058 442
Lanto Griffin $6,700 $7,600 $11,300 0.576 0 20.954 0.282 0 0 0 0 0.056 417
Byeong Hun An $7,800 $10,600 $14,500 1.468 0 26.557 -0.192 -0.064 -0.157 0.333 0.359 0.056 169
Michael Thompson $7,000 $7,800 $11,200 0.532 0.697 1.789 -0.263 0.362 0.018 0.152 -0.012 0.052 550
Hunter Mahan $6,800 $8,100 $12,200 0.541 0.47 22.49 0.262 0.164 -0.199 0.226 -0.198 0.051 433
Tony Finau $9,800 $12,100 $16,700 1.889 1.536 58.672 0.271 0.076 0.076 0.171 -0.356 0.047 72
Hudson Swafford $6,800 $7,600 $11,600 0.902 1.144 0.863 0.033 0.024 -0.139 0.141 0.161 0.044 395
Daniel Summerhays $6,900 $7,000 $10,400 0.692 0.811 -39.702 0.054 0.086 0.11 -0.123 0.077 0.041 582
Brandt Snedeker $8,500 $11,300 $15,200 1.749 2.091 21.755 0.151 0.166 -0.049 -0.038 -0.031 0.04 168
Andrew Putnam $7,600 $9,600 $12,200 0.732 0.215 24.5 -0.167 0.528 0.182 0.432 -0.781 0.039 341
Matt Jones $7,300 $8,200 $12,300 0.894 -0.51 17.933 -0.009 0.143 -0.076 0.041 0.071 0.034 313
John Senden $6,600 $7,200 $10,600 0.819 0.601 7.933 0.246 0.002 0.11 -0.033 -0.166 0.032 410
Billy Hurley III $6,400 $7,000 $10,400 0.543 -0.304 12.015 0.185 0.261 -0.038 0.005 -0.271 0.029 506
Shawn Stefani $6,600 $7,100 $10,900 0.695 -0.027 -3.615 -0.168 0.121 0.038 -0.116 0.25 0.025 543
Harold Varner III $7,100 $9,000 $13,500 0.888 0.764 36.982 0.1 -0.042 -0.278 0.173 0.17 0.025 250
Bill Haas $7,300 $9,500 $12,100 1.524 0.097 15.392 0.104 -0.062 -0.06 0.061 0.073 0.023 236
Nick Taylor $6,900 $7,600 $11,300 0.679 -0.111 13.248 0.035 0.054 -0.085 0.282 -0.17 0.023 444
Troy Merritt $7,200 $8,900 $13,400 0.634 0.137 39.311 0.111 0.094 -0.02 -0.066 -0.005 0.023 349
Brian Stuard $6,500 $7,500 $11,000 0.546 0.187 5.733 -0.186 -0.021 0.135 -0.116 0.299 0.022 537
Cameron Percy $6,900 $7,600 $12,100 0.523 0.796 32.694 0.182 -0.155 0.27 -0.174 -0.028 0.019 413
Stewart Cink $7,100 $9,500 $14,100 1.338 0.708 48.708 0.06 0.02 0.133 -0.098 -0.021 0.019 143
Ollie Schniederjans $7,900 $9,200 $13,500 1.228 0.78 18.488 -0.316 0.502 0.374 -0.17 -0.297 0.019 265
Martin Piller $6,500 $7,000 $10,300 -0.111 0.113 -25.383 -0.461 0.206 -0.774 0.734 0.385 0.018 760
Matt Every $6,600 $7,000 $10,400 -0.413 1.435 -12.514 -0.447 0.323 0.109 0.12 -0.029 0.015 767
Nick Watney $7,300 $8,700 $12,600 1.069 1.21 17.706 -0.136 0.482 -0.27 -0.063 0.061 0.015 289
Rory Sabbatini $7,100 $8,300 $12,000 0.795 1.011 2.11 -0.157 0.117 0.25 -0.132 -0.023 0.011 456
Ricky Barnes $6,700 $7,500 $10,800 0.558 1.612 1.616 0.164 0.111 -0.193 0.008 -0.037 0.011 557
Kevin Tway $7,700 $9,100 $12,700 0.955 0.563 17.178 0.249 0.37 -0.092 0.142 -0.633 0.007 323
Si Woo Kim $7,700 $9,300 $12,600 0.827 1.12 23.27 -0.168 0.083 -0.27 0.188 0.197 0.006 333
Sangmoon Bae $6,600 $7,100 $10,400 0.323 0.064 -11.767 0.058 0.163 0.089 -0.276 -0.008 0.005 682
