Starting 5 - DvP: Wednesday, March 4th

The Starting 5 Series will provide Grinders a quick look at the day’s top positional plays, analyzed through the lens of our Daily Research Tools.

Today we’ll take a closer look at the Defense vs Position tool. DvP is one of the most important tools available when considering players to target on a particular night.

I wanted to highlight the DvP tool today because I really think there are some prime matchups to take advantage of this evening. It’s a big tournament night across the industry, especially with the Mega Slam on FanDuel, so let’s check out some prime targets on this Wednesday. Since everyone always wants some value plays, I’ll stick to a $6,000 or less FanDuel price threshold for all five picks.

POINT GUARD – Elfrid Payton vs. Suns ($5,500 on FanDuel)

Suns – 51.38 FPPG allowed to opposing PG over the last three weeks

elfrid-payton-300x200

Since the trades of Goran Dragic and Isaiah Thomas, the Suns’ defense against opposing point guards has been surprisingly bad. Brandon Knight is generally known as a good defender, but he oftentimes checks opposing shooting guards with the Suns as Eric Bledsoe plays on the ball more often.

In any case, the Suns rank dead last in defense against opposing point guards over the last three weeks, and they play at a fast pace. Payton is a sneaky target for tournament formats tonight given his ability to contribute in multiple categories.

SHOOTING GUARD – Danny Green vs. Kings ($5,200 on FanDuel)

Kings – 40.28 FPPG allowed to opposing SG for the season

It’s pretty much common knowledge these days that the Kings are poor at defending against the shooting guard position. They have given up several big scoring games to opposing shooting guards, and Danny Green could make a solid value option this evening. The Spurs have had four days of rest since their last game, so they should lean on their starters a bit more tonight. Green hasn’t been that great in recent games, but I expect all the Spurs starters to perform better since they are rested.

SMALL FORWARD – Wilson Chandler or Danilo Gallinari vs. Timberwolves ($5,900 and 5,200 on FanDuel)

Timberwolves – 37.29 FPPG allowed to opposing SF for the season

I really like the matchup for the Nuggets tonight. They played much more inspired basketball yesterday after the firing of Brian Shaw, and they draw a favorable date with the Timberwolves this evening. Minnesota ranks dead last against opposing small forwards this season, and that puts both Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari in play this evening.

Both of them are extremely affordable on FanDuel tonight and should have some success against the Wolves defense.

POWER FORWARD – Kenneth Faried vs. Timberwolves ($5,800 on FanDuel)

Timberwolves – 46.92 FPPG allowed to opposing PF over the last three weeks

Although I like Gallinari and Chandler, Kenneth Faried is probably my favorite play on the Nuggets this evening. He was really being held back with Brian Shaw at the helm, and he looked liberated in last night’s game with a solid double-double. He should be able to continue that success against Minnesota tonight, as the Wolves are equally bad against opposing power forwards as well. Kevin Garnett is not the answer. Assuming he gets significant playing time again here, Faried should be a solid option at an affordable price.

CENTER – Enes Kanter vs. 76ers ($6,000 on FanDuel)

76ers – 49.12 FPPG allowed to opposing centers for the season

Excluding the game he missed with a minor ailment, Enes Kanter has been a different player since being traded to the Thunder. He has been a focal point in the offense with Kevin Durant sidelined, and he draws a great matchup against Philadelphia tonight. He is one of the safer mid-range plays on the board this evening and should be in line for a solid game here. With Durant ruled out again, he will continue to be an offensive threat, and he should be able to do some damage on the glass as well. Facing the team that’s dead last against opposing centers for the season only adds to Kanter’s appeal here.

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Comments

  • fleming45

    Nice write up. Kanter jumped out at me also, I think we can get 40 FP at a minuscule ownership %

  • dfrandan

    Elfrid Payton losing time to Willie Green terrifies me

  • jonconnington

    @dfrandan said...

    Elfrid Payton losing time to Willie Green terrifies me

    Elfrid Payton being Elfrid Payton REALLY terries me.

  • jordanbob147

    Well I dont agree with “KG is not the answer,” as wolves playing much better since they got him and when hes’ played-he’s put up at least a FP per minute, so he is a good value play IMO.

