Stat Factors: Week 15

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Week 15 Saturday Slate

Houston Texans vs. New York Jets

Houston Texans Skewed Matchups of Note

Top 5 WR Fantasy Points Allowed Matchup
Top 10 WR Target % Matchup
Top 10 Total Plays Matchup
Top 10 Rush% Matchup
Top 10 Explosive Rush Matchup
Bottom 5 TE Fantasy Points Allowed Matchup
Bottom 10 TE Target Success Matchup
Bottom 10 TD Per Drive Matchup
Bottom 10 RB Target % Matchup
Bottom 10 Clean Pocket Matchup

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It’s a low total game and the Texans are big favorites, but that doesn’t make them big favorites to score insane fantasy point totals. The Jets have a small enough edge to make the Texans production just good, and not great.

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The Texans have faced a relatively easy schedule and haven’t produced massive success on the ground. In addition, the Jets have been fairly stingy against the rush with a 23rd ranked DVOA squad. I don’t think the matchup is the reason you’d side with Lamar Miller if you wanted to play him. His status as a TD favorite would be a better reason if you were sure the game script goes that direction. Miller has a relatively low and inconsistent workload with 48%>35%>63%>46%>51% market share totals over the last 5 games. He normally isn’t in line to see more than 1 to 2 targets either. The only reason I’m not crossing him off my list on the two-game slate is because the alternatives aren’t a hell of a lot better when I need to fill in my last piece and I’m left in that salary range. He’s not a fun play.

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About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top mind in the industry and one of the primary contributors at RotoGrinders. Together with our team of experts, his work is powering projections, simulations, ownership, and analytics across 10+ sports for betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests. A multiple-time Live Finalist and shipper of 6-figure wins, Chris delivers actionable tools and advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on Twitter – @ChrisGimino