Adam Schenk $6,400 $7,000 $10,500 0.408 0 0.72 0 0 0.023 0 0 0.005 603
Joaquin Niemann $9,400 $11,000 $15,700 1.971 0 48.663 0 0 0 0 0 0 99
Dylan Meyer $6,700 NA $11,300 0.936 0 23.524 0 0 0 0 0 0 293
Keith Mitchell $7,400 $9,200 $13,500 1.072 0 16.775 0 0 0 0 0 0 299
Parker McLachlin NA NA $11,300 0.18 -0.23 14.926 0 0 0 0 0 0 572
Nate Lashley NA $7,700 NA 0.83 0 7.409 0 0 0 0 0 0 427
Conrad Shindler $6,600 $7,200 $10,600 0.05 0 5.245 0 0 0 0 0 0 635
Kyle Thompson $6,500 $7,000 $10,300 -0.992 -1.164 2.512 0 0 0 0 0 0 701
Norman Xiong $6,300 $7,400 $11,200 -0.099 0 0.312 0 0 0 0 0 0 686
Adam Svensson $6,300 $7,100 $10,600 0.658 0.481 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 537
Jared du Toit $6,300 $7,600 $10,300 0.177 0.122 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 657
Marc-Etienne Bussieres NA NA NA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 669
Chris Crisologo $6,400 $7,000 $10,100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 669
Todd Fanning $6,400 $7,000 $10,100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 669
Joey Savoie $6,400 $7,000 $10,100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 669
Ryan Yip $6,500 NA $10,200 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 669
George Cunningham $6,300 $7,100 $10,400 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 669
Sam Fidone $6,700 $7,200 $10,400 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 669
Cameron Champ $7,000 $7,400 $14,500 -0.187 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 699
Nyasha Mauchaza $6,300 $7,000 $10,200 -0.754 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 720
Zach Wright $6,600 $7,200 $10,400 -1.459 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 732
Hugo Bernard $6,300 $7,000 $10,100 -1.76 -1.027 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 735
Matt Atkins $6,400 $7,200 $10,400 -0.471 0 -4.386 0 0 0 0 0 0 760
Will Claxton $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 -1.427 0.01 -14.321 0 0 0 0 0 0 795
Andrew Yun $6,400 $7,000 $10,200 -2.193 0 -25.596 0 0 0 0 0 0 819
Austin Connelly $6,300 $7,900 $10,900 0.229 -0.006 -45.206 0 0 0 0 0 0 728
Chris Kirk $7,600 $10,100 $13,700 1.309 0.76 31.059 -0.305 0.189 0.33 0.019 -0.242 -0.002 225
Patrick Rodgers $7,900 $9,000 $12,900 0.853 -0.157 39.25 0.245 -0.107 -0.067 0.055 -0.144 -0.004 295
Sam Saunders $6,800 $8,200 $12,200 0.65 1.057 15.911 -0.027 0.39 0.112 -0.31 -0.202 -0.007 477
Adam Hadwin $8,400 $10,000 $13,900 1.365 0.507 13.283 -0.176 -0.086 0.134 -0.063 0.112 -0.016 317
William McGirt $7,000 $7,900 $12,200 1.104 0.458 13.608 -0.082 0.113 0.187 -0.284 -0.023 -0.018 343
Jim Furyk $7,100 $8,400 $12,200 1.539 1.244 10.581 0.065 -0.057 0.014 -0.148 0.024 -0.02 308
Billy Horschel $8,000 $9,900 $15,200 1.262 -0.133 30.253 -0.306 -0.022 0.061 0.123 -0.009 -0.03 236
