Stat Factors: Week 14

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Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Oakland Raiders

Pittsburgh Steelers Skewed Matchups of Note

Top 10 DVOA Matchup
Top 5 TE Fantasy Points Allowed Matchup
Top 10 TD and Points Per Drive Matchup
Top 10 Third Down Success % Matchup
Top 10 Clean Pocket, QB Pressure, and Sack % Matchup
Top 10 Blown Blocks (Run and Pass) Matchup
Top 10 Explosive Pass Matchup
Top 10 WR Target % Matchup
Top 10 TE Target Success Matchup
Top 10 Pass Behind Line % Matchup
Top 10 Gap Block Success Matchup
Bottom 10 RB Target % Matchup
Bottom 10 0-9 Yard Pass % Matchup

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Pittsburgh carries a status as 10 point favorites into Oakland, where they will be at the theoretical advantage against a weak Raiders defense.

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The absence of James Connor should open up the opportunity odds in a big way for Jaylen Samuels and to a lesser extent Stevan Ridley. The score of the game will have the greatest impact on touches in my opinion, as Ridley will be more likely to take you where you want to go in GPPs if the game gets out of hand quickly. On the road, that isn’t as likely. That leaves Samuels with fair expectations of 40 percent of the rushing and perhaps 5-6 targets. At close to the minimum salary on FanDuel and just $3,700 on the more favorable PPR scoring of DraftKings, Samuels looks like a fine play based on opportunity alone. The Raiders also have the 31st ranked rush DVOA defense and the 11th most fantasy points to running backs throughout the season. The matchup is even better than the opportunity, and the only two obstacles in your way of rostering him are game theory and opportunity cost.

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About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top mind in the industry and one of the primary contributors at RotoGrinders. Together with our team of experts, his work is powering projections, simulations, ownership, and analytics across 10+ sports for betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests. A multiple-time Live Finalist and shipper of 6-figure wins, Chris delivers actionable tools and advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on Twitter – @ChrisGimino