ThriveFantasy Props GPP Strategy - NBA Player Props February 24, 2023
Looking for a new way to play? NBA DFS analyst Will Priester is here to help as he breaks down his favorite GPP picks at ThriveFantasy. Sign up with the ThriveFantasy promo code ‘GRINDERS’ to get a $250 deposit match plus free contest tickets!
What is going on Grinders?! NBA Season is always exciting, and this year we are bringing you a weekly article to cover ThriveFantasy’s Props GPP! Of course, because of my love for props, I’ll be bringing the heat every week to try and help you guys take down 2nd place in the contest. Laugh a little folks! Let’s talk about how this contest differs from your standard DFS contest first.
ThriveFantasy GPP Format
Firstly, Thrive’s GPP is comprised of a list of 20 different props for NBA. Out of those 20 props, you need to select 12 props. The first ten will be the props you want to utilize to score points.
There are an additional two props that are called In Case of Emergency (I.C.E) that you will choose as a backup in case an unforeseen circumstance comes up. It will only count if one of your ten primary props doesn’t play in the game at all. It will not cover injuries. So it’s good for a late scratch during warm-ups, or a late family emergency that a beat writer would not know about in time to inform the public.
Those are the basics.
As for the point system, it s an over/under format, with one of them being able to score more points than the other. The higher the likelihood of the outcome, the fewer points they will give you. The more unlikely the outcome, the more points you will receive.
The fun part (which is part of the strategy we will discuss below) is balancing your risk with reward. If you take all “safe” plays—or what seem to be as close to a sure thing as can be—it may not be enough points to get 1st place. If you take all of the higher-risk props, you also may not earn enough points because you may not hit enough of them to compete. Balancing the risk and reward is the key, just like any other GPP.
But this ain’t yo mama’s GPP…this is ThriveFantasy baby! Let’s take a look at this week’s key selections that I think we should be targeting.
Key Selections for February 24th
I’m going to work backward here. I will start with who I think gives us the best chance to score the most points against the field and then work my way down to who feels like the sure thing. Let’s ride on this journey together and hopefully sit at the top of the leaderboard every night!
Kawhi Leonard, 33.5 PRA: Over, 100 points / Under, 100 points
We have now passed the All-Star Break and I’m expecting the stars to pick up their play down the stretch to get ready for the playoffs. Kawhi was playing really well prior to the break and the staff elected to cut his minutes down slightly as they approached the break. Well, the break is now over and I think we see Kawhi back to playing 35 minutes or so. As a result he should be closer to 35.5 PRA in my book. I love him to go over here in what should be a competitive matchup with the Kings tonight.
Pick: Over, 100 points
De’Aaron Fox, 26.5 Points: Over, 110 points / Under, 90 points
This game between the Kings and Clippers is one of my favorite games of the night. This one should be very competitive and while I like how Mr. Fox has been playing I think the Clippers will be prepared defensively to slow him down enough to go under this number tonight. This is also a back to back for the Kings. They are just coming off the break so I’m sure they are fine, but I still like this working in our favor as well.
Pick: Under, 90 points
Anthony Edwards, 37.5 PRA: Over, 105 points / Under, 95 points
This game should be a TRACK MEET! I love what we should get for Edwards tonight. I think he will score close to 37 real points in this game. As a result this is one of my favorite props in the GPP tonight. We are getting 105 for this one and I think it was appropriate to save the best for last on this one.
Pick: Over, 105 points
Closing Thoughts
As you look at this article each week, I’m going to try and put us in a position to take this GPP down. I am not telling you to play exactly the way I play, but the plays that I provide you here will be my core for this specific tournament. I will have them in every single lineup. I am not saying that you HAVE to do this, but you should be able to roll these plays out with confidence knowing that what you see in this article is what you will see in my lineups.
Good luck and congrats on second place! Laugh a little folks!
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