Aaron Baddeley $6,800 $7,600 $11,500 0.873 0.038 13.24 -0.157 0.307 0.121 0.127 -0.554 -0.031 418
Kevin Kisner $9,000 $9,700 $15,100 1.481 1.096 20.13 -0.039 -0.09 0.325 -0.249 -0.126 -0.036 260
Danny Lee $7,600 $7,900 $12,600 0.956 1.152 6.837 0.094 -0.048 -0.124 -0.046 -0.058 -0.036 418
Chad Campbell $6,700 $8,000 $11,700 0.891 1.496 6.268 0.054 0.112 0.033 -0.403 0.012 -0.038 442
Tyrone Van Aswegen $6,800 $7,200 $10,800 0.503 1.079 -15.415 0.123 -0.111 0.225 -0.137 -0.311 -0.042 704
Brett Stegmaier $6,600 $7,200 $10,600 0.217 0.122 14.089 0.022 -0.512 0.338 -0.336 0.277 -0.042 610
Peter Malnati $6,900 $7,800 $11,400 0.389 -0.204 26.647 0.086 -0.239 0.067 -0.176 0.048 -0.043 504
John Huh $6,900 $8,400 $12,100 0.894 -0.83 17.75 -0.25 0.202 -0.134 -0.025 -0.009 -0.043 372
J.T. Poston $7,200 $9,100 $12,700 0.86 0.717 35.564 -0.068 -0.14 0.066 0.115 -0.202 -0.046 320
Ethan Tracy $6,400 $7,200 $10,300 -0.332 0 -5.351 0 0 0 -0.229 0 -0.046 799
Chez Reavie $7,300 $8,900 $13,500 1.488 1.72 19.039 -0.03 -0.102 0.299 -0.038 -0.362 -0.047 272
Denny McCarthy $7,100 $8,300 $12,100 0.75 0 27.542 -0.242 0 0 0 0 -0.048 386
Fabian Gomez $7,000 $8,600 $12,100 0.576 -0.547 45.513 0.02 -0.189 0.128 -0.301 0.087 -0.051 414
Jonathan Randolph $6,500 $7,000 $10,400 -0.134 -1.523 -12.302 -0.021 0.011 -0.181 0.216 -0.306 -0.056 803
Jason Kokrak $6,800 $7,900 $13,100 1.251 0.212 -5.375 -0.073 0.213 0.103 -0.306 -0.221 -0.057 470
Corey Conners $7,100 $8,800 $12,100 0.716 -1.504 15.583 -0.086 -0.106 0.186 -0.283 0 -0.058 477
Roberto Diaz $6,600 $7,000 $10,300 -0.27 0 -1.828 -0.289 0 0 0 0 -0.058 789
Whee Kim $7,000 $7,300 $12,100 0.536 -0.186 15.725 0.154 -0.562 0.024 0.012 0.079 -0.059 552
Scott Stallings $7,200 $8,100 $12,200 0.773 0.065 23.065 0.267 0.088 0.194 -0.409 -0.435 -0.059 409
Tyler Duncan $7,200 $8,400 $12,300 0.619 0 47.289 0.222 0 -0.535 0 0 -0.063 410
D.A. Points $6,400 $7,100 $10,300 -0.245 -0.036 -0.187 0.218 -0.315 -0.532 0.238 0.077 -0.063 786
Ryan Armour $7,500 $8,700 $12,600 0.954 0.001 39.362 0.147 -0.161 0.438 -0.433 -0.309 -0.064 285
Will MacKenzie NA $7,500 NA 0.406 -0.917 0 0.056 0.069 -0.202 -0.16 -0.118 -0.071 669
Dustin Johnson $11,700 $12,500 $18,500 3.077 2.36 59.388 -0.038 0.001 -0.029 -0.266 -0.042 -0.075 127
David Hearn $6,800 $7,900 $12,200 0.802 0.719 18.632 0.025 -0.127 -0.309 -0.042 0.077 -0.075 425
Shane Lowry $7,500 $8,700 $13,400 1.437 -0.026 7.563 -0.082 -0.028 -0.233 -0.051 0 -0.079 368
Andres Romero NA NA NA 0.185 0.412 -35.588 0.457 -0.625 -0.359 -0.231 0.335 -0.085 791
Chris Stroud $7,000 $7,400 $11,800 0.627 -0.378 10.32 0.206 -0.107 -0.402 -0.172 0.018 -0.091 567
Brooks Koepka $10,800 $12,300 $17,400 2.207 0.993 51.114 0.204 -0.226 -0.024 0.263 -0.681 -0.093 142
Retief Goosen $7,000 $7,300 $11,600 0.729 0.361 0.726 -0.233 -0.038 0.053 0.227 -0.505 -0.099 561
