UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson - A Contrarian Take
Happy weekend everyone! We’re back with A Contrarian Take on UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson. Unfortunately, we’re down to a 10-fight card for this slate, with a five-round matchup between Marina Rodriguez and Michelle Waterson in the Main Event, and while this card may not have the biggest names the money we can win on this card is as real as any other. Cancellations have taken out four fighters in the $8700 – $7500 range ($18 – $13 range on FanDuel) so we have some unique lineup possibilities mixing more expensive fighters with fighters at the bottom of the salary range. Let’s take a look at the card and see if we can find some under-owned fighters who can help our GPP lineups:
Rong Zhu: We have an interesting card to say the least for this UFC Event, with five fighters having a 20% or greater chance of a first-round finish, but due to three five-round title fights on the card, none of those fighters are projected as the highest-owned (or even second-highest owned) fighter on the slate. Rong Zhu carries the highest odds of a first-round finish (+230/28%) and could go overlooked and under-owned at $9100 on DK. Both the title fights and the unfamiliarity with Rong Zhu making his UFC debut at this event should suppress his ownership below what it should be according to the odds, giving us a leverage opportunity.