The Reid Option: Week 2

Each week, Sammy Reid will break down each position in detail, pinpointing his favorite plays at various salary ranges. Who should we be focusing our core on this week? Read below to find out!

Week 2

After a long offseason filled with the leisurely pace of baseball watching, I had forgotten the feeling of watching football. You know, that butt-clenching, teeth-grinding six hours on Sunday that feels like a car ride out to Las Vegas through bat country with Raoul Duke and Dr Gonzo.

And Week 1 certainly didn’t disappoint. We had the Bucs/Saints barnburner in the morning, accompanied by a text barrage from Nate Nohling (who played Fitzpatrick in cash) calling me a fish in glee, and Davis Mattek (who swapped out of Fitzpatrick in cash) calling himself a fish in a fit of unbridled tilt. We had the James Conner smash game, the Tyreek Hill flash game, and the Aaron Rodgers burn-Chicago-to-ash game.

For six hours I didn’t eat, I couldn’t go to the bathroom, and I only got up from the couch once (to grab a phone charger). I may or may not have yelled at my wife when she made the unforgivable mistake of kindly asking me to order lunch right after the Steelers tied the Browns. It was amazing.

I can only hope that Week 2 provides the same methamphetamine buzz that last week did. But even if it does, it’ll be different. As the old saying goes, “If you’ve seen one week of football, you’ve seen one week of football.” Ok, there’s no saying. But there should be one.

No, this week is sure to be different. Last week, the chalk crushed – the cash lines were over 190 points on Draftkings – while those contrarian GPP plays fell flat. But make no mistake, variance shall inevitably come raging down like Hurricane Florence and blow into oblivion any poor soul who isn’t prepared for it. But fear not, my friends, we shall be.

One way you can always be prepared is to take advantage of late-swap. Like I said in last week’s intro, DFS is about so much more than picking the right players – it’s about playing the game better than your opponents, and in both cash games and GPPs late-swap is an under-used feature which provides free equity to those sharp enough to take advantage.

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About the Author

  • Sammy Reid (SammyReid)

  • Sammy is a former online poker professional and Hearts champion who has been playing competitive fantasy sports for more than 15 years. A student of both sports and game theory, Sammy has been grinding DFS cash games since 2013. You can find more of his work in the 2017 edition of Joe Pisapia’s Fantasy Black Book, at FantasyInsiders.com, RosterCoach.com, and the Baseballholics Anonymous podcast.

Comments

  • Chorizo

    Sammy…had me laughing more than a few times this week. Well done. Dion Lewis thoughts (DK cash)?

  • run199

    Sammy is quickly becoming my favorite Rotogrinder. He’s spot on and practical in his process and leaves me trying to hold in my laughter so the entire office doesn’t realize I am more interested in setting good lineups than I am in completing the work that comes across my desk.

  • yellowdart24

    I went back through cash lineups in double ups and saw a lot of sharp players who went with Fitz as their QB and even used Cleveland as their defense which allowed all the studs you could want. I’m not sure why there were not more RG articles that suggested using this strategy. In general, I’m disappointed RG doesn’t have cash & gpp articles.

  • Maddad2020

    Sorry but no shootout in Atlanta happening with the Panthers. Carolina will sell out to stop Julio. I don’t see this game getting out of the high 30’s low to mid 40’s combine score.

  • SammyReid

    Thanks bud – In general, I love Dion Lewis. I think he’s super talented and can do anything on the field. My one concern is that we don’t know that his usage (like 67%) will be what it was in Week 1, bc TEN was behind the whole time. Like if they get a lead, I could see them going to Henry more and making that a 50/50 deal. I think he’s great in GPP but in cash I would def go with Coleman at that price point now that Freeman looks like he’s gonna be out

  • SammyReid

    @Chorizo said...

    Sammy…had me laughing more than a few times this week. Well done. Dion Lewis thoughts (DK cash)?

    Thanks bud – In general, I love Dion Lewis. I think he’s super talented and can do anything on the field. My one concern is that we don’t know that his usage (like 67%) will be what it was in Week 1, bc TEN was behind the whole time. Like if they get a lead, I could see them going to Henry more and making that a 50/50 deal. I think he’s great in GPP but in cash I would def go with Coleman at that price point now that Freeman looks like he’s gonna be out

  • SammyReid

    @run199 said...

    Sammy is quickly becoming my favorite Rotogrinder. He’s spot on and practical in his process and leaves me trying to hold in my laughter so the entire office doesn’t realize I am more interested in setting good lineups than I am in completing the work that comes across my desk.

  • SammyReid

    @yellowdart24 said...

    I went back through cash lineups in double ups and saw a lot of sharp players who went with Fitz as their QB and even used Cleveland as their defense which allowed all the studs you could want. I’m not sure why there were not more RG articles that suggested using this strategy. In general, I’m disappointed RG doesn’t have cash & gpp articles.

    I saw that too – I wasn’t on Fitz or CLE, but I’m not gonna be able to be on every good play every week. The two cash guys I wrote up last week, Rivers and Brees, went for 424/3 and and 439/3 respectively, so idk what to say there. I had plenty of room for all the studs I wanted anyway, with all the values available in Week 1. I try to differentiate cash and GPP plays and throw some game theory in, but I hear you on the pointed cash vs GPP columns. I’ll suggest that to the editors, we’re always looking to improve.

  • boogereatingmoron

    • 746

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2017 FanDuel WFBC Finalist

    • 2017 DraftKings NFL KOTB Finalist

    Awesome job as always Sammy. Your article left me happier than a dog with two wangs.

  • jjaayyzz

    Hey Sammy ! Awesome stuff…DiCaprio at a model party had me rolling… Was wondering what your exposure would be for kamara ? On FD Kamara and Gurley are almost the same price ($100 difference) so it’s a tough choice for me.

  • SammyReid

    Re – Kamara: He’s an excellent play. I prefer Gurley but it’s probably a 52% vs 48% kind of deal who smashes harder. For me it’s one of those things where I’m trying to narrow down my player pool and taking a stand with one guy at that price point instead of trying to get exposure to everyone I think is good. If you make 150 lineups you can def go 33% or 20% Kamara or whatever you want. He’s worthy of 100% tbh. But I prefer Gurley bc I think his usage is more assured; as good as Kamara is, his career high in carries in a game is 12 and I’m a little wary that if they get up big on CLE (and I do), they’ll salt it away on the ground with Gillislee etc rather than AK

  • SammyReid

    @boogereatingmoron said...

    Awesome job as always Sammy. Your article left me happier than a dog with two wangs.

  • reedrichards11

    So sammy if im correct and im not trying to show your strategy are you going the 3 horses for pittsburgh in cash?

  • Chorizo

    @SammyReid said...

    Thanks bud – In general, I love Dion Lewis. I think he’s super talented and can do anything on the field. My one concern is that we don’t know that his usage (like 67%) will be what it was in Week 1, bc TEN was behind the whole time. Like if they get a lead, I could see them going to Henry more and making that a 50/50 deal. I think he’s great in GPP but in cash I would def go with Coleman at that price point now that Freeman looks like he’s gonna be out

  • nvalencia30

    • x2

      2014 FAFC Finalist

    • 2015 FAWBC Finalist

    I love the late swap opportunities full NFL slates provide. Excellent article as always, Sammy!

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