Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds: Preview, NBA Player Props, and Picks
Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds
| Warriors Odds | -2 |
| Grizzlies Odds | +2 |
| Over/Under | 221 |
| Date | Tuesday, Jan. 11 |
| Time | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBATV |
On Tuesday evening, the Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies will battle at the FedExForum. Entering play, the Warriors are tied with the Phoenix Suns for the best record in the NBA. However, the Dubs have scuffled of late, winning only six of their last 10 contests. Tonight, Golden State will be without Draymond Green, who is nursing a left calf injury. Gary Payton and Otto Porter Jr. are each listed as questionable with injuries of their own. Memphis owns the longest active winning streak in the NBA at nine games, which has helped them ascend to the fourth seed in the Western Conference playoff picture. The Grizzlies have already ruled out Dillon Brooks for this matchup, and Steven Adams is listed as questionable due to health and safety protocols. Oddsmakers are anticipating the Warriors securing a victory in this contest, pricing Golden State as 2-point road favorites on the spread at online sportsbooks.
Golden State Warriors
Per Cleaning the Glass, when Draymond Green has been off of the floor this season, Golden State ranks in the 47th percentile in offensive efficiency and the 94th percentile in defensive efficiency. Green is an integral component of Golden State’s nightly success, as he leads the team in rebounds, assists, and blocks per game. Klay Thompson returned to action this past Sunday against the Cleveland Cavaliers, totaling 17 points. Yet, Thompson is likely to be on a strict minutes restriction for the foreseeable future, considering that he has missed multiple years with serious lower body ailments.
In their last 10 games, the Warriors have not been as dominant as their season-long numbers indicate. In that span, Golden State ranks only 13th in Net Rating. In their last four games, the Dubs rank 15th in Net Rating, having been outscored by 0.5 points per 100 possessions.
Memphis Grizzlies
During their current nine game winning streak, Memphis has defeated notable opponents, such as the Phoenix Suns, Los Angeles Lakers (twice), Brooklyn Nets, and the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Grizzlies have the best Net Rating in the league across their last 10 contests, outscoring their opponents by 10.8 points per 100 possessions. The Grizzlies are unquestionably the less publicly appealing team in this matchup, but based on the data – it is surprising to see them listed as underdogs at home, and for the public to be betting the line even further in Golden State’s favor.
Picks and Prediction
Per EdgHouse, Memphis is 17-6 ATS since November 28. They have won both games during that stretch in which they were listed as an underdog. Golden State has the better record for the year, but Memphis has played better basketball over the last month of action. It is never easy to bet against Stephen Curry and company, but the Grizzlies have what it takes to secure a victory in this one.
- Pick: Grizzlies ML @ +110
Warriors-Grizzlies Props
If looking to attack the player prop market in this one instead fading one of the best teams in basketball, there are ways to buy stock in the Warriors without wagering on them to win the game. Here are two of my favorite NBA props at Underdog Fantasy for the Warriors vs. Grizzlies.
Kevon Looney o7.5 rebounds (-105)
Kevon Looney has only eclipsed this number in three of his last seven games, but he has hit this number easily in each of his last two contests–securing 9 rebounds against the New Orleans Pelicans and 18 rebounds against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Draymond Green’s absence frees up a significant amount of rebounding opportunities for the rest of this roster. Looney should be a primary beneficiary of these opportunities this evening, and could hit this number with ease if Steven Adams is on the sidelines.
Andrew Wiggins o21.5 points + rebounds (-110)
Per EdgHouse, Andrew Wiggins has hit this number in 18 of his 35 games played this year (51.4% hit-rate). Similar to Looney, Wiggins should be a beneficiary of Green’s absence in this one. Wiggins is a capable rebounder and scorer, which should translate to a solid performance in a slightly expanded role tonight.
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