UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cerrone Beat Down - MMA DFS Preview

NOTE: Please read the analysis, it is far more important than who I simply pick to win. I’ve also added confidence levels to give you an extra idea of where my head is at. This relates to the pick itself, not the method of victory.

MAIN CARD

Conor McGregor vs. Donald Cerrone

Fight Odds: McGregor -330, Cerrone +270
Odds to finish: -675
Salaries: McGregor 9.4k, Cerrone 6.8k
Weight Class: 170

Making his long-awaited return to the UFC, Conor McGregor seemingly has big plans for 2020, but he’ll need to get on track right away with a victory over Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone.

McGregor hasn’t fought since he lost to Khabib Nurmagomedov in 2018, and he hasn’t won a fight since he defeated Eddie Alvarez for the Lightweight strap in 2016. That’s a point to note at the very least, especially since McGregor will be returning to the Welterweight division in 2020.

Although he holds incredible power in his hands, McGregor is simply better built for the Lightweight division than he is for the Welterweight division, and we’ve seen him fall short against much larger opponents in this weight class, Nate Diaz being the one example. To his credit, McGregor built his frame up for the rematch with Diaz, controlled his cardio better and won an impressive victory, but it still does not change the fact that he’s better suited for Lightweight.

Cerrone has more experience than nearly any other fighter in the promotion, and there’s potential for him to give McGregor trouble in this matchup if variance swings the right way. He’s also approaching the end of his career, and his durability is a major question mark in this bout, which is one of the main reasons why McGregor will still come in as a heavy favorite.

Cerrone has always struggled to take damage to his body, stemming from accidents he’s had in the past, and he’s been hurt and finished by body strikes on multiple occasions. His chin has started to decline in recent years as well which is a major red flag, he’s suffered brutal knockout losses to Jorge Masvidal, and most recently Justin Gaethje.

This content can help you make better picks every day

  • NOTE: MMA Premium is not included in the Core Premium product (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, PGA).
  • To read this full article for this week’s MMA games, you need to have a subscription to Brett Appley’s MMA package.
  • This subscription will allow you to access this article, as well as projections and more.
Go Premium Today!

  • If you want a taste of the content without a long-term commitment, you can purchase a weekly pass to quickly gain access to this Premium content!
Purchase Week Pass!

About the Author

  • Brett Appley (bbbomb)

  • One of the top MMA minds in the DFS industry, Brett Appley a.k.a bbbomb has been writing his weekly “Beat Down” article for RotoGrinders since the sport launched on DraftKings in 2015. Brett has earned multiple Top 10 rankings in MMA since that time and has taken down a handful of tournaments as well. He currently works full-time on his product MMA Premium, which can be found in the RotoGrinders marketplace.

New to DFS?

Be sure to click through our links and use our exclusive promo codes to receive the industry's best sign-up bonuses, including free access to our premium content.

  • FanDuel

    Get 1-month of RotoGrinders Premium for FREE (a ~$40value) by signing up through one of our links!

    Learn More
  • DraftKings

    Sign up for DraftKings using a RotoGrinders link & receive our DraftKings Premium content FREE for 1 month. That’s a ~$40 value! No DraftKings promo code necessary!

    Learn More
  • FantasyDraft

    FantasyDraft strives to put players first, with a mission to “provide a fun and fair experience for all.” To this end, the site has a well-built, easy-to-use interface and a the first of its kind in offering “Rake-Free” fantasy contests.

    Learn More

New RotoGrinders Sports Betting Section!

Are you a DFS player who wants to get into sports betting?

If you have access to New Jersey sports betting, then use our DraftKings Sportsbook promo code and our FanDuel Sportsbook promo code to get the best bonuses in the NJ industry.

Those who can take advantage of PA online sports betting should use our SugarHouse PA promo code to get the best sports betting bonus in Pennsylvania.

If you don't yet have access to an online sportsbook, check out Monkey Knife Fight, a prop betting platform available in 31 states. Use our Monkey Knife Fight promo code to get a fantastic bonus.

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week. Our goal is to help all of our members make more money playing daily fantasy sports!

Bet with your head, not over it!
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler