Starting 5 - DvP: Monday, March 9th

The Starting 5 Series will provide Grinders a quick look at the day’s top positional plays, analyzed through the lens of our Daily Research Tools.

Today we’ll take a closer look at the Defense vs Position tool. DvP is one of the most important tools available when considering players to target on a particular night. We will be using FanDuel statistics for today’s article.

Point Guard – Stephen Curry (GS) at Phoenix Suns

Stephen Curry

You don’t really need us to tell you just how much of a stud Stephen Curry is. But, is he worth that $10,000 price tag tonight?

Most likely. Over the last three weeks, Phoenix has allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards, and the total for tonight’s Western Conference tilt is at 214, easily the highest number on Monday’s board. What’s more, his ownership will likely be suppressed after yesterday’s dud against the Clippers, making him an ideal tournament option. Curry should bounce back in a big way tonight.

Shooting Guard – Dwyane Wade (MIA) vs. Boston Celtics

The Heat have been pulling at our heart strings in recent days, as we haven’t been getting clear availability updates before lineups lock. Fortunately for us, Dwyane Wade isn’t listed on the injury report for tonight’s game against the Celtics, so it looks like it’s safe to slot him into your lineups.

That’s great news, considering Wade and the Heat will take on a Boston team that’s allowing 102.4 points per game this season, the 25th-worst mark in the NBA. The Celtics also haven’t been nearly as effective at stopping opposing shooting guards over the last week (more on that later).

Miami could be shorthanded again tonight, with Goran Dragic, Luol Deng and Hassan Whiteside all questionable, so Wade could be asked to take on a huge load on the offensive end of the floor. To add the cherry on top, the Celtics will be without their best perimeter defender in Avery Bradley. Assuming no funny business before lock, Wade is a terrific play at a thin SG position tonight.

Small Forward – Andrew Wiggins (MIN) at Los Angeles Clippers

Andrew Wiggins

It’s safe to say Andrew Wiggins has lived up to the lofty expectations that were placed upon him when he was drafted number one overall. The rookie has been a reliable DFS option too, consistently logging heavy minutes for the Timberwolves, who have been playing at a top 10 pace this season.

Tonight’s opponent, the Clippers, have been very poor against small forwards, and that’s been especially true over the last few weeks. As you probably know, small forward is typically a tricky position to fill, so locking in a safety net like Wiggins makes sense this evening.

Power Forward – Andrea Bargnani (NYK) at Denver Nuggets

It’s a scary thought that Andrea Bargnani has been New York’s best player here of late, but nothing should surprise us in the NBA anymore, especially when we’re talking about the Knicks. In his five games as a starter this season, Bargnani is averaging 18.6 points and 4.8 rebounds in 31.2 minutes.

Bargnani’s price has risen on FanDuel, but he’s still very much in play tonight, particularly since the Nuggets have been horrendous against big men. Over the last three weeks, Denver has surrendered the second-most fantasy points per game to the power forward position. At a very affordable $5,600, Bargnani appears to be one of the best value plays out there tonight.

Center – DeMarcus Cousins (SAC) at Atlanta Hawks

DeMarcus Cousins

We’ll have to keep monitoring the injury news throughout the day to see if the Hawks end up resting any players, but it’s hard not to like DeMarcus Cousins tonight regardless.

Atlanta has been sound defensively overall this season, ranking fourth in the NBA in fewest points allowed per contest, but you may be surprised to know the Hawks have been a mess (second-worst) against opposing centers over the last three weeks.

Cousins has topped 50 FanDuel points in two straight and could very well make it three in a row this evening. It’s a hefty price to pay ($10,800), but few players in the NBA have the upside that Boogie brings to the table.

About the Author

  • Scott Krones (srk8987)

  • Scott is the Managing Editor of RotoGrinders. Don’t ask him how Liverpool’s doing, unless they’re doing well.

Comments

  • mrplow01

    Considering this article is always pickin on the Kings at the SG spot (and for good reason), I’m a bit surprised Korver wasn’t listed. Is it just because Atlanta’s team-oriented offense limits him that much?

  • srk8987

    Managing Editor

    @mrplow01 said...

    Considering this article is always pickin on the Kings at the SG spot (and for good reason), I’m a bit surprised Korver wasn’t listed. Is it just because Atlanta’s team-oriented offense limits him that much?

    Pretty much. Generally not a big fan of the Hawks for DFS purposes, and Korver has very little upside.

  • MRCOOKONUTS

    Problem with Curry’s high price,he rarely if ever gets you 5x value.
    He is capable of 50+ fantasy points on any given night but those nights of a monster game have surprisingly been rare this season thus far.
    His fantasy points are usually in the high 30s to occasional low 40s.
    In fact,2 games against Suns this year he hit the low40s in fantasy points,nice games yes,but not for winning a tournament…
    He may post a monster game tonight,that wouldnt shock me, but there are better risk options out there at much cheaper salary….If one has multi entries he should be in at least one,but I wouldnt bet the house on him.

  • tknull22

    Like a Schroder Livingston combo? or Teague and Schroder?

  • DK_Ninjaaaaa

    @MRCOOKONUTS said...

    Problem with Curry’s high price,he rarely if ever gets you 5x value.
    He is capable of 50+ fantasy points on any given night but those nights of a monster game have surprisingly been rare this season thus far.
    His fantasy points are usually in the high 30s to occasional low 40s.
    In fact,2 games against Suns this year he hit the low40s in fantasy points,nice games yes,but not for winning a tournament…
    He may post a monster game tonight,that wouldnt shock me, but there are better risk options out there at much cheaper salary….If one has multi entries he should be in at least one,but I wouldnt bet the house on him.

    Curry is such a boss that he rarely hits value cuz the warriors blow everyone out. Hence I only target curry in close matchups against good teams. That being said. Their bench players can be nice contrarian plays when they are heavily favored.

  • brasssballs

    Totally agree

  • MRCOOKONUTS

    @DK_Ninjaaaaa said...

    Curry is such a boss that he rarely hits value cuz the warriors blow everyone out. Hence I only target curry in close matchups against good teams. That being said. Their bench players can be nice contrarian plays when they are heavily favored.

    Curry can surely hit 50 fantasy points tonight,he def has the perfect matchup for that so no denying.
    Yes,he is less of a risk in projected close matchups and does have a high floor, but there have been many games this year that were not blowouts yet Curry didnt post monster stats.
    I would definitely play him tonight but not make him the foundation in all my entries.

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