Abraham Ancer $7,400 $8,700 $12,200 0.678 -1.199 26.19 0.133 0.253 0.049 -0.219 -0.721 -0.101 444
Jamie Lovemark $7,800 $9,300 $13,900 1.42 0.106 19.364 -0.012 -0.122 -0.241 0.226 -0.387 -0.107 303
Scott Brown $6,700 $7,600 $12,200 0.794 -1.661 23.614 0.04 -0.274 -0.302 -0.156 0.152 -0.108 407
Rod Pampling $6,400 $7,000 $10,300 0.049 -0.047 -4.216 -0.078 -0.218 -0.241 -0.261 0.177 -0.124 775
Bronson Burgoon $7,100 $8,500 $13,400 0.853 -0.824 39.775 0.298 -0.617 -0.472 0.02 0.132 -0.128 332
David Lingmerth $8,200 $8,500 $13,300 1.034 1.326 50.177 0.223 -0.266 -0.349 0.019 -0.319 -0.138 262
J.J. Spaun $7,200 $8,200 $12,900 1.018 0.439 19.892 -0.656 -0.256 -0.243 0.152 0.297 -0.141 360
Ian Poulter $9,100 $10,400 $15,000 1.546 2.409 10.66 -0.3 0.139 -0.519 0.14 -0.219 -0.152 342
Mike Weir $6,300 $7,000 $10,200 -2.119 -0.296 0 -0.028 0.308 0 -0.303 -0.74 -0.153 808
Tommy Fleetwood $10,500 $12,000 $16,800 2.261 0 18.74 0.149 -0.587 0 -0.334 0 -0.154 252
Steve Stricker $8,800 $10,500 $14,100 1.895 0.215 27.975 0 -0.185 0.225 -0.195 -0.673 -0.165 221
Blayne Barber $6,700 $7,800 $12,100 0.634 0.47 37.381 -0.004 -0.26 -0.397 -0.105 -0.081 -0.169 441
Rob Oppenheim $6,500 $7,100 $10,300 0.267 -0.637 -3.434 0.217 0.138 -0.907 0.114 -0.415 -0.171 748
Sergio Garcia $9,900 $11,200 $15,600 2.179 0 11.476 -0.194 -0.307 0.01 -0.138 -0.241 -0.174 314
Jonathan Byrd $6,500 $7,100 $10,900 0.45 0.014 3.063 0.001 -0.624 -0.449 -0.144 0.306 -0.182 659
Mackenzie Hughes $6,800 $7,800 $12,100 0.776 0 27.049 0.258 -0.519 -0.488 -0.258 0.056 -0.19 409
Zecheng Dou $6,500 $7,000 $10,200 -0.659 0 -16.216 -0.475 0 0 -0.479 0 -0.191 865
Alex Cejka $7,200 $7,900 $12,200 0.865 1.069 36.864 -0.012 -0.538 -0.107 -0.21 -0.156 -0.205 354
Dominic Bozzelli $6,800 $7,700 $10,800 0.319 -0.915 12.677 -0.226 0 0.364 -1.136 -0.192 -0.238 648
Nicholas Lindheim $6,700 $7,200 $10,500 0.123 -1.137 -4.933 -0.896 0 -0.378 -0.065 0.139 -0.24 789
Joel Dahmen $7,400 $9,400 $13,600 0.888 -1.359 49.932 0.294 0 0.081 -0.979 -0.636 -0.248 318
Wesley Bryan $8,300 $8,300 $12,500 0.745 0 21.549 -0.244 -0.472 0.315 -0.736 -0.2 -0.268 465
Graeme Mcdowell $7,300 $8,100 $12,500 1.08 -1.333 -19.543 -0.394 -0.543 0.015 -0.209 -0.556 -0.337 546
Kelly Kraft $7,500 $7,900 $12,600 0.458 -0.945 32.246 0.146 -0.477 -0.586 -0.473 -0.322 -0.342 523

About the Author

  • Josh Culp (futureoffantasy)

  • Josh didn’t own a set of golf clubs until after college but his love for the game now grows exponentially. He uses in-depth statistical analysis while trying to avoid the landmines that come with using traditional, outdated PGA stats. He can be found elsewhere writing for Rotoworld and Future of Fantasy. He can be found on twitter @futureoffantasy.

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