Stat Factors: Week 11
NFL Advanced Data is more accessible than ever, and with the power of providers like Sports Info Solutions and PlayerProfiler.com, RotoGrinders is here to bring them to your doorstep. Each week, Stat Factors will compare 99 team level metrics and hundreds more advanced player level analytics to bring you key “Stat Factors” that matter for each game. We’ll then break them down and teach you how to empower your decision making for the week using these factors. The best DFS players in the world supplement their process with sports analytics, and we’re here to help you enhance your week of research.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Skewed Matchups of Note
Top 10 WR Target Success Matchup
Top 10 Explosive Pass % Matchup
Top 10 10-19 Yard Pass% Matchup
Bottom 10 0-9 Yard Pass % Matchup
Tampa Bay is implied to score 25.25 points in this matchup as one point underdogs on the road. This is setting up as an offense first matchup on both sides of the ball. Tampa Bay is a pass first attack and it looks like there is a mismatch in downfield passing in their favor. We should expect the Tampa Bay offense to move the ball and have the advantage.
The Giants defense has the edge here in the rushing matchup. It’s not a big edge, and Tampa Bay has been a pass threat all season in the absence of a viable running game. Peyton Barber was limited in Wednesday practice but should be expected to play. He continues to see roughly 10-14 rush attempts per week and has no more than 3 targets in every single week except week 7 (where he had 4). The Tampa line is not creating space for any of these backs, as Barber has seen just 1.15 yards before contact avg. this season and 69% of his yardage after first contact. Barber is low priced on DK to the point where if he scored a TD he’d have a chance. That being said, he has near zero sentiment among the industry (per FanShare Buzz Score of .8), and we can continue to ignore him.
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