  • GobertInKantersEnes

    So many centers with juicy match ups, I can’t decide. Dieng, kanter, whiteside, gobert, and of course BOOGIE.

  • TakeScores

    Thunder will be up 20 early. Kanter won’t get the minutes.

  • fleming45

    @TakeScores said...

    Thunder will be up 20 early. Kanter won’t get the minutes.

    If Kanter sees 28 min(which shouldnt be a problem even in blowout) he can easily post 15 pts 15 boards against an undersized 76ers frountcourt with probably a few blocks. He’s def. my GPP pivot off Gobert where I’m not spending on Whiteside.

  • suhweetness

    Kanter Looks good, so Does Rudy G, but man i cannot pass on Marc Gasol at $7,600 (was over 9k at one point) He is coming around and has 50+ Pt upside and plays the 26th worst Def at the Center position tonight… D-MO is coming off a great game last night and gonna be a little Gased. Plus Memphis is only 1.5 games up on Houston playing head to head tonight… T-jones will be occupied by Z. Randolph. In my Order… Gasol,Gobert,Kanter

    Gasol had 29,8,4,2 last time they played Dec-26th

    GL tonight!

  • Enigma616

    I agree, Gasol definitely has the most upside tonight as Houston really don’t have any bigs to defend both Z-Bo and Gasol. Hopefully this game goes into Triple OT. :-)

  • fleming45

    Suhweetness, I definitely agree if Z-Bo sits again, but if he’s in I’m paying a little more for Whiteside in GPP cuz most of Gasol’s big games were when Z-Bo was out and when they are both healthy they cap each others upside at 40 FP. Marc is the best cash option tonight though regardless.

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Analyst

    • 354

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    Keep in mind, I kept all of my guys under 6K. Obviously there are good plays that I didn’t mention here.

    Payton is definitely a risk, but huge upside. Risk/reward contrarian pick for tournaments.

  • raven4gold

    You guys can laugh if you want but if Z Bo sits I’m starting Kosta Koufos in a couple leagues. I think he goes off for at least 25 tonight and for 3600 he is more than worth it!

  • Epicsic

    I’m not touching white side in GPP!!! Will be 45 % owned. No thank you. Trying to win the GPP not cash and whiteside will not be in the winning lineup. Cash tho I’m all over whiteside

  • dubberzz

    Thanks cards nice write up I like faried for sure tonight also I think Alex len in a great spot tonight for his 5200 price tag on FD

  • EDJM7

    Thanks for the work cards. I had a few of these guys on my list tonight, but you definitely added a few more for me. I appreciate the work bro.

  • tunko16

    Any thoughts on Hibbert vs the Knicks as value of the night? New York has been gashed by centers the las 3 weeks and this looks to be a game the Pacers will control from opening tip…35 points seems realistic

  • MRCOOKONUTS

    @jordanbob147 said...

    Well I dont agree with “KG is not the answer,” as wolves playing much better since they got him and when hes’ played-he’s put up at least a FP per minute, so he is a good value play IMO.

    He didnt mean KG on the offensive end,he was refering to KG’s defense should not stop Faried.

  • hughes425

    @stlcardinals84 said...

    Keep in mind, I kept all of my guys under 6K. Obviously there are good plays that I didn’t mention here.

    Payton is definitely a risk, but huge upside. Risk/reward contrarian pick for tournaments.

    What is the upside to a player who has had his minutes slashed? 17 min his last outing, the new coach seems to have little faith

  • suhweetness

    @Enigma616 said...

    I agree, Gasol definitely has the most upside tonight as Houston really don’t have any bigs to defend both Z-Bo and Gasol. Hopefully this game goes into Triple OT. :-)

    I would love a triple OT game! Plzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

  • suhweetness

    @stlcardinals84 said...

    Keep in mind, I kept all of my guys under 6K. Obviously there are good plays that I didn’t mention here.

    Payton is definitely a risk, but huge upside. Risk/reward contrarian pick for tournaments.

    True. Sorry didn’t notice. Did not mean to get off topic…

  • madmanjayWV

    Just for the record, and I could be wrong, but Faried isn’t playing PF anymore? I thought he was moved to center last night? Swore I read that somewhere, dunno….I plugged him in at 3 a.m. in my first GPP LU…we’ll C

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