Stat Factors: Week 16
NFL Advanced Data is more accessible than ever, and with the power of providers like Sports Info Solutions and PlayerProfiler.com, RotoGrinders is here to bring them to your doorstep. Each week, Stat Factors will compare 99 team level metrics and hundreds more advanced player level analytics to bring you key “Stat Factors” that matter for each game. We’ll then break them down and teach you how to empower your decision making for the week using these factors. The best DFS players in the world supplement their process with sports analytics, and we’re here to help you enhance your week of research.
Week 16 – Saturday Slate
Washington Redskins vs. Tennessee Titans
Washington Redskins Skewed Matchups of Note
Top 10 Gap Block % Matchup
Bottom 5 QB/RB/TE Fantasy Points Allowed Matchup
Bottom 10 Yards Per Drive Matchup
Bottom 10 Third Down Success % Matchup
Bottom 10 TE Target Success Matchup
Bottom 10 TD Per Drive Matchup
Bottom 10 Seconds per Play Matchup
Bottom 10 RB Target Success Matchup
Bottom 10 Points Per Drive Matchup
Bottom 10 Explosive Pass Matchup
The Redskins, despite being on their 4th QB, are in the playoff hunt with medium-high motivations against a superior but not even close to unbeatable Titans team. They are 10 point underdogs on the road and will be one of the least popular teams for DFS this week.
The Titans check in with the 10th ranked DVOA defense and are a week removed from marginalizing a dangerous Saquon in just about the most significant way possible. Rush market share data in the Premium Usage app suggest that QB Josh Johnson is driving some of the Redskins relatively run heavy skew in the past two weeks, while Adrian Peterson managed just 51 yards on 19 attempts vs. Jacksonville last game. Playing on the road as more than a TD underdog against a defense that allows the least fantasy points to RBs this season and second least in the last four weeks, there is very little reason to trust Adrian Peterson even on a short slate. Chris Thompson has received snap shares of 60%<40%<43% the past 3 weeks and target totals of 5<5<2. The Titans are the toughest team against RB receivers, allowing just a 38.37% success rate. The Redskins RBs are among the lowest probability plays this week with ownership to match.
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