Super Bowl 59 Player Props: Top Predictions for Chiefs vs. Eagles
What can we expect in Super Bowl 59 from A.J. Brown, Jalen Hurts, and Harrison Butker? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for Super Bowl 59 on Sunday, February 9, 2025. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more football props, at ScoresAndOdds.
On Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will play Super Bowl 59. Kickoff is set for 6:30 PM ET on FOX from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
The good news for the betting community is that the final NFL game of the season will have plenty of star talent, providing no shortage of high-caliber player props to consider ahead of the big game. Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Travis Kelce, and A.J. Brown are just a few of the big names who could have a big impact on the outcome of this highly-anticipated matchup.
If looking to wager on the player prop market for Chiefs vs. Eagles, we have 3 prop leans to consider for Super Bowl 59!
Super Bowl 59 – NFL Player Props
- A.J. Brown Over/Under 69.5 Receiving Yards
- Jalen Hurts Over/Under 199.5 Passing Yards
- Harrison Butker Over/Under 1.5 Made Field Goals
A.J. Brown OVER 69.5 Receiving Yards (-112, Bally)
According to NFL NextGen Stats, Kansas City’s defense pressed on a league-high 51.5% of snaps this season, which could mean Brown is in for a big performance in Super Bowl 59. Brown recorded a 38% target rate and averaged 3.6 yards per route run against press coverage this season, both of which led all receivers with 75+ such routes.
Brown also generally dominated man coverage during the regular season, leading the Eagles with 3.9 yards per route run in such situations. He was targeted 74 times in man coverage this season. No other member of the Eagles receiving corps had more than 55 such targets.
The opportunities should be there for Brown on Sunday. It’s simply a matter of whether or not he and Jalen Hurts are able to connect on a deep ball or two to cash this wager.
Jalen Hurts OVER 199.5 Passing Yards (-114, Bally)
Frankly, this is an insulting line for a starting quarterback in the Super Bowl. Hurts threw for 131 passing yards or fewer in each of Philadelphia’s first 2 playoff games, but both of those games were played in frigid weather. In the Wild Card round, Hurts was also returning from an extended absence due to a concussion, which likely impacted the team’s game plan.
Perhaps even more important was that the Packers and Rams both deployed a lot of zone coverage against Hurts, which is an area where he has struggled this season. In the NFC Championship Game, the weather was better, Hurts was further removed from his concussion, and he had a matchup against a Washington defense that showed him more man coverage. The result was 246 passing yards in a game that was essentially over before the 4th quarter.
Kansas City has also run a lot of man coverage in addition to blitzing at a high frequency. Hurts finished the regular season ranked 5th in success rate and 8th in EPA/dropback against man coverage. He also excelled against the blitz, ranking 6th in EPA/dropback and posting a 10-to-1 TD-to-INT ratio. Assuming a competitive game script, Hurts should be able to get to 200 passing yards in Super Bowl 59.
Harrison Butker OVER 1.5 Made Field Goals (-132, Bally)
If there is one man who has made Patrick Mahomes, at times, appear mortal during his NFL career, it’s Eagles defensive coordinator Vic Fangio. Last season, Fangio held Kansas City’s offense to 21 points and only 267 yards of total offense. In 2021, he held Mahomes and company to 1 offensive touchdown and only 267 yards of total offense. The season before that, the Chiefs’ offense had only 286 yards of total offense in October and only 1 offensive touchdown in December.
Fangio has a history of giving Mahomes problems, and that is with a collection of mediocre-to-bad defenses. This time around, Fangio has the league’s top defense, measured by DVOA. Kansas City’s offense is also lacking a short-yardage specialist, which has made them slightly more conservative in those spots during the second half of this season. Butker could be called upon a few times in this matchup, giving this bet great value. The rest of the market has Butker around (-160) to convert a pair of field goals.
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