Timberwolves vs. Kings: NBA odds, Picks and Predictions
Timberwolves vs. Kings Odds
| Timberwolves Odds | +5 |
| Kings Odds | -5 |
| Over/Under | 238 |
| Date | Sat, Mar. 4 |
| Time | 10:00 p.m. |
| TV | BSWI |
Saturday’s NBA slate will conclude with a battle between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Sacramento Kings. Entering play, Minnesota (33-32) owns the seventh-best record in the Western Conference, sitting 5.5 games behind Sacramento (37-25), the current occupant of the 3-seed. In this matchup, oddsmakers are anticipating a competitive game script, pricing the Kings as 5-point home favorites on the spread.
Minnesota Timberwolves
Towns OUT
Since Karl-Anthony Towns last played on November 28, Minnesota is 23-21 overall, having done an admirable job of staying afloat without one of their best players. However, their success has not been equal everywhere. In 21 road games during that stretch, the Timberwolves are only 8-13 and rank 20th out of 30 teams in Net Rating.
Per Cleaning the Glass, Minnesota ranks in the 36th percentile in offensive efficiency and the 65th percentile in defensive efficiency with Towns on the floor this season, compared to the 47th percentile in offensive efficiency and the 68th percentile in defensive efficiency when he is on the sidelines.
Edwards becoming a star
Since January 21, Anthony Edwards is averaging 26.7 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game across a span of 18 contests. Yet, he has been far less effective on the road in that time period, where he is averaging only 24.0 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 4.3 assists on 44.6% shooting from the floor. Similar to his team as a whole, Edwards plays much better in the friendly confines of his home building.
If you are not in a state with legal sports betting, you can target Anthony Edwards player props using our No House Advantage promo code in a DFS game.
Sacramento Kings
Surprise out west
Heading into the final home stretch of the regular season, Sacramento remains in position to host a playoff series, and they are within one game of the 2-seed in the Western Conference. Entering play, they have won five consecutive contests as they continue to dramatically over perform relative to their preseason expectations.
Sabonis making a difference
A big reason for their success has been the play of Domantas Sabonis, who is second on the team in scoring, first in rebounding, and first in assists. Per Cleaning the Glass, the Kings rank in the 93rd percentile in offensive efficiency and the 35th percentile in defensive efficiency with Sabonis on the floor this year, compared to the 61st percentile in offensive efficiency and the 20th percentile in defensive efficiency when he is on the sidelines.
Timberwolves vs. Kings – Picks & Predictions
At a certain point, bettors need to finally admit to themselves that whatever the Sacramento Kings are doing is working. Tonight, they get to host a Minnesota Timberwolves team that has struggled mightily on the road since Karl-Anthony Towns last took the floor.
Though these teams are separated by only five games in the standings, Sacramento is 19-12 at home this season, while Minnesota is 8-13 on the road without Towns. Expect the Kings to come away with a win in this spot, and for them to do enough to cover a modest spread.
PICK: Kings -5 (-110, FanDuel)
Image Credit: Getty Images