Stolen Base Threats: Saturday, April 7th

Soon, RotoGrinders Premium will be releasing new tools to help you find stolen base upside on a daily basis. I really couldn’t wait to start sharing what we’re cooking up, so I’ve elected to spill the beans on some of the information early. Below, you’ll find some analysis on batters and teams that may have more upside than usual when it comes to locating stolen bases.

The evaluation accounts for “Takeoff Rating”, “Success Rating”, and “Speed Rating.” I used data points from Baseball Info Solutions to pinpoint how often runners steal when given the chance, and compare it to how often pitchers saw their opposing baserunners steal. The catcher is also factored into the equation here. The result is a combined “Takeoff Rating.”

“Success rating” is more simple, and tries to balance out attempts with how often the attempts were successful for batters, pitchers, and catchers. This rating is normally lower than “Takeoff Rating” and is also weighted a lot lower in the final score. We also look at how fast the individual runners have shown themselves to be on the base paths. That’s another way to make sure the most likely SB candidates gravitate towards the top. Let me know what you think as we develop this as a way for you to identify SB upside.

Today’s Top SB Team Targets

Our Premium content can help you make better picks every day

  • To read this full article for today’s MLB games, you need to have a subscription to Premium, our incentives content package.
  • A Premium subscription will allow you to access this article, as well as Consensus Value Rankings, daily picks from top-ranked players, and much more.
Start your FREE 7-day trial

About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top mind in the industry and one of the primary contributors at RotoGrinders. Together with our team of experts, his work is powering projections, simulations, ownership, and analytics across 10+ sports for betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests. A multiple-time Live Finalist and shipper of 6-figure wins, Chris delivers actionable tools and advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on Twitter – @ChrisGimino